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Larisa vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 82-65
15-16 20-15 21-19 26-15
Position#6
Record4-9
FormWWWLL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Position#5
Record6-7
FormLWLWL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game81.2
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 15
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Larisa v AEK Athens
12 Feb 2022
LAR82
AAT65
30 Jan 2021
LAR76
AAT75
22 Dec 2019
LAR76
AAT86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Larisa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LarisaGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarisa
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#4
L
77-91
77
91
-14
70avg 65
A23/10
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
L
55-70
55
70
-15
43avg 65
H31/10
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
L
63-78
63
78
-15
58avg 65
H14/11
Basket League
PAOK
#8
L
71-82
71
82
-11
no box
A21/11
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
70-101
70
101
-31
60avg 65
H06/12
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
W
82-74
82
74
+8
79avg 65
A18/12
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
84-81
84
81
+3
75avg 65
H15/01
Basket League
Ionikos
#13
W
89-84
89
84
+5
86avg 65
A22/01
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
L
75-93
75
93
-18
62avg 65
A29/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
86-90
86
90
-4
79avg 65
H06/02
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
18-22
20-27
20-22
19-7
9-23
14-12
13-28
16-22
14-16
18-16
15-24
9-22
17-20
20-21
25-19
18-23
17-19
18-35
17-24
18-18
17-15
18-17
29-24
22-19
23-22
21-15
18-25
21-23
23-20
27-11
18-30
16-21
22-22
28-22
9-28
29-16
21-21
16-19
20-34
159.6Avg total
75.2Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)74.582.8157.3-8.431%
Season at home (7)72.181.7153.9-9.629%
Season away (6)77.284.2161.3-7.033%
Last 10 (10)75.284.4159.6-9.230%
Last 5 (5)83.284.4167.6-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)75.584.5160.0-8.927%
vs Similar ◀ (14)71.877.8149.6-6.029%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#32
W
88-79
88
79
+9
73avg 70
H15/11
Champions League
Lavrio
#10
W
82-81
82
81
+1
79avg 70
A20/11
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
81-77
81
77
+4
69avg 70
H04/12
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
L
74-86
74
86
-12
62avg 70
A11/12
Basket League
Szombathely
#21
L
83-89
83
89
-6
71avg 70
H14/12
Champions League
Treviso
#14
L
69-81
69
81
-12
62avg 70
A22/12
Champions League
Peristeri
#16
W
90-77
90
77
+13
no box
H26/12
Greek Cup
Peristeri
#9
L
81-101
81
101
-20
68avg 70
A16/01
Basket League
PAOK
#8
W
72-67
72
67
+5
67avg 70
H22/01
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
74-80
74
80
-6
73avg 70
H29/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
15-12
18-21
30-21
28-16
16-25
24-18
14-22
25-22
26-21
16-20
14-14
27-22
18-20
17-27
12-17
15-26
23-16
23-23
22-24
12-19
17-26
24-14
16-22
15-21
33-24
20-20
22-12
25-28
14-20
24-28
18-25
21-21
15-20
25-10
11-16
15-12
20-15
23-23
16-30
161.2Avg total
79.4Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)75.281.2156.3-6.046%
Season at home (6)75.773.5149.2+2.267%
Season away (7)74.787.7162.4-13.029%
Last 10 (10)79.481.8161.2-2.450%
Last 5 (5)77.281.2158.4-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)77.685.3162.9-7.723%
vs Similar ◀ (15)79.380.7160.0-1.353%
vs Weaker (1)86.067.0153.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Larisa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -7.4-7.4Q4: -2.8-2.8
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -7.4-7.4Q4: -2.8-2.8
LarisaAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LarisaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#4
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A23/10
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H31/10
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H14/11
Basket League
PAOK
#8
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A21/11
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H06/12
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A18/12
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H15/01
Basket League
Ionikos
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A22/01
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A29/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H06/02
Basket League
75.9Avg total
36.8Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.538.575.0-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.139.277.4-1.144%-
Last 30 away (14)34.637.772.4-3.136%-
Last 10 (10)36.839.175.9-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)42.439.481.8+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)38.141.379.4-3.340%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.836.672.4-0.943%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#32
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H15/11
Champions League
Lavrio
#10
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A20/11
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H04/12
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A11/12
Basket League
Szombathely
#21
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H14/12
Champions League
Treviso
#14
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A22/12
Champions League
Peristeri
#16
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H26/12
Greek Cup
Peristeri
#9
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A16/01
Basket League
PAOK
#8
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H22/01
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H29/01
Basket League
81.6Avg total
40.5Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.141.281.3-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.640.081.6+1.664%-
Last 30 away (16)38.842.381.1-3.631%-
Last 10 (10)40.541.181.6-0.660%-
Last 5 (5)37.441.278.6-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.343.380.6-6.023%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)41.340.181.3+1.260%-
vs Weaker (1)50.028.078.0+22.0100%-
This opponent (Larisa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Larisatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Larisa: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.016.5
47.1%
51.3%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.17.7
33.3%
34.4%23.1
🏀 Free throws25.118.1
72.1%
72.2%18.1
They take 58.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.916.3
51.1%
51.3%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.2
33.6%
34.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws23.916.7
69.9%
72.2%16.7
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Feb 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Larisa
LLWWWLLLLL
AEK Athens
LWLWLLLWWW
#6
League position
#5
-12.5
Net rating
-8.5
100.7
Offensive rating
105.1
113.1
Defensive rating
113.6
48.3%
Effective FG%
50.8%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
22.3%
Turnover %
17.3%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.40
33.3%
3-point %
33.6%
60.7%
Assist %
62.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.7 · 105.1Defence113.1 · 113.6Shooting48.3% · 50.8%3-point %33.3% · 33.6%Ball care22.3% · 17.3%Off. rebounds32.6% · 25.9%Free throws0.43 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Larisa   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Larisa wins
3
AEK Athens wins
DateGameScore
09/10/21AEK Athens v Larisa81-69
30/01/21Larisa v AEK Athens76-75
31/10/20AEK Athens v Larisa87-68
22/12/19Larisa v AEK Athens76-86
Larisalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/22HPanathinaikos86-90
29/01/22AKolossos Rhodes75-93
22/01/22AIonikos89-84
15/01/22HAris84-81
18/12/21AApollon Patras82-74
06/12/21HOlympiacos70-101
21/11/21APAOK71-82
14/11/21HPeristeri63-78
31/10/21HIraklis55-70
23/10/21APromitheas77-91
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/22HOlympiacos74-80
22/01/22HPAOK72-67
16/01/22APeristeri81-101
26/12/21HPeristeri90-77
22/12/21ATreviso69-81
14/12/21HSzombathely83-89
11/12/21AIraklis74-86
04/12/21HPromitheas81-77
20/11/21ALavrio82-81
15/11/21HVEF Riga88-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Larisa
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL31%
HomeLLLWL29%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %31%29%33%
Points / game74.572.177.2
Allowed / game82.881.784.2
Point differential-8.4-9.6-7.0
Avg total157.3153.9161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %8%14%0%
AEK Athens
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL46%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayWLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%67%29%
Points / game75.275.774.7
Allowed / game81.273.587.7
Point differential-6.0+2.2-13.0
Avg total156.3149.2162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)75% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos1312192%94.874.1+20.7
2 Panathinaikos1211192%88.071.4+16.6
3 Promitheas139469%79.677.9+1.7
4 Kolossos Rhodes149564%76.974.4+2.6
5 Peristeri147750%76.376.9-0.6
6 PAOK136746%76.377.2-0.8
7 AEK Athens136746%75.281.2-6.0
8 Aris135838%77.278.5-1.3
9 Lavrio135838%72.576.5-4.1
10 Apollon Patras145936%72.779.9-7.1
11 Larisa134931%74.582.8-8.4
12 Iraklis123925%76.679.5-2.9
13 Ionikos1331023%74.883.5-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Larisa1520212682
AEK Athens1615191565
← all games of the day
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