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Legia vs Obradoiro CAB Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 66-74
21-22 19-10 11-19 15-23
Position#19
Record1-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game59.0
vs
Position#3
Record1-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game56.0
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Semi-finals· Antalya Spor Salonu
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Legia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Obradoiro CAB winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LegiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLegia
Date
Competition
Spojnia Stargard
#5
W
91-78
91
78
+13
no box
H08/05
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#5
W
93-82
93
82
+11
no box
A11/05
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
A19/05
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#2
L
57-71
57
71
-14
no box
A21/05
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#2
W
78-55
78
55
+23
no box
H25/05
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#2
L
63-65
63
65
-2
no box
H27/05
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
L
73-85
73
85
-12
no box
H03/06
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
W
88-85
88
85
+3
no box
A06/06
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#15
W
90-72
90
72
+18
90avg 69
H22/09
Energa Basket Liga
Fribourg Olympic
#22
W
70-59
70
59
+11
70avg 69
H26/09
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
22-22
26-17
20-21
23-29
23-21
29-17
18-15
14-23
24-19
22-20
17-21
11-25
19-15
14-18
13-13
30-8
12-16
23-15
13-16
14-22
11-15
15-18
23-10
14-29
23-18
12-24
24-14
33-17
15-27
21-18
19-23
27-27
23-19
29-14
11-12
18-13
21-17
16-14
15-15
151.5Avg total
78.0Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)70.059.0129.0+11.0100%
Season at home (1)70.059.0129.0+11.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.073.5151.5+4.560%
Last 5 (5)76.873.2150.0+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (20)81.080.2161.1+0.855%
vs Weaker (9)96.384.2180.6+12.1100%
This opponent (Obradoiro CAB) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Obradoiro CABLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCAB
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#4
L
89-99
89
99
-10
76avg 51
A15/04
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
94-110
94
110
-16
-559avg 51
A19/04
ACB
Real Betis
#17
L
67-82
67
82
-15
57avg 51
H23/04
ACB
Valencia
#8
L
78-87
78
87
-9
70avg 51
A29/04
ACB
Granada
#16
W
88-83
88
83
+5
87avg 51
H06/05
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
77-94
77
94
-17
71avg 51
A12/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
85-96
85
96
-11
74avg 51
A14/05
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
102-72
102
72
+30
103avg 51
H23/05
ACB
Palencia
#18
W
84-64
84
64
+20
74avg 51
H23/09
ACB
Mornar Bar
#52
W
90-56
90
56
+34
88avg 51
A26/09
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
19-26
25-27
23-23
9-34
31-24
23-20
31-32
13-8
13-26
20-20
21-28
24-23
21-23
15-20
18-21
19-14
24-18
26-28
19-23
21-15
11-20
18-33
27-26
15-24
33-22
19-24
18-26
30-16
21-19
25-16
26-21
28-20
19-11
27-18
10-15
21-13
35-10
15-18
19-15
169.7Avg total
85.4Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)90.056.0146.0+34.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)90.056.0146.0+34.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.484.3169.7+1.140%
Last 5 (5)87.676.4164.0+11.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.888.2166.1-10.417%
vs Similar (13)76.279.1155.2-2.954%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)89.074.5163.5+14.5100%
This opponent (Legia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -1.8-1.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -1.8-1.8
LegiaObradoiro CAB
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LegiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spojnia Stargard
#5
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H08/05
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#5
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A11/05
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#2
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A19/05
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#2
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A21/05
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#2
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H25/05
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#2
L
25-37
25
37
-12
H27/05
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H03/06
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A06/06
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#15
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H22/09
Energa Basket Liga
Fribourg Olympic
#22
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H26/09
Champions League
80.0Avg total
40.0Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.740.283.9+3.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.138.280.3+3.967%-
Last 30 away (15)45.342.287.5+3.147%-
Last 10 (10)40.040.080.0+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.840.880.6-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (20)42.440.983.3+1.550%-
vs Weaker (9)47.638.486.0+9.178%-
This opponent (Obradoiro CAB) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Obradoiro CABLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#4
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A15/04
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
40-58
40
58
-18
A19/04
ACB
Real Betis
#17
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H23/04
ACB
Valencia
#8
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A29/04
ACB
Granada
#16
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H06/05
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A12/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A14/05
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H23/05
ACB
Palencia
#18
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H23/09
ACB
Mornar Bar
#52
W
56-23
56
23
+33
A26/09
Champions League
81.8Avg total
42.9Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.437.775.1-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.037.374.3-0.353%-
Last 30 away (15)37.738.175.8-0.347%-
Last 10 (10)42.938.981.8+4.050%-
Last 5 (5)46.834.080.8+12.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)34.842.577.2-7.825%-
vs Similar (13)36.035.971.9+0.154%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)45.032.877.8+12.2100%-
This opponent (Legia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Legiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Legia: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.3 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.1
51.6%
51.4%36.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.6
32.4%
34.9%25.7
🏀 Free throws16.311.1
68.4%
74.5%11.1
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Obradoiro CABtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Obradoiro CAB: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.717.1
49.3%
51.4%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.312.4
43.8%
34.9%37.2
🏀 Free throws17.212.8
74.4%
74.5%12.8
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/10 games with a box score before 28 Sep 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Legia
WWWLLWLLWW
Obradoiro CAB
WWWLLWLLLL
#19
League position
#3
-4.3
Net rating
+0.9
101.2
Offensive rating
113.1
105.6
Defensive rating
112.2
50.3%
Effective FG%
56.7%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
17.9%
Turnover %
17.8%
25.2%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.4%
3-point %
43.8%
67.4%
Assist %
60.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.2 · 113.1Defence105.6 · 112.2Shooting50.3% · 56.7%3-point %32.4% · 43.8%Ball care17.9% · 17.8%Off. rebounds25.2% · 28.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Legia   ■ Obradoiro CAB
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Legia wins
0
Obradoiro CAB wins
No previous meetings.
Legialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/23HFribourg Olympic70-59
22/09/23HZielona Gora90-72
06/06/23AOstrow Wielkopolski88-85
03/06/23HOstrow Wielkopolski73-85
27/05/23HSlask Wroclaw63-65
25/05/23HSlask Wroclaw78-55
21/05/23ASlask Wroclaw57-71
19/05/23ASlask Wroclaw77-83
11/05/23ASpojnia Stargard93-82
08/05/23HSpojnia Stargard91-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/23AMornar Bar90-56
23/09/23HPalencia84-64
23/05/23HFuenlabrada102-72
14/05/23AJoventut Badalona85-96
12/05/23ABarcelona77-94
06/05/23HGranada88-83
29/04/23AValencia78-87
23/04/23HReal Betis67-82
19/04/23ABaskonia94-110
15/04/23AUnicaja89-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Legia
Champions League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game70.070.0-
Allowed / game59.059.0-
Point differential+11.0+11.0-
Avg total129.0129.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Obradoiro CAB
Champions League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game90.0-90.0
Allowed / game56.0-56.0
Point differential+34.0-+34.0
Avg total146.0-146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica220100%104.560.5+44.0
2 Obradoiro CAB110100%90.056.0+34.0
3 Den Bosch110100%96.084.0+12.0
4 Legia110100%70.059.0+11.0
5 Norrkoping220100%80.073.0+7.0
6 Strasbourg220100%81.076.0+5.0
7 Cholet110100%76.072.0+4.0
8 Brindisi110100%77.074.0+3.0
9 Varese110100%73.071.0+2.0
10 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
11 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
12 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
13 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
14 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
15 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
16 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
17 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
18 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
19 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
20 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
21 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
22 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
23 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
24 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
25 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 25 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Legia2119111566
Obradoiro CAB2210192374
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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