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Larisa vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 31 May 2022
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 84-77
26-13 24-25 12-19 22-20
Position#6
Record14-13
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game80.9
vs
Position#2
Record25-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game69.1
GreeceBasket LeagueBasket League - Semi-finals
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Larisa v Panathinaikos
05 Jun 2022
LAR74
PAO62
31 May 2022
LAR84
PAO77
06 Feb 2022
LAR86
PAO90
24 Jan 2021
LAR89
PAO98
03 Nov 2019
LAR68
PAO110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Larisa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LarisaGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarisa
Date
Competition
PAOK
#8
W
74-70
74
70
+4
64avg 70
H09/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
84-93
84
93
-9
73avg 70
A16/04
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
67-98
67
98
-31
55avg 70
A20/04
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
W
83-74
83
74
+9
85avg 70
H01/05
Basket League
Aris
#7
L
70-82
70
82
-12
57avg 70
A07/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
84-77
84
77
+7
82avg 70
H11/05
Basket League
Ionikos
#13
W
86-84
86
84
+2
85avg 70
H14/05
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
W
71-63
71
63
+8
66avg 70
A22/05
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
W
83-82 OT
83
82
+1
no box
H24/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
77-87
77
87
-10
75avg 70
A29/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
21-15
19-15
17-22
25-20
19-26
14-29
26-18
20-17
15-32
15-24
17-25
18-19
22-19
21-20
22-16
14-24
21-20
13-12
22-26
19-16
25-14
17-22
23-25
19-21
27-25
23-18
17-20
19-28
12-8
19-17
21-10
14-20
18-15
22-24
18-13
25-20
14-29
23-21
15-17
158.9Avg total
77.9Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)77.380.9158.2-3.652%
Season at home (13)76.778.8155.5-2.162%
Season away (14)77.982.9160.8-5.143%
Last 10 (10)77.981.0158.9-3.160%
Last 5 (5)80.278.6158.8+1.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)76.284.8160.9-8.633%
vs Similar (17)77.377.8155.1-0.559%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#13
W
62-59
62
59
+3
58avg 75
A08/04
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
62-68
62
68
-6
52avg 75
H11/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
W
91-82
91
82
+9
84avg 75
A17/04
Basket League
Larisa
#6
W
98-67
98
67
+31
89avg 75
H20/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
76-67
76
67
+9
70avg 75
A01/05
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
W
78-68
78
68
+10
77avg 75
H07/05
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
W
81-59
81
59
+22
79avg 75
A14/05
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
109-79
109
79
+30
114avg 75
H22/05
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
85-65
85
65
+20
92avg 75
A24/05
Basket League
Larisa
#6
W
87-77
87
77
+10
82avg 75
H29/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
16-12
6-17
18-10
13-15
21-19
16-18
12-16
17-25
28-20
26-15
20-22
17-20
32-15
24-15
25-17
16-12
18-17
22-24
20-14
27-22
17-14
26-8
8-24
20-19
21-22
18-9
22-9
34-13
18-11
28-25
29-30
23-16
25-12
17-16
20-21
20-25
29-14
21-23
17-15
152.0Avg total
82.9Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)84.669.1153.7+15.593%
Season at home (14)87.370.1157.4+17.293%
Season away (13)81.768.0149.7+13.792%
Last 10 (10)82.969.1152.0+13.890%
Last 5 (5)88.069.6157.6+18.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.881.0154.8-7.230%
vs Similar (4)79.079.8158.8-0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)83.868.4152.2+15.4100%
This opponent (Larisa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +6.9+6.9Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.3+1.3
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +6.9+6.9Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.3+1.3
LarisaPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LarisaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAOK
#8
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H09/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A16/04
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A20/04
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H01/05
Basket League
Aris
#7
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A07/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H11/05
Basket League
Ionikos
#13
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H14/05
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A22/05
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H24/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A29/05
Basket League
79.0Avg total
38.4Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.238.775.9-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.635.473.1+2.257%-
Last 30 away (16)36.841.678.4-4.825%-
Last 10 (10)38.440.679.0-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)38.439.277.6-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.840.878.5-3.033%-
vs Similar (17)37.638.275.8-0.547%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#13
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A08/04
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H11/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A17/04
Basket League
Larisa
#6
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H20/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A01/05
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H07/05
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A14/05
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
52-24
52
24
+28
H22/05
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
48-28
48
28
+20
A24/05
Basket League
Larisa
#6
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H29/05
Basket League
77.7Avg total
43.4Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.338.478.7+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.037.579.5+4.562%-
Last 30 away (14)38.439.477.9-1.036%-
Last 10 (10)43.434.377.7+9.170%-
Last 5 (5)46.833.680.4+13.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.241.980.1-3.740%-
vs Similar (4)40.542.282.8-1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)41.635.276.9+6.456%-
This opponent (Larisa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Larisatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Larisa: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.4
50.4%
51.3%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.4
33.9%
34.4%25.2
🏀 Free throws19.614.3
73.0%
72.2%14.3
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.220.0
55.2%
51.3%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.8
36.4%
34.4%29.4
🏀 Free throws15.612.5
80.1%
72.2%12.5
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 May 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Larisa
LWWWWLWLLW
Panathinaikos
WWWWWWWWLW
#6
League position
#2
-4.1
Net rating
+19.4
103.8
Offensive rating
116.9
107.9
Defensive rating
97.4
50.6%
Effective FG%
55.0%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
22.9%
Turnover %
15.9%
37.3%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.9%
3-point %
36.4%
59.3%
Assist %
64.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 116.9Defence107.9 · 97.4Shooting50.6% · 55.0%3-point %33.9% · 36.4%Ball care22.9% · 15.9%Off. rebounds37.3% · 32.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Larisa   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Larisa wins
7
Panathinaikos wins
DateGameScore
29/05/22Panathinaikos v Larisa87-77
20/04/22Panathinaikos v Larisa98-67
06/02/22Larisa v Panathinaikos86-90
24/01/21Larisa v Panathinaikos89-98
25/10/20Panathinaikos v Larisa69-60
29/02/20Panathinaikos v Larisa121-78
03/11/19Larisa v Panathinaikos68-110
Larisalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/05/22APanathinaikos77-87
24/05/22HKolossos Rhodes83-82 OT
22/05/22AKolossos Rhodes71-63
14/05/22HIonikos86-84
11/05/22HPromitheas84-77
07/05/22AAris70-82
01/05/22HApollon Patras83-74
20/04/22APanathinaikos67-98
16/04/22AOlympiacos84-93
09/04/22HPAOK74-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/05/22HLarisa87-77
24/05/22AAris85-65
22/05/22HAris109-79
14/05/22AIraklis81-59
07/05/22HApollon Patras78-68
01/05/22APromitheas76-67
20/04/22HLarisa98-67
17/04/22ALavrio91-82
11/04/22HOlympiacos62-68
08/04/22AFenerbahce62-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Larisa
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL52%
HomeWWWWW62%
AwayLLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %52%62%43%
Points / game77.376.777.9
Allowed / game80.978.882.9
Point differential-3.6-2.1-5.1
Avg total158.2155.5160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%8%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)83% (6)100% (2)
Overtime %7%15%0%
Panathinaikos
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW93%
HomeLWWWW93%
AwayWWWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %93%93%92%
Points / game84.687.381.7
Allowed / game69.170.168.0
Point differential+15.5+17.2+13.7
Avg total153.7157.4149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+74%93%54%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2726196%93.071.9+21.1
2 Panathinaikos2725293%84.669.1+15.5
3 Kolossos Rhodes26151158%74.874.0+0.8
4 Promitheas27141352%77.979.7-1.8
5 Larisa27141352%77.380.9-3.6
6 AEK Athens26131350%76.380.7-4.3
7 Aris26111542%76.078.7-2.7
8 PAOK24101442%76.275.8+0.5
9 Peristeri26101638%74.378.2-3.9
10 Lavrio2481633%73.980.3-6.5
11 Apollon Patras2481633%72.879.7-6.9
12 Iraklis2461825%74.879.6-4.8
13 Ionikos2461825%76.582.8-6.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Larisa2624122284
Panathinaikos1325192077
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