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Legia vs Lancut Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 87-78
15-19 29-20 23-15 20-24
Position#5
Record4-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game74.5
Legia 🏆
Poland
vs
Position#16
Record2-6
FormLLWLW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game86.8
PolandEnerga Basket LigaRound 9· Bemowo
Other2023-24
Meetings · Legia v Lancut
18 Nov 2023
LEG87
LANC78
15 Jan 2023
LEG75
LANC61
05 Nov 2016
LEG60
LANC65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Legia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lancut winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LegiaPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLegia
Date
Competition
Spojnia Stargard
#10
W
87-81
87
81
+6
82avg 72
A14/10
Energa Basket Liga
Kataja
#39
W
85-62
85
62
+23
88avg 72
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
L
53-71
53
71
-18
38avg 72
A21/10
Energa Basket Liga
Levice
#32
W
86-77
86
77
+9
84avg 72
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Gdynia
#14
W
87-67
87
67
+20
80avg 72
H28/10
Energa Basket Liga
CSM Oradea
#17
W
90-79
90
79
+11
83avg 72
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Torun
#12
W
91-84 OT
91
84
+7
no box
H04/11
Energa Basket Liga
Kataja
#39
W
89-85
89
85
+4
81avg 72
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#2
L
69-77
69
77
-8
57avg 72
A11/11
Energa Basket Liga
Levice
#32
W
74-63
74
63
+11
72avg 72
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
20-15
18-20
28-23
22-15
23-14
17-10
23-23
9-21
17-22
15-11
12-17
31-25
26-13
14-15
15-24
24-19
24-8
19-25
20-15
23-19
22-19
21-19
24-22
27-13
16-18
16-30
15-13
25-22
16-27
29-20
19-16
12-18
20-24
19-18
18-17
19-14
21-18
12-19
22-12
155.7Avg total
81.1Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.274.5151.8+2.850%
Season at home (4)82.271.2153.5+11.075%
Season away (4)72.277.8150.0-5.525%
Last 10 (10)81.174.6155.7+6.580%
Last 5 (5)82.677.6160.2+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)66.074.0140.0-8.00%
vs Similar (17)76.474.8151.2+1.553%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)91.279.6170.8+11.692%
This opponent (Lancut) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LancutPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLancut
Date
Competition
Spojnia Stargard
#5
L
79-83
79
83
-4
no box
H27/04
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#2
W
76-75
76
75
+1
no box
A03/05
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
L
79-85
79
85
-6
68avg 70
A24/09
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
64-88
64
88
-24
55avg 70
H30/09
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#7
L
83-99
83
99
-16
80avg 70
A08/10
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#15
L
88-89 OT
88
89
-1
no box
H15/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
85-93 OT
85
93
-8
no box
A19/10
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#11
W
88-74
88
74
+14
84avg 70
H28/10
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#10
L
73-86
73
86
-13
56avg 70
H05/11
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
W
85-80
85
80
+5
76avg 70
H09/11
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
18-21
20-28
21-16
25-27
14-20
22-16
15-12
25-21
24-25
20-21
10-18
18-25
18-28
14-20
14-15
20-19
23-26
20-31
20-23
16-28
26-16
18-18
21-19
19-19
22-17
19-18
14-20
9-13
21-19
24-26
34-16
12-25
16-18
27-21
18-22
21-17
23-26
19-16
22-21
165.2Avg total
80.0Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.686.8167.4-6.125%
Season at home (5)79.683.4163.0-3.840%
Season away (3)82.392.3174.7-10.00%
Last 10 (10)80.085.2165.2-5.230%
Last 5 (5)83.884.4168.2-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)77.682.3160.0-4.738%
vs Similar (9)83.681.6165.1+2.044%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Legia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.7+0.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.7+0.7
LegiaLancut
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LegiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spojnia Stargard
#10
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A14/10
Energa Basket Liga
Kataja
#39
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A21/10
Energa Basket Liga
Levice
#32
W
57-38
57
38
+19
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Gdynia
#14
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H28/10
Energa Basket Liga
CSM Oradea
#17
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Torun
#12
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H04/11
Energa Basket Liga
Kataja
#39
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#2
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A11/11
Energa Basket Liga
Levice
#32
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
78.5Avg total
41.8Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.738.480.1+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.834.276.1+7.682%-
Last 30 away (13)41.543.985.5-2.431%-
Last 10 (10)41.836.778.5+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.478.6+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.032.072.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar (17)37.839.176.8-1.341%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)47.438.185.5+9.383%-
This opponent (Lancut) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LancutLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spojnia Stargard
#5
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H27/04
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A03/05
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A24/09
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H30/09
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#7
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A08/10
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#15
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H15/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#8
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A19/10
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#11
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H28/10
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#10
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H05/11
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H09/11
Energa Basket Liga
81.8Avg total
39.0Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.040.779.8-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.138.176.1+0.050%-
Last 30 away (16)39.943.182.9-3.238%-
Last 10 (10)39.042.881.8-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)37.039.676.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)39.441.080.3-1.648%-
vs Similar (9)38.240.278.4-2.033%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Legia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Legiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Legia: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.517.6
48.2%
53.6%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.1
37.0%
34.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws15.311.6
75.8%
73.2%11.6
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lancuttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lancut: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀18%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.7 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.322.8
52.7%
53.6%45.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.74.7
21.5%
34.7%14.0
🏀 Free throws22.818.3
80.3%
73.2%18.3
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/6 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Legia
WLWWWWWLWW
Lancut
WLWLLLLLWL
#5
League position
#16
+7.6
Net rating
-7.9
103.4
Offensive rating
102.4
95.8
Defensive rating
110.3
51.3%
Effective FG%
45.9%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
19.5%
Turnover %
14.2%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.35
37.0%
3-point %
21.5%
56.0%
Assist %
59.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 102.4Defence95.8 · 110.3Shooting51.3% · 45.9%3-point %37.0% · 21.5%Ball care19.5% · 14.2%Off. rebounds28.7% · 25.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Legia   ■ Lancut
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Legia wins
2
Lancut wins
DateGameScore
15/01/23Legia v Lancut75-61
22/09/22Lancut v Legia72-83
18/02/17Lancut v Legia80-73
05/11/16Legia v Lancut60-65
Legialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/23HLevice74-63
11/11/23ATrefl Sopot69-77
08/11/23AKataja89-85
04/11/23HTorun91-84 OT
01/11/23HCSM Oradea90-79
28/10/23HGdynia87-67
25/10/23ALevice86-77
21/10/23AOstrow Wielkopolski53-71
18/10/23HKataja85-62
14/10/23ASpojnia Stargard87-81
Lancutlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/23HOstrow Wielkopolski85-80
05/11/23HSpojnia Stargard73-86
28/10/23HCzarni Slupsk88-74
19/10/23ADziki Warszawa85-93 OT
15/10/23HZielona Gora88-89 OT
08/10/23ALublin83-99
30/09/23HAnwil Wloclawek64-88
24/09/23ASzczecin79-85
03/05/23ASlask Wroclaw76-75
27/04/23HSpojnia Stargard79-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Legia
Energa Basket Liga 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game77.282.272.2
Allowed / game74.571.277.8
Point differential+2.8+11.0-5.5
Avg total151.8153.5150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
Lancut
Energa Basket Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW25%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %25%40%0%
Points / game80.679.682.3
Allowed / game86.883.492.3
Point differential-6.1-3.8-10.0
Avg total167.4163.0174.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %25%20%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anwil Wloclawek880100%90.078.1+11.9
2 Lublin97278%91.888.9+2.9
3 Dabrowa Gornicza75271%100.392.4+7.9
4 Szczecin96367%92.382.7+9.7
5 Spojnia Stargard96367%82.477.8+4.7
6 Trefl Sopot95456%81.280.1+1.1
7 Ostrow Wielkopolski84450%77.471.6+5.8
8 Legia84450%77.274.5+2.8
9 Slask Wroclaw84450%77.879.9-2.1
10 Dziki Warszawa94544%80.382.8-2.4
11 GTK Gliwice93633%84.288.4-4.2
12 Torun93633%77.682.3-4.8
13 Czarni Slupsk72529%77.988.4-10.6
14 Lancut82625%80.686.8-6.1
15 Gdynia82625%81.289.1-7.9
16 Zielona Gora92722%80.388.9-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Legia1529232087
Lancut1920152478
← all games of the day
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