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Larisa vs PAOK Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Apr 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 74-70
17-18 21-15 19-15 17-22
Position#6
Record8-9
FormLWWWW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game80.9
vs
Position#8
Record7-10
FormWWLLL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game76.8
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 21
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Larisa v PAOK
09 Apr 2022
LAR74
PAK70
28 Feb 2021
LAR88
PAK91
11 Jan 2020
LAR95
PAK85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Larisa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
PAOK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LarisaGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarisa
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
70-101
70
101
-31
60avg 69
H06/12
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
W
82-74
82
74
+8
79avg 69
A18/12
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
84-81
84
81
+3
75avg 69
H15/01
Basket League
Ionikos
#13
W
89-84
89
84
+5
86avg 69
A22/01
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
L
75-93
75
93
-18
62avg 69
A29/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
86-90
86
90
-4
79avg 69
H06/02
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
W
82-65
82
65
+17
78avg 69
H12/02
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
W
91-77
91
77
+14
92avg 69
A06/03
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
W
90-85
90
85
+5
85avg 69
A19/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
77-71
77
71
+6
72avg 69
A03/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
17-19
18-35
17-24
18-18
17-15
18-17
29-24
22-19
23-22
21-15
18-25
21-23
23-20
27-11
18-30
16-21
22-22
28-22
9-28
29-16
21-21
16-19
20-34
15-16
20-15
21-19
26-15
25-22
14-21
29-15
23-19
19-28
31-17
23-17
17-23
14-26
21-18
21-11
21-16
164.7Avg total
82.6Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)76.980.9157.8-3.947%
Season at home (8)73.479.6153.0-6.238%
Season away (9)80.182.0162.1-1.956%
Last 10 (10)82.682.1164.7+0.570%
Last 5 (5)85.277.6162.8+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)75.185.2160.2-10.125%
vs Similar (17)75.177.3152.4-2.247%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#16
L
79-80
79
80
-1
70avg 67
H12/01
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
W
86-80
86
80
+6
no box
H15/01
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
L
67-72
67
72
-5
58avg 67
A22/01
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
W
61-59
61
59
+2
53avg 67
A30/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#8
L
86-100
86
100
-14
no box
A05/02
Greek Cup
Ionikos
#13
W
69-66
69
66
+3
no box
A09/02
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
W
84-73
84
73
+11
77avg 67
A05/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
L
67-68
67
68
-1
55avg 67
A19/03
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
67-77
67
77
-10
55avg 67
A26/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
73-84
73
84
-11
60avg 67
H04/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
19-14
23-15
22-28
26-15
18-24
18-22
24-19
21-21
20-15
10-25
16-11
15-21
16-11
13-16
17-11
18-31
17-29
27-18
24-22
15-19
16-21
21-16
17-10
18-19
21-13
20-22
25-19
21-18
9-23
17-16
20-11
16-22
15-22
17-19
19-14
17-21
18-24
14-19
24-20
149.8Avg total
73.9Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)75.576.8152.2-1.341%
Season at home (8)79.078.1157.1+0.950%
Season away (9)72.375.6147.9-3.233%
Last 10 (10)73.975.9149.8-2.040%
Last 5 (5)72.073.6145.6-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.283.0157.2-8.815%
vs Similar (5)83.476.6160.0+6.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)76.074.4150.4+1.655%
This opponent (Larisa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: +4.3+4.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: +4.3+4.3
LarisaPAOK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LarisaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H06/12
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A18/12
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H15/01
Basket League
Ionikos
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A22/01
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A29/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H06/02
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H12/02
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A06/03
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A19/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A03/04
Basket League
80.8Avg total
40.6Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.838.575.3-1.843%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.137.575.6+0.657%-
Last 30 away (16)35.639.475.1-3.831%-
Last 10 (10)40.640.280.8+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)41.840.081.8+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.240.578.8-2.250%-
vs Similar (17)36.538.174.6-1.541%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#16
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H12/01
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H15/01
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A22/01
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A30/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#8
L
35-60
35
60
-25
A05/02
Greek Cup
Ionikos
#13
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A09/02
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A05/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A19/03
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A26/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H04/04
Basket League
75.7Avg total
35.1Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.340.577.8-3.230%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.537.475.8+1.138%-
Last 30 away (17)36.442.979.4-6.524%-
Last 10 (10)35.140.675.7-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)33.240.473.6-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.242.277.4-7.115%-
vs Similar (5)42.237.679.8+4.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)37.838.175.9-0.345%-
This opponent (Larisa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Larisatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Larisa: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.3
49.3%
51.3%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.98.2
39.2%
34.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws27.820.2
72.7%
72.2%20.2
They take 58.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 70.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.416.3
46.0%
51.3%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.7
33.3%
34.4%26.1
🏀 Free throws15.712.2
77.7%
72.2%12.2
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Apr 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Larisa
WWWWLLWWWL
PAOK
LLLWWLWLWL
#6
League position
#8
+0.1
Net rating
-5.2
109.7
Offensive rating
102.1
109.5
Defensive rating
107.3
52.8%
Effective FG%
47.7%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
22.2%
Turnover %
15.9%
36.0%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.48
Free-throw rate
0.26
39.2%
3-point %
33.3%
60.4%
Assist %
58.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.7 · 102.1Defence109.5 · 107.3Shooting52.8% · 47.7%3-point %39.2% · 33.3%Ball care22.2% · 15.9%Off. rebounds36.0% · 26.3%Free throws0.48 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Larisa   ■ PAOK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Larisa wins
4
PAOK wins
DateGameScore
21/11/21PAOK v Larisa82-71
28/02/21Larisa v PAOK88-91 OT
09/12/20PAOK v Larisa91-93
07/10/20PAOK v Larisa93-71
11/01/20Larisa v PAOK95-85
05/10/19PAOK v Larisa87-61
Larisalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/22APeristeri77-71
19/03/22AIraklis90-85
06/03/22ALavrio91-77
12/02/22HAEK Athens82-65
06/02/22HPanathinaikos86-90
29/01/22AKolossos Rhodes75-93
22/01/22AIonikos89-84
15/01/22HAris84-81
18/12/21AApollon Patras82-74
06/12/21HOlympiacos70-101
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/22HOlympiacos73-84
26/03/22APanathinaikos67-77
19/03/22APeristeri67-68
05/03/22AIraklis84-73
09/02/22AIonikos69-66
05/02/22APromitheas86-100
30/01/22ALavrio61-59
22/01/22AAEK Athens67-72
15/01/22HKolossos Rhodes86-80
12/01/22HStrasbourg79-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Larisa
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW47%
HomeLLWLW38%
AwayWLWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %47%38%56%
Points / game76.973.480.1
Allowed / game80.979.682.0
Point differential-3.9-6.2-1.9
Avg total157.8153.0162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %6%12%0%
PAOK
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL41%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayWWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %41%50%33%
Points / game75.579.072.3
Allowed / game76.878.175.6
Point differential-1.3+0.9-3.2
Avg total152.2157.1147.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos1817194%94.772.8+21.8
2 Panathinaikos1817194%84.368.5+15.8
3 Promitheas1611569%79.877.1+2.7
4 Kolossos Rhodes1810856%75.874.7+1.1
5 AEK Athens1991047%74.680.2-5.5
6 Larisa178947%76.980.9-3.9
7 Peristeri1981142%74.877.6-2.8
8 PAOK1771041%75.576.8-1.3
9 Aris2081240%76.578.3-1.8
10 Lavrio1871139%72.178.2-6.1
11 Apollon Patras1971237%73.179.2-6.1
12 Iraklis1851328%77.081.5-4.5
13 Ionikos1941521%75.683.6-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Larisa1721191774
PAOK1815152270
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