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Leiden vs Den Bosch Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 20 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#8
Record3-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game77.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Position#6
Record4-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game80.5
EuropeBNXT League· Sportcomplex
Other2026-27
Meetings · Leiden v Den Bosch
20 Mar 2027
LEI v DBO
upcoming
27 Dec 2025
LEI89
DBO95
03 Jun 2025
LEI63
DBO90
15 Feb 2025
LEI95
DBO81
11 Sep 2024
LEI87
DBO58
04 Jun 2024
LEI92
DBO81
30 May 2024
LEI83
DBO65
18 Jan 2024
LEI70
DBO58
23 Dec 2023
LEI55
DBO70
23 Oct 2022
LEI81
DBO88
29 May 2022
LEI74
DBO81
25 May 2022
LEI87
DBO68
21 May 2022
LEI83
DBO92
13 Feb 2022
LEI72
DBO77
09 Jan 2022
LEI85
DBO70
27 May 2021
LEI90
DBO74
23 May 2021
LEI112
DBO87
17 Apr 2021
LEI78
DBO86
31 Oct 2020
LEI v DBO
upcoming
29 Feb 2020
LEI78
DBO69
14 Dec 2019
LEI88
DBO78
20 Apr 2019
LEI89
DBO59
22 Dec 2018
LEI72
DBO67
10 Feb 2018
LEI79
DBO61
11 Nov 2017
LEI83
DBO81
21 Jan 2017
LEI62
DBO60
22 Oct 2016
LEI66
DBO56
20 Feb 2016
LEI64
DBO56
31 Oct 2015
LEI68
DBO58
11 Mar 2015
LEI65
DBO69
08 Nov 2014
LEI66
DBO67
01 Mar 2014
LEI83
DBO86
26 Dec 2013
LEI69
DBO78
26 Jan 2013
LEI80
DBO70
17 Nov 2012
LEI64
DBO59
27 May 2012
LEI61
DBO65
19 May 2012
LEI74
DBO77
15 May 2012
LEI79
DBO81
21 Apr 2012
LEI78
DBO77
11 Feb 2012
LEI67
DBO53
03 Dec 2011
LEI68
DBO76
15 Jan 2011
LEI66
DBO67
18 Nov 2010
LEI73
DBO69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Den Bosch win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
85-97
85
97
-12
76avg 74
H25/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
93-75
93
75
+18
87avg 74
A01/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
100-74
100
74
+26
99avg 74
A06/05
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
110-102
110
102
+8
119avg 74
H09/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#12
W
76-71
76
71
+5
68avg 74
A02/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#2
L
61-77
61
77
-16
46avg 74
H10/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#5
W
92-77
92
77
+15
88avg 74
H17/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#9
L
64-67
64
67
-3
55avg 74
A24/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#11
L
83-96
83
96
-13
72avg 74
H31/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
99-79
99
79
+20
no box
A07/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-31
19-27
23-21
12-18
25-21
25-18
22-18
21-18
21-21
19-18
30-14
30-21
30-25
24-22
31-26
25-29
14-23
18-15
18-21
26-12
16-23
20-16
12-25
13-13
25-26
17-15
24-16
26-20
11-11
14-14
22-17
17-25
17-24
22-19
26-25
18-28
27-21
20-26
21-22
31-10
167.8Avg total
86.3Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.277.8157.0+1.350%
Season at home (3)78.783.3162.0-4.733%
Season away (3)79.772.3152.0+7.367%
Last 10 (10)86.381.5167.8+4.860%
Last 5 (5)79.879.2159.0+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.887.8160.5-15.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)85.884.6170.4+1.250%
vs Weaker (12)82.277.7159.9+4.667%
This opponent (Den Bosch) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Den BoschLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBosch
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#7
W
81-67
81
67
+14
77avg 75
A28/04
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
L
75-93
75
93
-18
76avg 75
H01/05
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
64-109
64
109
-45
52avg 75
A06/05
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
107-57
107
57
+50
116avg 75
H09/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#10
L
59-70
59
70
-11
42avg 75
A04/10
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#12
W
79-50
79
50
+29
80avg 75
H09/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
86-125
86
125
-39
76avg 75
H17/10
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
W
80-71
80
71
+9
73avg 75
A23/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#13
W
95-86
95
86
+9
94avg 75
H30/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#9
W
86-81
86
81
+5
no box
H08/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
16-25
22-14
20-10
21-25
18-25
18-22
18-21
16-32
18-24
15-23
15-30
27-17
19-15
24-6
37-19
11-16
23-15
15-16
10-23
19-9
14-12
18-16
28-13
22-29
28-25
12-35
24-36
18-32
18-19
19-8
25-12
21-20
27-20
31-18
16-28
15-14
31-33
19-17
21-17
162.1Avg total
81.2Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.880.5161.3+0.367%
Season at home (4)86.585.5172.0+1.075%
Season away (2)69.570.5140.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)81.280.9162.1+0.360%
Last 5 (5)85.282.6167.8+2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)90.294.2184.4-4.040%
vs Similar ◀ (7)81.090.6171.6-9.643%
vs Weaker (18)83.174.0157.1+9.172%
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
LeidenDen Bosch
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H25/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A01/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A06/05
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H09/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#12
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A02/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H10/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#5
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H17/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#9
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A24/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#11
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H31/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A07/11
BNXT League
83.1Avg total
41.5Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.642.281.8-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.543.484.9-1.940%-
Last 30 away (15)37.740.978.7-3.240%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.683.1-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.839.076.8-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.445.083.4-6.612%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.842.283.0-1.450%-
vs Weaker (12)39.440.279.7-0.850%-
This opponent (Den Bosch) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Den BoschLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#7
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A28/04
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H01/05
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
34-56
34
56
-22
A06/05
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H09/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#10
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A04/10
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#12
W
33-21
33
21
+12
H09/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H17/10
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A23/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#13
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H30/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#9
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H08/11
BNXT League
83.0Avg total
40.5Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.942.083.9-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.241.384.6+1.950%-
Last 30 away (14)40.442.883.1-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)40.542.583.0-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)42.642.685.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)48.644.693.2+4.060%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)43.946.990.7-3.043%-
vs Weaker (18)39.339.478.7-0.139%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.922.3
54.5%
53.2%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.7
33.0%
32.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.613.5
76.7%
71.0%13.5
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Den Boschtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Den Bosch: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.120.3
54.7%
53.2%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.0
33.6%
32.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.712.2
73.1%
71.0%12.2
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leiden
WLLWLWWWWL
Den Bosch
WWWLWLWLLW
#8
League position
#6
+2.4
Net rating
-1.5
96.4
Offensive rating
91.2
94.0
Defensive rating
92.7
52.5%
Effective FG%
52.9%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
15.8%
Turnover %
18.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.0%
3-point %
33.6%
61.3%
Assist %
63.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence96.4 · 91.2Defence94.0 · 92.7Shooting52.5% · 52.9%3-point %33.0% · 33.6%Ball care15.8% · 18.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Leiden   ■ Den Bosch
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Leiden wins
5
Den Bosch wins
DateGameScore
01/05/26Den Bosch v Leiden75-93
27/12/25Leiden v Den Bosch89-95
05/06/25Den Bosch v Leiden86-67
03/06/25Leiden v Den Bosch63-90
01/06/25Den Bosch v Leiden85-72
15/02/25Leiden v Den Bosch95-81
26/12/24Den Bosch v Leiden69-73
11/09/24Leiden v Den Bosch87-58
04/06/24Leiden v Den Bosch92-81
01/06/24Den Bosch v Leiden79-65
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26ABelfius Mons99-79
31/10/26HDonar Groningen83-96
24/10/26ALeuven Bears64-67
17/10/26HOkapi Aalst92-77
10/10/26HBrussels Basketball61-77
02/10/26ARotterdam76-71
09/05/26HDen Helder110-102
06/05/26ALWD Basket100-74
01/05/26ADen Bosch93-75
25/04/26HOkapi Aalst85-97
Den Boschlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HLeuven Bears86-81
30/10/26HMechelen95-86
23/10/26ACB Liege80-71
17/10/26HAntwerp Giants86-125
09/10/26HRotterdam79-50
04/10/26AZwolle59-70
09/05/26HBelfius Mons107-57
06/05/26ADen Helder64-109
01/05/26HLeiden75-93
28/04/26ADonar Groningen81-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game79.278.779.7
Allowed / game77.883.372.3
Point differential+1.3-4.7+7.3
Avg total157.0162.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Den Bosch
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%75%50%
Points / game80.886.569.5
Allowed / game80.585.570.5
Point differential+0.3+1.0-1.0
Avg total161.3172.0140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants660100%102.880.2+22.7
2 Brussels Basketball65183%83.069.7+13.3
3 Spirou Charleroi64267%79.367.0+12.3
4 Limburg64267%92.084.3+7.7
5 Okapi Aalst64267%90.084.7+5.3
6 Den Bosch64267%80.880.5+0.3
7 Oostende63350%76.074.5+1.5
8 Leiden63350%79.277.8+1.3
9 Leuven Bears63350%70.271.8-1.7
10 Zwolle63350%72.777.0-4.3
11 Donar Groningen63350%81.389.5-8.2
12 Rotterdam62433%75.880.2-4.3
13 Mechelen62433%88.094.8-6.8
14 Kortrijk61517%83.085.7-2.7
15 CB Liege61517%77.591.0-13.5
16 Belfius Mons6060%67.590.5-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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