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Larisa vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 76-86
9-24 24-24 20-20 23-18
Position#11
Record3-8
FormWLLWL
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game82.6
vs
Position#2
Record7-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game72.6
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 12
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Larisa v AEK Athens
12 Feb 2022
LAR82
AAT65
30 Jan 2021
LAR76
AAT75
22 Dec 2019
LAR76
AAT86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Larisa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LarisaGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAOK
#14
L
61-87
61
87
-26
A05/10
Basket League
Aris
#12
W
92-78
92
78
+14
H13/10
Basket League
Iraklis
#7
L
74-87
74
87
-13
H19/10
Basket League
Ionikos
#10
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A26/10
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
68-110
68
110
-42
H03/11
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#9
W
83-80
83
80
+3
A16/11
Basket League
Ifaistos Limnou
#5
L
58-63
58
63
-5
H23/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
63-101
63
101
-38
A30/11
Basket League
Rethymno
#8
W
82-65
82
65
+17
H07/12
Basket League
Panionios
#13
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A14/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
5-19
17-20
21-23
18-25
21-24
23-21
27-21
21-12
21-28
19-17
19-15
15-27
16-18
16-13
18-13
14-24
15-29
21-25
16-31
16-25
19-27
17-13
22-14
25-26
18-13
7-18
15-16
18-16
18-27
14-24
18-26
13-24
27-13
25-18
13-20
17-14
16-21
19-16
13-27
23-10
152.9Avg total
71.6Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)71.482.6154.0-11.327%
Season at home (6)73.883.2157.0-9.333%
Season away (5)68.482.0150.4-13.620%
Last 10 (10)71.681.3152.9-9.730%
Last 5 (5)71.476.6148.0-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)69.886.1155.9-16.425%
vs Similar (2)78.073.0151.0+5.050%
vs Weaker (1)71.074.0145.0-3.00%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#9
W
93-69
93
69
+24
H06/10
Basket League
Ifaistos Limnou
#5
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A12/10
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
90-91 OT
90
91
-1
H19/10
Basket League
Rethymno
#8
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A27/10
Basket League
Panionios
#13
W
91-61
91
61
+30
H02/11
Basket League
Iraklis
#7
W
77-68
77
68
+9
A16/11
Basket League
Lavrio
#6
W
73-60
73
60
+13
A23/11
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H30/11
Basket League
PAOK
#14
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A07/12
Basket League
Aris
#12
W
92-79
92
79
+13
H13/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
25-15
26-22
22-18
22-18
15-14
19-16
12-24
19-20
20-10
23-30
17-19
11-20
25-23
12-18
19-14
24-11
29-20
19-19
19-11
24-20
22-22
17-10
14-16
16-12
21-14
13-12
23-22
25-22
15-22
21-11
12-13
20-18
17-13
18-22
16-14
19-15
21-23
26-16
26-25
150.5Avg total
79.5Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.572.6151.1+5.864%
Season at home (5)87.873.6161.4+14.280%
Season away (6)70.771.8142.5-1.250%
Last 10 (10)79.571.0150.5+8.570%
Last 5 (5)77.268.4145.6+8.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.089.7158.7-20.70%
vs Similar (5)79.273.4152.6+5.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)82.071.1153.1+10.982%
This opponent (Larisa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +0.4+0.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +0.4+0.4
LarisaAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LarisaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAOK
#14
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A05/10
Basket League
Aris
#12
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H13/10
Basket League
Iraklis
#7
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H19/10
Basket League
Ionikos
#10
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A26/10
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H03/11
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#9
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A16/11
Basket League
Ifaistos Limnou
#5
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H23/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A30/11
Basket League
Rethymno
#8
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H07/12
Basket League
Panionios
#13
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A14/12
Basket League
75.8Avg total
35.4Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (11)35.141.276.3-6.118%-
Last 30 at home (6)38.242.580.7-4.317%-
Last 30 away (5)31.439.671.0-8.220%-
Last 10 (10)35.440.475.8-5.020%-
Last 5 (5)36.038.074.0-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)34.442.576.9-8.112%-
vs Similar (2)38.038.076.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker (1)35.037.072.0-2.00%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#9
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H06/10
Basket League
Ifaistos Limnou
#5
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A12/10
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H19/10
Basket League
Rethymno
#8
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A27/10
Basket League
Panionios
#13
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H02/11
Basket League
Iraklis
#7
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A16/11
Basket League
Lavrio
#6
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A23/11
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H30/11
Basket League
PAOK
#14
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A07/12
Basket League
Aris
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H13/12
Basket League
75.6Avg total
41.0Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.735.876.6+4.977%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.234.775.9+6.681%-
Last 30 away (14)40.137.177.3+3.071%-
Last 10 (10)41.034.675.6+6.480%-
Last 5 (5)40.036.276.2+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.747.383.0-11.70%-
vs Similar (5)40.830.671.4+10.2100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)41.435.576.9+6.082%-
This opponent (Larisa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Larisa wins
0
AEK Athens wins
No previous meetings.
Larisalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/19APanionios71-74
07/12/19HRethymno82-65
30/11/19APeristeri63-101
23/11/19HIfaistos Limnou58-63
16/11/19AKolossos Rhodes83-80
03/11/19HPanathinaikos68-110
26/10/19AIonikos64-68
19/10/19HIraklis74-87
13/10/19HAris92-78
05/10/19APAOK61-87
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/19HAris92-79
07/12/19APAOK71-67
30/11/19HPromitheas73-68
23/11/19ALavrio73-60
16/11/19AIraklis77-68
02/11/19HPanionios91-61
27/10/19ARethymno67-75
19/10/19HPeristeri90-91 OT
12/10/19AIfaistos Limnou68-72
06/10/19HKolossos Rhodes93-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Larisa
Basket League 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL27%
HomeWLLLW33%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %27%33%20%
Points / game71.473.868.4
Allowed / game82.683.282.0
Point differential-11.3-9.3-13.6
Avg total154.0157.0150.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Athens
Basket League 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW64%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%80%50%
Points / game78.587.870.7
Allowed / game72.673.671.8
Point differential+5.8+14.2-1.2
Avg total151.1161.4142.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%60%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %9%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos1211192%101.975.8+26.1
2 Promitheas129375%77.375.1+2.2
3 Peristeri128467%82.474.4+8.0
4 AEK Athens117464%78.572.6+5.8
5 Ifaistos Limnou127558%72.469.5+2.9
6 Ionikos127558%83.281.4+1.8
7 Lavrio126650%74.282.0-7.8
8 Kolossos Rhodes125742%80.980.8+0.2
9 Iraklis125742%78.080.5-2.5
10 Panionios125742%75.885.9-10.2
11 Rethymno124833%67.675.0-7.4
12 Larisa113827%71.482.6-11.3
13 PAOK123925%80.381.7-1.3
14 Aris123925%75.582.5-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Larisa924202376
AEK Athens2424201886
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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