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Larisa vs Promitheas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 May 2022
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 84-77
19-16 25-14 17-22 23-25
Position#6
Record10-12
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game81.5
vs
Position#4
Record12-11
FormLLLLW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game78.0
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 17
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Larisa v Promitheas
21 Jun 2022
LAR76
PRO94
15 Jun 2022
LAR88
PRO84
11 May 2022
LAR84
PRO77
06 Jan 2021
LAR85
PRO81
28 Sep 2019
LAR69
PRO96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Larisa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Promitheas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LarisaGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarisa
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
L
86-90
86
90
-4
79avg 69
H06/02
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
W
82-65
82
65
+17
78avg 69
H12/02
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
W
91-77
91
77
+14
92avg 69
A06/03
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
W
90-85
90
85
+5
85avg 69
A19/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
77-71
77
71
+6
72avg 69
A03/04
Basket League
PAOK
#8
W
74-70
74
70
+4
64avg 69
H09/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
84-93
84
93
-9
73avg 69
A16/04
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
67-98
67
98
-31
55avg 69
A20/04
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
W
83-74
83
74
+9
85avg 69
H01/05
Basket League
Aris
#7
L
70-82
70
82
-12
57avg 69
A07/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-16
21-21
16-19
20-34
15-16
20-15
21-19
26-15
25-22
14-21
29-15
23-19
19-28
31-17
23-17
17-23
14-26
21-18
21-11
21-16
17-18
21-15
19-15
17-22
25-20
19-26
14-29
26-18
20-17
15-32
15-24
17-25
18-19
22-19
21-20
22-16
14-24
21-20
13-12
22-26
160.9Avg total
80.4Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)76.681.5158.1-4.845%
Season at home (10)74.478.1152.5-3.750%
Season away (12)78.584.2162.8-5.842%
Last 10 (10)80.480.5160.9-0.160%
Last 5 (5)75.683.4159.0-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.387.5161.8-13.318%
vs Similar ◀ (18)76.577.8154.3-1.350%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Promitheas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PromitheasGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPromitheas
Date
Competition
Venezia
#14
L
57-81
57
81
-24
46avg 69
A30/03
Eurocup
Ionikos
#13
W
88-84
88
84
+4
86avg 69
H02/04
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#8
L
67-88
67
88
-21
56avg 69
H06/04
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
L
61-68
61
68
-7
50avg 69
A10/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
66-85
66
85
-19
57avg 69
H14/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
L
85-89
85
89
-4
75avg 69
H17/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
L
82-90
82
90
-8
75avg 69
A20/04
Basket League
PAOK
#8
L
65-84
65
84
-19
53avg 69
A27/04
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
67-76
67
76
-9
57avg 69
H01/05
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
W
78-69
78
69
+9
66avg 69
H07/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-25
17-24
19-18
10-14
25-22
22-24
27-19
14-19
15-29
16-19
20-18
16-22
13-17
15-18
18-15
15-18
7-27
27-17
16-23
16-18
15-22
25-15
22-25
23-27
25-21
20-24
18-15
19-30
17-21
16-20
18-23
14-20
12-16
17-18
24-22
14-20
17-19
26-15
21-18
14-17
153.0Avg total
71.6Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)77.478.0155.4-0.652%
Season at home (12)78.275.7153.8+2.567%
Season away (11)76.580.5157.1-4.036%
Last 10 (10)71.681.4153.0-9.820%
Last 5 (5)75.481.6157.0-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)69.683.5153.1-13.912%
vs Similar ◀ (8)77.078.2155.2-1.238%
vs Weaker (4)82.276.2158.5+6.075%
This opponent (Larisa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -6.2-6.2Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -5.0-5.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -6.2-6.2Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -5.0-5.0
LarisaPromitheas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LarisaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H06/02
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H12/02
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A06/03
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A19/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A03/04
Basket League
PAOK
#8
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H09/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A16/04
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A20/04
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H01/05
Basket League
Aris
#7
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A07/05
Basket League
81.1Avg total
40.1Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.139.176.2-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.537.173.6-0.554%-
Last 30 away (17)37.540.778.2-3.229%-
Last 10 (10)40.141.081.1-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)38.442.080.4-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.542.080.5-3.536%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)37.138.375.3-1.244%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Promitheas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PromitheasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#14
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A30/03
Eurocup
Ionikos
#13
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H02/04
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#8
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H06/04
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A10/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H14/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H17/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A20/04
Basket League
PAOK
#8
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A27/04
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H01/05
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H07/05
Basket League
77.1Avg total
35.8Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.340.078.3-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.237.475.5+0.853%-
Last 30 away (13)38.443.581.8-5.123%-
Last 10 (10)35.841.377.1-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)38.038.276.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)35.640.275.8-4.529%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.439.477.8-1.050%-
vs Weaker (4)43.841.885.5+2.050%-
This opponent (Larisa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Larisatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Larisa: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.1
49.7%
51.3%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.37.8
36.6%
34.4%23.4
🏀 Free throws25.017.8
71.2%
72.2%17.8
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Promitheastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Promitheas: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.7
52.3%
51.3%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.56.8
28.9%
34.4%20.4
🏀 Free throws17.511.2
64.0%
72.2%11.2
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 May 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Larisa
LWLLWWWWWL
Promitheas
WLLLLLLLWL
#6
League position
#4
-0.4
Net rating
-13.8
107.4
Offensive rating
100.7
107.8
Defensive rating
114.5
51.6%
Effective FG%
48.9%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
22.1%
Turnover %
16.0%
36.2%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.6%
3-point %
28.9%
60.6%
Assist %
55.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 100.7Defence107.8 · 114.5Shooting51.6% · 48.9%3-point %36.6% · 28.9%Ball care22.1% · 16.0%Off. rebounds36.2% · 25.6%Free throws0.42 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Larisa   ■ Promitheas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Larisa wins
3
Promitheas wins
DateGameScore
23/10/21Promitheas v Larisa91-77
06/02/21Promitheas v Larisa81-63
06/01/21Larisa v Promitheas85-81
04/01/20Promitheas v Larisa62-76
28/09/19Larisa v Promitheas69-96
Larisalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/22AAris70-82
01/05/22HApollon Patras83-74
20/04/22APanathinaikos67-98
16/04/22AOlympiacos84-93
09/04/22HPAOK74-70
03/04/22APeristeri77-71
19/03/22AIraklis90-85
06/03/22ALavrio91-77
12/02/22HAEK Athens82-65
06/02/22HPanathinaikos86-90
Promitheaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/22HIraklis78-69
01/05/22HPanathinaikos67-76
27/04/22APAOK65-84
20/04/22ALavrio82-90
17/04/22HAEK Athens85-89
14/04/22HOlympiacos66-85
10/04/22AKolossos Rhodes61-68
06/04/22HCedevita Olimpija67-88
02/04/22HIonikos88-84
30/03/22AVenezia57-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Larisa
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL45%
HomeWLWWW50%
AwayWWLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %45%50%42%
Points / game76.674.478.5
Allowed / game81.578.184.2
Point differential-4.8-3.7-5.8
Avg total158.1152.5162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%10%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)75% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Promitheas
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW52%
HomeWLLLW67%
AwayWLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %52%67%36%
Points / game77.478.276.5
Allowed / game78.075.780.5
Point differential-0.6+2.5-4.0
Avg total155.4153.8157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%25%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2221195%92.572.8+19.8
2 Panathinaikos2321291%83.668.9+14.7
3 Kolossos Rhodes2315865%75.173.0+2.1
4 AEK Athens23131057%76.379.5-3.2
5 Promitheas23121152%77.478.0-0.6
6 Aris23111248%76.577.3-0.9
7 Larisa22101245%76.681.5-4.8
8 PAOK2391439%75.375.9-0.6
9 Peristeri2391439%74.777.5-2.8
10 Lavrio2381535%73.679.9-6.3
11 Apollon Patras2271532%73.079.4-6.4
12 Iraklis2361726%75.579.6-4.1
13 Ionikos2361726%76.182.7-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Larisa1925172384
Promitheas1614222577
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