Boca Juniors vs Libertad Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Mar 2014

Tip-off: 01:00

Final 88-90 (OT)

21-31 15-11 20-19 20-15 12-14

Position#3

Record26-14

FormWWWWL

Points / game75.7

Allowed / game70.7

Boca Juniors

Libertad 🏆

Position#6

Record21-19

FormLWLLL

Points / game78.5

Allowed / game77.9

Liga ARound 27

Other2013-14

Meetings · Boca Juniors v Libertad

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca Juniors winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Libertad winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boca Juniors Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sionista

#12

79-78

A08/02

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

57-62

-5

A10/02

Liga A

La Union

#16

94-77

+17

H13/02

Liga A

Regatas

82-76

H16/02

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#14

83-75 OT

A20/02

Liga A

Quilmes

70-65

A22/02

Liga A

Argentino

73-68

H27/02

Liga A

Penarol

77-72

H02/03

Liga A

Quimsa

80-66

+14

A08/03

Liga A

Atenas

74-82

-8

A10/03

Liga A

18-20

21-12

14-21

26-25

11-13

24-16

10-17

12-16

14-24

24-15

26-21

30-17

20-19

11-20

25-12

26-25

12-18

22-10

10-21

25-20

11-17

22-13

17-19

20-16

12-12

17-16

23-26

21-14

25-23

15-12

24-13

13-24

22-19

22-16

19-16

17-15

18-15

22-27

8-21

26-19

149.0Avg total

76.9Scored

72.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (40)	75.7	70.7	146.3	+5.0	65%
Season at home (20)	79.4	68.9	148.3	+10.5	85%
Season away (20)	71.9	72.4	144.3	-0.5	45%
Last 10 (10)	76.9	72.1	149.0	+4.8	80%
Last 5 (5)	74.8	70.6	145.4	+4.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	71.3	74.7	146.0	-3.3	33%
vs Similar (10)	73.7	74.8	148.5	-1.1	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	76.8	69.1	145.9	+7.6	82%

This opponent (Libertad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quilmes

77-72

A08/02

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#14

85-92

-7

A10/02

Liga A

Quimsa

82-70

+12

H15/02

Liga A

Atenas

75-82

-7

H17/02

Liga A

Lanus

#15

80-61

+19

A22/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

83-91

-8

A24/02

Liga A

La Union

#16

94-87 OT

H01/03

Liga A

Regatas

64-81

-17

H03/03

Liga A

Argentino

65-73

-8

A07/03

Liga A

Penarol

84-108

108

-24

A10/03

Liga A

16-19

25-19

21-17

15-17

25-21

12-17

27-27

21-27

19-17

25-24

18-13

20-16

19-15

20-21

24-28

12-18

18-19

13-12

30-13

19-17

8-21

19-25

23-19

33-26

16-22

17-19

26-17

18-19

9-30

24-15

14-20

17-16

15-21

19-12

12-14

19-26

27-21

12-35

26-30

19-22

160.6Avg total

78.9Scored

81.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (40)	78.5	77.9	156.4	+0.6	52%
Season at home (20)	82.3	75.2	157.6	+7.0	80%
Season away (20)	74.7	80.5	155.2	-5.8	25%
Last 10 (10)	78.9	81.7	160.6	-2.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	78.0	88.0	166.0	-10.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	79.6	86.8	166.4	-7.2	20%
vs Similar (20)	80.8	80.1	160.8	+0.7	60%
vs Weaker (4)	81.0	73.5	154.5	+7.5	75%

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Boca JuniorsLibertad

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	19.4	36.7	-2.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.2	18.8	38.0	+0.5	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	15.9	19.8	35.7	-3.9	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	18.0	34.3	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	17.2	34.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.3	23.0	39.3	-6.7	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.8	19.8	37.6	-2.0	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	17.2	18.5	35.7	-1.2	35%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.5	39.3	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	18.8	41.1	+3.5	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	20.1	37.6	-2.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	20.6	37.8	-3.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	23.0	38.0	-8.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	17.4	22.0	39.4	-4.6	60%	-
vs Similar (20)	21.3	19.2	40.5	+2.1	70%	-
vs Weaker (4)	17.2	17.8	35.0	-0.5	25%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	16.0	34.2	+2.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.2	16.1	34.3	+2.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.2	15.9	34.1	+2.4	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	15.7	35.7	+4.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	16.8	36.4	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	12.0	16.0	28.0	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.6	17.0	35.6	+1.6	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	19.1	15.4	34.5	+3.8	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	19.5	37.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	18.2	36.5	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.0	20.8	37.8	-3.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	19.9	38.5	-1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	21.2	39.4	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	16.8	21.6	38.4	-4.8	40%	-
vs Similar (20)	18.1	19.1	37.2	-1.0	45%	-
vs Weaker (4)	15.5	17.8	33.2	-2.2	25%	-

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sionista

#12

39-32

A08/02

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

35-29

A10/02

Liga A

La Union

#16

38-39

-1

H13/02

Liga A

Regatas

31-39

-8

H16/02

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#14

34-28

A20/02

Liga A

Quilmes

33-30

A22/02

Liga A

Argentino

29-28

H27/02

Liga A

Penarol

40-35

H02/03

Liga A

Quimsa

44-35

A08/03

Liga A

Atenas

40-42

-2

A10/03

Liga A

70.0Avg total

36.3Scored

33.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.6	35.3	70.9	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	37.5	34.8	72.3	+2.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	34.1	35.7	69.8	-1.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.3	33.7	70.0	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	34.0	71.2	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	28.3	39.0	67.3	-10.7	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	36.4	36.8	73.2	-0.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	36.4	33.8	70.2	+2.5	59%	-

This opponent (Libertad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quilmes

41-38

A08/02

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#14

37-38

-1

A10/02

Liga A

Quimsa

44-41

H15/02

Liga A

Atenas

39-36

H17/02

Liga A

Lanus

#15

31-31

A22/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

27-46

-19

A24/02

Liga A

La Union

#16

33-41

-8

H01/03

Liga A

Regatas

33-45

-12

H03/03

Liga A

Argentino

34-33

A07/03

Liga A

Penarol

39-56

-17

A10/03

Liga A

76.3Avg total

35.8Scored

40.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	39.0	76.5	-1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.6	37.0	77.6	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.5	40.9	75.4	-6.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.8	40.5	76.3	-4.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.2	44.2	77.4	-11.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	34.2	43.6	77.8	-9.4	20%	-
vs Similar (20)	39.4	38.4	77.8	+1.0	70%	-
vs Weaker (4)	32.8	35.5	68.2	-2.8	25%	-

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	17.1	35.8	+1.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.8	16.7	37.5	+4.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.2	17.4	34.6	-0.1	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	18.7	36.3	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.0	37.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.3	16.0	38.3	+6.3	100%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.6	17.7	37.3	+1.9	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	17.6	16.9	34.5	+0.8	65%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.1	41.3	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	19.9	40.3	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.0	20.4	42.4	+1.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	19.8	41.9	+2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.0	40.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	20.6	22.4	43.0	-1.8	40%	-
vs Similar (20)	20.6	20.1	40.7	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	25.0	17.0	42.0	+8.0	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	18.8	38.9	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.9	17.4	40.3	+5.5	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.9	19.9	37.8	-2.1	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	19.1	40.7	+2.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	17.6	37.0	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.7	19.7	40.3	+1.0	67%	-
vs Similar (10)	16.7	19.9	36.6	-3.2	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.9	18.1	40.0	+3.9	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	21.0	42.1	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	20.2	40.4	+0.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	21.7	43.9	+0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	20.4	39.7	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.8	43.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	24.8	20.8	45.6	+4.0	80%	-
vs Similar (20)	20.7	21.6	42.3	-0.9	40%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.0	18.5	37.5	+0.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	35.9	74.7	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	43.7	34.1	77.8	+9.6	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	35.1	37.3	72.4	-2.2	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	37.8	77.0	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	36.6	74.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	43.0	35.7	78.7	+7.3	100%	-
vs Similar (10)	36.3	37.6	73.9	-1.3	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	39.6	34.9	74.5	+4.6	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	41.1	83.5	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.6	40.1	80.7	+0.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.1	42.1	86.3	+2.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	40.2	81.6	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	41.8	83.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	45.4	43.2	88.6	+2.2	60%	-
vs Similar (20)	41.4	41.7	83.1	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	44.0	35.5	79.5	+8.5	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Boca Juniors wins

Libertad wins

Date	Game	Score
14/01/14	Libertad v Boca Juniors	86-67
08/03/13	Boca Juniors v Libertad	98-82
19/12/12	Libertad v Boca Juniors	91-97 OT
26/02/12	Boca Juniors v Libertad	78-75
17/12/11	Libertad v Boca Juniors	96-82
26/03/11	Libertad v Boca Juniors	94-55
29/01/11	Boca Juniors v Libertad	74-80

Boca Juniorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/03/14	A	Atenas	74-82
08/03/14	A	Quimsa	80-66
02/03/14	H	Penarol	77-72
27/02/14	H	Argentino	73-68
22/02/14	A	Quilmes	70-65
20/02/14	A	Weber Bahia	83-75 OT
16/02/14	H	Regatas	82-76
13/02/14	H	La Union	94-77
10/02/14	A	Estudiantes	57-62
08/02/14	A	Sionista	79-78

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/03/14	A	Penarol	84-108
07/03/14	A	Argentino	65-73
03/03/14	H	Regatas	64-81
01/03/14	H	La Union	94-87 OT
24/02/14	A	Gimnasia	83-91
22/02/14	A	Lanus	80-61
17/02/14	H	Atenas	75-82
15/02/14	H	Quimsa	82-70
10/02/14	A	Weber Bahia	85-92
08/02/14	A	Quilmes	77-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca Juniors

Liga A 2013-14

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	65%
Home	WWWWW	85%
Away	LWWWL	45%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	40	20	20
Win %	65%	85%	45%
Points / game	75.7	79.4	71.9
Allowed / game	70.7	68.9	72.4
Point differential	+5.0	+10.5	-0.5
Avg total	146.3	148.3	144.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	28%	40%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (16)	57% (7)	44% (9)
Overtime %	10%	5%	15%

Libertad

Liga A 2013-14

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	52%
Home	WWLWL	80%
Away	LWLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	40	20	20
Win %	52%	80%	25%
Points / game	78.5	82.3	74.7
Allowed / game	77.9	75.2	80.5
Point differential	+0.6	+7.0	-5.8
Avg total	156.4	157.6	155.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	45%	5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	56% (9)	75% (4)	40% (5)
Overtime %	2%	5%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Regatas	37	31	6	84%	84.4	74.4	+10.0
2	Penarol	41	31	10	76%	84.7	77.8	+6.9
3	Boca Juniors	40	26	14	65%	75.7	70.7	+5.0
4	Gimnasia	39	23	16	59%	77.8	76.3	+1.5
5	Sionista	40	21	19	52%	76.5	75.4	+1.0
6	Libertad	40	21	19	52%	78.5	77.9	+0.6
7	Atenas	40	21	19	52%	79.4	80.0	-0.6
8	Quilmes	40	20	20	50%	79.0	80.7	-1.8
9	Obras Sanitarias	41	20	21	49%	73.5	74.0	-0.4
10	Argentino	40	19	21	48%	75.2	76.2	-1.0
11	Quimsa	40	18	22	45%	77.9	79.5	-1.7
12	Olimpico	41	18	23	44%	79.8	81.4	-1.6
13	Estudiantes	39	17	22	44%	72.7	73.8	-1.1
14	Weber Bahia	41	16	25	39%	75.6	78.4	-2.8
15	Lanus	40	9	31	22%	73.4	79.6	-6.2
16	La Union	41	9	32	22%	77.3	84.3	-7.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Boca Juniors	21	15	20	20	12	88
Libertad	31	11	19	15	14	90

← all games of the day

Boca Juniors vs Libertad Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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