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Lancut vs Starogard Gdanski Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 61-77
15-13 17-13 10-20 19-31
Position#5
Record3-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Position#3
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game75.0
Poland1 LigaRound 5· MOSiR Lancut
Other2025-26
Meetings · Lancut v Starogard Gdanski
26 Sep 2026
LANC90
STAR76
26 Apr 2026
LANC82
STAR91
25 Apr 2026
LANC82
STAR81
12 Oct 2025
LANC61
STAR77
22 Mar 2025
LANC93
STAR59
09 Mar 2022
LANC93
STAR62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lancut winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Starogard Gdanski winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LancutPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLancut
Date
Competition
Bydgoszcz
#2
W
75-73
75
73
+2
72avg 78
A27/04
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
61-76
61
76
-15
54avg 78
H03/05
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
63-99
63
99
-36
55avg 78
H04/05
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
89-91 OT
89
91
-2
84avg 78
A07/05
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
100-95
100
95
+5
103avg 78
A10/05
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
82-71
82
71
+11
73avg 78
H14/05
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
75-70
75
70
+5
64avg 78
H20/09
1 Liga
Poznan
#15
L
64-91
64
91
-27
53avg 78
A27/09
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
W
94-80
94
80
+14
92avg 78
H01/10
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
W
94-82
94
82
+12
101avg 78
A04/10
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-28
20-17
28-12
20-16
17-16
15-20
17-20
12-20
20-20
18-33
13-19
12-27
24-16
23-19
19-23
15-23
30-19
24-31
25-22
21-23
21-22
19-17
24-19
18-13
20-12
8-15
22-17
25-26
11-25
18-25
13-23
22-18
24-18
18-18
26-19
26-25
26-24
20-20
28-17
20-21
162.5Avg total
79.7Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.880.8162.5+1.075%
Season at home (2)84.575.0159.5+9.5100%
Season away (2)79.086.5165.5-7.550%
Last 10 (10)79.782.8162.5-3.160%
Last 5 (5)81.878.8160.6+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)69.379.7149.0-10.333%
vs Similar (16)86.379.7166.0+6.675%
vs Weaker (8)87.476.5163.9+10.988%
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Starogard GdanskiPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGdanski
Date
Competition
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
W
80-74
80
74
+6
80avg 76
H07/03
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
W
82-74
82
74
+8
82avg 76
A12/03
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
85-77
85
77
+8
85avg 76
H19/03
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
59-93
59
93
-34
50avg 76
A22/03
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
W
99-82
99
82
+17
104avg 76
A30/03
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
63-95
63
95
-32
64avg 76
A05/04
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
W
79-68
79
68
+11
70avg 76
H21/09
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
W
88-65
88
65
+23
91avg 76
A26/09
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
96-91
96
91
+5
88avg 76
H01/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
W
90-76
90
76
+14
83avg 76
H06/10
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
18-15
22-19
17-25
26-14
18-14
21-23
17-23
16-21
25-14
25-19
19-23
13-32
15-21
15-19
16-21
22-25
30-21
20-19
27-17
14-27
17-24
16-26
16-18
14-23
18-14
18-24
29-7
18-16
26-7
11-23
33-19
24-24
24-21
29-28
19-18
26-26
14-25
23-7
27-18
161.6Avg total
82.1Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)88.275.0163.2+13.2100%
Season at home (3)88.378.3166.7+10.0100%
Season away (1)88.065.0153.0+23.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.179.5161.6+2.680%
Last 5 (5)83.279.0162.2+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.884.0155.8-12.220%
vs Similar (18)80.781.2161.9-0.544%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)92.075.7167.7+16.386%
This opponent (Lancut) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +3.1+3.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +3.1+3.1
LancutStarogard Gdanski
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LancutLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A27/04
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H03/05
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H04/05
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A07/05
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A10/05
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H14/05
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H20/09
1 Liga
Poznan
#15
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A27/09
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H01/10
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A04/10
1 Liga
79.8Avg total
38.3Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.139.881.8+2.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.636.976.5+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)44.542.687.1+1.967%-
Last 10 (10)38.341.579.8-3.260%-
Last 5 (5)37.039.276.2-2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)36.340.276.5-3.833%-
vs Similar (16)44.141.585.6+2.662%-
vs Weaker (8)42.236.078.2+6.288%-
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Starogard GdanskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H07/03
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A12/03
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H19/03
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
28-53
28
53
-25
A22/03
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A30/03
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A05/04
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H21/09
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
W
44-23
44
23
+21
A26/09
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H01/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H06/10
1 Liga
80.0Avg total
40.1Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.640.581.1+0.157%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.041.484.4+1.656%-
Last 30 away (14)37.839.577.3-1.757%-
Last 10 (10)40.139.980.0+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)39.041.480.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.241.076.2-5.820%-
vs Similar (18)40.340.981.2-0.661%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)45.139.184.3+6.071%-
This opponent (Lancut) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lancuttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lancut: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.815.9
48.5%
52.0%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.1
33.4%
31.9%30.3
🏀 Free throws23.117.0
73.6%
70.0%17.0
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Starogard Gdanskitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Starogard Gdanski: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.819.9
51.3%
52.0%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.6
35.5%
31.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws21.315.8
74.2%
70.0%15.8
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lancut
WWLWWWLLLW
Starogard Gdanski
WWWWLWLWWW
#5
League position
#3
-3.8
Net rating
+3.9
103.8
Offensive rating
109.8
107.6
Defensive rating
105.8
49.3%
Effective FG%
52.1%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
17.9%
Turnover %
17.2%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.4%
3-point %
35.5%
70.8%
Assist %
75.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 109.8Defence107.6 · 105.8Shooting49.3% · 52.1%3-point %33.4% · 35.5%Ball care17.9% · 17.2%Off. rebounds26.8% · 30.6%Free throws0.37 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Lancut   ■ Starogard Gdanski
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Lancut wins
0
Starogard Gdanski wins
Lancutlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25AMiners Katowice94-82
01/10/25HR. Rzeszow94-80
27/09/25APoznan64-91
20/09/25HZubry Bialystok75-70
14/05/25HWKK Wroclaw82-71
10/05/25AWKK Wroclaw100-95
07/05/25ABydgoszcz89-91 OT
04/05/25HBydgoszcz63-99
03/05/25HBydgoszcz61-76
27/04/25ABydgoszcz75-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/25HGKS Tychy90-76
01/10/25HPelplin96-91
26/09/25AMiners Katowice88-65
21/09/25HR. Rzeszow79-68
05/04/25ABydgoszcz63-95
30/03/25AR. Rzeszow99-82
22/03/25ALancut59-93
19/03/25HSlask Wroclaw II85-77
12/03/25AMKKS Koszalin82-74
07/03/25HKotwica Kolobrzeg80-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lancut
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game81.884.579.0
Allowed / game80.875.086.5
Point differential+1.0+9.5-7.5
Avg total162.5159.5165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Starogard Gdanski
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.288.388.0
Allowed / game75.078.365.0
Point differential+13.2+10.0+23.0
Avg total163.2166.7153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bydgoszcz440100%91.271.0+20.2
2 Starogard Gdanski440100%88.275.0+13.2
3 GKS Tychy54180%89.283.0+6.2
4 LKS Lodz43175%84.872.5+12.2
5 Spojnia Stargard43175%83.881.2+2.5
6 Lancut43175%81.880.8+1.0
7 Pelplin53260%90.688.4+2.2
8 Polonia Warszawa53260%84.683.4+1.2
9 Poznan52340%80.273.4+6.8
10 WKK Wroclaw52340%79.278.2+1.0
11 R. Rzeszow52340%79.280.4-1.2
12 Inowroclaw52340%76.687.0-10.4
13 Poli. Opolska41325%81.584.8-3.2
14 Kotwica Kolobrzeg41325%69.577.0-7.5
15 Miners Katowice51420%73.684.6-11.0
16 Leszno51420%68.082.6-14.6
17 Zubry Bialystok5050%75.086.0-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lancut1517101961
Starogard Gdanski1313203177
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