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Paris vs Le Mans Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 106-103
31-39 27-16 23-19 25-29
Position#1
Record17-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game93.7
Allowed / game84.3
Paris 🏆
France
vs
Le Mans
France
Position#5
Record13-10
FormWLWLW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game82.0
FranceLNBRound 24· Adidas Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Paris v Le Mans
03 Apr 2027
PRS v LMA
upcoming
18 Jan 2026
PRS110
LMA92
26 Apr 2025
PRS91
LMA80
06 Apr 2025
PRS106
LMA103
27 Sep 2023
PRS112
LMA71
06 Nov 2022
PRS104
LMA88
24 Oct 2021
PRS81
LMA92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Le Mans winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParisFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Monaco
#4
L
79-91
79
91
-12
67avg 88
H05/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#2
L
63-94
63
94
-31
66avg 88
A09/03
LNB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
81-83
81
83
-2
72avg 88
A13/03
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#15
W
99-91
99
91
+8
92avg 88
H15/03
French Cup
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
92-79
92
79
+13
83avg 88
H18/03
Euroleague
Strasbourg
#12
W
87-79
87
79
+8
96avg 88
A21/03
LNB
Fenerbahce
#1
L
100-101
100
101
-1
98avg 88
A25/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
W
101-98
101
98
+3
100avg 88
A28/03
Euroleague
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
W
109-66
109
66
+43
130avg 88
H30/03
LNB
Real Madrid
#8
L
104-105
104
105
-1
97avg 88
A03/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
17-20
14-27
26-20
19-23
19-21
13-22
12-28
22-14
25-17
14-29
20-23
32-24
19-22
25-13
23-32
22-18
26-19
28-30
16-12
17-17
18-24
26-20
26-18
24-17
27-27
33-27
16-30
33-23
23-25
30-21
15-29
26-13
30-14
29-22
24-17
28-23
25-30
27-21
24-31
180.2Avg total
91.5Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)93.784.3178.0+9.574%
Season at home (11)100.785.5186.2+15.391%
Season away (12)87.383.2170.5+4.258%
Last 10 (10)91.588.7180.2+2.850%
Last 5 (5)100.289.8190.0+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.090.0163.0-17.00%
vs Similar (16)87.790.3178.0-2.638%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)94.080.1174.1+13.992%
This opponent (Le Mans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Le MansFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMans
Date
Competition
Chalon/Saone
#7
W
112-86
112
86
+26
132avg 97
H08/02
LNB
Cholet
#5
W
93-91
93
91
+2
108avg 97
A14/02
Leaders Cup
Saint Quentin
#3
W
88-85
88
85
+3
93avg 97
H15/02
Leaders Cup
Monaco
#2
W
104-96
104
96
+8
105avg 97
A16/02
Leaders Cup
Cholet
#26
W
101-82
101
82
+19
87avg 97
H26/02
French Cup
Limoges
#14
W
101-77
101
77
+24
116avg 97
H01/03
LNB
Nancy
#9
L
89-97
89
97
-8
105avg 97
A07/03
LNB
Monaco
#12
W
102-99
102
99
+3
103avg 97
A16/03
French Cup
Dijon
#8
L
74-76
74
76
-2
84avg 97
A22/03
LNB
Cholet
#4
W
91-68
91
68
+23
100avg 97
H29/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-15
25-20
32-28
28-23
26-12
19-29
24-26
24-24
17-21
21-24
23-22
27-18
28-14
27-25
22-27
27-30
23-23
30-17
31-18
17-24
27-15
21-20
24-15
29-27
19-29
21-19
22-19
27-30
30-21
22-34
22-20
28-24
13-18
27-15
13-24
21-19
17-22
29-14
21-14
24-18
181.2Avg total
95.5Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)86.082.0168.0+3.957%
Season at home (12)87.479.0166.4+8.475%
Season away (11)84.485.4169.7-1.036%
Last 10 (10)95.585.7181.2+9.880%
Last 5 (5)91.483.4174.8+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)84.076.0160.0+8.0100%
vs Similar (11)91.384.9176.2+6.473%
vs Weaker (17)87.482.0169.4+5.465%
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +1.5+1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +1.5+1.5
ParisLe Mans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H05/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A09/03
LNB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A13/03
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#15
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H15/03
French Cup
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H18/03
Euroleague
Strasbourg
#12
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A21/03
LNB
Fenerbahce
#1
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A25/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A28/03
Euroleague
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
W
56-27
56
27
+29
H30/03
LNB
Real Madrid
#8
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A03/04
Euroleague
88.9Avg total
47.4Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.443.089.5+3.453%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.442.287.6+3.253%-
Last 30 away (13)47.844.291.9+3.654%-
Last 10 (10)47.441.588.9+5.960%-
Last 5 (5)50.242.692.8+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)31.048.079.0-17.00%-
vs Similar (16)46.143.489.4+2.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)48.042.790.7+5.358%-
This opponent (Le Mans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Le MansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chalon/Saone
#7
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H08/02
LNB
Cholet
#5
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A14/02
Leaders Cup
Saint Quentin
#3
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H15/02
Leaders Cup
Monaco
#2
W
55-39
55
39
+16
A16/02
Leaders Cup
Cholet
#26
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H26/02
French Cup
Limoges
#14
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H01/03
LNB
Nancy
#9
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A07/03
LNB
Monaco
#12
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A16/03
French Cup
Dijon
#8
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A22/03
LNB
Cholet
#4
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H29/03
LNB
87.6Avg total
46.9Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.139.783.8+4.363%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.437.981.3+5.679%-
Last 30 away (16)44.641.486.0+3.250%-
Last 10 (10)46.940.787.6+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)45.241.486.6+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)42.036.078.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar (11)44.541.986.5+2.645%-
vs Weaker (17)43.838.582.3+5.471%-
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.5
55.4%
54.3%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.311.7
41.3%
35.3%35.1
🏀 Free throws18.114.2
78.5%
74.9%14.2
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Le Manstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Le Mans: 93.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.720.9
60.2%
54.3%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.011.8
40.7%
35.3%35.4
🏀 Free throws22.716.7
73.6%
74.9%16.7
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paris
LWWLWWWLLL
Le Mans
WLWLWWWWWW
#1
League position
#5
+3.2
Net rating
+11.5
120.7
Offensive rating
126.0
117.5
Defensive rating
114.5
58.3%
Effective FG%
60.6%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
16.4%
Turnover %
17.0%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
36.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.36
41.3%
3-point %
40.7%
57.5%
Assist %
65.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence120.7 · 126.0Defence117.5 · 114.5Shooting58.3% · 60.6%3-point %41.3% · 40.7%Ball care16.4% · 17.0%Off. rebounds31.2% · 36.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Paris   ■ Le Mans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Paris wins
4
Le Mans wins
DateGameScore
15/12/24Le Mans v Paris84-76
06/04/24Le Mans v Paris55-88
27/09/23Paris v Le Mans112-71
25/04/23Le Mans v Paris97-90
06/11/22Paris v Le Mans104-88
05/03/22Le Mans v Paris95-82
24/10/21Paris v Le Mans81-92
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/25AReal Madrid104-105
30/03/25HGravelines-Dunkerque109-66
28/03/25APanathinaikos101-98
25/03/25AFenerbahce100-101
21/03/25AStrasbourg87-79
18/03/25HOlimpia Milano92-79
15/03/25HJL Bourg99-91
13/03/25AZalgiris Kaunas81-83
09/03/25AMonaco63-94
05/03/25HMonaco79-91
Le Manslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/25HCholet91-68
22/03/25ADijon74-76
16/03/25AMonaco102-99
07/03/25ANancy89-97
01/03/25HLimoges101-77
26/02/25HCholet101-82
16/02/25AMonaco104-96
15/02/25HSaint Quentin88-85
14/02/25ACholet93-91
08/02/25HChalon/Saone112-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paris
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW74%
HomeWWWLW91%
AwayLWWLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %74%91%58%
Points / game93.7100.787.3
Allowed / game84.385.583.2
Point differential+9.5+15.3+4.2
Avg total178.0186.2170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%55%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Le Mans
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW57%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayWWLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %57%75%36%
Points / game86.087.484.4
Allowed / game82.079.085.4
Point differential+3.9+8.4-1.0
Avg total168.0166.4169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%42%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco2419579%88.877.4+11.4
2 Paris2317674%93.784.3+9.5
3 Lyon-Villeurbanne2317674%90.482.5+7.9
4 Cholet2417771%85.381.3+4.0
5 JL Bourg2416867%89.182.3+6.8
6 Le Mans23131057%86.082.0+3.9
7 Saint Quentin23121152%77.878.9-1.1
8 Nancy24121250%85.387.8-2.4
9 Dijon24111346%84.185.7-1.6
10 Chalon/Saone24111346%85.787.5-1.9
11 Nanterre24101442%84.485.7-1.2
12 Strasbourg24101442%80.884.2-3.5
13 Limoges2481633%80.085.5-5.5
14 Gravelines-Dunkerque2371630%77.083.1-6.1
15 Le Portel2361726%73.081.2-8.2
16 La Rochelle2432112%72.884.5-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paris31272325106
Le Mans39161929103
← all games of the day
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