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Lefkadas vs Maroussi Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 03 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#9
Record3-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game80.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.4/10
Below normal
4.4/10
Below normal
Position#11
Record1-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game81.5
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 13
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Lefkadas v Maroussi
03 Jan 2027
LEF v MAR
upcoming
16 Dec 2017
LEF59
MAR58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lefkadas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Maroussi win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LefkadasGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLefkadas
Date
Competition
Peiramatiko Machites
#12
L
55-63
55
63
-8
no box
H21/03
A2
Psychikou
#7
W
87-78
87
78
+9
no box
H28/03
A2
Dafni
#13
W
65-54
65
54
+11
no box
A04/04
A2
Kolossos Rhodes
#6
L
75-91
75
91
-16
57avg 67
A03/10
Basket League
PAOK
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
61avg 67
A10/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#14
L
79-80
79
80
-1
74avg 67
H17/10
Basket League
Iraklis
#8
W
94-86 OT
94
86
+8
78avg 67
H24/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#12
W
73-59
73
59
+14
67avg 67
A31/10
Basket League
Aris
#4
L
77-88
77
88
-11
no box
H07/11
Basket League
AEK Athens
#10
W
77-73
77
73
+4
no box
A14/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
11-18
11-11
16-15
30-26
25-21
13-18
19-13
16-20
20-8
22-13
7-13
13-24
24-22
20-21
18-24
18-22
13-20
23-22
19-22
25-17
20-23
18-27
16-13
19-18
22-23
18-26
19-11
23-17
15-11
19-13
16-18
23-32
12-19
19-17
23-20
27-13
18-24
15-22
17-14
151.3Avg total
75.5Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.380.4158.7-2.143%
Season at home (3)83.384.7168.0-1.333%
Season away (4)74.577.2151.8-2.850%
Last 10 (10)75.575.8151.3-0.350%
Last 5 (5)80.077.2157.2+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.386.7168.0-5.333%
vs Similar ◀ (14)77.175.2152.4+1.971%
vs Weaker (13)74.265.9140.2+8.385%
This opponent (Maroussi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaroussiGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaroussi
Date
Competition
Mykonos
#7
L
94-103
94
103
-9
84avg 76
H21/03
Basket League
Iraklis
#8
W
91-72
91
72
+19
86avg 76
A29/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
108-93
108
93
+15
100avg 76
H18/04
Basket League
PAOK
#3
L
85-101
85
101
-16
72avg 76
A25/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#10
L
70-91
70
91
-21
64avg 76
A03/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#12
L
79-82
79
82
-3
71avg 76
H10/10
Basket League
Aris
#4
L
57-74
57
74
-17
49avg 76
A17/10
Basket League
Peristeri
#7
L
81-83
81
83
-2
68avg 76
A24/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#14
W
87-76
87
76
+11
90avg 76
H31/10
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
81-83
81
83
-2
no box
H08/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
23-25
16-31
26-26
21-26
27-21
21-12
22-13
25-23
29-17
29-27
25-26
20-28
26-26
24-26
15-21
12-18
22-28
16-18
20-27
22-21
20-15
21-28
16-18
13-15
15-22
15-23
14-14
23-23
22-24
14-13
22-23
25-9
22-12
23-23
17-32
20-24
21-17
24-22
16-20
169.1Avg total
83.3Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.881.5157.3-5.717%
Season at home (3)82.380.3162.7+2.033%
Season away (3)69.382.7152.0-13.30%
Last 10 (10)83.385.8169.1-2.530%
Last 5 (5)77.079.6156.6-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)80.693.2173.9-12.67%
vs Similar ◀ (14)87.188.4175.5-1.236%
vs Weaker (2)83.079.0162.0+4.050%
This opponent (Lefkadas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -2.7-2.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -2.7-2.7
LefkadasMaroussi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LefkadasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peiramatiko Machites
#12
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H21/03
A2
Psychikou
#7
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H28/03
A2
Dafni
#13
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A04/04
A2
Kolossos Rhodes
#6
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A03/10
Basket League
PAOK
#2
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A10/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#14
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H17/10
Basket League
Iraklis
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H24/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#12
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A31/10
Basket League
Aris
#4
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H07/11
Basket League
AEK Athens
#10
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A14/11
Basket League
78.8Avg total
39.1Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.838.076.9+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.740.178.8-1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)39.035.974.9+3.153%-
Last 10 (10)39.139.778.8-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)40.839.480.2+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.744.780.3-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.640.881.4-0.257%-
vs Weaker (13)37.733.571.2+4.262%-
This opponent (Maroussi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaroussiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mykonos
#7
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H21/03
Basket League
Iraklis
#8
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A29/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H18/04
Basket League
PAOK
#3
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A25/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#10
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A03/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#12
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H10/10
Basket League
Aris
#4
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A17/10
Basket League
Peristeri
#7
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A24/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#14
W
47-21
47
21
+26
H31/10
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H08/11
Basket League
85.2Avg total
43.7Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.344.186.4-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.643.387.9+1.353%-
Last 30 away (15)40.044.984.9-4.927%-
Last 10 (10)43.741.585.2+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.636.477.0+4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.546.987.4-6.421%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.843.687.4+0.250%-
vs Weaker (2)44.528.573.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Lefkadas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lefkadastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lefkadas: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.020.0
51.3%
50.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.4
32.2%
34.4%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.014.2
67.6%
71.8%14.2
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Maroussitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maroussi: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.520.3
54.1%
50.6%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.0
29.6%
34.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.516.5
76.7%
71.8%16.5
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lefkadas
WLWWLLLWWL
Maroussi
LWLLLLLWWL
#9
League position
#11
-4.8
Net rating
-5.1
91.2
Offensive rating
92.3
96.0
Defensive rating
97.4
50.2%
Effective FG%
50.1%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
14.2%
Turnover %
16.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.2%
3-point %
29.6%
48.2%
Assist %
62.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence91.2 · 92.3Defence96.0 · 97.4Shooting50.2% · 50.1%3-point %32.2% · 29.6%Ball care14.2% · 16.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Lefkadas   ■ Maroussi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Lefkadas wins
0
Maroussi wins
DateGameScore
04/04/18Maroussi v Lefkadas81-85
16/12/17Lefkadas v Maroussi59-58
Lefkadaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AAEK Athens77-73
07/11/26HAris77-88
31/10/26AMykonos73-59
24/10/26HIraklis94-86 OT
17/10/26HPromitheas79-80
10/10/26APAOK73-86
03/10/26AKolossos Rhodes75-91
04/04/26ADafni65-54
28/03/26HPsychikou87-78
21/03/26HPeiramatiko Machites55-63
Maroussilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HOlympiacos81-83
31/10/26HPromitheas87-76
24/10/26APeristeri81-83
17/10/26AAris57-74
10/10/26HMykonos79-82
03/10/26AAEK Athens70-91
25/04/26APAOK85-101
18/04/26HKolossos Rhodes108-93
29/03/26AIraklis91-72
21/03/26HMykonos94-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lefkadas
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW43%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game78.383.374.5
Allowed / game80.484.777.2
Point differential-2.1-1.3-2.8
Avg total158.7168.0151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %14%33%0%
Maroussi
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL17%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game75.882.369.3
Allowed / game81.580.382.7
Point differential-5.7+2.0-13.3
Avg total157.3162.7152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos660100%85.867.8+18.0
2 PAOK770100%79.670.4+9.1
3 Panathinaikos65183%89.074.5+14.5
4 Aris65183%84.571.5+13.0
5 AS Karditsas74357%73.771.9+1.9
6 Kolossos Rhodes63350%80.781.8-1.2
7 Peristeri63350%80.587.5-7.0
8 Iraklis73443%80.176.4+3.7
9 Lefkadas73443%78.380.4-2.1
10 AEK Athens72529%75.179.6-4.4
11 Maroussi61517%75.881.5-5.7
12 Mykonos61517%73.584.5-11.0
13 Vikos61517%74.787.3-12.7
14 Promitheas71614%73.388.3-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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