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Latina vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 69-77
21-21 20-22 6-19 22-15
Position#24
Record8-15
FormLLWLW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game73.2
vs
Pistoia 🏆
Italy
Position#17
Record10-13
FormWLLLW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game75.8
ItalySerie A2Round 19
Other2020-21
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Latina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LatinaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#1
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H06/02
Serie A2
Eurobasket Roma
#8
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A10/02
Serie A2
Stella Azzurra
#27
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A14/03
Serie A2
Ferrara
#15
W
92-64
92
64
+28
H17/03
Serie A2
Ravenna
#10
W
81-67
81
67
+14
H21/03
Serie A2
Eurobasket Roma
#8
L
69-78
69
78
-9
H24/03
Serie A2
Forli
#4
L
62-68
62
68
-6
A28/03
Serie A2
NPC Rieti
#25
W
91-72
91
72
+19
H03/04
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#21
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A07/04
Serie A2
Baltur Cento
#19
W
70-67
70
67
+3
A11/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
20-15
14-17
9-13
23-19
11-14
20-23
19-29
20-13
19-22
13-14
16-23
21-19
33-15
19-12
19-18
23-22
23-16
13-16
22-13
12-21
18-19
21-17
18-21
16-18
14-13
22-16
10-21
26-29
23-19
22-13
20-11
21-23
16-18
8-14
23-21
15-22
11-17
19-13
25-15
145.1Avg total
73.3Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)70.073.2143.3-3.235%
Season at home (11)71.267.9139.1+3.355%
Season away (12)69.078.1147.1-9.117%
Last 10 (10)73.371.8145.1+1.540%
Last 5 (5)72.072.2144.2-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)69.179.5148.5-10.49%
vs Similar ◀ (16)73.472.2145.6+1.250%
vs Weaker (3)106.078.0184.0+28.0100%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NPC Rieti
#25
L
68-81
68
81
-13
H31/01
Serie A2
Basket Napoli
#1
L
64-79
64
79
-15
A10/02
Serie A2
Scafati
#3
L
67-86
67
86
-19
H21/02
Serie A2
Basket Napoli
#1
L
51-65
51
65
-14
H24/02
Serie A2
Baltur Cento
#19
W
91-78
91
78
+13
A28/02
Serie A2
San Severo
#26
W
68-50
68
50
+18
H03/03
Serie A2
Ravenna
#10
L
61-76
61
76
-15
H14/03
Serie A2
Forli
#4
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A17/03
Serie A2
Ferrara
#15
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A28/03
Serie A2
Stella Azzurra
#27
W
94-76
94
76
+18
H10/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
18-16
12-21
15-16
15-21
14-17
13-22
22-19
20-15
14-28
17-20
16-23
10-20
10-16
17-12
14-17
22-19
19-17
25-28
25-14
16-7
17-13
16-13
19-17
21-20
11-15
7-24
22-17
15-17
18-29
14-24
25-11
17-22
18-23
18-11
27-26
27-29
28-15
17-19
22-13
147.0Avg total
71.6Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)73.575.8149.3-2.343%
Season at home (12)73.273.4146.6-0.258%
Season away (11)73.978.4152.3-4.527%
Last 10 (10)71.675.4147.0-3.830%
Last 5 (5)75.073.0148.0+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)70.280.7150.8-10.517%
vs Similar ◀ (14)76.477.6154.1-1.250%
vs Weaker (4)75.568.0143.5+7.575%
This opponent (Latina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +3.4+3.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +3.4+3.4
LatinaPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LatinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H06/02
Serie A2
Eurobasket Roma
#8
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A10/02
Serie A2
Stella Azzurra
#27
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A14/03
Serie A2
Ferrara
#15
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H17/03
Serie A2
Ravenna
#10
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H21/03
Serie A2
Eurobasket Roma
#8
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H24/03
Serie A2
Forli
#4
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A28/03
Serie A2
NPC Rieti
#25
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H03/04
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#21
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A07/04
Serie A2
Baltur Cento
#19
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A11/04
Serie A2
75.9Avg total
38.1Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.237.976.1+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.936.675.5+2.250%-
Last 30 away (16)37.638.976.6-1.350%-
Last 10 (10)38.137.875.9+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)34.439.874.2-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)33.839.072.8-5.218%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)38.936.575.4+2.462%-
vs Weaker (3)50.341.091.3+9.3100%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NPC Rieti
#25
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H31/01
Serie A2
Basket Napoli
#1
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A10/02
Serie A2
Scafati
#3
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H21/02
Serie A2
Basket Napoli
#1
L
20-36
20
36
-16
H24/02
Serie A2
Baltur Cento
#19
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A28/02
Serie A2
San Severo
#26
W
33-20
33
20
+13
H03/03
Serie A2
Ravenna
#10
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H14/03
Serie A2
Forli
#4
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A17/03
Serie A2
Ferrara
#15
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A28/03
Serie A2
Stella Azzurra
#27
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H10/04
Serie A2
74.0Avg total
35.3Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.739.475.0-3.733%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.937.673.4-1.738%-
Last 30 away (14)35.441.476.9-6.029%-
Last 10 (10)35.338.774.0-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)37.638.075.6-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)32.141.773.8-9.68%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)37.739.677.4-1.943%-
vs Weaker (4)39.231.570.8+7.875%-
This opponent (Latina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Latinatheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.518.5
48.1%
50.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.2
28.1%
34.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws21.916.4
74.9%
73.8%16.4
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Latina wins
1
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
05/12/20Pistoia v Latina81-70
Latinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/21ABaltur Cento70-67
07/04/21AChieti Basket68-76
03/04/21HNPC Rieti91-72
28/03/21AForli62-68
24/03/21HEurobasket Roma69-78
21/03/21HRavenna81-67
17/03/21HFerrara92-64
14/03/21AStella Azzurra68-72
10/02/21AEurobasket Roma73-85
06/02/21HBasket Napoli59-69
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/21HStella Azzurra94-76
28/03/21AFerrara80-82
17/03/21AForli72-81
14/03/21HRavenna61-76
03/03/21HSan Severo68-50
28/02/21ABaltur Cento91-78
24/02/21HBasket Napoli51-65
21/02/21HScafati67-86
10/02/21ABasket Napoli64-79
31/01/21HNPC Rieti68-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Latina
Serie A2 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW35%
HomeLWWLW55%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %35%55%17%
Points / game70.071.269.0
Allowed / game73.267.978.1
Point differential-3.2+3.3-9.1
Avg total143.3139.1147.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pistoia
Serie A2 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW43%
HomeLLWLW58%
AwayLLWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %43%58%27%
Points / game73.573.273.9
Allowed / game75.873.478.4
Point differential-2.3-0.2-4.5
Avg total149.3146.6152.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Basket Napoli2419579%78.067.4+10.6
2 Forli2419579%79.072.4+6.6
3 Scafati2418675%81.774.0+7.7
4 Basket Torino2618869%81.470.6+10.8
5 Tortona2617965%77.169.2+8.0
6 Udine26161062%77.176.7+0.4
7 Eurobasket Roma24141058%78.976.3+2.6
8 Verona26151158%80.878.3+2.5
9 Ferrara22121055%76.578.2-1.6
10 Urania Milano26141254%75.376.0-0.8
11 Assigeco Piacenza26131350%82.182.4-0.3
12 Chieti Basket22111150%74.075.2-1.3
13 Treviglio26131350%82.083.5-1.5
14 Trapani26131350%76.279.3-3.2
15 Ravenna23111248%75.974.5+1.4
16 Baltur Cento23111248%72.473.7-1.3
17 Mantova26121446%75.376.3-1.0
18 Monferrato26121446%74.280.1-5.9
19 Pistoia23101343%73.575.8-2.3
20 Capo d'Orlando26111542%83.087.6-4.7
21 NPC Rieti2391439%75.277.3-2.1
22 Orzinuovi26101638%81.983.4-1.5
23 Latina2381535%70.073.2-3.2
24 Bergamo2691735%75.575.9-0.4
25 Biella2691735%82.484.9-2.5
26 San Severo2351822%67.075.3-8.3
27 Stella Azzurra2442017%70.480.2-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 27 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Latina212062269
Pistoia2122191577
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