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Lefkadas vs PAOK Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 14 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#9
Record3-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game80.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.4/10
Below normal
2.8/10
🧊 Cold
Position#2
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game70.4
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 19
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Lefkadas v PAOK
14 Feb 2027
LEF v PAK
upcoming
08 Oct 2016
LEF84
PAK78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lefkadas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
PAOK win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LefkadasGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLefkadas
Date
Competition
Peiramatiko Machites
#12
L
55-63
55
63
-8
no box
H21/03
A2
Psychikou
#7
W
87-78
87
78
+9
no box
H28/03
A2
Dafni
#13
W
65-54
65
54
+11
no box
A04/04
A2
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
75-91
75
91
-16
57avg 67
A03/10
Basket League
PAOK
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
61avg 67
A10/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#14
L
79-80
79
80
-1
74avg 67
H17/10
Basket League
Iraklis
#7
W
94-86 OT
94
86
+8
78avg 67
H24/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#13
W
73-59
73
59
+14
67avg 67
A31/10
Basket League
Aris
#4
L
77-88
77
88
-11
no box
H07/11
Basket League
AEK Athens
#10
W
77-73
77
73
+4
no box
A14/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
11-18
11-11
16-15
30-26
25-21
13-18
19-13
16-20
20-8
22-13
7-13
13-24
24-22
20-21
18-24
18-22
13-20
23-22
19-22
25-17
20-23
18-27
16-13
19-18
22-23
18-26
19-11
23-17
15-11
19-13
16-18
23-32
12-19
19-17
23-20
27-13
18-24
15-22
17-14
151.3Avg total
75.5Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.380.4158.7-2.143%
Season at home (3)83.384.7168.0-1.333%
Season away (4)74.577.2151.8-2.850%
Last 10 (10)75.575.8151.3-0.350%
Last 5 (5)80.077.2157.2+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)81.386.7168.0-5.333%
vs Similar (14)77.175.2152.4+1.971%
vs Weaker (13)74.265.9140.2+8.385%
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#21
L
86-95
86
95
-9
76avg 78
A13/10
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
88-84
88
84
+4
88avg 78
A17/10
Basket League
Ulm
#15
W
87-78
87
78
+9
78avg 78
H21/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#10
W
65-62
65
62
+3
53avg 78
H24/10
Basket League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
81-84
81
84
-3
77avg 78
A27/10
Eurocup
Iraklis
#7
W
63-53
63
53
+10
58avg 78
A31/10
Basket League
BC Roma
#18
W
113-111
113
111
+2
no box
H03/11
Eurocup
Vikos
#12
W
93-67
93
67
+26
no box
H07/11
Basket League
Balkan
#32
W
79-56
79
56
+23
no box
A10/11
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#5
W
74-69
74
69
+5
no box
A14/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
18-27
24-24
22-21
19-21
28-26
15-19
26-18
19-20
27-22
13-13
28-23
20-15
5-14
22-15
18-18
23-26
17-26
18-11
23-21
19-17
15-14
13-11
16-11
29-22
32-38
31-26
21-25
30-15
24-18
20-11
19-23
19-12
34-20
19-9
7-15
14-15
21-13
16-17
23-24
158.8Avg total
82.9Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.670.4150.0+9.1100%
Season at home (3)81.367.3148.7+14.0100%
Season away (4)78.272.8151.0+5.5100%
Last 10 (10)82.975.9158.8+7.080%
Last 5 (5)84.471.2155.6+13.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)84.989.1174.0-4.329%
vs Similar (6)83.278.2161.3+5.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)86.377.0163.3+9.394%
This opponent (Lefkadas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.4+0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.4+0.4
LefkadasPAOK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LefkadasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peiramatiko Machites
#12
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H21/03
A2
Psychikou
#7
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H28/03
A2
Dafni
#13
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A04/04
A2
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A03/10
Basket League
PAOK
#2
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A10/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#14
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H17/10
Basket League
Iraklis
#7
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H24/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#13
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A31/10
Basket League
Aris
#4
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H07/11
Basket League
AEK Athens
#10
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A14/11
Basket League
78.8Avg total
39.1Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.838.076.9+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.740.178.8-1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)39.035.974.9+3.153%-
Last 10 (10)39.139.778.8-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)40.839.480.2+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)35.744.780.3-9.00%-
vs Similar (14)40.640.881.4-0.257%-
vs Weaker (13)37.733.571.2+4.262%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#21
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A13/10
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A17/10
Basket League
Ulm
#15
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H21/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#10
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H24/10
Basket League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A27/10
Eurocup
Iraklis
#7
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A31/10
Basket League
BC Roma
#18
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H03/11
Eurocup
Vikos
#12
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H07/11
Basket League
Balkan
#32
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A10/11
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#5
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A14/11
Basket League
83.9Avg total
43.5Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.040.383.3+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.340.787.0+5.573%-
Last 30 away (15)39.739.979.6-0.347%-
Last 10 (10)43.540.483.9+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)47.436.884.2+10.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.144.186.3-2.043%-
vs Similar (6)40.539.880.3+0.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.238.983.1+5.265%-
This opponent (Lefkadas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lefkadastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lefkadas: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.020.0
51.3%
50.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.4
32.2%
34.4%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.014.2
67.6%
71.8%14.2
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.818.5
58.2%
50.6%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.5
31.7%
34.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws24.918.5
74.3%
71.8%18.5
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lefkadas
WLWWLLLWWL
PAOK
WWWWWLWWWL
#9
League position
#2
-4.8
Net rating
+5.7
91.2
Offensive rating
100.7
96.0
Defensive rating
94.9
50.2%
Effective FG%
53.3%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
14.2%
Turnover %
15.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.42
32.2%
3-point %
31.7%
48.2%
Assist %
55.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence91.2 · 100.7Defence96.0 · 94.9Shooting50.2% · 53.3%3-point %32.2% · 31.7%Ball care14.2% · 15.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Lefkadas   ■ PAOK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Lefkadas wins
2
PAOK wins
DateGameScore
10/10/26PAOK v Lefkadas86-73
21/01/17PAOK v Lefkadas84-67
08/10/16Lefkadas v PAOK84-78
Lefkadaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AAEK Athens77-73
07/11/26HAris77-88
31/10/26AMykonos73-59
24/10/26HIraklis94-86 OT
17/10/26HPromitheas79-80
10/10/26APAOK73-86
03/10/26AKolossos Rhodes75-91
04/04/26ADafni65-54
28/03/26HPsychikou87-78
21/03/26HPeiramatiko Machites55-63
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AAS Karditsas74-69
10/11/26ABalkan79-56
07/11/26HVikos93-67
03/11/26HBC Roma113-111
31/10/26AIraklis63-53
27/10/26ABahcesehir Kol.81-84
24/10/26HAEK Athens65-62
21/10/26HUlm87-78
17/10/26AKolossos Rhodes88-84
13/10/26ALietkabelis86-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lefkadas
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW43%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game78.383.374.5
Allowed / game80.484.777.2
Point differential-2.1-1.3-2.8
Avg total158.7168.0151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %14%33%0%
PAOK
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game79.681.378.2
Allowed / game70.467.372.8
Point differential+9.1+14.0+5.5
Avg total150.0148.7151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos660100%85.867.8+18.0
2 PAOK770100%79.670.4+9.1
3 Panathinaikos76186%87.474.3+13.1
4 Aris65183%84.571.5+13.0
5 AS Karditsas74357%73.771.9+1.9
6 Peristeri74357%81.084.6-3.6
7 Iraklis73443%80.176.4+3.7
8 Kolossos Rhodes73443%79.681.3-1.7
9 Lefkadas73443%78.380.4-2.1
10 AEK Athens72529%75.179.6-4.4
11 Maroussi61517%75.881.5-5.7
12 Vikos61517%74.787.3-12.7
13 Mykonos71614%72.684.4-11.9
14 Promitheas71614%73.388.3-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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