PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Latvia vs Spain Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 83-66
20-17 21-17 22-16 20-16
Position#2
Record4-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game70.5
Latvia 🏆
vs
Position#22
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game70.0
EuropeEuroBasketRound 5· Arena Riga
Other2023
Meetings · Latvia v Spain
20 Feb 2025
LATV83
SPAI66
22 Feb 2019
LATV62
SPAI67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Latvia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Spain winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LatviaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLatvia
Date
Competition
Canada
#4
L
75-101
75
101
-26
no box
A29/08
World Cup
Spain
#7
W
74-69
74
69
+5
no box
A01/09
World Cup
Brazil
#23
W
104-84
104
84
+20
no box
A03/09
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
79-81
79
81
-2
no box
A06/09
World Cup
Italy
#17
W
87-82
87
82
+5
no box
A07/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
W
98-63
98
63
+35
no box
H09/09
World Cup
Spain
#22
W
79-75
79
75
+4
80avg 73
A22/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
64-52
64
52
+12
62avg 73
H25/02
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
W
75-72
75
72
+3
68avg 73
H22/11
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
W
85-83
85
83
+2
79avg 73
A25/11
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-13
19-30
15-24
18-34
17-16
12-16
18-26
27-11
22-20
23-22
36-21
23-21
16-13
18-23
25-26
20-19
18-26
28-16
21-18
20-22
28-20
21-18
28-9
21-16
23-14
17-23
17-20
22-18
15-10
16-17
14-11
19-14
17-25
25-19
17-13
16-15
16-20
20-21
22-25
27-17
158.2Avg total
82.0Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.870.5146.2+5.2100%
Season at home (2)69.562.0131.5+7.5100%
Season away (2)82.079.0161.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.076.2158.2+5.880%
Last 5 (5)80.269.0149.2+11.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)84.599.0183.5-14.50%
vs Similar (10)84.677.8162.4+6.880%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)83.668.3151.9+15.394%
This opponent (Spain) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpain
Date
Competition
Italy
#17
L
68-72
68
72
-4
no box
H26/02
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
W
94-64
94
64
+30
no box
H26/08
World Cup
Brazil
#23
W
96-78
96
78
+18
no box
A28/08
World Cup
Iran
#51
W
85-65
85
65
+20
no box
A30/08
World Cup
Latvia
#3
L
69-74
69
74
-5
no box
H01/09
World Cup
Canada
#4
L
85-88
85
88
-3
no box
H03/09
World Cup
Latvia
#2
L
75-79
75
79
-4
62avg 65
H22/02
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
L
53-58
53
58
-5
51avg 65
A25/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
76-72 OT
76
72
+4
63avg 65
A22/11
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
84-71
84
71
+13
82avg 65
H25/11
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-13
13-20
15-19
24-20
24-17
29-17
20-13
21-17
21-22
29-20
14-17
32-19
16-17
27-17
21-18
21-13
16-17
16-12
26-18
11-27
21-21
27-17
25-23
12-27
14-23
23-17
20-17
18-22
14-11
12-8
13-21
14-18
14-10
24-15
10-21
11-13
22-18
25-14
24-25
13-14
150.6Avg total
78.5Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.070.0142.0+2.050%
Season at home (2)79.575.0154.5+4.550%
Season away (2)64.565.0129.5-0.550%
Last 10 (10)78.572.1150.6+6.450%
Last 5 (5)74.673.6148.2+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)71.075.0146.0-4.00%
vs Similar (5)79.675.6155.2+4.060%
vs Weaker (22)87.371.7159.0+15.691%
This opponent (Latvia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +6.8+6.8Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +6.8+6.8Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
LatviaSpain
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LatviaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canada
#4
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A29/08
World Cup
Spain
#7
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A01/09
World Cup
Brazil
#23
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A03/09
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A06/09
World Cup
Italy
#17
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A07/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H09/09
World Cup
Spain
#22
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A22/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H25/02
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H22/11
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A25/11
EuroBasket
77.6Avg total
39.4Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.736.579.1+6.273%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.935.477.3+6.486%-
Last 30 away (16)43.437.480.8+6.062%-
Last 10 (10)39.438.277.6+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.637.477.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)46.542.589.0+4.050%-
vs Similar (10)40.441.081.4-0.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.533.376.8+10.294%-
This opponent (Spain) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SpainLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Italy
#17
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H26/02
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H26/08
World Cup
Brazil
#23
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A28/08
World Cup
Iran
#51
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A30/08
World Cup
Latvia
#3
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H01/09
World Cup
Canada
#4
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H03/09
World Cup
Latvia
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H22/02
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
W
26-19
26
19
+7
A25/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A22/11
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H25/11
EuroBasket
72.9Avg total
40.3Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.134.476.5+7.777%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.635.178.6+8.569%-
Last 30 away (14)40.433.674.0+6.786%-
Last 10 (10)40.332.672.9+7.780%-
Last 5 (5)39.230.870.0+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)37.032.369.3+4.767%-
vs Similar (5)40.032.072.0+8.0100%-
vs Weaker (22)43.235.278.5+8.073%-
This opponent (Latvia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Latviatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Latvia: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.517.0
55.7%
50.6%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.8
34.0%
32.5%26.2
🏀 Free throws20.014.5
72.5%
71.4%14.5
They take 56.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Spaintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spain: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.5 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.517.8
43.8%
50.6%35.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.0
29.5%
32.5%21.0
🏀 Free throws22.514.5
64.4%
71.4%14.5
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/4 games with a box score before 20 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Latvia
WWWWWWLWWL
Spain
WWLLLLWWWL
#2
League position
#22
+6.8
Net rating
+2.7
106.3
Offensive rating
96.3
99.5
Defensive rating
93.6
53.6%
Effective FG%
44.0%
45.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
19.6%
Turnover %
18.3%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.35
34.0%
3-point %
29.5%
68.0%
Assist %
73.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 96.3Defence99.5 · 93.6Shooting53.6% · 44.0%3-point %34.0% · 29.5%Ball care19.6% · 18.3%Off. rebounds27.6% · 33.3%Free throws0.36 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Latvia   ■ Spain
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Latvia wins
2
Spain wins
DateGameScore
22/02/24Spain v Latvia75-79
01/09/23Spain v Latvia69-74
22/02/19Latvia v Spain62-67
17/09/18Spain v Latvia85-82
Latvialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/24ABelgium85-83
22/11/24HBelgium75-72
25/02/24HSlovakia64-52
22/02/24ASpain79-75
09/09/23HLithuania98-63
07/09/23AItaly87-82
06/09/23AGermany79-81
03/09/23ABrazil104-84
01/09/23ASpain74-69
29/08/23ACanada75-101
Spainlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/24HSlovakia84-71
22/11/24ASlovakia76-72 OT
25/02/24ABelgium53-58
22/02/24HLatvia75-79
03/09/23HCanada85-88
01/09/23HLatvia69-74
30/08/23AIran85-65
28/08/23ABrazil96-78
26/08/23HIvory Coast94-64
26/02/23HItaly68-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Latvia
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game75.869.582.0
Allowed / game70.562.079.0
Point differential+5.2+7.5+3.0
Avg total146.2131.5161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Spain
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game72.079.564.5
Allowed / game70.075.065.0
Point differential+2.0+4.5-0.5
Avg total142.0154.5129.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %25%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia440100%80.856.8+24.0
2 France440100%76.863.5+13.2
3 Latvia440100%75.870.5+5.2
4 Croatia1411379%84.970.5+14.4
5 Lithuania43175%79.567.0+12.5
6 Italy43175%84.873.5+11.2
7 Montenegro43175%82.875.8+7.0
8 Turkey43175%82.276.0+6.2
9 Greece43175%73.869.0+4.8
10 Israel43175%81.276.5+4.8
11 Slovenia43175%83.079.0+4.0
12 Estonia43175%76.873.5+3.2
13 Portugal107370%82.773.0+9.7
14 Bulgaria149564%78.674.4+4.2
15 North Macedonia106460%74.069.6+4.4
16 Poland106460%79.475.9+3.5
17 Slovakia148657%72.970.4+2.6
18 Romania148657%72.072.1-0.1
19 Germany42250%74.865.5+9.2
20 Bosnia & Herzegovina42250%87.279.8+7.5
21 Belgium42250%72.068.2+3.8
22 Czech Republic42250%80.076.2+3.8
23 Spain42250%72.070.0+2.0
24 Georgia42250%75.874.5+1.2
25 Denmark189950%74.473.6+0.8
26 Great Britain42250%80.083.2-3.2
27 Sweden42250%72.079.2-7.2
28 Norway146843%71.176.0-4.9
29 Iceland52340%75.079.4-4.4
30 Ireland104640%73.984.4-10.5
31 Austria1661038%75.077.2-2.2
32 Switzerland1661038%67.871.9-4.2
33 Kosovo83538%76.081.2-5.2
34 Netherlands41325%79.284.5-5.2
35 Finland41325%74.283.2-9.0
36 Hungary51420%71.280.8-9.6
37 Luxembourg81712%75.685.2-9.6
38 Albania81712%73.285.8-12.5
39 Cyprus161156%63.680.8-17.2
40 Ukraine4040%74.585.0-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 40 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Latvia2021222083
Spain1717161666
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.