PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Lefkadas vs Peristeri Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Projected 76-80
Projected total 155.8
Scheduled
Position#9
Record2-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game81.7
Lefkadas
Greece
Vs
35%
65%
■ LEF 35%■ PER 65%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.4/10
Below normal
5.2/10
Around normal
Peristeri
Greece
Position#7
Record3-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game87.5
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 8
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Lefkadas v Peristeri
21 Nov 2026
LEF v PER
upcoming
18 Nov 2017
LEF67
PER72
23 Jan 2016
LEF74
PER67
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Lefkadas host Peristeri in the Greek Basket League. Pythia makes Peristeri the favourite at 65% and projects 76-80, about 156 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Lefkadas are 2-4 this season (78.5 scored, 81.7 allowed a game), form LLWWL; Peristeri are 3-3 this season (80.5 scored, 87.5 allowed a game), form WWLLW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lefkadas win
35.4%fair 2.82
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Peristeri win
64.6%fair 1.55
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LefkadasGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLefkadas
Date
Competition
Koroivos
#9
W
73-68
73
68
+5
no box
A18/03
A2
Peiramatiko Machites
#12
L
55-63
55
63
-8
no box
H21/03
A2
Psychikou
#7
W
87-78
87
78
+9
no box
H28/03
A2
Dafni
#13
W
65-54
65
54
+11
no box
A04/04
A2
Kolossos Rhodes
#6
L
75-91
75
91
-16
57avg 67
A03/10
Basket League
PAOK
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
61avg 67
A10/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#14
L
79-80
79
80
-1
74avg 67
H17/10
Basket League
Iraklis
#8
W
94-86 OT
94
86
+8
78avg 67
H24/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#12
W
73-59
73
59
+14
67avg 67
A31/10
Basket League
Aris
#4
L
77-88
77
88
-11
no box
H07/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-23
19-17
27-18
14-10
17-19
11-18
11-11
16-15
30-26
25-21
13-18
19-13
16-20
20-8
22-13
7-13
13-24
24-22
20-21
18-24
18-22
13-20
23-22
19-22
25-17
20-23
18-27
16-13
19-18
22-23
18-26
19-11
23-17
15-11
19-13
16-18
23-32
12-19
19-17
23-20
150.4Avg total
75.1Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)78.581.7160.2-3.233%
Season at home (3)83.384.7168.0-1.333%
Season away (3)73.778.7152.3-5.033%
Last 10 (10)75.175.3150.4-0.250%
Last 5 (5)79.279.8159.0-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.386.7168.0-5.333%
vs Similar ◀ (14)77.174.6151.7+2.471%
vs Weaker (13)74.265.9140.2+8.385%
This opponent (Peristeri) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PeristeriGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPeristeri
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#14
W
94-88
94
88
+6
84avg 74
A03/10
Basket League
Bamberg
#53
W
93-87
93
87
+6
94avg 74
H06/10
Champions League
Iraklis
#8
W
91-89 OT
91
89
+2
70avg 74
H10/10
Basket League
Varese
#37
W
85-82
85
82
+3
82avg 74
A13/10
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#3
L
75-95
75
95
-20
63avg 74
A18/10
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
83-81
83
81
+2
79avg 74
H24/10
Basket League
Murcia
#4
W
80-72
80
72
+8
68avg 74
A27/10
Champions League
Olympiacos
#1
L
62-91
62
91
-29
55avg 74
A01/11
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#6
L
78-81
78
81
-3
no box
A07/11
Basket League
Varese
#37
W
101-96
101
96
+5
no box
H11/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-31
21-17
26-23
26-17
18-22
35-20
17-22
23-23
19-21
16-31
24-18
20-9
26-27
11-25
27-12
21-18
13-26
16-26
17-23
29-20
23-23
24-22
13-14
23-22
16-15
17-17
27-18
20-22
18-25
12-23
12-28
20-15
23-15
19-25
17-17
19-24
28-20
30-27
21-17
22-32
170.4Avg total
84.2Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.587.5168.0-7.050%
Season at home (2)87.085.0172.0+2.0100%
Season away (4)77.288.8166.0-11.525%
Last 10 (10)84.286.2170.4-2.070%
Last 5 (5)80.884.2165.0-3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.688.0165.6-10.429%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.379.2158.5+0.267%
vs Weaker (11)87.480.5167.8+6.991%
This opponent (Lefkadas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%0%1101%1151%1202%1254%1306%1358%14010%14511%15012%15511%16010%1657%1705%1753%1802%1851%1901%1950%200
1%1152%1256%13510%14512%15510%1655%1752%1851%195
Pythia expects about 156 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 155-159 (12%).
Over/Under 156.5
Over 156.5
47.6%
Under 156.5
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 161.5
Over 161.5
36.1%
Under 161.5
63.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 166.5
Over 166.5
25.8%
Under 166.5
74.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Lefkadas total 78.5
Over 78.5
39.2%
Under 78.5
60.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lefkadas total 82.5
Over 82.5
26.0%
Under 82.5
74.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lefkadas total 86.5
Over 86.5
15.6%
Under 86.5
84.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peristeri total 75
Over 75
69.4%
Under 75
30.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peristeri total 79
Over 79
54.3%
Under 79
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peristeri total 83
Over 83
38.5%
Under 83
61.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

3%5%8%10%0%-390%-361%-331%-302%-273%-245%-216%-187%-158%-129%-910%-69%-36%+08%+37%+65%+94%+123%+152%+181%+211%+241%+27
0%-361%-303%-246%-188%-1210%-66%+07%+64%+122%+181%+24
Margin from Lefkadas's side (positive = Lefkadas win). Pythia's expected margin is -4.4; Lefkadas win by 1+ in 31% of simulations.
Spread Lefkadas -3
LEF -3
27.5%
PER +3
72.5%
Best 5 market prices
LEF
No market prices yet.
PER
No market prices yet.
Spread Lefkadas 0
LEF 0
35.4%
PER 0
64.6%
Best 5 market prices
LEF
No market prices yet.
PER
No market prices yet.
Spread Lefkadas +3
LEF +3
43.6%
PER -3
56.4%
Best 5 market prices
LEF
No market prices yet.
PER
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +2.1+2.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +2.1+2.1
LefkadasPeristeri
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LefkadasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Koroivos
#9
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A18/03
A2
Peiramatiko Machites
#12
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H21/03
A2
Psychikou
#7
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H28/03
A2
Dafni
#13
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A04/04
A2
Kolossos Rhodes
#6
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A03/10
Basket League
PAOK
#2
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A10/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#14
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H17/10
Basket League
Iraklis
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H24/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#12
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A31/10
Basket League
Aris
#4
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H07/11
Basket League
77.8Avg total
37.8Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.837.876.6+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.039.578.5-0.556%-
Last 30 away (14)38.635.974.4+2.750%-
Last 10 (10)37.840.077.8-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.040.478.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.744.780.3-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.540.380.8+0.257%-
vs Weaker (13)37.733.571.2+4.262%-
This opponent (Peristeri) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PeristeriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#14
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A03/10
Basket League
Bamberg
#53
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H06/10
Champions League
Iraklis
#8
L
35-52
35
52
-17
H10/10
Basket League
Varese
#37
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A13/10
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#3
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A18/10
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H24/10
Basket League
Murcia
#4
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A27/10
Champions League
Olympiacos
#1
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A01/11
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#6
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A07/11
Basket League
Varese
#37
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H11/11
Champions League
86.4Avg total
40.6Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.441.381.7-0.953%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.939.982.7+3.064%-
Last 30 away (16)38.342.680.9-4.244%-
Last 10 (10)40.645.886.4-5.250%-
Last 5 (5)42.042.484.4-0.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.744.981.6-8.143%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.238.877.9+0.450%-
vs Weaker (11)44.241.886.0+2.464%-
This opponent (Lefkadas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lefkadastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lefkadas: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.020.0
51.3%
50.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.4
32.2%
34.4%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.014.2
67.6%
71.8%14.2
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Peristeritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Peristeri: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.8
52.9%
50.6%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.49.2
31.3%
34.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.414.2
69.6%
71.8%14.2
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lefkadas
LWWLLLWWLW
Peristeri
WLLWWLWWWW
#9
League position
#7
-4.8
Net rating
-3.9
91.2
Offensive rating
90.8
96.0
Defensive rating
94.7
50.2%
Effective FG%
50.3%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
14.2%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.2%
3-point %
31.3%
48.2%
Assist %
58.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence91.2 · 90.8Defence96.0 · 94.7Shooting50.2% · 50.3%3-point %32.2% · 31.3%Ball care14.2% · 16.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Lefkadas   ■ Peristeri
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Lefkadas wins
3
Peristeri wins
DateGameScore
10/03/18Peristeri v Lefkadas82-64
18/11/17Lefkadas v Peristeri67-72
21/05/16Peristeri v Lefkadas59-54
23/01/16Lefkadas v Peristeri74-67
Lefkadaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HAris77-88
31/10/26AMykonos73-59
24/10/26HIraklis94-86 OT
17/10/26HPromitheas79-80
10/10/26APAOK73-86
03/10/26AKolossos Rhodes75-91
04/04/26ADafni65-54
28/03/26HPsychikou87-78
21/03/26HPeiramatiko Machites55-63
18/03/26AKoroivos73-68
Peristerilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HVarese101-96
07/11/26AKolossos Rhodes78-81
01/11/26AOlympiacos62-91
27/10/26AMurcia80-72
24/10/26HMaroussi83-81
18/10/26APanathinaikos75-95
13/10/26AVarese85-82
10/10/26HIraklis91-89 OT
06/10/26HBamberg93-87
03/10/26APromitheas94-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lefkadas
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL33%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game78.583.373.7
Allowed / game81.784.778.7
Point differential-3.2-1.3-5.0
Avg total160.2168.0152.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %17%33%0%
Peristeri
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%100%25%
Points / game80.587.077.2
Allowed / game87.585.088.8
Point differential-7.0+2.0-11.5
Avg total168.0172.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %17%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos660100%85.867.8+18.0
2 PAOK660100%80.570.7+9.8
3 Panathinaikos65183%89.074.5+14.5
4 Aris65183%84.571.5+13.0
5 AS Karditsas64267%74.571.5+3.0
6 Kolossos Rhodes63350%80.781.8-1.2
7 Peristeri63350%80.587.5-7.0
8 Iraklis62433%77.073.8+3.2
9 Lefkadas62433%78.581.7-3.2
10 AEK Athens62433%75.580.0-4.5
11 Maroussi61517%75.881.5-5.7
12 Mykonos61517%73.584.5-11.0
13 Vikos61517%74.787.3-12.7
14 Promitheas61517%70.286.5-16.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.