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Larisa vs Promitheas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 Jun 2022
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 76-94
25-16 20-18 13-26 18-34
Position#6
Record18-16
FormWLWWL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game80.9
vs
Position#4
Record15-17
FormLLLLW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game81.7
GreeceBasket LeagueBasket League - 3rd place
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Larisa v Promitheas
21 Jun 2022
LAR76
PRO94
15 Jun 2022
LAR88
PRO84
11 May 2022
LAR84
PRO77
06 Jan 2021
LAR85
PRO81
28 Sep 2019
LAR69
PRO96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Larisa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Promitheas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LarisaGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarisa
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
W
71-63
71
63
+8
66avg 71
A22/05
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
W
83-82 OT
83
82
+1
no box
H24/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
77-87
77
87
-10
75avg 71
A29/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
84-77
84
77
+7
82avg 71
H31/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
82-94
82
94
-12
72avg 71
A03/06
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
74-62
74
62
+12
69avg 71
H05/06
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
43-89
43
89
-46
24avg 71
A08/06
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
89-78
89
78
+11
87avg 71
A12/06
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
88-84
88
84
+4
86avg 71
H15/06
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
78-83
78
83
-5
78avg 71
A18/06
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-28
12-8
19-17
21-10
14-20
18-15
22-24
18-13
25-20
14-29
23-21
15-17
26-13
24-25
12-19
22-20
17-28
16-23
20-26
29-17
19-11
10-19
23-20
22-12
12-28
11-18
12-27
8-16
32-10
16-17
15-22
26-29
19-36
26-17
28-22
15-9
13-21
25-19
24-16
16-27
156.8Avg total
76.9Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)77.280.9158.1-3.753%
Season at home (16)77.777.9155.6-0.269%
Season away (18)76.883.6160.4-6.839%
Last 10 (10)76.979.9156.8-3.060%
Last 5 (5)74.479.2153.6-4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)74.484.4158.7-10.036%
vs Similar ◀ (16)80.777.9158.6+2.875%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Promitheas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PromitheasGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPromitheas
Date
Competition
Iraklis
#12
W
78-69
78
69
+9
66avg 69
H07/05
Basket League
Larisa
#6
L
77-84
77
84
-7
69avg 69
A11/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
W
95-82
95
82
+13
96avg 69
A23/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
W
77-75 OT
77
75
+2
no box
H25/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
73-116
73
116
-43
59avg 69
A30/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
72-102
72
102
-30
66avg 69
H01/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
69-106
69
106
-37
no box
A04/06
Basket League
Larisa
#6
L
78-89
78
89
-11
70avg 69
H12/06
Basket League
Larisa
#6
L
84-88
84
88
-4
76avg 69
A15/06
Basket League
Larisa
#6
W
83-78
83
78
+5
79avg 69
H18/06
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
26-15
21-18
14-17
16-19
14-25
22-17
25-23
25-22
19-20
25-16
26-24
20-15
19-14
18-19
8-17
19-24
13-29
14-36
27-27
18-20
13-26
22-29
19-27
19-26
14-24
20-30
16-26
10-32
17-16
22-15
29-26
36-19
17-26
22-28
9-15
21-13
19-25
16-24
27-16
167.5Avg total
78.6Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)77.881.7159.4-3.947%
Season at home (16)78.078.2156.2-0.262%
Season away (16)77.585.1162.6-7.631%
Last 10 (10)78.688.9167.5-10.340%
Last 5 (5)77.292.6169.8-15.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)71.488.7160.1-17.314%
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.279.9158.1-1.842%
vs Weaker (3)83.378.0161.3+5.367%
This opponent (Larisa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -1.8-1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -1.8-1.8
LarisaPromitheas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LarisaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A22/05
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H24/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A29/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H31/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A03/06
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H05/06
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
23-46
23
46
-23
A08/06
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
48-27
48
27
+21
A12/06
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H15/06
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A18/06
Basket League
77.3Avg total
36.8Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.040.178.1-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.137.376.4+1.850%-
Last 30 away (16)37.142.679.6-5.525%-
Last 10 (10)36.840.577.3-3.720%-
Last 5 (5)36.639.275.8-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.941.277.1-5.321%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)39.839.178.9+0.750%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Promitheas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PromitheasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iraklis
#12
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H07/05
Basket League
Larisa
#6
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A11/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A23/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H25/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A30/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H01/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A04/06
Basket League
Larisa
#6
L
27-48
27
48
-21
H12/06
Basket League
Larisa
#6
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A15/06
Basket League
Larisa
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H18/06
Basket League
80.1Avg total
37.2Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.940.978.8-2.943%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.138.076.1+0.159%-
Last 30 away (13)37.744.682.3-6.923%-
Last 10 (10)37.242.980.1-5.750%-
Last 5 (5)36.845.482.2-8.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)34.842.777.5-7.921%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.839.176.8-1.358%-
vs Weaker (3)46.041.387.3+4.767%-
This opponent (Larisa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Larisatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Larisa: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.318.0
49.6%
51.3%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.5
35.7%
34.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws16.811.7
69.6%
72.2%11.7
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Promitheastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Promitheas: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.120.1
54.2%
51.3%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.4
34.1%
34.4%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.311.4
62.3%
72.2%11.4
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jun 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Larisa
LWWLWLWLWW
Promitheas
WLLLLLWWLW
#6
League position
#4
-4.1
Net rating
-15.0
101.5
Offensive rating
102.6
105.7
Defensive rating
117.6
51.3%
Effective FG%
53.0%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
59.4%
22.3%
Turnover %
17.3%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
21.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.7%
3-point %
34.1%
62.5%
Assist %
68.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.5 · 102.6Defence105.7 · 117.6Shooting51.3% · 53.0%3-point %35.7% · 34.1%Ball care22.3% · 17.3%Off. rebounds33.1% · 21.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Larisa   ■ Promitheas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Larisa wins
4
Promitheas wins
DateGameScore
18/06/22Promitheas v Larisa83-78
15/06/22Larisa v Promitheas88-84
12/06/22Promitheas v Larisa78-89
11/05/22Larisa v Promitheas84-77
23/10/21Promitheas v Larisa91-77
06/02/21Promitheas v Larisa81-63
06/01/21Larisa v Promitheas85-81
04/01/20Promitheas v Larisa62-76
28/09/19Larisa v Promitheas69-96
Larisalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/06/22APromitheas78-83
15/06/22HPromitheas88-84
12/06/22APromitheas89-78
08/06/22APanathinaikos43-89
05/06/22HPanathinaikos74-62
03/06/22APanathinaikos82-94
31/05/22HPanathinaikos84-77
29/05/22APanathinaikos77-87
24/05/22HKolossos Rhodes83-82 OT
22/05/22AKolossos Rhodes71-63
Promitheaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/06/22HLarisa83-78
15/06/22ALarisa84-88
12/06/22HLarisa78-89
04/06/22AOlympiacos69-106
01/06/22HOlympiacos72-102
30/05/22AOlympiacos73-116
25/05/22HAEK Athens77-75 OT
23/05/22AAEK Athens95-82
11/05/22ALarisa77-84
07/05/22HIraklis78-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Larisa
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL53%
HomeWWWWW69%
AwayLLLWL39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341618
Win %53%69%39%
Points / game77.277.776.8
Allowed / game80.977.983.6
Point differential-3.7-0.2-6.8
Avg total158.1155.6160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)86% (7)67% (3)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Promitheas
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW47%
HomeWWLLW62%
AwayLWLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %47%62%31%
Points / game77.878.077.5
Allowed / game81.778.285.1
Point differential-3.9-0.2-7.6
Avg total159.4156.2162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%19%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)80% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos3231197%92.671.5+21.1
2 Panathinaikos3427779%82.770.4+12.4
3 Kolossos Rhodes26151158%74.874.0+0.8
4 Larisa34181653%77.280.9-3.7
5 AEK Athens26131350%76.380.7-4.3
6 Promitheas32151747%77.881.7-3.9
7 Aris26111542%76.078.7-2.7
8 PAOK24101442%76.275.8+0.5
9 Peristeri26101638%74.378.2-3.9
10 Lavrio2481633%73.980.3-6.5
11 Apollon Patras2481633%72.879.7-6.9
12 Iraklis2461825%74.879.6-4.8
13 Ionikos2461825%76.582.8-6.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Larisa2520131876
Promitheas1618263494
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