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Lebanon vs Australia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 08 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 80-93
14-31 24-27 22-26 20-9
Position#5
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game75.4
vs
Position#1
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game101.4
Allowed / game61.1
EuropeAsia CupRound 2· King Abdullah Sports City
Other2023
Meetings · Lebanon v Australia
08 Aug 2025
LEBA80
AUST93
24 Jul 2022
LEBA73
AUST75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lebanon winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Australia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LebanonLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLebanon
Date
Competition
France
#8
L
79-85
79
85
-6
no box
H29/08
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
W
94-84
94
84
+10
no box
A31/08
World Cup
Iran
#51
W
81-73
81
73
+8
no box
A02/09
World Cup
Syria
#20
W
87-78
87
78
+9
no box
A23/02
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#25
W
94-63
94
63
+31
no box
H26/02
Asia Cup
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
99-77
99
77
+22
99avg 87
A22/11
Asia Cup
Syria
#20
W
89-64
89
64
+25
88avg 87
H25/11
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#25
W
84-78
84
78
+6
84avg 87
A21/02
Asia Cup
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
91-88
91
88
+3
96avg 87
H24/02
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
W
84-80
84
80
+4
68avg 87
A06/08
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
17-19
22-20
20-27
32-20
23-21
18-25
21-18
20-13
28-23
14-13
19-24
28-22
23-14
25-20
11-22
21-13
18-20
29-13
26-17
26-20
22-15
30-19
21-23
33-16
14-18
18-14
24-16
22-15
27-18
19-24
16-21
18-21
25-16
24-31
24-20
16-11
19-24
26-16
23-29
165.2Avg total
88.2Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)89.775.4165.1+14.3100%
Season at home (3)91.371.7163.0+19.7100%
Season away (4)88.578.2166.8+10.2100%
Last 10 (10)88.277.0165.2+11.290%
Last 5 (5)89.477.4166.8+12.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)78.098.6176.6-20.620%
vs Similar (1)73.075.0148.0-2.00%
vs Weaker (24)89.873.0162.8+16.792%
This opponent (Australia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAustralia
Date
Competition
Japan
#28
W
109-89
109
89
+20
no box
H29/08
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
80-91
80
91
-11
no box
A01/09
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
100-84
100
84
+16
no box
H03/09
World Cup
South Korea
#8
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
H22/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
106-51
106
51
+55
no box
A25/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
101-48
101
48
+53
104avg 97
A21/11
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
W
98-75
98
75
+23
99avg 97
A24/11
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
109-58
109
58
+51
109avg 97
H20/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
114-64
114
64
+50
122avg 97
H23/02
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
W
97-61
97
61
+36
93avg 97
H06/08
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
32-18
30-35
22-19
18-28
22-21
22-17
18-25
23-17
31-20
25-30
21-17
14-15
22-25
17-17
32-14
22-12
27-21
22-2
35-16
20-22
30-9
23-9
28-8
19-19
35-13
17-26
27-17
22-4
28-18
27-17
32-19
26-18
30-17
25-18
33-11
25-17
23-14
20-16
29-14
169.1Avg total
99.9Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)101.461.1162.6+40.3100%
Season at home (4)101.263.5164.8+37.8100%
Season away (3)101.758.0159.7+43.7100%
Last 10 (10)99.969.2169.1+30.790%
Last 5 (5)103.861.2165.0+42.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)87.079.0166.0+8.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)88.962.4151.3+26.589%
This opponent (Lebanon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-15-7+0+7+15Q1Q1: +6.6+6.6Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +10.4+10.4Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +11.7+11.7
-15-7+0+7+15Q1Q1: +6.6+6.6Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +10.4+10.4Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +11.7+11.7
LebanonAustralia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LebanonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
France
#8
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H29/08
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A31/08
World Cup
Iran
#51
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A02/09
World Cup
Syria
#20
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A23/02
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#25
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H26/02
Asia Cup
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A22/11
Asia Cup
Syria
#20
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H25/11
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#25
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A21/02
Asia Cup
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H24/02
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A06/08
Asia Cup
81.0Avg total
45.2Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.138.081.1+5.170%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.136.977.9+4.271%-
Last 30 away (16)44.938.983.8+5.969%-
Last 10 (10)45.235.881.0+9.480%-
Last 5 (5)44.434.879.2+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)35.650.886.4-15.20%-
vs Similar (1)28.038.066.0-10.00%-
vs Weaker (24)45.335.380.6+10.088%-
This opponent (Australia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AustraliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Japan
#28
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H29/08
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A01/09
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H03/09
World Cup
South Korea
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H22/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A25/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A21/11
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
W
54-32
54
32
+22
A24/11
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
50-22
50
22
+28
H20/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H23/02
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H06/08
Asia Cup
83.9Avg total
49.4Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)46.932.179.0+14.890%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.432.178.5+14.288%-
Last 30 away (12)47.732.079.7+15.792%-
Last 10 (10)49.434.583.9+14.980%-
Last 5 (5)51.630.281.8+21.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)43.531.074.5+12.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)47.132.179.3+15.089%-
This opponent (Lebanon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lebanontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lebanon: 89.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.9 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.925.4
56.7%
49.3%50.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.4
33.5%
32.7%22.3
🏀 Free throws21.916.6
75.8%
70.1%16.6
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Australiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Australia: 100.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.026.7
59.4%
49.3%53.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.611.3
35.7%
32.7%33.9
🏀 Free throws18.413.6
73.6%
70.1%13.6
They take 76.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/7 games with a box score before 08 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lebanon
WWWWWWWWWL
Australia
WWWWWWWWLW
#5
League position
#1
+19.0
Net rating
+50.6
114.4
Offensive rating
125.0
95.5
Defensive rating
74.3
54.6%
Effective FG%
57.0%
47.0%
Opp. effective FG%
39.5%
17.6%
Turnover %
13.7%
33.7%
Off. rebound %
39.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.24
33.5%
3-point %
35.7%
63.9%
Assist %
68.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence114.4 · 125.0Defence95.5 · 74.3Shooting54.6% · 57.0%3-point %33.5% · 35.7%Ball care17.6% · 13.7%Off. rebounds33.7% · 39.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)90% · 90%
■ Lebanon   ■ Australia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lebanon wins
1
Australia wins
DateGameScore
24/07/22Lebanon v Australia73-75
Lebanonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/08/25AQatar84-80
24/02/25HUnited Arab Emirates91-88
21/02/25ABahrain84-78
25/11/24HSyria89-64
22/11/24AUnited Arab Emirates99-77
26/02/24HBahrain94-63
23/02/24ASyria87-78
02/09/23AIran81-73
31/08/23AIvory Coast94-84
29/08/23HFrance79-85
Australialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/08/25HSouth Korea97-61
23/02/25HThailand114-64
20/02/25HIndonesia109-58
24/11/24ASouth Korea98-75
21/11/24AThailand101-48
25/02/24AIndonesia106-51
22/02/24HSouth Korea85-71
03/09/23HGeorgia100-84
01/09/23ASlovenia80-91
29/08/23HJapan109-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lebanon
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.791.388.5
Allowed / game75.471.778.2
Point differential+14.3+19.7+10.2
Avg total165.1163.0166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Australia
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game101.4101.2101.7
Allowed / game61.163.558.0
Point differential+40.3+37.8+43.7
Avg total162.6164.8159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia770100%101.461.1+40.3
2 Lebanon770100%89.775.4+14.3
3 China87188%90.465.4+25.0
4 Iran87188%76.053.4+22.6
5 New Zealand87188%90.070.0+20.0
6 Jordan87188%78.468.9+9.5
7 Japan86275%80.675.9+4.8
8 Chinese Taipei107370%87.877.8+10.0
9 Saudi Arabia85362%74.172.0+2.1
10 South Korea85362%83.482.0+1.4
11 Qatar137654%72.270.0+2.2
12 Thailand158753%83.083.1-0.1
13 Philippines84450%89.178.4+10.8
14 Guam147750%71.278.0-6.8
15 Iraq157847%73.676.2-2.6
16 Mongolia136746%76.979.2-2.2
17 Malaysia73443%74.075.7-1.7
18 Syria73443%76.380.3-4.0
19 Kuwait52340%73.270.2+3.0
20 United Arab Emirates114736%71.074.5-3.5
21 Kazakhstan62433%53.567.7-14.2
22 India103730%69.181.9-12.8
23 Palestine113827%69.073.7-4.7
24 Vietnam41325%68.070.8-2.8
25 Bahrain82625%75.082.2-7.2
26 Hong Kong112918%65.682.8-17.2
27 Oman5050%57.674.8-17.2
28 Singapore5050%57.476.4-19.0
29 Indonesia6060%62.896.0-33.2
30 Tahiti4040%52.889.8-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lebanon1424222080
Australia312726993
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