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Paris vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 85-96
17-26 31-26 19-18 18-26
Position#9
Record11-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Position#8
Record6-9
FormLLWLW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game83.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 16· Adidas Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Paris v Real Madrid
10 Dec 2026
PRS v MAD
upcoming
27 Jan 2026
PRS98
MAD92
17 Dec 2024
PRS85
MAD96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#6
W
103-87
103
87
+16
97avg 92
A15/11
Euroleague
Strasbourg
#12
W
106-74
106
74
+32
120avg 92
H17/11
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
93-84
93
84
+9
88avg 92
A21/11
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
81-78
81
78
+3
71avg 92
H28/11
Euroleague
Le Portel
#15
W
87-78
87
78
+9
97avg 92
A30/11
LNB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
93-81
93
81
+12
80avg 92
A03/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
W
96-90
96
90
+6
93avg 92
A06/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#2
W
111-104 OT
111
104
+7
126avg 92
H08/12
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
93-98
93
98
-5
80avg 92
A13/12
Euroleague
Le Mans
#5
L
76-84
76
84
-8
85avg 92
A15/12
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-18
14-30
28-22
30-17
22-16
31-16
24-21
29-21
22-20
21-19
23-19
27-26
21-24
23-14
25-23
12-17
24-33
15-12
30-16
18-17
22-18
28-18
18-22
25-23
21-21
28-23
24-16
23-30
16-21
22-28
23-24
31-19
24-22
16-27
31-23
22-26
18-16
18-26
21-17
19-25
179.7Avg total
93.9Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)86.982.8169.7+4.173%
Season at home (6)77.775.2152.8+2.583%
Season away (9)93.187.9181.0+5.267%
Last 10 (10)93.985.8179.7+8.180%
Last 5 (5)93.891.4185.2+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.090.0186.0+6.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (14)83.784.9168.6-1.264%
vs Weaker (15)92.783.2175.9+9.573%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
64-74
64
74
-10
58avg 83
H14/11
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#16
W
85-78
85
78
+7
81avg 83
H17/11
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
98-84
98
84
+14
102avg 83
H21/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
W
97-90 OT
97
90
+7
95avg 83
A28/11
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
76-80
76
80
-4
67avg 83
A01/12
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
78-80
78
80
-2
74avg 83
A03/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
70-82
70
82
-12
64avg 83
H05/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
W
90-77
90
77
+13
86avg 83
H08/12
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
83-92
83
92
-9
78avg 83
H12/12
Euroleague
Breogan
#13
W
106-69
106
69
+37
113avg 83
H15/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
6-19
19-28
24-11
15-16
28-13
23-12
15-34
19-19
23-22
32-33
24-13
19-16
22-17
12-21
20-14
20-22
23-21
22-19
12-19
19-21
26-30
17-21
23-8
12-21
20-12
11-25
16-23
23-22
18-13
21-21
21-18
30-25
19-24
19-30
22-18
23-20
19-8
24-21
27-19
36-21
165.3Avg total
84.7Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)83.383.2166.5+0.140%
Season at home (8)86.482.8169.1+3.662%
Season away (7)79.983.7163.6-3.914%
Last 10 (10)84.780.6165.3+4.150%
Last 5 (5)85.480.0165.4+5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.090.0170.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (11)81.683.5165.2-1.936%
vs Weaker (17)87.476.6164.0+10.871%
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.3+1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.3+1.3
ParisReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#6
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A15/11
Euroleague
Strasbourg
#12
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H17/11
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A21/11
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H28/11
Euroleague
Le Portel
#15
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A30/11
LNB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A03/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A06/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#2
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H08/12
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A13/12
Euroleague
Le Mans
#5
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A15/12
LNB
85.9Avg total
43.7Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.941.785.6+2.167%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.040.884.8+3.277%-
Last 30 away (17)43.842.586.2+1.359%-
Last 10 (10)43.742.285.9+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)42.644.086.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.044.093.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.042.483.4-1.464%-
vs Weaker (15)46.241.087.2+5.267%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
25-47
25
47
-22
H14/11
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#16
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H17/11
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
D
55-55
55
55
+0
H21/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A28/11
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A01/12
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A03/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H05/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H08/12
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H12/12
Euroleague
Breogan
#13
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H15/12
ACB
81.4Avg total
40.4Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.839.781.5+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.239.082.2+4.267%-
Last 30 away (12)39.640.880.4-1.233%-
Last 10 (10)40.441.081.4-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)38.841.079.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.049.094.0-4.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.841.980.7-3.127%-
vs Weaker (17)43.537.681.2+5.976%-
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 92.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.321.6
57.9%
54.5%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.311.4
36.4%
36.2%34.2
🏀 Free throws18.815.3
81.4%
78.0%15.3
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.418.7
57.7%
54.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.4
37.0%
36.2%31.2
🏀 Free throws20.415.5
76.0%
78.0%15.5
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paris
LLWWWWWWWW
Real Madrid
WLWLLLWWWL
#9
League position
#8
+9.7
Net rating
+6.0
120.3
Offensive rating
111.5
110.6
Defensive rating
105.5
56.4%
Effective FG%
56.7%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
16.8%
Turnover %
19.2%
36.7%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.4%
3-point %
37.0%
54.5%
Assist %
66.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence120.3 · 111.5Defence110.6 · 105.5Shooting56.4% · 56.7%3-point %36.4% · 37.0%Ball care16.8% · 19.2%Off. rebounds36.7% · 26.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Paris   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Paris wins
0
Real Madrid wins
No previous meetings.
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24ALe Mans76-84
13/12/24ALyon-Villeurbanne93-98
08/12/24HMonaco111-104 OT
06/12/24AOlympiacos96-90
03/12/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv93-81
30/11/24ALe Portel87-78
28/11/24HVirtus Bologna81-78
21/11/24AAnadolu Efes93-84
17/11/24HStrasbourg106-74
15/11/24ABarcelona103-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24HBreogan106-69
12/12/24HZalgiris Kaunas83-92
08/12/24HUnicaja90-77
05/12/24HFenerbahce70-82
03/12/24ALyon-Villeurbanne78-80
01/12/24AJoventut Badalona76-80
28/11/24ABarcelona97-90 OT
21/11/24HAlba Berlin98-84
17/11/24HForca Lleida85-78
14/11/24HAnadolu Efes64-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paris
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL73%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %73%83%67%
Points / game86.977.793.1
Allowed / game82.875.287.9
Point differential+4.1+2.5+5.2
Avg total169.7152.8181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%0%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)80% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL40%
HomeWLWLL62%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %40%62%14%
Points / game83.386.479.9
Allowed / game83.282.883.7
Point differential+0.1+3.6-3.9
Avg total166.5169.1163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris1511473%86.982.8+4.1
2 Monaco1611569%87.280.5+6.7
3 Fenerbahce1510567%78.978.3+0.5
4 Bayern1610662%88.787.9+0.8
5 Olympiacos159660%84.981.2+3.7
6 Zalgiris Kaunas159660%76.775.4+1.3
7 Panathinaikos169756%85.283.2+2.0
8 Olimpia Milano169756%87.487.6-0.2
9 Crvena zvezda158753%84.782.0+2.7
10 Anadolu Efes158753%84.782.9+1.7
11 Barcelona158753%86.186.3-0.3
12 Partizan157847%81.680.9+0.7
13 Baskonia167944%78.880.1-1.3
14 Real Madrid156940%83.383.2+0.1
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne156940%82.685.7-3.1
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv1641225%84.688.6-4.0
17 Virtus Bologna1531220%80.985.3-4.4
18 Alba Berlin1531220%80.591.9-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paris1731191885
Real Madrid2626182696
← all games of the day
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