PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

PAOK vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 May 2026
Tip-off: 11:50
Final 94-102
27-17 20-27 20-28 27-30
Position#3
Record19-8
FormWLWWL
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Position#2
Record22-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game78.4
GreeceBasket LeagueBasket League - Semi-finals· P.A.O.K. Sports Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · PAOK v Panathinaikos
27 Dec 2026
PAK v PAO
upcoming
30 May 2026
PAK94
PAO102
18 Jan 2026
PAK69
PAO74
12 Oct 2024
PAK93
PAO96
18 May 2024
PAK96
PAO99
17 Mar 2024
PAK73
PAO89
29 Sep 2023
PAK64
PAO77
13 Mar 2023
PAK81
PAO73
07 Nov 2021
PAK64
PAO81
18 Apr 2021
PAK68
PAO74
19 Oct 2019
PAK88
PAO104
17 Feb 2019
PAK73
PAO79
16 Dec 2018
PAK83
PAO93
29 May 2018
PAK72
PAO88
04 Feb 2018
PAK74
PAO91
08 Jan 2017
PAK68
PAO72
02 Jun 2015
PAK65
PAO83
22 Feb 2015
PAK68
PAO71
04 Jan 2015
PAK71
PAO54
19 May 2014
PAK65
PAO72
06 Apr 2014
PAK71
PAO82
18 May 2013
PAK61
PAO71
10 Dec 2011
PAK60
PAO77
21 May 2011
PAK69
PAO75
22 Jan 2011
PAK61
PAO84
07 Mar 2010
PAK74
PAO82
27 Apr 2009
PAK78
PAO82
11 Apr 2009
PAK77
PAO76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAOK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
AS Karditsas
#11
W
93-90
93
90
+3
84avg 79
H04/04
Basket League
Murcia
#2
L
85-89
85
89
-4
75avg 79
A08/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Aris
#5
W
88-77
88
77
+11
83avg 79
H15/04
Basket League
Iraklis
#8
W
76-72
76
72
+4
71avg 79
A18/04
Basket League
Bilbao
#1
W
79-73
79
73
+6
77avg 79
H22/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Maroussi
#12
W
101-85
101
85
+16
99avg 79
H25/04
Basket League
Bilbao
#1
L
74-89
74
89
-15
58avg 79
A29/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Peristeri
#6
W
91-79
91
79
+12
86avg 79
H03/05
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
W
77-72
77
72
+5
76avg 79
A06/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
102-114 OT
102
114
-12
101avg 79
A28/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
22-20
24-24
29-20
19-20
21-27
20-16
25-26
29-19
20-25
21-15
18-18
19-16
18-23
22-8
17-25
16-13
27-22
17-18
19-20
28-20
26-26
26-24
21-15
23-19
18-24
16-27
17-19
23-19
25-22
16-19
27-19
23-15
13-20
18-16
23-21
24-23
26-22
25-32
21-19
170.6Avg total
86.6Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)84.781.6166.4+3.170%
Season at home (13)88.781.2169.8+7.577%
Season away (14)81.182.1163.1-1.064%
Last 10 (10)86.684.0170.6+2.670%
Last 5 (5)89.087.8176.8+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)80.188.3168.4-8.222%
vs Similar (7)82.679.4162.0+3.157%
vs Weaker (14)89.877.8167.6+12.093%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Monaco
#10
W
87-79
87
79
+8
79avg 84
H21/04
Euroleague
Mykonos
#7
W
97-76
97
76
+21
92avg 84
H25/04
Basket League
Valencia
#3
W
68-67
68
67
+1
60avg 84
A28/04
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
107-105 OT
107
105
+2
100avg 84
A30/04
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
87-91
87
91
-4
84avg 84
H06/05
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
86-89
86
89
-3
76avg 84
H08/05
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
64-81
64
81
-17
53avg 84
A13/05
Euroleague
Mykonos
#7
W
99-75
99
75
+24
98avg 84
H15/05
Basket League
Mykonos
#7
W
90-76
90
76
+14
88avg 84
A17/05
Basket League
PAOK
#3
W
114-102 OT
114
102
+12
108avg 84
H28/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-14
26-20
17-23
21-22
25-18
25-17
19-18
28-23
23-15
16-17
15-17
14-18
24-23
25-25
25-23
21-24
18-24
21-28
27-23
21-16
15-26
22-18
19-16
30-29
10-14
13-21
27-21
14-25
31-9
25-22
26-22
17-22
19-18
25-21
26-22
20-15
23-24
22-26
32-25
19-21
174.0Avg total
89.9Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)92.278.4170.6+13.881%
Season at home (14)96.883.1179.9+13.686%
Season away (13)87.273.3160.5+13.977%
Last 10 (10)89.984.1174.0+5.870%
Last 5 (5)90.684.6175.2+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)87.093.5180.5-6.50%
vs Similar (16)88.588.6177.1-0.156%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)90.975.8166.7+15.275%
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -1.0-1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -1.0-1.0
PAOKPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AS Karditsas
#11
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H04/04
Basket League
Murcia
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A08/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Aris
#5
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H15/04
Basket League
Iraklis
#8
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A18/04
Basket League
Bilbao
#1
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H22/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Maroussi
#12
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H25/04
Basket League
Bilbao
#1
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A29/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Peristeri
#6
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H03/05
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A06/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A28/05
Basket League
85.9Avg total
43.8Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.739.982.6+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.439.886.2+6.671%-
Last 30 away (16)39.539.979.4-0.438%-
Last 10 (10)43.842.185.9+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)45.842.087.8+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)39.743.182.8-3.433%-
vs Similar (7)41.338.780.0+2.671%-
vs Weaker (14)45.438.483.8+7.157%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#10
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H21/04
Euroleague
Mykonos
#7
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H25/04
Basket League
Valencia
#3
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A28/04
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A30/04
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H06/05
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H08/05
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A13/05
Euroleague
Mykonos
#7
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H15/05
Basket League
Mykonos
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A17/05
Basket League
PAOK
#3
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H28/05
Basket League
83.1Avg total
43.1Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.941.485.3+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.644.990.4+0.750%-
Last 30 away (14)42.037.479.4+4.664%-
Last 10 (10)43.140.083.1+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)41.039.880.8+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.550.086.5-13.50%-
vs Similar (16)43.343.787.0-0.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)45.936.982.8+9.075%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.919.4
57.2%
54.1%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.511.0
37.3%
34.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws19.214.5
75.5%
74.4%14.5
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers23.717.1
72.2%
54.1%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.7
35.4%
34.9%29.1
🏀 Free throws10.68.7
82.1%
74.4%8.7
They take 51.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
PAOK
LWWLWWWWLW
Panathinaikos
WWWLLLWWWW
#3
League position
#2
+2.9
Net rating
+10.8
100.8
Offensive rating
60.9
97.9
Defensive rating
50.1
56.6%
Effective FG%
61.9%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
61.9%
16.1%
Turnover %
15.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.21
37.3%
3-point %
35.4%
56.2%
Assist %
71.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.8 · 60.9Defence97.9 · 50.1Shooting56.6% · 61.9%3-point %37.3% · 35.4%Ball care16.1% · 15.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ PAOK   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
PAOK wins
10
Panathinaikos wins
DateGameScore
28/05/26Panathinaikos v PAOK114-102 OT
18/01/26PAOK v Panathinaikos69-74
05/10/25Panathinaikos v PAOK93-83
05/01/25Panathinaikos v PAOK100-81
12/10/24PAOK v Panathinaikos93-96
18/05/24PAOK v Panathinaikos96-99 OT
16/05/24Panathinaikos v PAOK84-66
17/03/24PAOK v Panathinaikos73-89
10/12/23Panathinaikos v PAOK97-85
29/09/23PAOK v Panathinaikos64-77
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/05/26APanathinaikos102-114 OT
06/05/26APeristeri77-72
03/05/26HPeristeri91-79
29/04/26ABilbao74-89
25/04/26HMaroussi101-85
22/04/26HBilbao79-73
18/04/26AIraklis76-72
15/04/26HAris88-77
08/04/26AMurcia85-89
04/04/26HAS Karditsas93-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/05/26HPAOK114-102 OT
17/05/26AMykonos90-76
15/05/26HMykonos99-75
13/05/26AValencia64-81
08/05/26HValencia86-89
06/05/26HValencia87-91
30/04/26AValencia107-105 OT
28/04/26AValencia68-67
25/04/26HMykonos97-76
21/04/26HMonaco87-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PAOK
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL70%
HomeWWWWW77%
AwayLLWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %70%77%64%
Points / game84.788.781.1
Allowed / game81.681.282.1
Point differential+3.1+7.5-1.0
Avg total166.4169.8163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%62%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won82% (11)67% (3)88% (8)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Panathinaikos
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayWLWWW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %81%86%77%
Points / game92.296.887.2
Allowed / game78.483.173.3
Point differential+13.8+13.6+13.9
Avg total170.6179.9160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%64%69%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %7%7%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos27270100%97.978.4+19.5
2 Panathinaikos2722581%92.278.4+13.8
3 PAOK2719870%84.781.6+3.1
4 AEK Athens28181064%84.081.0+3.0
5 Aris27151256%84.682.0+2.6
6 Peristeri26141254%78.779.6-1.0
7 Mykonos2691735%79.787.9-8.2
8 Iraklis2481633%80.084.6-4.6
9 Promitheas2481633%84.090.2-6.2
10 Kolossos Rhodes2681831%81.287.3-6.1
11 AS Karditsas2471729%79.084.8-5.7
12 Maroussi2461825%85.892.1-6.3
13 Panionios2461825%77.585.6-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
PAOK2720202794
Panathinaikos17272830102
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.