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Lefkadas vs PAOK Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 14 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record1-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game85.8
vs
Position#3
Record4-0
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game76.0
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 19
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Lefkadas v PAOK
14 Feb 2027
LEF v PAK
upcoming
08 Oct 2016
LEF84
PAK78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lefkadas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
PAOK win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LefkadasGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panerythraikos
#11
W
80-79
80
79
+1
A07/03
A2
Volos
#14
W
64-53
64
53
+11
H14/03
A2
Koroivos
#9
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A18/03
A2
Peiramatiko Machites
#12
L
55-63
55
63
-8
H21/03
A2
Psychikou
#7
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H28/03
A2
Dafni
#13
W
65-54
65
54
+11
A04/04
A2
Kolossos Rhodes
#6
L
75-91
75
91
-16
A03/10
Basket League
PAOK
#3
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A10/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#12
L
79-80
79
80
-1
H17/10
Basket League
Iraklis
#9
W
94-86 OT
94
86
+8
H24/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
21-19
29-16
14-20
9-8
19-15
13-20
23-10
13-23
19-17
27-18
14-10
17-19
11-18
11-11
16-15
30-26
25-21
13-18
19-13
16-20
20-8
22-13
7-13
13-24
24-22
20-21
18-24
18-22
13-20
23-22
19-22
25-17
20-23
18-27
16-13
19-18
22-23
18-26
19-11
148.3Avg total
74.5Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.285.8166.0-5.525%
Season at home (2)86.583.0169.5+3.550%
Season away (2)74.088.5162.5-14.50%
Last 10 (10)74.573.8148.3+0.760%
Last 5 (5)77.279.4156.6-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)80.787.7168.3-7.033%
vs Similar (14)77.073.2150.2+3.879%
vs Weaker (13)74.566.5141.1+8.085%
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
L
94-102
94
102
-8
H30/05
Basket League
Manresa
#10
W
93-78
93
78
+15
H30/09
Eurocup
Mykonos
#10
W
88-85
88
85
+3
A03/10
Basket League
KK Bosna
#21
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A06/10
Eurocup
Lefkadas
#11
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H10/10
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#13
L
86-95
86
95
-9
A13/10
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#6
W
88-84
88
84
+4
A17/10
Basket League
Ulm
#9
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H21/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#7
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H24/10
Basket League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
81-84
81
84
-3
A27/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
20-27
20-28
27-30
21-20
19-21
18-15
35-22
14-17
18-20
28-21
28-27
22-18
18-17
19-26
16-11
22-18
20-13
22-23
22-19
22-23
18-27
24-24
22-21
19-21
28-26
15-19
26-18
19-20
27-22
13-13
28-23
20-15
5-14
22-15
18-18
23-26
17-26
18-11
23-21
165.6Avg total
84.3Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.876.0157.8+5.8100%
Season at home (2)75.567.5143.0+8.0100%
Season away (2)88.084.5172.5+3.5100%
Last 10 (10)84.381.3165.6+3.070%
Last 5 (5)81.480.6162.0+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)83.890.2174.0-6.422%
vs Similar (11)83.579.9163.5+3.664%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)88.778.6167.3+10.1100%
This opponent (Lefkadas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +3.5+3.5
LefkadasPAOK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LefkadasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panerythraikos
#11
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A07/03
A2
Volos
#14
W
28-23
28
23
+5
H14/03
A2
Koroivos
#9
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A18/03
A2
Peiramatiko Machites
#12
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H21/03
A2
Psychikou
#7
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H28/03
A2
Dafni
#13
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A04/04
A2
Kolossos Rhodes
#6
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A03/10
Basket League
PAOK
#3
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A10/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#12
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H17/10
Basket League
Iraklis
#9
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H24/10
Basket League
75.7Avg total
37.0Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.137.276.3+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.338.477.8+0.962%-
Last 30 away (14)38.835.874.6+3.050%-
Last 10 (10)37.038.775.7-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)38.039.477.4-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)36.343.079.3-6.70%-
vs Similar (14)40.838.979.7+1.964%-
vs Weaker (13)37.834.071.8+3.862%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H30/05
Basket League
Manresa
#10
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H30/09
Eurocup
Mykonos
#10
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A03/10
Basket League
KK Bosna
#21
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A06/10
Eurocup
Lefkadas
#11
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H10/10
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#13
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A13/10
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#6
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A17/10
Basket League
Ulm
#9
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H21/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#7
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H24/10
Basket League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A27/10
Eurocup
80.7Avg total
39.9Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.240.682.8+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.739.684.2+5.169%-
Last 30 away (14)39.341.881.1-2.536%-
Last 10 (10)39.940.880.7-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)39.644.083.6-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)42.043.685.6-1.644%-
vs Similar (11)41.439.981.3+1.564%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)43.238.781.9+4.550%-
This opponent (Lefkadas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lefkadastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lefkadas: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.5 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.520.2
51.3%
51.0%40.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.2
32.6%
34.2%21.8
🏀 Free throws22.515.0
66.7%
70.8%15.0
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.920.1
59.3%
51.0%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.5
31.5%
34.2%25.5
🏀 Free throws24.418.4
75.4%
70.8%18.4
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lefkadas
WLLLWWLWWW
PAOK
LWWWLWWWWL
#11
League position
#3
-10.1
Net rating
+3.5
91.6
Offensive rating
103.9
101.6
Defensive rating
100.4
50.4%
Effective FG%
53.9%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
58.4%
14.1%
Turnover %
14.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.40
32.6%
3-point %
31.5%
48.2%
Assist %
57.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence91.6 · 103.9Defence101.6 · 100.4Shooting50.4% · 53.9%3-point %32.6% · 31.5%Ball care14.1% · 14.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Lefkadas   ■ PAOK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Lefkadas wins
2
PAOK wins
DateGameScore
10/10/26PAOK v Lefkadas86-73
21/01/17PAOK v Lefkadas84-67
08/10/16Lefkadas v PAOK84-78
Lefkadaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HIraklis94-86 OT
17/10/26HPromitheas79-80
10/10/26APAOK73-86
03/10/26AKolossos Rhodes75-91
04/04/26ADafni65-54
28/03/26HPsychikou87-78
21/03/26HPeiramatiko Machites55-63
18/03/26AKoroivos73-68
14/03/26HVolos64-53
07/03/26APanerythraikos80-79
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/26ABahcesehir Kol.81-84
24/10/26HAEK Athens65-62
21/10/26HUlm87-78
17/10/26AKolossos Rhodes88-84
13/10/26ALietkabelis86-95
10/10/26HLefkadas86-73
06/10/26AKK Bosna75-72
03/10/26AMykonos88-85
30/09/26HManresa93-78
30/05/26HPanathinaikos94-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lefkadas
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game80.286.574.0
Allowed / game85.883.088.5
Point differential-5.5+3.5-14.5
Avg total166.0169.5162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %25%50%0%
PAOK
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game81.875.588.0
Allowed / game76.067.584.5
Point differential+5.8+8.0+3.5
Avg total157.8143.0172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos440100%90.068.0+22.0
2 Olympiacos440100%85.266.0+19.2
3 PAOK440100%81.876.0+5.8
4 Aris43175%79.565.2+14.2
5 Peristeri43175%85.888.2-2.5
6 Kolossos Rhodes42250%84.583.0+1.5
7 AEK Athens42250%73.875.5-1.8
8 AS Karditsas42250%69.072.8-3.8
9 Iraklis41325%78.579.0-0.5
10 Mykonos41325%79.584.8-5.2
11 Lefkadas41325%80.285.8-5.5
12 Promitheas41325%68.085.5-17.5
13 Maroussi4040%71.882.5-10.8
14 Vikos4040%71.586.8-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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