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Latina vs Treviglio Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 90-92
28-25 25-19 20-24 17-24
Position#23
Record2-7
FormLLWLW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game87.4
vs
Position#16
Record6-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game84.7
ItalySerie A2Round 10· PalaBianchini
Other2023-24
Meetings · Latina v Treviglio
19 Nov 2023
LATI90
TREV92
08 Jan 2023
LATI70
TREV80
31 Mar 2019
LATI88
TREV90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Latina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Treviglio winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LatinaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLatina
Date
Competition
Pallacanestro Nardo
#14
L
77-78
77
78
-1
no box
H06/05
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
71-87
71
87
-16
54avg 67
A01/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
89-91
89
91
-2
76avg 67
H07/10
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
70-81
70
81
-11
62avg 67
H11/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
70-90
70
90
-20
62avg 67
A15/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
82-96
82
96
-14
73avg 67
A21/10
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
81-104
81
104
-23
78avg 67
H28/10
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
86-76
86
76
+10
73avg 67
A01/11
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
66-91
66
91
-25
48avg 67
H05/11
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
86-71
86
71
+15
72avg 67
A12/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
10-27
13-15
29-14
20-28
29-23
13-12
9-24
24-28
17-17
27-19
21-27
20-30
12-21
15-23
23-7
25-24
16-21
18-20
11-25
22-29
15-20
20-20
25-27
17-29
22-26
26-25
16-24
14-24
26-27
24-15
22-10
15-25
17-26
14-23
20-17
28-17
21-10
16-28
21-16
164.3Avg total
77.8Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)77.987.4165.3-9.622%
Season at home (4)76.591.8168.2-15.20%
Season away (5)79.084.0163.0-5.040%
Last 10 (10)77.886.5164.3-8.720%
Last 5 (5)80.287.6167.8-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)72.187.4159.6-15.30%
vs Similar (18)78.777.9156.7+0.850%
vs Weaker (3)69.368.7138.0+0.733%
This opponent (Treviglio) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TreviglioItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTreviglio
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#7
L
87-88
87
88
-1
no box
A03/06
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
88-92 OT
88
92
-4
no box
H01/10
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
90-89
90
89
+1
90avg 83
A07/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
89-88
89
88
+1
90avg 83
H11/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
63-84
63
84
-21
48avg 83
A15/10
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
76-69
76
69
+7
70avg 83
A22/10
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
88-79
88
79
+9
96avg 83
H29/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
95-69
95
69
+26
89avg 83
A01/11
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
78-96
78
96
-18
76avg 83
H05/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
100-96
100
96
+4
104avg 83
H12/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
23-17
19-24
24-27
20-29
23-25
19-16
22-14
23-23
25-17
22-24
20-25
30-20
17-20
26-29
16-19
20-28
20-20
13-14
10-22
18-18
19-18
13-14
26-19
16-15
24-22
17-20
31-22
21-11
28-24
18-16
28-18
23-28
16-27
26-19
13-22
23-20
22-25
37-22
18-29
170.4Avg total
85.4Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.284.7169.9+0.667%
Season at home (5)88.690.2178.8-1.660%
Season away (4)81.077.8158.8+3.275%
Last 10 (10)85.485.0170.4+0.460%
Last 5 (5)87.481.8169.2+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)85.791.0176.7-5.367%
vs Similar (13)83.978.5162.4+5.569%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)78.973.7152.6+5.157%
This opponent (Latina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -0.9-0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -0.9-0.9
LatinaTreviglio
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LatinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pallacanestro Nardo
#14
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H06/05
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A01/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H07/10
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
32-51
32
51
-19
H11/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A15/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A21/10
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H28/10
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A01/11
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
32-51
32
51
-19
H05/11
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
49-27
49
27
+22
A12/11
Serie A2
86.9Avg total
39.5Scored
47.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.441.881.2-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.040.780.7-0.753%-
Last 30 away (15)38.742.981.6-4.127%-
Last 10 (10)39.547.486.9-7.910%-
Last 5 (5)39.446.686.0-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.447.885.2-10.30%-
vs Similar (18)40.540.180.6+0.456%-
vs Weaker (3)38.334.072.3+4.367%-
This opponent (Treviglio) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TreviglioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#7
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A03/06
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H01/10
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A07/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H11/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A15/10
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A22/10
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H29/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A01/11
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H05/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H12/11
Serie A2
85.9Avg total
43.2Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.539.280.7+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.640.583.1+2.153%-
Last 30 away (15)40.537.978.4+2.560%-
Last 10 (10)43.242.785.9+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)42.041.683.6+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.745.089.7-0.367%-
vs Similar (13)42.540.282.6+2.362%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.037.177.1+2.950%-
This opponent (Latina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Latinatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Latina: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.818.1
47.9%
50.3%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.3
31.4%
34.1%25.0
🏀 Free throws21.815.8
72.4%
74.2%15.8
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trevigliotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviglio: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.5 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.8
50.6%
50.3%39.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.6
38.8%
34.1%31.9
🏀 Free throws17.412.8
73.4%
74.2%12.8
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/8 games with a box score before 19 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Latina
WLWLLLLLLL
Treviglio
WLWWWLWWLL
#23
League position
#16
-12.7
Net rating
+1.8
102.5
Offensive rating
107.5
115.2
Defensive rating
105.7
47.6%
Effective FG%
53.8%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
16.5%
Turnover %
16.4%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
22.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.4%
3-point %
38.8%
52.9%
Assist %
70.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.5 · 107.5Defence115.2 · 105.7Shooting47.6% · 53.8%3-point %31.4% · 38.8%Ball care16.5% · 16.4%Off. rebounds27.7% · 22.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Latina   ■ Treviglio
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Latina wins
4
Treviglio wins
DateGameScore
08/01/23Latina v Treviglio70-80
16/10/22Treviglio v Latina72-68
31/03/19Latina v Treviglio88-90
16/12/18Treviglio v Latina102-84
Latinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23AMonferrato86-71
05/11/23HVigevano66-91
01/11/23ALuiss Roma86-76
28/10/23HTrapani81-104
21/10/23AUrania Milano82-96
15/10/23ASebastiani Rieti70-90
11/10/23HCantu70-81
07/10/23HJuVi Cremona89-91
01/10/23ABasket Torino71-87
06/05/23HPallacanestro Nardo77-78
Trevigliolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23HJuVi Cremona100-96
05/11/23HTrapani78-96
01/11/23AVigevano95-69
29/10/23HMonferrato88-79
22/10/23AAgrigento76-69
15/10/23ABasket Torino63-84
11/10/23HSebastiani Rieti89-88
07/10/23ACantu90-89
01/10/23HUrania Milano88-92 OT
03/06/23ABasket Torino87-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Latina
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW22%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%0%40%
Points / game77.976.579.0
Allowed / game87.491.884.0
Point differential-9.6-15.2-5.0
Avg total165.3168.2163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%0%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Treviglio
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%60%75%
Points / game85.288.681.0
Allowed / game84.790.277.8
Point differential+0.6-1.6+3.2
Avg total169.9178.8158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani109190%93.381.2+12.1
2 Fortitudo Bologna109190%80.072.5+7.5
3 Udine97278%80.970.2+10.7
4 Cantu97278%90.681.2+9.3
5 Forli97278%79.972.7+7.2
6 Verona96367%75.971.7+4.2
7 Trieste96367%78.377.6+0.8
8 Treviglio96367%85.284.7+0.6
9 JuVi Cremona106460%89.582.9+6.6
10 Basket Torino106460%84.180.8+3.3
11 Urania Milano106460%85.884.1+1.7
12 Sebastiani Rieti95456%83.979.0+4.9
13 Nardo95456%80.385.6-5.2
14 Assigeco Piacenza94544%82.180.7+1.4
15 Cento93633%76.681.7-5.1
16 Vigevano93633%80.185.3-5.2
17 Cividale103730%75.277.0-1.8
18 Agrigento103730%74.680.4-5.8
19 Rimini92722%73.776.6-2.9
20 Monferrato92722%80.886.0-5.2
21 Orzinuovi92722%73.379.3-6.0
22 Latina92722%77.987.4-9.6
23 Luiss Roma102820%75.989.1-13.2
24 Chiusi91811%60.872.2-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Latina2825201790
Treviglio2519242492
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