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Leiden vs Den Bosch Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 89-95
27-22 18-35 19-16 25-22
Position#10
Record10-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Position#6
Record7-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game82.7
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 14· Sportcomplex
Other2025-26
Meetings · Leiden v Den Bosch
20 Mar 2027
LEI v DBO
upcoming
27 Dec 2025
LEI89
DBO95
03 Jun 2025
LEI63
DBO90
15 Feb 2025
LEI95
DBO81
11 Sep 2024
LEI87
DBO58
04 Jun 2024
LEI92
DBO81
30 May 2024
LEI83
DBO65
18 Jan 2024
LEI70
DBO58
23 Dec 2023
LEI55
DBO70
23 Oct 2022
LEI81
DBO88
29 May 2022
LEI74
DBO81
25 May 2022
LEI87
DBO68
21 May 2022
LEI83
DBO92
13 Feb 2022
LEI72
DBO77
09 Jan 2022
LEI85
DBO70
27 May 2021
LEI90
DBO74
23 May 2021
LEI112
DBO87
17 Apr 2021
LEI78
DBO86
31 Oct 2020
LEI v DBO
upcoming
29 Feb 2020
LEI78
DBO69
14 Dec 2019
LEI88
DBO78
20 Apr 2019
LEI89
DBO59
22 Dec 2018
LEI72
DBO67
10 Feb 2018
LEI79
DBO61
11 Nov 2017
LEI83
DBO81
21 Jan 2017
LEI62
DBO60
22 Oct 2016
LEI66
DBO56
20 Feb 2016
LEI64
DBO56
31 Oct 2015
LEI68
DBO58
11 Mar 2015
LEI65
DBO69
08 Nov 2014
LEI66
DBO67
01 Mar 2014
LEI83
DBO86
26 Dec 2013
LEI69
DBO78
26 Jan 2013
LEI80
DBO70
17 Nov 2012
LEI64
DBO59
27 May 2012
LEI61
DBO65
19 May 2012
LEI74
DBO77
15 May 2012
LEI79
DBO81
21 Apr 2012
LEI78
DBO77
11 Feb 2012
LEI67
DBO53
03 Dec 2011
LEI68
DBO76
15 Jan 2011
LEI66
DBO67
18 Nov 2010
LEI73
DBO69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Den Bosch winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
LWD Basket
#15
W
108-89
108
89
+19
110avg 75
H18/10
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
84-68
84
68
+16
82avg 75
A25/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
83-108
83
108
-25
68avg 75
A01/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
W
101-72
101
72
+29
95avg 75
H08/11
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
98-90
98
90
+8
93avg 75
H15/11
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
76-82
76
82
-6
69avg 75
A21/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
107-89
107
89
+18
96avg 75
H06/12
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
80-97
80
97
-17
66avg 75
A12/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
W
90-72
90
72
+18
86avg 75
H20/12
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
90-81
90
81
+9
85avg 75
A23/12
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
28-23
26-23
33-22
20-21
29-13
25-18
10-16
23-23
21-31
26-28
13-26
19-21
31-10
28-22
23-19
21-28
22-27
35-24
20-11
28-16
9-20
25-18
14-28
16-25
27-28
36-22
28-14
22-15
21-25
22-23
15-34
23-18
14-22
19-19
34-13
25-18
24-26
16-18
25-19
176.5Avg total
91.7Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)92.280.0172.2+12.277%
Season at home (6)102.580.0182.5+22.5100%
Season away (7)83.380.0163.3+3.357%
Last 10 (10)91.784.8176.5+6.970%
Last 5 (5)88.684.2172.8+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.086.4159.4-13.410%
vs Similar ◀ (6)86.279.7165.8+6.550%
vs Weaker (14)92.777.3170.0+15.486%
This opponent (Den Bosch) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Den BoschLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBosch
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#12
W
95-70
95
70
+25
100avg 85
H19/10
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
77-91
77
91
-14
66avg 85
A24/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
W
97-94
97
94
+3
98avg 85
H31/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
73-89
73
89
-16
71avg 85
A07/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
75avg 85
H16/11
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
97-60
97
60
+37
96avg 85
H21/11
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
81-97
81
97
-16
66avg 85
A06/12
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
W
98-76
98
76
+22
108avg 85
H14/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
93-88
93
88
+5
91avg 85
A19/12
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
L
87-88
87
88
-1
85avg 85
H23/12
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
22-19
23-14
27-19
18-22
16-23
28-30
15-16
25-26
23-22
20-21
29-25
15-23
16-18
22-28
20-20
19-20
15-19
23-28
21-19
28-4
18-13
28-26
23-17
28-20
13-26
13-34
27-17
32-19
24-20
25-16
17-21
23-30
22-22
19-27
29-9
20-22
22-23
28-20
17-23
171.5Avg total
87.6Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)87.482.7170.1+4.858%
Season at home (6)92.079.0171.0+13.067%
Season away (6)82.886.3169.2-3.550%
Last 10 (10)87.683.9171.5+3.750%
Last 5 (5)91.281.8173.0+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)81.586.5168.0-5.017%
vs Similar ◀ (6)86.279.2165.3+7.067%
vs Weaker (16)89.973.9163.9+16.081%
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +3.9+3.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +3.9+3.9
LeidenDen Bosch
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LWD Basket
#15
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H18/10
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A25/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A01/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H08/11
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H15/11
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A21/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
L
43-53
43
53
-10
H06/12
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A12/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H20/12
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A23/12
BNXT League
87.5Avg total
44.4Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.442.787.2+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.544.890.2+0.746%-
Last 30 away (17)43.641.284.8+2.559%-
Last 10 (10)44.443.187.5+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.842.684.4-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.146.884.9-8.720%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)44.339.784.0+4.767%-
vs Weaker (14)49.041.190.1+7.971%-
This opponent (Den Bosch) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Den BoschLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H19/10
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A24/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H31/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A07/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H16/11
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
46-17
46
17
+29
H21/11
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A06/12
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H14/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A19/12
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H23/12
BNXT League
83.1Avg total
42.2Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.540.184.6+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.337.083.3+9.382%-
Last 30 away (13)42.244.286.3-2.031%-
Last 10 (10)42.240.983.1+1.330%-
Last 5 (5)46.039.885.8+6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.743.082.7-3.317%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)46.241.587.7+4.750%-
vs Weaker (16)46.038.884.8+7.275%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 90.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.122.8
56.9%
54.3%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.6
37.9%
34.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.616.3
75.5%
72.4%16.3
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Den Boschtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Den Bosch: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.520.5
56.2%
54.3%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.9
39.3%
34.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws20.716.3
78.7%
72.4%16.3
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leiden
WWLWLWWLWW
Den Bosch
LWWLWLLWLW
#10
League position
#6
+8.8
Net rating
+5.3
115.6
Offensive rating
113.0
106.8
Defensive rating
107.7
56.9%
Effective FG%
57.3%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
17.8%
Turnover %
19.9%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.34
37.9%
3-point %
39.3%
57.1%
Assist %
62.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.6 · 113.0Defence106.8 · 107.7Shooting56.9% · 57.3%3-point %37.9% · 39.3%Ball care17.8% · 19.9%Off. rebounds30.5% · 30.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Leiden   ■ Den Bosch
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Leiden wins
4
Den Bosch wins
DateGameScore
05/06/25Den Bosch v Leiden86-67
03/06/25Leiden v Den Bosch63-90
01/06/25Den Bosch v Leiden85-72
15/02/25Leiden v Den Bosch95-81
26/12/24Den Bosch v Leiden69-73
11/09/24Leiden v Den Bosch87-58
04/06/24Leiden v Den Bosch92-81
01/06/24Den Bosch v Leiden79-65
30/05/24Leiden v Den Bosch83-65
28/05/24Den Bosch v Leiden89-96
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/25AZwolle90-81
20/12/25HLeuven Bears90-72
12/12/25ABrussels Basketball80-97
06/12/25HBelfius Mons107-89
21/11/25AKortrijk76-82
15/11/25HOostende98-90
08/11/25HDonar Groningen101-72
01/11/25AOkapi Aalst83-108
25/10/25ADen Helder84-68
18/10/25HLWD Basket108-89
Den Boschlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/25HDonar Groningen87-88
19/12/25ABelfius Mons93-88
14/12/25HOkapi Aalst98-76
06/12/25AOostende81-97
21/11/25HBAL Weert97-60
16/11/25HAntwerp Giants78-86
07/11/25ASpirou Charleroi73-89
31/10/25HKortrijk97-94
24/10/25ALimburg77-91
19/10/25HDen Helder95-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW77%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %77%100%57%
Points / game92.2102.583.3
Allowed / game80.080.080.0
Point differential+12.2+22.5+3.3
Avg total172.2182.5163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%83%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Den Bosch
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL58%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game87.492.082.8
Allowed / game82.779.086.3
Point differential+4.8+13.0-3.5
Avg total170.1171.0169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants1312192%96.676.9+19.7
2 Oostende1412286%89.481.6+7.8
3 Leiden1310377%92.280.0+12.2
4 Mechelen1310377%81.578.6+2.9
5 Kortrijk149564%86.879.6+7.2
6 Okapi Aalst149564%95.188.4+6.6
7 Brussels Basketball149564%86.681.9+4.8
8 Den Bosch127558%87.482.7+4.8
9 Donar Groningen137654%81.582.5-1.0
10 Limburg147750%90.380.9+9.4
11 Spirou Charleroi136746%82.289.6-7.5
12 Leuven Bears146843%80.980.6+0.3
13 Belfius Mons145936%89.095.0-6.0
14 Zwolle1441029%79.982.6-2.7
15 Den Helder1331023%79.285.5-6.3
16 LWD Basket1331023%87.899.6-11.8
17 Rotterdam131128%77.794.7-17.0
18 BAL Weert141137%67.690.9-23.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leiden2718192589
Den Bosch2235162295
← all games of the day
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