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Leones Quilpue vs U. De Concepcion Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 77-65
28-19 23-17 15-16 11-13
Position#2
Record26-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game69.4
vs
Position#1
Record25-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game73.7
ChileLNB· Gimnasio Colegio Los Leones
Other2024-25
Meetings · Leones Quilpue v U. De Concepcion
15 Sep 2026
LEON79
U. D72
03 Aug 2026
LEON86
U. D74
23 Jul 2026
LEON v U. D
upcoming
07 Jun 2026
LEON74
U. D81
06 Jun 2026
LEON83
U. D78
29 Apr 2026
LEON88
U. D97
15 Jun 2025
LEON80
U. D86
14 Jun 2025
LEON85
U. D88
12 Jun 2025
LEON76
U. D70
10 Apr 2025
LEON77
U. D65
10 Oct 2024
LEON78
U. D88
28 Jun 2024
LEON79
U. D70
15 Jun 2024
LEON82
U. D69
14 Jun 2024
LEON65
U. D73
06 Apr 2024
LEON90
U. D63
08 Oct 2023
LEON82
U. D53
09 Jul 2023
LEON74
U. D88
08 Jul 2023
LEON64
U. D73
18 Mar 2023
LEON63
U. D72
19 Jun 2022
LEON63
U. D75
12 Jun 2022
LEON86
U. D70
11 Jun 2022
LEON80
U. D78
30 Mar 2022
LEON93
U. D76
24 Aug 2021
LEON70
U. D63
23 Aug 2021
LEON60
U. D54
24 Jul 2021
LEON67
U. D72
27 Feb 2021
LEON76
U. D94
01 Dec 2019
LEON79
U. D70
09 Nov 2019
LEON109
U. D104
14 Mar 2019
LEON93
U. D83
03 Mar 2019
LEON86
U. D93
02 Mar 2019
LEON86
U. D78
03 Feb 2019
LEON82
U. D95
21 Oct 2018
LEON78
U. D85
28 Mar 2018
LEON92
U. D89
19 Mar 2018
LEON99
U. D96
18 Mar 2018
LEON65
U. D71
20 Jan 2018
LEON86
U. D88
14 Oct 2017
LEON78
U. D90
07 Jan 2017
LEON97
U. D86
21 Oct 2016
LEON110
U. D90
31 Jan 2016
LEON68
U. D102
30 Jan 2016
LEON97
U. D81
04 Oct 2015
LEON86
U. D95
12 Oct 2014
LEON91
U. D85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leones Quilpue winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
U. De Concepcion winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leones QuilpueChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQuilpue
Date
Competition
Sportiva Italiana
#5
W
90-84
90
84
+6
86avg 75
A18/03
LNB
Colo Colo
#7
W
81-79
81
79
+2
71avg 75
H20/03
LNB
Puente Alto
#9
W
85-66
85
66
+19
82avg 75
A22/03
LNB
Colo Colo
#7
W
81-73
81
73
+8
74avg 75
A23/03
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#5
W
77-64
77
64
+13
76avg 75
H27/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#12
W
92-62
92
62
+30
94avg 75
H29/03
LNB
Catolica
#10
W
80-71
80
71
+9
78avg 75
A30/03
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#1
L
73-77
73
77
-4
73avg 75
A03/04
LNB
Las Animas
#8
W
95-86
95
86
+9
92avg 75
A05/04
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
W
67-64 OT
67
64
+3
62avg 75
A06/04
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-21
24-25
19-26
17-12
17-17
25-22
18-21
21-19
22-13
17-24
29-13
17-16
19-13
22-22
21-21
19-17
20-17
17-9
16-18
24-20
24-27
23-15
24-6
21-14
22-24
25-18
16-20
17-9
14-26
22-18
22-14
15-19
31-12
19-34
26-19
19-21
25-20
12-17
16-11
8-13
154.7Avg total
82.1Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)81.669.4151.0+12.190%
Season at home (13)82.765.1147.8+17.6100%
Season away (16)80.673.0153.6+7.681%
Last 10 (10)82.172.6154.7+9.590%
Last 5 (5)81.472.0153.4+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.585.5159.0-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (1)73.077.0150.0-4.00%
vs Weaker (27)81.769.7151.4+12.093%
This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
U. De ConcepcionChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormConcepcion
Date
Competition
Espanol de Talca
#12
W
104-65
104
65
+39
102avg 83
A15/03
LNB
Colo Colo
#7
W
82-79
82
79
+3
72avg 83
A16/03
LNB
Valdivia
#11
L
79-88
79
88
-9
70avg 83
A21/03
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#3
W
85-84
85
84
+1
74avg 83
A22/03
LNB
Las Animas
#8
W
114-80
114
80
+34
114avg 83
A27/03
LNB
Ancud
#6
W
99-86
99
86
+13
96avg 83
H29/03
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
W
74-70
74
70
+4
70avg 83
H30/03
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
W
77-73
77
73
+4
64avg 83
H03/04
LNB
Catolica
#10
W
92-45
92
45
+47
97avg 83
H05/04
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#5
W
95-70
95
70
+25
95avg 83
H07/04
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-14
27-19
29-15
21-17
27-20
20-20
17-25
18-14
17-32
26-12
13-27
23-17
21-21
23-21
21-25
20-17
32-23
23-19
30-23
29-15
34-20
23-27
28-18
14-21
18-20
22-20
19-13
15-17
26-14
18-22
14-22
19-15
30-13
16-15
23-10
23-7
32-24
24-19
21-21
18-6
164.1Avg total
90.1Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)90.373.7164.0+16.686%
Season at home (16)93.673.9167.6+19.794%
Season away (13)86.273.5159.7+12.877%
Last 10 (10)90.174.0164.1+16.190%
Last 5 (5)87.468.8156.2+18.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)76.068.5144.5+7.5100%
vs Weaker (28)90.873.8164.5+17.086%
This opponent (Leones Quilpue) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +6.3+6.3Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +5.4+5.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +6.3+6.3Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +5.4+5.4
Leones QuilpueU. De Concepcion
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leones QuilpueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sportiva Italiana
#5
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A18/03
LNB
Colo Colo
#7
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H20/03
LNB
Puente Alto
#9
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A22/03
LNB
Colo Colo
#7
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A23/03
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#5
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H27/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#12
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H29/03
LNB
Catolica
#10
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A30/03
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A03/04
LNB
Las Animas
#8
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A05/04
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A06/04
LNB
82.4Avg total
43.0Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.238.480.6+3.873%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.334.876.1+6.579%-
Last 30 away (16)43.141.684.6+1.569%-
Last 10 (10)43.039.482.4+3.680%-
Last 5 (5)43.442.285.6+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.043.081.0-5.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)36.044.080.0-8.00%-
vs Weaker (27)42.837.980.6+4.978%-
This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
U. De ConcepcionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Espanol de Talca
#12
W
54-33
54
33
+21
A15/03
LNB
Colo Colo
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A16/03
LNB
Valdivia
#11
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A21/03
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A22/03
LNB
Las Animas
#8
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A27/03
LNB
Ancud
#6
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H29/03
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H30/03
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H03/04
LNB
Catolica
#10
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H05/04
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#5
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H07/04
LNB
88.1Avg total
48.6Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)46.939.686.5+7.276%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.437.984.4+8.582%-
Last 30 away (12)47.542.089.5+5.567%-
Last 10 (10)48.639.588.1+9.180%-
Last 5 (5)48.638.887.4+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)42.532.575.0+10.0100%-
vs Weaker (27)47.240.187.3+7.074%-
This opponent (Leones Quilpue) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leones Quilpuetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leones Quilpue: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.520.1
56.6%
50.4%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.6
33.6%
32.3%28.8
🏀 Free throws16.711.9
71.3%
71.2%11.9
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
U. De Concepciontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

U. De Concepcion: 89.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.426.1
53.9%
50.4%52.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.5
33.9%
32.3%22.5
🏀 Free throws19.014.4
75.8%
71.2%14.4
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leones Quilpue
WWLWWWWWWW
U. De Concepcion
WWWWWWWLWW
#2
League position
#1
+11.2
Net rating
+20.9
109.2
Offensive rating
116.4
98.0
Defensive rating
95.5
53.8%
Effective FG%
53.0%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
18.6%
Turnover %
11.9%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.6%
3-point %
33.9%
68.7%
Assist %
63.1%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 116.4Defence98.0 · 95.5Shooting53.8% · 53.0%3-point %33.6% · 33.9%Ball care18.6% · 11.9%Off. rebounds31.9% · 30.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)90% · 90%
■ Leones Quilpue   ■ U. De Concepcion
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/25AEspanol Osorno67-64 OT
05/04/25ALas Animas95-86
03/04/25AU. De Concepcion73-77
30/03/25ACatolica80-71
29/03/25HEspanol de Talca92-62
27/03/25HSportiva Italiana77-64
23/03/25AColo Colo81-73
22/03/25APuente Alto85-66
20/03/25HColo Colo81-79
18/03/25ASportiva Italiana90-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/25HSportiva Italiana95-70
05/04/25HCatolica92-45
03/04/25HLeones Quilpue77-73
30/03/25HEspanol Osorno74-70
29/03/25HAncud99-86
27/03/25ALas Animas114-80
22/03/25ACD Puerto Varas85-84
21/03/25AValdivia79-88
16/03/25AColo Colo82-79
15/03/25AEspanol de Talca104-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leones Quilpue
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW81%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291316
Win %90%100%81%
Points / game81.682.780.6
Allowed / game69.465.173.0
Point differential+12.1+17.6+7.6
Avg total151.0147.8153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%77%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %3%0%6%
U. De Concepcion
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWWLWW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %86%94%77%
Points / game90.393.686.2
Allowed / game73.773.973.5
Point differential+16.6+19.7+12.8
Avg total164.0167.6159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%56%54%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)75% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leones Quilpue2926390%81.669.4+12.1
2 U. De Concepcion2925486%90.373.7+16.6
3 Espanol Osorno30201067%77.770.3+7.4
4 CD Puerto Varas29191066%79.976.5+3.4
5 Sportiva Italiana30171357%85.982.1+3.8
6 Colo Colo29141548%78.379.0-0.6
7 Puente Alto29131645%80.880.0+0.8
8 Las Animas30131743%78.984.1-5.2
9 Ancud29121741%79.580.3-0.8
10 Catolica3092130%64.674.0-9.4
11 Valdivia3062420%70.880.4-9.6
12 Espanol de Talca3032710%68.085.4-17.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leones Quilpue2823151177
U. De Concepcion1917161365
← all games of the day
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