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Valencia vs Obradoiro CAB Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 87-78
23-24 23-21 20-15 21-18
Position#8
Record15-14
FormLLWLW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game83.7
vs
Position#11
Record12-17
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game82.8
SpainACBRound 30
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Valencia v Obradoiro CAB
11 Apr 2027
VAL v OKA
upcoming
08 Oct 2023
VAL85
OKA79
29 Apr 2023
VAL87
OKA78
23 Dec 2021
VAL91
OKA71
16 Apr 2021
VAL97
OKA82
09 Feb 2019
VAL87
OKA94
04 Oct 2017
VAL80
OKA67
29 Apr 2017
VAL85
OKA74
31 Oct 2015
VAL76
OKA56
09 Nov 2014
VAL81
OKA64
29 Mar 2014
VAL69
OKA64
21 Oct 2012
VAL68
OKA64
04 Jan 2012
VAL77
OKA71
25 Apr 2010
VAL81
OKA64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Obradoiro CAB winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
75-86
75
86
-11
63avg 75
A26/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
73-92
73
92
-19
71avg 75
A29/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
74-95
74
95
-21
69avg 75
A31/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#2
L
81-85
81
85
-4
72avg 75
H02/04
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
79-68
79
68
+11
73avg 75
H06/04
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
70-85
70
85
-15
57avg 75
A09/04
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
71-85
71
85
-14
no box
A14/04
Euroleague
Real Betis
#17
W
87-81
87
81
+6
68avg 75
H16/04
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
82-90
82
90
-8
71avg 75
A19/04
ACB
Bilbao
#12
W
95-88
95
88
+7
92avg 75
H22/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
14-14
19-20
20-28
21-20
20-26
21-23
11-23
16-21
24-31
15-25
19-18
18-14
17-23
20-19
26-29
17-19
23-19
18-19
21-11
17-21
15-16
21-19
17-29
21-24
25-27
15-21
10-13
16-21
22-19
32-16
17-25
24-25
22-22
19-20
17-23
25-22
28-25
18-20
24-21
164.2Avg total
78.7Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)84.083.7167.7+0.352%
Season at home (14)86.581.7168.2+4.871%
Season away (15)81.685.5167.1-3.933%
Last 10 (10)78.785.5164.2-6.830%
Last 5 (5)81.085.8166.8-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)82.089.2171.2-7.225%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.384.3166.6-2.054%
vs Weaker (4)87.280.0167.2+7.2100%
This opponent (Obradoiro CAB) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Obradoiro CABSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCAB
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#15
L
76-93
76
93
-17
64avg 47
A11/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
78-84
78
84
-6
72avg 47
H05/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
79-78
79
78
+1
76avg 47
A11/03
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
58-78
58
78
-20
46avg 47
H18/03
ACB
Breogan
#10
L
67-74
67
74
-7
59avg 47
H25/03
ACB
Manresa
#14
L
65-80
65
80
-15
52avg 47
A02/04
ACB
Murcia
#9
W
81-79
81
79
+2
79avg 47
H08/04
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
89-99
89
99
-10
76avg 47
A15/04
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
94-110
94
110
-16
-559avg 47
A19/04
ACB
Real Betis
#17
L
67-82
67
82
-15
57avg 47
H23/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
18-26
18-24
19-25
14-24
16-20
27-22
21-18
16-13
13-12
28-16
22-37
11-22
10-13
14-19
23-24
17-14
24-19
10-22
16-19
9-21
11-23
14-21
31-15
20-15
19-13
19-28
23-23
22-23
19-26
25-27
23-23
9-34
31-24
23-20
31-32
13-8
13-26
20-20
21-28
161.1Avg total
75.4Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)78.182.8160.8-4.741%
Season at home (15)78.781.5160.1-2.847%
Season away (14)77.484.1161.6-6.736%
Last 10 (10)75.485.7161.1-10.320%
Last 5 (5)79.290.0169.2-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)77.287.5164.6-10.315%
vs Similar ◀ (15)78.378.7157.0-0.360%
vs Weaker (2)85.586.0171.5-0.550%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -1.4-1.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -1.4-1.4
ValenciaObradoiro CAB
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A26/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A29/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A31/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#2
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H02/04
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H06/04
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A09/04
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A14/04
Euroleague
Real Betis
#17
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H16/04
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A19/04
ACB
Bilbao
#12
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H22/04
ACB
84.0Avg total
40.7Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.542.283.7-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.839.581.3+2.367%-
Last 30 away (15)41.244.986.1-3.720%-
Last 10 (10)40.743.384.0-2.620%-
Last 5 (5)43.044.487.4-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)42.643.786.2-1.142%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.241.883.0-0.546%-
vs Weaker (4)41.039.280.2+1.850%-
This opponent (Obradoiro CAB) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Obradoiro CABLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#15
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A11/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H05/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A11/03
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
21-35
21
35
-14
H18/03
ACB
Breogan
#10
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H25/03
ACB
Manresa
#14
L
20-44
20
44
-24
A02/04
ACB
Murcia
#9
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H08/04
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A15/04
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
40-58
40
58
-18
A19/04
ACB
Real Betis
#17
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H23/04
ACB
72.0Avg total
32.6Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.339.375.6-3.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.639.576.1-2.944%-
Last 30 away (14)35.939.175.1-3.250%-
Last 10 (10)32.639.472.0-6.830%-
Last 5 (5)33.242.675.8-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)34.442.977.3-8.523%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)36.836.273.0+0.660%-
vs Weaker (2)44.539.584.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.2
51.7%
52.1%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.7
34.4%
34.5%29.1
🏀 Free throws15.812.4
78.5%
73.9%12.4
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Obradoiro CABtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Obradoiro CAB: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.615.6
49.4%
52.1%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.0
33.8%
34.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.313.2
72.1%
73.9%13.2
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WLWLLWLLLL
Obradoiro CAB
LLLWLLLWLL
#8
League position
#11
-9.9
Net rating
-14.1
107.1
Offensive rating
101.8
117.0
Defensive rating
115.9
51.7%
Effective FG%
50.0%
60.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
17.5%
Turnover %
18.9%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.4%
3-point %
33.8%
60.2%
Assist %
57.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 101.8Defence117.0 · 115.9Shooting51.7% · 50.0%3-point %34.4% · 33.8%Ball care17.5% · 18.9%Off. rebounds28.5% · 28.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Valencia   ■ Obradoiro CAB
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Valencia wins
2
Obradoiro CAB wins
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/23HBilbao95-88
19/04/23AMurcia82-90
16/04/23HReal Betis87-81
14/04/23ABarcelona71-85
09/04/23AJoventut Badalona70-85
06/04/23HVirtus Bologna79-68
02/04/23HBaskonia81-85
31/03/23AZalgiris Kaunas74-95
29/03/23ACrvena zvezda73-92
26/03/23ABasket Zaragoza75-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/23HReal Betis67-82
19/04/23ABaskonia94-110
15/04/23AUnicaja89-99
08/04/23HMurcia81-79
02/04/23AManresa65-80
25/03/23HBreogan67-74
18/03/23HTenerife58-78
11/03/23ABasket Zaragoza79-78
05/03/23HReal Madrid78-84
11/02/23ABasquet Girona76-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW52%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %52%71%33%
Points / game84.086.581.6
Allowed / game83.781.785.5
Point differential+0.3+4.8-3.9
Avg total167.7168.2167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%21%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)50% (4)100% (4)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Obradoiro CAB
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL41%
HomeLLLWL47%
AwayLWLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %41%47%36%
Points / game78.178.777.4
Allowed / game82.881.584.1
Point differential-4.7-2.8-6.7
Avg total160.8160.1161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%13%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (14)71% (7)71% (7)
Overtime %7%13%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona2924583%84.173.4+10.6
2 Baskonia2924583%92.683.0+9.6
3 Real Madrid2923679%88.277.3+10.9
4 Tenerife3022873%82.573.0+9.5
5 Unicaja2920969%87.177.1+10.0
6 Joventut Badalona29181162%82.277.7+4.6
7 Gran Canaria29171259%83.678.6+5.0
8 Valencia29151452%84.083.7+0.3
9 Breogan29131645%77.879.7-1.9
10 Murcia30131743%80.583.7-3.2
11 Bilbao29121741%76.680.6-4.0
12 Obradoiro CAB29121741%78.182.8-4.7
13 Basket Zaragoza29111838%78.580.2-1.7
14 Basquet Girona29101934%76.481.2-4.8
15 Manresa2992031%83.390.0-6.7
16 Real Betis2982128%77.484.3-6.9
17 Granada3082227%76.287.0-10.8
18 Fuenlabrada3042613%76.691.5-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2323202187
Obradoiro CAB2421151878
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