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Le Mans vs Paris Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 06 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 95-89
32-25 14-20 14-23 35-21
Position#6
Record1-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game89.0
Le Mans 🏆
France
vs
Position#2
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game109.0
Allowed / game66.0
FranceLNBRound 2· Antares
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Le Mans v Paris
04 Oct 2026
LMA101
PRS103
06 Oct 2025
LMA95
PRS89
20 Sep 2025
LMA90
PRS87
15 Dec 2024
LMA84
PRS76
06 Apr 2024
LMA55
PRS88
25 Apr 2023
LMA97
PRS90
05 Mar 2022
LMA95
PRS82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Le Mans winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Le MansFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMans
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#6
W
96-92
96
92
+4
117avg 99
H29/04
LNB
Saint Quentin
#10
W
91-89
91
89
+2
100avg 99
A03/05
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
W
97-80
97
80
+17
114avg 99
H12/05
LNB
La Rochelle
#16
W
100-98 OT
100
98
+2
116avg 99
A17/05
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
69-76
69
76
-7
77avg 99
A28/05
LNB
Monaco
#2
W
88-87
88
87
+1
97avg 99
H30/05
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
76-85
76
85
-9
92avg 99
A01/06
LNB
Paris
#4
W
90-87
90
87
+3
101avg 99
H20/09
LNB Super Cup
Monaco
#1
L
79-104
79
104
-25
90avg 99
A21/09
LNB Super Cup
Dijon
#11
W
91-89
91
89
+2
102avg 99
A26/09
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
26-20
26-22
23-27
20-21
25-25
26-26
20-17
27-20
20-18
28-20
22-22
26-18
27-15
22-27
13-28
20-18
13-11
21-21
15-26
13-19
20-15
33-28
22-25
21-21
18-21
14-19
23-24
28-23
24-17
22-25
16-22
16-30
16-17
23-31
24-26
16-22
25-24
27-20
23-23
176.4Avg total
87.7Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)91.089.0180.0+2.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)91.089.0180.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.788.7176.4-1.070%
Last 5 (5)84.890.4175.2-5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)87.3100.3187.7-13.00%
vs Similar (13)90.785.2175.9+5.577%
vs Weaker (13)89.282.9172.1+6.269%
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Monaco
#2
W
94-82
94
82
+12
107avg 91
H15/06
LNB
Monaco
#2
W
92-67
92
67
+25
106avg 91
H17/06
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
78-81
78
81
-3
86avg 91
A20/06
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
74-80
74
80
-6
89avg 91
A22/06
LNB
Monaco
#2
W
99-93
99
93
+6
108avg 91
H24/06
LNB
Le Mans
#3
L
87-90
87
90
-3
102avg 91
A20/09
LNB Super Cup
Boulazac
#2
L
80-96
80
96
-16
67avg 91
A21/09
LNB Super Cup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
109-66
109
66
+43
120avg 91
A27/09
LNB
Fenerbahce
#4
L
77-96
77
96
-19
62avg 91
A01/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
101-94
101
94
+7
100avg 91
A03/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
27-15
25-23
20-21
20-13
21-15
29-17
22-22
23-12
22-21
15-30
18-18
16-20
27-20
13-15
18-25
29-21
25-29
19-31
26-12
23-28
17-24
25-22
22-16
28-24
26-16
16-30
10-26
29-19
28-14
26-17
26-16
19-25
21-18
19-27
18-26
27-20
21-21
26-22
27-31
173.6Avg total
89.1Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)109.066.0175.0+43.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)109.066.0175.0+43.0100%
Last 10 (10)89.184.5173.6+4.650%
Last 5 (5)90.888.4179.2+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.096.0176.0-16.00%
vs Similar (13)86.587.0173.5-0.538%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)98.584.9183.4+13.688%
This opponent (Le Mans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -0.6-0.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -0.6-0.6
Le MansParis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Le MansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#6
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H29/04
LNB
Saint Quentin
#10
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A03/05
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H12/05
LNB
La Rochelle
#16
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A17/05
LNB
Monaco
#2
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A28/05
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H30/05
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A01/06
LNB
Paris
#4
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H20/09
LNB Super Cup
Monaco
#1
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A21/09
LNB Super Cup
Dijon
#11
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A26/09
LNB
82.0Avg total
42.2Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.840.985.8+3.957%-
Last 30 at home (12)45.437.983.3+7.583%-
Last 30 away (18)44.442.987.4+1.539%-
Last 10 (10)42.239.882.0+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.441.881.2-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)43.051.094.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (13)44.339.583.8+4.862%-
vs Weaker (13)45.840.185.8+5.762%-
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#2
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H15/06
LNB
Monaco
#2
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H17/06
LNB
Monaco
#2
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A20/06
LNB
Monaco
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A22/06
LNB
Monaco
#2
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H24/06
LNB
Le Mans
#3
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A20/09
LNB Super Cup
Boulazac
#2
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A21/09
LNB Super Cup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
57-33
57
33
+24
A27/09
LNB
Fenerbahce
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A01/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A03/10
Euroleague
86.9Avg total
47.1Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.643.592.1+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (14)51.243.294.4+8.071%-
Last 30 away (16)46.243.890.1+2.456%-
Last 10 (10)47.139.886.9+7.380%-
Last 5 (5)47.841.889.6+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)54.040.094.0+14.0100%-
vs Similar (13)44.543.888.4+0.754%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)51.543.595.0+8.069%-
This opponent (Le Mans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Le Manstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Le Mans: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.8 points a game
46%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.621.4
52.7%
54.8%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.0
34.2%
34.2%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.816.9
68.1%
75.1%16.9
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.8 points a game
46%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.2
50.5%
54.8%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.810.1
33.9%
34.2%30.3
🏀 Free throws24.519.0
77.6%
75.1%19.0
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Le Mans
WLWLWLWWWW
Paris
WLWLLWLLWW
#6
League position
#2
-1.7
Net rating
+5.2
119.3
Offensive rating
119.7
120.9
Defensive rating
114.5
52.2%
Effective FG%
50.7%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
12.5%
Turnover %
11.8%
39.8%
Off. rebound %
39.0%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.2%
3-point %
33.9%
61.2%
Assist %
57.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence119.3 · 119.7Defence120.9 · 114.5Shooting52.2% · 50.7%3-point %34.2% · 33.9%Ball care12.5% · 11.8%Off. rebounds39.8% · 39.0%Free throws0.37 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Le Mans   ■ Paris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Le Mans wins
5
Paris wins
DateGameScore
20/09/25Le Mans v Paris90-87
26/04/25Paris v Le Mans91-80
06/04/25Paris v Le Mans106-103
15/12/24Le Mans v Paris84-76
06/04/24Le Mans v Paris55-88
27/09/23Paris v Le Mans112-71
25/04/23Le Mans v Paris97-90
06/11/22Paris v Le Mans104-88
05/03/22Le Mans v Paris95-82
24/10/21Paris v Le Mans81-92
Le Manslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/25ADijon91-89
21/09/25AMonaco79-104
20/09/25HParis90-87
01/06/25AMonaco76-85
30/05/25HMonaco88-87
28/05/25AMonaco69-76
17/05/25ALa Rochelle100-98 OT
12/05/25HLyon-Villeurbanne97-80
03/05/25ASaint Quentin91-89
29/04/25HJL Bourg96-92
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv101-94
01/10/25AFenerbahce77-96
27/09/25AGravelines-Dunkerque109-66
21/09/25ABoulazac80-96
20/09/25ALe Mans87-90
24/06/25HMonaco99-93
22/06/25AMonaco74-80
20/06/25AMonaco78-81
17/06/25HMonaco92-67
15/06/25HMonaco94-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Le Mans
LNB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game91.0-91.0
Allowed / game89.0-89.0
Point differential+2.0-+2.0
Avg total180.0-180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Paris
LNB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game109.0-109.0
Allowed / game66.0-66.0
Point differential+43.0-+43.0
Avg total175.0-175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris110100%109.066.0+43.0
2 Lyon-Villeurbanne220100%98.073.5+24.5
3 Nanterre220100%93.578.5+15.0
4 Cholet220100%92.077.5+14.5
5 Limoges220100%88.080.0+8.0
6 Le Mans110100%91.089.0+2.0
7 Monaco21150%91.583.5+8.0
8 Boulazac21150%87.584.0+3.5
9 Chalon/Saone21150%91.092.5-1.5
10 JL Bourg21150%86.088.0-2.0
11 Strasbourg21150%77.083.5-6.5
12 Dijon2020%82.585.5-3.0
13 Saint Quentin2020%76.087.5-11.5
14 Le Portel2020%69.082.0-13.0
15 Nancy2020%75.5101.5-26.0
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque2020%72.5105.0-32.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Le Mans3214143595
Paris2520232189
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