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Leiden vs Bakken Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 23 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 89-85
27-17 22-22 30-20 10-26
Position#22
Record7-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game78.4
Leiden 🏆
vs
Position#2
Record8-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game100.9
Allowed / game76.1
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 4
European cup2018
Meetings · Leiden v Bakken Bears
23 Jan 2019
LEI89
BBE85
06 Nov 2013
LEI61
BBE62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bakken Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saratov
#5
L
72-97
72
97
-25
H19/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Den Bosch
#3
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H22/12
DBL
Rotterdam
#8
W
91-80
91
80
+11
A31/12
DBL
Donar Groningen
#4
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H03/01
DBL
Zwolle
#2
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A06/01
DBL
Kataja
#21
W
87-72
87
72
+15
H09/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Amsterdam
#6
W
89-56
89
56
+33
H12/01
NBB Cup
Amsterdam
#6
W
89-87
89
87
+2
A13/01
NBB Cup
LWD Basket
#9
W
96-75
96
75
+21
H16/01
DBL
Dordrecht
#5
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A20/01
DBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
13-31
19-25
25-25
20-17
21-22
18-12
13-16
27-30
22-21
15-10
27-19
24-20
23-26
18-17
18-14
23-12
20-12
14-25
24-22
18-13
20-16
19-16
30-27
16-12
28-19
24-9
21-16
11-19
18-25
25-30
35-13
31-18
15-16
24-18
26-23
18-22
20-21
16-12
25-18
159.4Avg total
83.9Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.178.4154.5-2.364%
Season at home (6)80.279.0159.2+1.267%
Season away (5)71.277.6148.8-6.460%
Last 10 (10)83.975.5159.4+8.490%
Last 5 (5)88.072.6160.6+15.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)72.887.2160.0-14.333%
vs Similar (8)82.875.6158.4+7.188%
vs Weaker (15)88.670.6159.2+18.0100%
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bakken BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#5
L
103-107
103
107
-4
A08/12
Basketligaen
Leiden
#22
W
111-71
111
71
+40
H12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Vaerlose
#7
W
113-74
113
74
+39
H15/12
Basketligaen
Kataja
#21
W
104-89
104
89
+15
A19/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
79-67
79
67
+12
A30/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A03/01
Basketligaen
EBAA Aarhus
#6
W
89-75
89
75
+14
A04/01
Basketligaen
Saratov
#5
L
60-71
60
71
-11
A09/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Horsens
#1
L
106-111 OT
106
111
-5
H13/01
Denmark Cup
Randers
#5
W
115-85
115
85
+30
A15/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-35
25-28
29-27
24-17
27-22
18-13
26-21
40-15
29-6
29-26
28-15
27-27
27-15
26-17
18-26
33-31
15-13
23-22
20-14
21-18
20-16
18-26
23-20
20-16
19-20
31-17
17-16
22-22
12-19
17-14
22-18
9-20
23-27
23-26
24-20
28-25
27-20
18-19
33-30
37-16
178.9Avg total
96.1Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)100.976.1177.0+24.889%
Season at home (4)110.077.0187.0+33.0100%
Season away (5)93.675.4169.0+18.280%
Last 10 (10)96.182.8178.9+13.370%
Last 5 (5)90.284.0174.2+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)99.377.8177.1+21.590%
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: +5.4+5.4
LeidenBakken Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saratov
#5
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H19/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Den Bosch
#3
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H22/12
DBL
Rotterdam
#8
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A31/12
DBL
Donar Groningen
#4
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H03/01
DBL
Zwolle
#2
W
43-24
43
24
+19
A06/01
DBL
Kataja
#21
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H09/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Amsterdam
#6
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H12/01
NBB Cup
Amsterdam
#6
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A13/01
NBB Cup
LWD Basket
#9
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H16/01
DBL
Dordrecht
#5
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A20/01
DBL
79.1Avg total
40.3Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.436.978.3+4.672%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.136.979.1+5.288%-
Last 30 away (13)40.636.877.5+3.854%-
Last 10 (10)40.338.879.1+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.036.275.2+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)34.235.269.3-1.050%-
vs Similar (8)43.036.179.1+6.9100%-
vs Weaker (15)43.538.081.5+5.567%-
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bakken BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#5
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A08/12
Basketligaen
Leiden
#22
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Vaerlose
#7
W
58-32
58
32
+26
H15/12
Basketligaen
Kataja
#21
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A19/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A30/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A03/01
Basketligaen
EBAA Aarhus
#6
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A04/01
Basketligaen
Saratov
#5
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A09/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Horsens
#1
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H13/01
Denmark Cup
Randers
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A15/01
Basketligaen
85.3Avg total
45.2Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.138.887.9+10.383%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.641.193.7+11.587%-
Last 30 away (15)45.636.582.1+9.180%-
Last 10 (10)45.240.185.3+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.882.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)49.238.387.5+10.986%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Leiden wins
2
Bakken Bears wins
DateGameScore
12/12/18Bakken Bears v Leiden111-71
03/12/13Bakken Bears v Leiden79-81
06/11/13Leiden v Bakken Bears61-62
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/19ADordrecht79-73
16/01/19HLWD Basket96-75
13/01/19AAmsterdam89-87
12/01/19HAmsterdam89-56
09/01/19HKataja87-72
06/01/19AZwolle81-71
03/01/19HDonar Groningen83-77
31/12/18ARotterdam91-80
22/12/18HDen Bosch72-67
19/12/18HSaratov72-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/19ARanders115-85
13/01/19HHorsens106-111 OT
09/01/19ASaratov60-71
04/01/19AEBAA Aarhus89-75
03/01/19ASvendborg81-78
30/12/18ATeam FOG Naestved79-67
19/12/18AKataja104-89
15/12/18HVaerlose113-74
12/12/18HLeiden111-71
08/12/18ARanders103-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
FIBA Europe Cup 2018
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW64%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%67%60%
Points / game76.180.271.2
Allowed / game78.479.077.6
Point differential-2.3+1.2-6.4
Avg total154.5159.2148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %9%17%0%
Bakken Bears
FIBA Europe Cup 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL89%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %89%100%80%
Points / game100.9110.093.6
Allowed / game76.177.075.4
Point differential+24.8+33.0+18.2
Avg total177.0187.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+89%100%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Varese109190%86.871.9+14.9
2 Bakken Bears98189%100.976.1+24.8
3 Sassari119282%93.778.5+15.3
4 Saratov108280%92.479.8+12.6
5 s.Oliver Wurzburg108280%86.474.9+11.5
6 Alba Fehervar129375%83.777.7+6.0
7 Nes Ziona1410471%92.183.6+8.5
8 Karsiyaka107370%86.078.3+7.7
9 Donar Groningen96367%77.372.6+4.8
10 Leiden117464%76.178.4-2.3
11 Balkan127558%78.275.0+3.2
12 Spirou Charleroi63350%81.070.5+10.5
13 Sakarya BB63350%80.075.2+4.8
14 Den Bosch84450%82.879.8+3.0
15 Aris63350%74.072.0+2.0
16 Minsk63350%82.882.2+0.7
17 Lukoil Levski105550%81.884.2-2.4
18 Szolnoki Olaj105550%82.184.9-2.8
19 Kataja147750%80.884.0-3.2
20 Keravnos21150%64.068.0-4.0
21 Lavrio21150%70.074.5-4.5
22 Z-Mobile Prishtina105550%82.788.2-5.5
23 Cluj Napoca21150%83.589.5-6.0
24 BC Lulea21150%64.080.0-16.0
25 Cherkaski Mavpy104640%80.184.3-4.2
26 AEK Larnaca104640%72.781.7-9.0
27 Szombathely62433%74.384.5-10.2
28 BC Dnipro103730%71.776.9-5.2
29 Istanbul BB103730%72.279.4-7.2
30 Rilski Sportist82625%79.187.9-8.8
31 Belfius Mons61517%74.878.3-3.5
32 FC Porto61517%79.285.5-6.3
33 CSM Oradea61517%75.584.5-9.0
34 BC Steaua Bucuresti61517%71.386.5-15.2
35 Leicester Riders6060%74.587.7-13.2
36 HydroTruck Radom2020%67.080.5-13.5
37 Kapfenberg Bulls2020%59.573.5-14.0
38 Sodertalje2020%71.586.0-14.5
39 Kongsberg Miners2020%76.592.0-15.5
40 Svitavy2020%76.098.5-22.5
41 Pardubice6060%77.3100.8-23.5
42 Benfica2020%79.0105.5-26.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leiden2722301089
Bakken Bears1722202685
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