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Leones Quilpue vs Ancud Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 28 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 79-50
18-21 24-16 22-7 15-6
Position#2
Record29-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game68.5
vs
Position#6
Record17-18
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game78.1
ChileLNBLNB - Quarter-finals· Gimnasio Colegio Los Leones
Other2024-25
Meetings · Leones Quilpue v Ancud
07 Oct 2026
LEON85
ANCU75
10 May 2025
LEON78
ANCU51
27 Apr 2025
LEON79
ANCU50
26 Apr 2025
LEON92
ANCU54
09 Mar 2025
LEON85
ANCU64
14 Apr 2024
LEON102
ANCU87
18 Feb 2023
LEON20
ANCU0
01 May 2022
LEON109
ANCU65
21 Dec 2019
LEON87
ANCU91
13 Jan 2019
LEON108
ANCU97
16 Dec 2017
LEON96
ANCU92
27 Nov 2016
LEON85
ANCU91
29 Nov 2015
LEON85
ANCU91
28 Nov 2014
LEON93
ANCU82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leones Quilpue winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ancud winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leones QuilpueChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQuilpue
Date
Competition
Sportiva Italiana
#5
W
77-64
77
64
+13
76avg 74
H27/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#12
W
92-62
92
62
+30
94avg 74
H29/03
LNB
Catolica
#10
W
80-71
80
71
+9
78avg 74
A30/03
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#1
L
73-77
73
77
-4
73avg 74
A03/04
LNB
Las Animas
#8
W
95-86
95
86
+9
92avg 74
A05/04
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
W
67-64 OT
67
64
+3
62avg 74
A06/04
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#1
W
77-65
77
65
+12
73avg 74
H11/04
LNB
Las Animas
#8
W
91-50
91
50
+41
96avg 74
H12/04
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
73-79
73
79
-6
61avg 74
H14/04
LNB
Ancud
#6
W
92-54
92
54
+38
92avg 74
H26/04
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
17-9
16-18
24-20
24-27
23-15
24-6
21-14
22-24
25-18
16-20
17-9
14-26
22-18
22-14
15-19
31-12
19-34
26-19
19-21
25-20
12-17
16-11
8-13
28-19
23-17
15-16
11-13
20-4
19-13
26-19
26-14
19-25
21-18
12-20
21-16
29-19
20-4
19-19
24-12
148.9Avg total
81.7Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)81.868.5150.3+13.288%
Season at home (17)82.864.4147.2+18.594%
Season away (16)80.673.0153.6+7.681%
Last 10 (10)81.767.2148.9+14.580%
Last 5 (5)80.062.4142.4+17.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.585.5159.0-12.00%
vs Similar (2)75.071.0146.0+4.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)81.867.5149.3+14.292%
This opponent (Ancud) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AncudChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAncud
Date
Competition
Las Animas
#8
L
96-104 OT
96
104
-8
78avg 74
H30/03
LNB
Puente Alto
#9
W
97-77
97
77
+20
91avg 74
A03/04
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#12
W
99-64
99
64
+35
95avg 74
A05/04
LNB
Colo Colo
#7
L
79-83
79
83
-4
74avg 74
A07/04
LNB
Puente Alto
#9
W
90-77
90
77
+13
73avg 74
H11/04
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#12
W
84-55
84
55
+29
82avg 74
H12/04
LNB
Colo Colo
#7
W
84-63
84
63
+21
76avg 74
H14/04
LNB
Catolica
#10
W
60-56
60
56
+4
54avg 74
H18/04
LNB
Catolica
#10
W
89-61
89
61
+28
90avg 74
A21/04
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
54-92
54
92
-38
40avg 74
A26/04
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
23-21
18-26
23-19
27-22
26-19
26-11
18-25
22-15
27-17
20-22
30-10
24-23
20-19
22-24
13-17
17-25
30-17
17-14
26-21
27-16
21-7
18-13
18-19
12-4
31-13
17-24
24-22
16-14
16-7
12-16
16-19
15-20
28-10
28-18
18-13
19-29
4-20
19-19
12-24
156.4Avg total
83.2Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)79.178.1157.2+0.949%
Season at home (17)79.275.5154.8+3.759%
Season away (18)78.980.6159.4-1.739%
Last 10 (10)83.273.2156.4+10.070%
Last 5 (5)74.265.4139.6+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)73.887.2161.1-13.40%
vs Similar (6)86.777.8164.5+8.867%
vs Weaker (12)80.066.6146.6+13.483%
This opponent (Leones Quilpue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +7.6+7.6Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +0.9+0.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +7.6+7.6Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +0.9+0.9
Leones QuilpueAncud
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leones QuilpueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sportiva Italiana
#5
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H27/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#12
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H29/03
LNB
Catolica
#10
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A30/03
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A03/04
LNB
Las Animas
#8
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A05/04
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A06/04
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#1
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H11/04
LNB
Las Animas
#8
W
39-17
39
17
+22
H12/04
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H14/04
LNB
Ancud
#6
W
49-23
49
23
+26
H26/04
LNB
78.9Avg total
43.3Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.837.279.0+4.670%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.633.775.3+7.975%-
Last 30 away (14)42.041.183.1+0.964%-
Last 10 (10)43.335.678.9+7.770%-
Last 5 (5)43.231.274.4+12.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.043.081.0-5.050%-
vs Similar (2)43.540.083.5+3.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)42.036.578.5+5.573%-
This opponent (Ancud) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AncudLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Las Animas
#8
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H30/03
LNB
Puente Alto
#9
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A03/04
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#12
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A05/04
LNB
Colo Colo
#7
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A07/04
LNB
Puente Alto
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H11/04
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#12
W
48-23
48
23
+25
H12/04
LNB
Colo Colo
#7
W
43-17
43
17
+26
H14/04
LNB
Catolica
#10
W
32-21
32
21
+11
H18/04
LNB
Catolica
#10
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A21/04
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
23-49
23
49
-26
A26/04
LNB
75.7Avg total
42.3Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.537.877.3+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.233.574.7+7.786%-
Last 30 away (16)38.041.579.5-3.531%-
Last 10 (10)42.333.475.7+8.990%-
Last 5 (5)37.828.065.8+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.243.881.1-6.625%-
vs Similar (6)44.337.782.0+6.783%-
vs Weaker (12)39.331.871.1+7.675%-
This opponent (Leones Quilpue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leones Quilpuetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leones Quilpue: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.021.4
59.4%
50.4%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.59.1
30.8%
32.3%27.3
🏀 Free throws14.810.8
73.0%
71.2%10.8
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ancudtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ancud: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.2
51.6%
50.4%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.210.9
34.9%
32.3%32.7
🏀 Free throws15.611.4
73.1%
71.2%11.4
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leones Quilpue
WLWWWWLWWW
Ancud
LWWWWWLWWL
#2
League position
#6
+19.1
Net rating
+13.1
109.5
Offensive rating
106.6
90.5
Defensive rating
93.6
53.5%
Effective FG%
52.0%
46.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
19.4%
Turnover %
14.6%
34.2%
Off. rebound %
23.3%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.23
30.8%
3-point %
34.9%
68.2%
Assist %
56.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 106.6Defence90.5 · 93.6Shooting53.5% · 52.0%3-point %30.8% · 34.9%Ball care19.4% · 14.6%Off. rebounds34.2% · 23.3%Free throws0.23 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Leones Quilpue   ■ Ancud
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Leones Quilpue wins
3
Ancud wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/25HAncud92-54
14/04/25HEspanol Osorno73-79
12/04/25HLas Animas91-50
11/04/25HU. De Concepcion77-65
06/04/25AEspanol Osorno67-64 OT
05/04/25ALas Animas95-86
03/04/25AU. De Concepcion73-77
30/03/25ACatolica80-71
29/03/25HEspanol de Talca92-62
27/03/25HSportiva Italiana77-64
Ancudlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/25ALeones Quilpue54-92
21/04/25ACatolica89-61
18/04/25HCatolica60-56
14/04/25HColo Colo84-63
12/04/25HEspanol de Talca84-55
11/04/25HPuente Alto90-77
07/04/25AColo Colo79-83
05/04/25AEspanol de Talca99-64
03/04/25APuente Alto97-77
30/03/25HLas Animas96-104 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leones Quilpue
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW88%
HomeWWWLW94%
AwayWWLWW81%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %88%94%81%
Points / game81.882.880.6
Allowed / game68.564.473.0
Point differential+13.2+18.5+7.6
Avg total150.3147.2153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%76%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Ancud
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL49%
HomeLWWWW59%
AwayWWLWL39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %49%59%39%
Points / game79.179.278.9
Allowed / game78.175.580.6
Point differential+0.9+3.7-1.7
Avg total157.2154.8159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%41%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)50% (6)20% (5)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leones Quilpue3329488%81.868.5+13.2
2 U. De Concepcion3428682%89.674.4+15.2
3 CD Puerto Varas34241071%80.976.0+4.9
4 Espanol Osorno34221265%77.471.3+6.1
5 Sportiva Italiana34201459%85.781.6+4.1
6 Ancud35171849%79.178.1+0.9
7 Colo Colo37172046%78.480.4-2.0
8 Las Animas35152043%78.984.5-5.6
9 Puente Alto34142041%79.880.5-0.7
10 Catolica3492526%64.674.5-9.9
11 Valdivia3262619%70.679.8-9.3
12 Espanol de Talca323299%67.785.5-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leones Quilpue1824221579
Ancud21167650
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