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Latvia vs Serbia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 80-84
18-22 20-20 18-25 24-17
Position#11
Record1-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game81.5
vs
Serbia 🏆
Position#6
Record2-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game66.5
EuropeEuroBasketRound 3· Xiaomi Arena
Other2025
Meetings · Latvia v Serbia
30 Aug 2025
LATV80
SERB84
30 Jun 2022
LATV66
SERB59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Latvia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Serbia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LatviaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLatvia
Date
Competition
Italy
#17
W
87-82
87
82
+5
no box
A07/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
W
98-63
98
63
+35
no box
H09/09
World Cup
Spain
#22
W
79-75
79
75
+4
no box
A22/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
64-52
64
52
+12
no box
H25/02
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
W
75-72
75
72
+3
68avg 73
H22/11
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
W
85-83
85
83
+2
79avg 73
A25/11
EuroBasket
Spain
#22
W
83-66
83
66
+17
79avg 73
H20/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
89-68
89
68
+21
86avg 73
A23/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
73-93
73
93
-20
62avg 73
H27/08
EuroBasket
Estonia
#18
W
72-70
72
70
+2
64avg 73
A29/08
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
28-16
21-18
20-22
28-20
21-18
28-9
21-16
23-14
17-23
17-20
22-18
15-10
16-17
14-11
19-14
17-25
25-19
17-13
16-15
16-20
20-21
22-25
27-17
20-17
21-17
22-16
20-16
20-15
19-18
30-18
20-17
21-24
18-23
16-25
18-21
17-21
21-21
25-19
9-9
152.9Avg total
80.5Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)72.581.5154.0-9.050%
Season at home (1)73.093.0166.0-20.00%
Season away (1)72.070.0142.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.572.4152.9+8.190%
Last 5 (5)80.476.0156.4+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)74.097.0171.0-23.00%
vs Similar (9)83.877.2161.0+6.678%
vs Weaker (19)82.968.2151.2+14.7100%
This opponent (Serbia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSerbia
Date
Competition
Finland
#34
W
77-61
77
61
+16
no box
H23/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
W
76-63
76
63
+13
no box
A26/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
72-52
72
52
+20
72avg 95
A21/11
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
98-51
98
51
+47
104avg 95
H24/11
EuroBasket
Finland
#34
W
105-95
105
95
+10
107avg 95
A21/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
W
63-54
63
54
+9
49avg 95
H24/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#4
W
113-84
113
84
+29
116avg 95
H15/08
DBB Supercup
Germany
#3
W
91-81
91
81
+10
90avg 95
A16/08
DBB Supercup
Estonia
#18
W
98-64
98
64
+34
112avg 95
H27/08
EuroBasket
Portugal
#17
W
80-69
80
69
+11
88avg 95
A29/08
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
19-14
22-17
19-10
21-12
17-19
22-21
16-11
29-6
14-13
19-16
10-17
25-17
25-11
20-11
28-12
24-26
27-31
28-14
26-24
13-17
14-14
17-10
19-13
29-21
32-27
31-20
21-16
18-15
20-17
32-23
21-26
32-12
24-17
30-15
12-20
23-19
20-14
21-16
16-20
154.7Avg total
87.3Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)89.066.5155.5+22.5100%
Season at home (1)98.064.0162.0+34.0100%
Season away (1)80.069.0149.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.367.4154.7+19.9100%
Last 5 (5)89.070.4159.4+18.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)95.086.0181.0+9.0100%
vs Similar (4)97.878.2176.0+19.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)88.973.5162.4+15.488%
This opponent (Latvia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +6.6+6.6Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +7.9+7.9Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +1.9+1.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +6.6+6.6Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +7.9+7.9Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +1.9+1.9
LatviaSerbia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LatviaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Italy
#17
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A07/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H09/09
World Cup
Spain
#22
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A22/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H25/02
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H22/11
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A25/11
EuroBasket
Spain
#22
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H20/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A23/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H27/08
EuroBasket
Estonia
#18
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A29/08
EuroBasket
78.6Avg total
40.1Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.536.878.2+4.767%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.835.075.8+5.877%-
Last 30 away (17)42.038.180.1+3.959%-
Last 10 (10)40.138.578.6+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.478.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)40.545.085.5-4.50%-
vs Similar (9)39.940.780.6-0.833%-
vs Weaker (19)42.334.176.4+8.389%-
This opponent (Serbia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SerbiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Finland
#34
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H23/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A26/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
43-19
43
19
+24
A21/11
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H24/11
EuroBasket
Finland
#34
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A21/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H24/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#4
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H15/08
DBB Supercup
Germany
#3
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A16/08
DBB Supercup
Estonia
#18
W
56-29
56
29
+27
H27/08
EuroBasket
Portugal
#17
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A29/08
EuroBasket
78.5Avg total
44.3Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.535.583.0+12.090%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.636.885.4+11.893%-
Last 30 away (15)46.334.280.5+12.187%-
Last 10 (10)44.334.278.5+10.180%-
Last 5 (5)45.034.679.6+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)52.039.091.0+13.0100%-
vs Similar (4)52.039.891.8+12.275%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)46.634.781.2+11.992%-
This opponent (Latvia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Latviatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Latvia: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.616.0
54.0%
52.4%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.9
34.6%
33.4%29.6
🏀 Free throws20.514.9
72.6%
73.1%14.9
They take 58.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Serbiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Serbia: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.3 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.021.7
60.2%
52.4%43.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.29.0
38.8%
33.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws22.817.6
77.1%
73.1%17.6
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/9 games with a box score before 30 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Latvia
WLWWWWWWWW
Serbia
WWWWWWWWWW
#11
League position
#6
+6.6
Net rating
+29.2
108.3
Offensive rating
121.5
101.8
Defensive rating
92.3
53.0%
Effective FG%
59.4%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
45.1%
18.5%
Turnover %
16.3%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.38
34.6%
3-point %
38.8%
69.1%
Assist %
69.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 121.5Defence101.8 · 92.3Shooting53.0% · 59.4%3-point %34.6% · 38.8%Ball care18.5% · 16.3%Off. rebounds28.6% · 32.4%Free throws0.35 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)90% · 100%
■ Latvia   ■ Serbia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Latvia wins
1
Serbia wins
DateGameScore
30/06/22Latvia v Serbia66-59
25/11/21Serbia v Latvia101-100
Latvialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/08/25AEstonia72-70
27/08/25HTurkey73-93
23/02/25ASlovakia89-68
20/02/25HSpain83-66
25/11/24ABelgium85-83
22/11/24HBelgium75-72
25/02/24HSlovakia64-52
22/02/24ASpain79-75
09/09/23HLithuania98-63
07/09/23AItaly87-82
Serbialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/08/25APortugal80-69
27/08/25HEstonia98-64
16/08/25AGermany91-81
15/08/25HCzech Republic113-84
24/02/25HGeorgia63-54
21/02/25AFinland105-95
24/11/24HDenmark98-51
21/11/24ADenmark72-52
26/02/24AGeorgia76-63
23/02/24HFinland77-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Latvia
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game72.573.072.0
Allowed / game81.593.070.0
Point differential-9.0-20.0+2.0
Avg total154.0166.0142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Serbia
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.098.080.0
Allowed / game66.564.069.0
Point differential+22.5+34.0+11.0
Avg total155.5162.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France110100%92.064.0+28.0
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina110100%91.064.0+27.0
3 Germany330100%106.082.3+23.7
4 Serbia220100%89.066.5+22.5
5 Turkey220100%92.575.5+17.0
6 Finland220100%101.084.5+16.5
7 Israel110100%83.071.0+12.0
8 Poland110100%105.095.0+10.0
9 Greece110100%75.066.0+9.0
10 Lithuania32167%92.081.3+10.7
11 Italy21150%72.068.5+3.5
12 Portugal21150%65.565.0+0.5
13 Georgia21150%72.573.5-1.0
14 Latvia21150%72.581.5-9.0
15 Belgium21150%67.578.0-10.5
16 Sweden31233%83.785.7-2.0
17 Estonia31233%74.381.7-7.3
18 Iceland2020%67.577.0-9.5
19 Slovenia1010%95.0105.0-10.0
20 Czech Republic3030%67.781.0-13.3
21 Spain1010%69.083.0-14.0
22 Great Britain3030%69.393.7-24.3
23 Cyprus1010%64.091.0-27.0
24 Montenegro2020%71.5100.0-28.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Latvia1820182480
Serbia2220251784
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