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Le Mans vs Paris Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:50
Final 101-103
21-17 20-29 33-25 27-32
Position#5
Record1-0
FormWLLWL
Points / game103.0
Allowed / game97.0
vs
Paris 🏆
France
Position#1
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game73.0
FranceLNBRound 2· Antares
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Le Mans v Paris
04 Oct 2026
LMA101
PRS103
06 Oct 2025
LMA95
PRS89
20 Sep 2025
LMA90
PRS87
15 Dec 2024
LMA84
PRS76
06 Apr 2024
LMA55
PRS88
25 Apr 2023
LMA97
PRS90
05 Mar 2022
LMA95
PRS82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Le Mans winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Le MansFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Portel
#16
W
94-72
94
72
+22
A11/04
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
96-83
96
83
+13
A18/04
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
83-87
83
87
-4
H25/04
French Cup
Nancy
#10
W
102-74
102
74
+28
H30/04
LNB
Saint Quentin
#14
W
88-85
88
85
+3
A09/05
LNB
Limoges
#13
W
101-84
101
84
+17
H16/05
LNB
Nanterre
#3
L
74-90
74
90
-16
A25/05
LNB
Nanterre
#3
L
55-64
55
64
-9
H27/05
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
103-97 OT
103
97
+6
A26/09
LNB
Aris
#1
L
74-87
74
87
-13
H29/09
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
28-20
20-14
22-18
29-17
28-20
24-21
15-25
19-21
10-24
28-19
26-23
22-18
29-18
33-23
18-15
21-14
20-20
19-27
28-24
25-20
16-25
36-11
24-28
15-26
21-22
23-23
15-19
12-15
15-15
10-16
18-18
22-28
19-15
16-23
29-20
26-15
14-24
15-24
19-24
169.3Avg total
87.0Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)103.097.0200.0+6.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)103.097.0200.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.082.3169.3+4.760%
Last 5 (5)81.484.4165.8-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)83.098.5181.5-15.50%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.484.9166.3-3.436%
vs Weaker (14)99.085.6184.6+13.493%
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cholet
#5
W
94-91
94
91
+3
A09/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
W
95-91
95
91
+4
H14/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
90-102
90
102
-12
H17/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
W
88-77
88
77
+11
A19/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
84-96
84
96
-12
A21/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
92-101
92
101
-9
H23/06
LNB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
72-91
72
91
-19
A24/09
Euroleague
Nancy
#12
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A27/09
LNB
Partizan
#12
L
79-92
79
92
-13
H29/09
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
82-78
82
78
+4
H01/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
26-25
24-24
19-17
22-28
29-24
16-24
28-15
15-28
26-25
25-24
24-25
17-26
23-18
18-17
30-16
16-27
17-27
22-29
29-13
24-27
28-28
29-18
11-28
17-31
14-11
13-27
28-22
21-15
14-17
16-24
27-17
18-15
22-29
23-23
16-25
17-19
24-19
20-15
21-25
174.6Avg total
85.4Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)78.073.0151.0+5.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)78.073.0151.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.489.2174.6-3.850%
Last 5 (5)80.687.0167.6-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.784.7162.3-7.033%
vs Similar ◀ (11)95.591.2186.7+4.455%
vs Weaker (16)91.184.8175.8+6.369%
This opponent (Le Mans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +3.0+3.0
Le MansParis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Le MansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Portel
#16
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A11/04
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
57-37
57
37
+20
A18/04
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H25/04
French Cup
Nancy
#10
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H30/04
LNB
Saint Quentin
#14
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A09/05
LNB
Limoges
#13
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H16/05
LNB
Nanterre
#3
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A25/05
LNB
Nanterre
#3
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H27/05
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A26/09
LNB
Aris
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H29/09
Eurocup
81.2Avg total
41.5Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.843.488.2+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.942.387.3+2.660%-
Last 30 away (15)44.744.489.1+0.347%-
Last 10 (10)41.539.781.2+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)37.041.078.0-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.543.585.0-2.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.644.885.4-4.129%-
vs Weaker (14)49.541.991.4+7.679%-
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cholet
#5
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A09/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H14/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H17/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A19/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A21/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H23/06
LNB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A24/09
Euroleague
Nancy
#12
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A27/09
LNB
Partizan
#12
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H29/09
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H01/10
Euroleague
87.9Avg total
41.5Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.746.893.5-0.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.746.193.8+1.638%-
Last 30 away (14)45.647.693.2-2.143%-
Last 10 (10)41.546.487.9-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)39.842.282.0-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.044.383.3-5.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)50.549.099.5+1.536%-
vs Weaker (16)45.545.891.3-0.344%-
This opponent (Le Mans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Le Manstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Le Mans: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.721.3
49.9%
55.2%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.3
37.7%
33.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws19.713.3
67.5%
74.2%13.3
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.619.0
54.9%
55.2%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.510.1
31.1%
33.9%30.3
🏀 Free throws21.416.7
78.0%
74.2%16.7
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Le Mans
LWLLWWWLWW
Paris
WLWLLLWLWW
#5
League position
#1
+5.2
Net rating
-4.1
96.0
Offensive rating
94.8
90.8
Defensive rating
98.9
52.5%
Effective FG%
50.9%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
14.2%
Turnover %
16.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.7%
3-point %
31.1%
58.9%
Assist %
62.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.0 · 94.8Defence90.8 · 98.9Shooting52.5% · 50.9%3-point %37.7% · 31.1%Ball care14.2% · 16.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Le Mans   ■ Paris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Le Mans wins
6
Paris wins
DateGameScore
18/01/26Paris v Le Mans110-92
06/10/25Le Mans v Paris95-89
20/09/25Le Mans v Paris90-87
26/04/25Paris v Le Mans91-80
06/04/25Paris v Le Mans106-103
15/12/24Le Mans v Paris84-76
06/04/24Le Mans v Paris55-88
27/09/23Paris v Le Mans112-71
25/04/23Le Mans v Paris97-90
06/11/22Paris v Le Mans104-88
Le Manslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/26HAris74-87
26/09/26AGravelines-Dunkerque103-97 OT
27/05/26HNanterre55-64
25/05/26ANanterre74-90
16/05/26HLimoges101-84
09/05/26ASaint Quentin88-85
30/04/26HNancy102-74
25/04/26HMonaco83-87
18/04/26AGravelines-Dunkerque96-83
11/04/26ALe Portel94-72
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas82-78
29/09/26HPartizan79-92
27/09/26ANancy78-73
24/09/26APanathinaikos72-91
23/06/26HMonaco92-101
21/06/26AMonaco84-96
19/06/26AMonaco88-77
17/06/26HMonaco90-102
14/06/26HMonaco95-91
09/06/26ACholet94-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Le Mans
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game103.0-103.0
Allowed / game97.0-97.0
Point differential+6.0-+6.0
Avg total200.0-200.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %100%-100%
Paris
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game78.0-78.0
Allowed / game73.0-73.0
Point differential+5.0-+5.0
Avg total151.0-151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dijon220100%85.066.5+18.5
2 Lyon-Villeurbanne220100%83.575.0+8.5
3 Le Mans110100%103.097.0+6.0
4 Roanne220100%87.081.0+6.0
5 Paris110100%78.073.0+5.0
6 JL Bourg21150%96.591.5+5.0
7 Limoges21150%83.078.5+4.5
8 Nanterre21150%80.578.5+2.0
9 Strasbourg21150%79.578.0+1.5
10 Cholet21150%85.086.5-1.5
11 Chalon/Saone21150%79.582.0-2.5
12 Saint Quentin21150%90.597.5-7.0
13 Gravelines-Dunkerque2020%81.086.5-5.5
14 Boulazac2020%77.084.0-7.0
15 Nancy2020%74.581.5-7.0
16 Pau-Orthez2020%62.583.5-21.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Le Mans21203327101
Paris17292532103
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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