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Lefkadas vs Peristeri Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Projected 76-80
Projected total 155.8
Scheduled
Position#9
Record3-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game80.4
Vs
35%
65%
■ LEF 35%■ PER 65%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.4/10
Below normal
5.2/10
Around normal
Position#6
Record4-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game84.6
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 8
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Lefkadas v Peristeri
21 Nov 2026
LEF v PER
upcoming
18 Nov 2017
LEF67
PER72
23 Jan 2016
LEF74
PER67
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Lefkadas host Peristeri in the Greek Basket League. Pythia makes Peristeri the favourite at 65% and projects 76-80, about 156 points in all (over 162.5: 34%). On the market's main spread (Lefkadas +1.5) Pythia gives Lefkadas 38% to cover. Overtime chance: 5%. Lefkadas are 3-4 this season (78.3 scored, 80.4 allowed a game), form LWWLW; Peristeri are 4-3 this season (81.0 scored, 84.6 allowed a game), form WLLWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lefkadas win
35.4%fair 2.82
Best odds2.02
Implied46.2%
Edge-10.8pp
Peristeri win
64.6%fair 1.55
Best odds1.72
Implied53.8%
Edge+10.8pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LefkadasGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLefkadas
Date
Competition
Peiramatiko Machites
#12
L
55-63
55
63
-8
no box
H21/03
A2
Psychikou
#7
W
87-78
87
78
+9
no box
H28/03
A2
Dafni
#13
W
65-54
65
54
+11
no box
A04/04
A2
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
75-91
75
91
-16
57avg 67
A03/10
Basket League
PAOK
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
61avg 67
A10/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#14
L
79-80
79
80
-1
74avg 67
H17/10
Basket League
Iraklis
#7
W
94-86 OT
94
86
+8
78avg 67
H24/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#13
W
73-59
73
59
+14
67avg 67
A31/10
Basket League
Aris
#4
L
77-88
77
88
-11
no box
H07/11
Basket League
AEK Athens
#10
W
77-73
77
73
+4
no box
A14/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
11-18
11-11
16-15
30-26
25-21
13-18
19-13
16-20
20-8
22-13
7-13
13-24
24-22
20-21
18-24
18-22
13-20
23-22
19-22
25-17
20-23
18-27
16-13
19-18
22-23
18-26
19-11
23-17
15-11
19-13
16-18
23-32
12-19
19-17
23-20
27-13
18-24
15-22
17-14
151.3Avg total
75.5Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.380.4158.7-2.143%
Season at home (3)83.384.7168.0-1.333%
Season away (4)74.577.2151.8-2.850%
Last 10 (10)75.575.8151.3-0.350%
Last 5 (5)80.077.2157.2+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.386.7168.0-5.333%
vs Similar ◀ (14)77.175.2152.4+1.971%
vs Weaker (13)74.265.9140.2+8.385%
This opponent (Peristeri) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PeristeriGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPeristeri
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#53
W
93-87
93
87
+6
94avg 74
H06/10
Champions League
Iraklis
#7
W
91-89 OT
91
89
+2
70avg 74
H10/10
Basket League
Varese
#37
W
85-82
85
82
+3
82avg 74
A13/10
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#3
L
75-95
75
95
-20
63avg 74
A18/10
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
83-81
83
81
+2
79avg 74
H24/10
Basket League
Murcia
#4
W
80-72
80
72
+8
68avg 74
A27/10
Champions League
Olympiacos
#1
L
62-91
62
91
-29
55avg 74
A01/11
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
78-81
78
81
-3
no box
A07/11
Basket League
Varese
#37
W
101-96
101
96
+5
no box
H11/11
Champions League
Mykonos
#13
W
84-67
84
67
+17
no box
H15/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
35-20
17-22
23-23
19-21
16-31
24-18
20-9
26-27
11-25
27-12
21-18
13-26
16-26
17-23
29-20
23-23
24-22
13-14
23-22
16-15
17-17
27-18
20-22
18-25
12-23
12-28
20-15
23-15
19-25
17-17
19-24
28-20
30-27
21-17
22-32
21-10
14-25
26-14
23-18
167.3Avg total
83.2Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.084.6165.6-3.657%
Season at home (3)86.079.0165.0+7.0100%
Season away (4)77.288.8166.0-11.525%
Last 10 (10)83.284.1167.3-0.970%
Last 5 (5)81.081.4162.4-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.888.2164.0-12.440%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.279.3158.5-0.162%
vs Weaker (12)87.179.3166.4+7.892%
This opponent (Lefkadas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%0%1101%1151%1202%1254%1306%1358%14010%14511%15012%15511%16010%1657%1705%1753%1802%1851%1901%1950%200
1%1152%1256%13510%14512%15510%1655%1752%1851%195
Pythia expects about 156 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 155-159 (12%). The market's main line is 162.5.
Over/Under 157.5
Over 157.5
45.2%
@ 1.46-16.9pp
Under 157.5
54.8%
@ 2.40+16.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.46
Under
1xBet
2.40
Over/Under 162.5 · main line
Over 162.5
33.9%
@ 1.83-16.3pp
Under 162.5
66.1%
@ 1.85+16.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.83
Under
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Over/Under 167.5
Over 167.5
23.9%
@ 2.40-13.9pp
Under 167.5
76.1%
@ 1.46+13.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.40
Under
1xBet
1.46

📊 3. Team Totals

Lefkadas total 76.5
Over 76.5
46.5%
Under 76.5
53.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lefkadas total 80.5 · main line
Over 80.5
32.3%
@ 1.82-17.3pp
Under 80.5
67.7%
@ 1.79+17.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.82
Under
1xBet
1.79
Lefkadas total 84.5
Over 84.5
20.4%
Under 84.5
79.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peristeri total 78.5
Over 78.5
56.1%
Under 78.5
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peristeri total 82.5 · main line
Over 82.5
40.8%
@ 1.86-7.8pp
Under 82.5
59.2%
@ 1.76+7.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.86
Under
1xBet
1.76
Peristeri total 86.5
Over 86.5
26.8%
Under 86.5
73.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

3%5%8%10%0%-390%-361%-331%-302%-273%-245%-216%-187%-158%-129%-910%-69%-36%+08%+37%+65%+94%+123%+152%+181%+211%+241%+27
0%-361%-303%-246%-188%-1210%-66%+07%+64%+122%+181%+24
Margin from Lefkadas's side (positive = Lefkadas win). Pythia's expected margin is -4.4; Lefkadas win by 1+ in 31% of simulations.
Spread Lefkadas -1.5
LEF -1.5
33.0%
@ 2.10-10.6pp
PER +1.5
67.0%
@ 1.62+10.6pp
Best 5 market prices
LEF
1xBet
2.10
PER
1xBet
1.62
Spread Lefkadas +1.5 · main line
LEF +1.5
38.1%
@ 1.87-11.4pp
PER -1.5
61.9%
@ 1.83+11.4pp
Best 5 market prices
LEF
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.85
Betfair
1.83
PER
Betfair
1.83
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.81
Spread Lefkadas +4.5
LEF +4.5
49.1%
@ 1.56-9.0pp
PER -4.5
50.9%
@ 2.16+9.0pp
Best 5 market prices
LEF
1xBet
1.56
PER
1xBet
2.16

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.7+1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.7+1.7
LefkadasPeristeri
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LefkadasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peiramatiko Machites
#12
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H21/03
A2
Psychikou
#7
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H28/03
A2
Dafni
#13
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A04/04
A2
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A03/10
Basket League
PAOK
#2
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A10/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#14
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H17/10
Basket League
Iraklis
#7
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H24/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#13
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A31/10
Basket League
Aris
#4
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H07/11
Basket League
AEK Athens
#10
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A14/11
Basket League
78.8Avg total
39.1Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 80.5
Last 30 (30)38.838.076.9+0.853%40%
Last 30 at home (15)38.740.178.8-1.553%53%
Last 30 away (15)39.035.974.9+3.153%27%
Last 10 (10)39.139.778.8-0.650%60%
Last 5 (5)40.839.480.2+1.460%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.744.780.3-9.00%67%
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.640.881.4-0.257%57%
vs Weaker (13)37.733.571.2+4.262%15%
This opponent (Peristeri) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PeristeriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#53
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H06/10
Champions League
Iraklis
#7
L
35-52
35
52
-17
H10/10
Basket League
Varese
#37
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A13/10
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#3
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A18/10
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H24/10
Basket League
Murcia
#4
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A27/10
Champions League
Olympiacos
#1
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A01/11
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A07/11
Basket League
Varese
#37
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H11/11
Champions League
Mykonos
#13
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H15/11
Basket League
84.4Avg total
39.9Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 80.5
Last 30 (30)39.940.980.9-1.050%50%
Last 30 at home (15)42.339.581.9+2.860%47%
Last 30 away (15)37.542.379.9-4.840%53%
Last 10 (10)39.944.584.4-4.650%70%
Last 5 (5)39.640.480.0-0.860%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.045.678.6-12.620%60%
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.438.878.2+0.554%38%
vs Weaker (12)43.441.284.7+2.258%58%
This opponent (Lefkadas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half Spread Lefkadas +1 · main line
LEF +1
46.5%
@ 1.81-3.5pp
PER -1
53.5%
@ 1.81+3.5pp
1st half Over/Under 80.5 · main line
Over
39.6%
@ 1.80-11.8pp
Under
60.4%
@ 1.90+11.8pp
Lefkadas 1st half total 39.5 · main line
Over
41.4%
@ 1.74-10.0pp
Under
58.6%
@ 1.84+10.0pp
Peristeri 1st half total 40.5 · main line
Over
46.1%
@ 1.74-5.3pp
Under
53.9%
@ 1.84+5.3pp
1st half Spread Lefkadas 0
LEF 0
42.1%
@ 2.10-1.9pp
PER 0
57.9%
@ 1.65+1.9pp
1st half Over/Under 82.5
Over
32.4%
@ 2.07-12.2pp
Under
67.6%
@ 1.67+12.2pp
1st half Spread Lefkadas +2.5
LEF +2.5
52.8%
@ 1.65-3.2pp
PER -2.5
47.2%
@ 2.10+3.2pp
1st half 3-way (draw possible)
LEF
40.3%
@ 2.17-0.8pp
Draw
4.3%
@ 13.00-2.6pp
PER
55.4%
@ 1.72+3.4pp

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds PRO1.20
Edge PRO
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Lefkadas under 81.570.9%1.70
1xBet
1.70
----+17.8pp
Lefkadas under 82.574.0%1.61
1xBet
1.61
----+17.8pp
Under 164.570.3%1.65
1xBet
1.65
----+15.5pp
Under 165.572.3%1.59
1xBet
1.59
----+15.2pp
Peristeri +2.570.6%1.53
1xBet
1.53
----+11.5pp
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■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lefkadastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lefkadas: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.020.0
51.3%
50.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.4
32.2%
34.4%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.014.2
67.6%
71.8%14.2
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Peristeritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Peristeri: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.8
52.9%
50.6%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.49.2
31.3%
34.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.414.2
69.6%
71.8%14.2
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lefkadas
WLWWLLLWWL
Peristeri
WWLLWWLWWW
#9
League position
#6
-4.8
Net rating
-3.9
91.2
Offensive rating
90.8
96.0
Defensive rating
94.7
50.2%
Effective FG%
50.3%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
14.2%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.2%
3-point %
31.3%
48.2%
Assist %
58.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence91.2 · 90.8Defence96.0 · 94.7Shooting50.2% · 50.3%3-point %32.2% · 31.3%Ball care14.2% · 16.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Lefkadas   ■ Peristeri
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Lefkadas wins
3
Peristeri wins
DateGameScore
10/03/18Peristeri v Lefkadas82-64
18/11/17Lefkadas v Peristeri67-72
21/05/16Peristeri v Lefkadas59-54
23/01/16Lefkadas v Peristeri74-67
Lefkadaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AAEK Athens77-73
07/11/26HAris77-88
31/10/26AMykonos73-59
24/10/26HIraklis94-86 OT
17/10/26HPromitheas79-80
10/10/26APAOK73-86
03/10/26AKolossos Rhodes75-91
04/04/26ADafni65-54
28/03/26HPsychikou87-78
21/03/26HPeiramatiko Machites55-63
Peristerilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HMykonos84-67
11/11/26HVarese101-96
07/11/26AKolossos Rhodes78-81
01/11/26AOlympiacos62-91
27/10/26AMurcia80-72
24/10/26HMaroussi83-81
18/10/26APanathinaikos75-95
13/10/26AVarese85-82
10/10/26HIraklis91-89 OT
06/10/26HBamberg93-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lefkadas
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW43%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game78.383.374.5
Allowed / game80.484.777.2
Point differential-2.1-1.3-2.8
Avg total158.7168.0151.8
Over 162.543%67%25%
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %14%33%0%
Peristeri
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW57%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%100%25%
Points / game81.086.077.2
Allowed / game84.679.088.8
Point differential-3.6+7.0-11.5
Avg total165.6165.0166.0
Over 162.557%67%50%
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %14%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos660100%85.867.8+18.0
2 PAOK770100%79.670.4+9.1
3 Panathinaikos76186%87.474.3+13.1
4 Aris65183%84.571.5+13.0
5 AS Karditsas74357%73.771.9+1.9
6 Peristeri74357%81.084.6-3.6
7 Iraklis73443%80.176.4+3.7
8 Kolossos Rhodes73443%79.681.3-1.7
9 Lefkadas73443%78.380.4-2.1
10 AEK Athens72529%75.179.6-4.4
11 Maroussi61517%75.881.5-5.7
12 Vikos61517%74.787.3-12.7
13 Mykonos71614%72.684.4-11.9
14 Promitheas71614%73.388.3-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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