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Lamar vs Texas State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 55-65
23-28 32-37
Position#339
Record3-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game71.1
Allowed / game73.9
vs
Position#236
Record4-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game65.7
Allowed / game65.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lamar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LamarUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tarleton
#235
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A27/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#331
L
63-67
63
67
-4
H03/03
NCAA
California Baptist
#173
L
66-78
66
78
-12
H05/03
NCAA
St. Thomas (TX)
#419
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H08/11
NCAA
TCU
#96
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A12/11
NCAA
Huston Tillotson
#570
W
98-69
98
69
+29
H15/11
NCAA
Lindenwood
#304
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A18/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
L
91-98 OT
91
98
-7
A19/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
L
57-66
57
66
-9
A20/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#327
L
50-75
50
75
-25
A27/11
NCAA
1H
2H
20-31
29-26
24-23
39-44
30-41
36-37
25-28
38-33
27-36
39-41
41-42
57-27
33-39
40-32
43-42
42-43
24-26
33-40
23-38
27-37
139.5Avg total
67.6Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)71.173.9145.0-2.743%
Season at home (2)80.565.0145.5+15.5100%
Season away (5)67.477.4144.8-10.020%
Last 10 (10)67.671.9139.5-4.330%
Last 5 (5)73.875.8149.6-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)60.774.3135.1-13.60%
vs Similar (5)60.668.6129.2-8.040%
vs Weaker (2)80.565.0145.5+15.5100%
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#99
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A26/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
72-79
72
79
-7
H05/03
NCAA
North Texas
#12
L
63-67 OT
63
67
-4
A16/03
NIT
Washington State
#193
L
61-83
61
83
-22
A08/11
NCAA
Mid-America Christian
#413
W
71-53
71
53
+18
H11/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#337
W
70-66
70
66
+4
A12/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#331
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A18/11
NCAA
California
#369
W
59-55
59
55
+4
A22/11
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H26/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A27/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
29-25
0-0
37-36
0-0
25-31
0-0
47-48
0-0
28-32
0-0
29-25
0-0
31-38
0-0
30-45
0-0
43-21
0-0
28-32
0-0
35-26
0-0
35-40
0-0
27-31
0-0
29-30
0-0
25-22
0-0
34-33
0-0
34-26
0-0
44-39
0-0
29-28
0-0
36-44
132.3Avg total
66.1Scored
66.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)65.765.0130.7+0.757%
Season at home (2)74.559.0133.5+15.5100%
Season away (5)62.267.4129.6-5.240%
Last 10 (10)66.166.2132.3-0.150%
Last 5 (5)65.663.8129.4+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)63.372.3135.7-9.033%
vs Similar (7)64.667.1131.7-2.671%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)70.859.8130.6+11.178%
This opponent (Lamar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -5.6-5.61st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: -2.3-2.3
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -5.6-5.61st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: -2.3-2.3
LamarTexas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LamarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tarleton
#235
L
20-31
20
31
-11
A27/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#331
W
24-23
24
23
+1
H03/03
NCAA
California Baptist
#173
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H05/03
NCAA
St. Thomas (TX)
#419
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H08/11
NCAA
TCU
#96
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A12/11
NCAA
Huston Tillotson
#570
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H15/11
NCAA
Lindenwood
#304
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A18/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A19/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
L
24-26
24
26
-2
A20/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#327
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A27/11
NCAA
63.6Avg total
29.0Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.535.163.6-6.627%-
Last 30 at home (11)31.933.665.5-1.745%-
Last 30 away (19)26.635.962.5-9.416%-
Last 10 (10)29.034.663.6-5.620%-
Last 5 (5)32.837.470.2-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)27.635.463.0-7.826%-
vs Similar (5)31.233.865.0-2.640%-
vs Weaker (2)33.035.068.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#99
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A26/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H05/03
NCAA
North Texas
#12
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A16/03
NIT
Washington State
#193
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A08/11
NCAA
Mid-America Christian
#413
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H11/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#337
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A12/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#331
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A18/11
NCAA
California
#369
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A22/11
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H26/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A27/11
NCAA
58.6Avg total
30.6Scored
28.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.929.162.0+3.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.227.163.3+9.167%-
Last 30 away (15)29.631.160.7-1.547%-
Last 10 (10)30.628.058.6+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)30.026.656.6+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)28.333.061.3-4.767%-
vs Similar (7)30.629.359.9+1.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)34.328.762.9+5.661%-
This opponent (Lamar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lamar wins
2
Texas State wins
DateGameScore
16/12/21Texas State v Lamar67-47
17/03/17Texas State v Lamar70-60
Lamarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/22ASMU Mustangs50-75
20/11/22AMcNeese State57-66
19/11/22AWestern Carolina91-98 OT
18/11/22ALindenwood73-71
15/11/22HHuston Tillotson98-69
12/11/22ATCU66-77
08/11/22HSt. Thomas (TX)63-61
05/03/22HCalifornia Baptist66-78
03/03/22HUTRGV63-67
27/02/22ATarleton49-57
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/22AHawaii65-72
26/11/22HSouthern Utah78-65
22/11/22ACalifornia59-55
18/11/22AUTSA Roadrunners56-61
12/11/22ARhode Island70-66
11/11/22HMid-America Christian71-53
08/11/22AWashington State61-83
16/03/22ANorth Texas63-67 OT
05/03/22HLouisiana Lafayette72-79
26/02/22ATroy66-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lamar
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %43%100%20%
Points / game71.180.567.4
Allowed / game73.965.077.4
Point differential-2.7+15.5-10.0
Avg total145.0145.5144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %14%0%20%
Texas State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL57%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %57%100%40%
Points / game65.774.562.2
Allowed / game65.059.067.4
Point differential+0.7+15.5-5.2
Avg total130.7133.5129.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stephen F. Austin75271%75.462.7+12.7
2 Northwestern St.75271%67.467.4+0.0
3 UTRGV85362%79.875.4+4.4
4 Incarnate Word95456%73.266.8+6.4
5 Texas A&M-CC84450%77.170.9+6.2
6 TX A&M Commerce84450%69.564.1+5.4
7 SE Louisiana84450%75.875.6+0.1
8 Nicholls State73443%79.476.9+2.6
9 Lamar73443%71.173.9-2.7
10 New Orleans62433%68.079.3-11.3
11 McNeese State82625%68.275.4-7.1
12 Houston Christian81712%74.588.0-13.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Miss880100%76.455.0+21.4
2 Marshall76186%83.967.1+16.7
3 Louisiana Lafayette76186%85.771.3+14.4
4 James Madison86275%92.962.8+30.1
5 Troy86275%82.963.8+19.1
6 Appalachian State85362%78.168.9+9.2
7 Arkansas State85362%69.660.4+9.2
8 Georgia State85362%69.463.1+6.2
9 Texas State74357%65.765.0+0.7
10 Coastal Carolina63350%76.762.8+13.8
11 Old Dominion84450%70.067.1+2.9
12 Georgia Southern84450%66.967.2-0.4
13 South Alabama83538%70.968.9+2.0
14 Louisiana Monroe82625%71.072.4-1.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Lamar233255
Texas State283765
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