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LePy W vs HBA W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 82-49
18-7 20-12 23-15 21-15
Position#11
Record8-13
FormLLLWL
Points / game56.7
Allowed / game63.6
LePy W 🏆
Finland
vs
HBA W
Finland
Position#9
Record11-10
FormLWLLW
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game67.9
FinlandI Divisioona Women· Leppavaara Sports hall
Women2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LePy W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
HBA W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LePy WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Korihait W
#15
W
83-72
83
72
+11
78avg 46
A07/01
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
L
71-73
71
73
-2
72avg 46
H14/01
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#12
W
63-53
63
53
+10
60avg 46
A21/01
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
L
57-70
57
70
-13
52avg 46
H28/01
I Divisioona Women
Kataja W
#16
W
64-62
64
62
+2
53avg 46
A04/02
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#10
L
47-63
47
63
-16
28avg 46
H11/02
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
54-69
54
69
-15
45avg 46
A18/02
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#6
L
33-42
33
42
-9
16avg 46
H25/02
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
W
45-38
45
38
+7
35avg 46
H03/03
I Divisioona Women
BC Nokia W
#1
L
62-85
62
85
-23
46avg 46
A10/03
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
25-19
21-16
19-10
9-24
25-15
24-10
13-24
20-17
17-15
16-10
10-11
12-13
15-27
17-10
13-20
19-17
19-20
16-10
10-15
6-20
14-11
16-15
11-17
12-21
17-20
14-17
11-11
7-18
11-2
11-9
4-13
12-14
9-6
7-12
17-6
20-23
13-20
18-15
11-27
120.6Avg total
57.9Scored
62.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)56.763.6120.3-6.938%
Season at home (10)52.762.6115.3-9.930%
Season away (11)60.464.5124.9-4.245%
Last 10 (10)57.962.7120.6-4.840%
Last 5 (5)48.259.4107.6-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)54.766.6121.2-11.933%
vs Similar ◀ (9)54.660.9115.4-6.322%
vs Weaker (3)69.363.0132.3+6.3100%
This opponent (HBA W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HBA WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
HyPo W
#13
L
62-81
62
81
-19
44avg 60
A07/01
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
L
77-81
77
81
-4
62avg 60
H12/01
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#4
W
88-74
88
74
+14
85avg 60
A21/01
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
W
96-54
96
54
+42
94avg 60
H28/01
I Divisioona Women
BC Nokia W
#1
W
79-74
79
74
+5
65avg 60
H04/02
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
L
57-69
57
69
-12
43avg 60
A14/02
I Divisioona Women
Kataja W
#16
W
81-58
81
58
+23
76avg 60
A18/02
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#10
L
79-81
79
81
-2
72avg 60
H25/02
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
73-78
73
78
-5
64avg 60
A03/03
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#6
W
60-57
60
57
+3
55avg 60
H10/03
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-14
13-19
17-29
19-19
12-24
22-17
28-20
15-20
18-29
22-23
21-8
27-14
22-13
24-12
29-5
21-24
20-20
25-22
17-16
17-16
19-17
14-20
7-16
17-16
17-12
25-18
18-19
21-9
21-20
16-20
24-18
18-23
18-18
16-18
17-16
22-26
12-21
14-5
11-18
23-13
145.9Avg total
75.2Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)70.267.9138.1+2.452%
Season at home (11)74.164.9139.0+9.273%
Season away (10)66.071.1137.1-5.130%
Last 10 (10)75.270.7145.9+4.550%
Last 5 (5)70.068.6138.6+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)67.070.4137.4-3.450%
vs Similar ◀ (11)68.465.3133.6+3.164%
vs Weaker (7)72.162.0134.1+10.157%
This opponent (LePy W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +2.0+2.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +2.0+2.0
LePy WHBA W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LePy WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Korihait W
#15
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A07/01
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H14/01
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#12
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A21/01
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H28/01
I Divisioona Women
Kataja W
#16
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A04/02
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#10
L
20-31
20
31
-11
H11/02
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A18/02
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#6
L
18-20
18
20
-2
H25/02
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
W
21-20
21
20
+1
H03/03
I Divisioona Women
BC Nokia W
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A10/03
I Divisioona Women
64.9Avg total
30.0Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)29.635.064.5-5.429%-
Last 30 at home (10)27.133.260.3-6.130%-
Last 30 away (11)31.836.568.4-4.727%-
Last 10 (10)30.034.964.9-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)24.231.055.2-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)28.437.465.9-9.022%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)27.931.759.6-3.822%-
vs Weaker (3)38.037.375.3+0.767%-
This opponent (HBA W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HBA WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
HyPo W
#13
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A07/01
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H12/01
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#4
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A21/01
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H28/01
I Divisioona Women
BC Nokia W
#1
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H04/02
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A14/02
I Divisioona Women
Kataja W
#16
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A18/02
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#10
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H25/02
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A03/03
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#6
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H10/03
I Divisioona Women
72.5Avg total
36.3Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.134.368.4-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.133.568.7+1.653%-
Last 30 away (15)33.035.168.1-2.127%-
Last 10 (10)36.336.272.5+0.130%-
Last 5 (5)34.433.868.2+0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)33.136.569.6-3.442%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)35.534.269.7+1.436%-
vs Weaker (7)33.430.964.3+2.643%-
This opponent (LePy W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
LePy Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LePy W: 58.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.5 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.314.6
37.2%
40.2%29.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.95.7
23.8%
24.5%17.1
🏀 Free throws18.712.4
66.3%
63.2%12.4
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
HBA Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

HBA W: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.5 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.418.8
43.3%
40.2%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.97.7
26.6%
24.5%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.613.7
69.9%
63.2%13.7
They take 72.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
LePy W
LWLLLWLWLW
HBA W
WLLWLWWWLL
#11
League position
#9
-4.3
Net rating
+5.8
74.5
Offensive rating
91.5
78.9
Defensive rating
85.7
36.6%
Effective FG%
42.0%
41.4%
Opp. effective FG%
41.5%
31.2%
Turnover %
20.9%
37.5%
Off. rebound %
36.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
23.8%
3-point %
26.6%
71.4%
Assist %
65.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence74.5 · 91.5Defence78.9 · 85.7Shooting36.6% · 42.0%3-point %23.8% · 26.6%Ball care31.2% · 20.9%Off. rebounds37.5% · 36.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ LePy W   ■ HBA W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
LePy W wins
1
HBA W wins
DateGameScore
17/11/23HBA W v LePy W78-73
LePy Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24ABC Nokia W62-85
03/03/24HLahti Basketball W45-38
25/02/24HLappeenranta W33-42
18/02/24APyrinto II W54-69
11/02/24HJyvaskyla BA W47-63
04/02/24AKataja W64-62
28/01/24HTorpan Pojat Helsinki II W57-70
21/01/24AEspoo Team II W63-53
14/01/24HPantterit W71-73
07/01/24AKorihait W83-72
HBA Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24HLappeenranta W60-57
03/03/24APyrinto II W73-78
25/02/24HJyvaskyla BA W79-81
18/02/24AKataja W81-58
14/02/24ALahti Basketball W57-69
04/02/24HBC Nokia W79-74
28/01/24HKorihait W96-54
21/01/24ATurun NMKY W88-74
12/01/24HPuhuttaret W77-81
07/01/24AHyPo W62-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LePy W
I Divisioona Women 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL38%
HomeLLLLW30%
AwayWWWLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %38%30%45%
Points / game56.752.760.4
Allowed / game63.662.664.5
Point differential-6.9-9.9-4.2
Avg total120.3115.3124.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %5%0%9%
HBA W
I Divisioona Women 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW52%
HomeLWWLW73%
AwayLWLWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %52%73%30%
Points / game70.274.166.0
Allowed / game67.964.971.1
Point differential+2.4+9.2-5.1
Avg total138.1139.0137.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%27%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)57% (7)50% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Nokia W2119290%77.760.3+17.4
2 Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W2115671%72.763.8+9.0
3 Pyrinto II W2214864%68.863.4+5.4
4 Lahti Basketball W2113862%64.458.1+6.3
5 Puhuttaret W2113862%71.466.7+4.7
6 Lappeenranta W2113862%58.655.2+3.4
7 Turun NMKY W2112957%61.663.9-2.3
8 Tapiolan Honka II W21111052%72.165.8+6.4
9 HBA W21111052%70.267.9+2.4
10 Jyvaskyla BA W22101245%64.668.3-3.6
11 HyPo W2191243%63.366.1-2.8
12 Espoo Team II W2181338%65.768.2-2.6
13 LePy W2181338%56.763.6-6.9
14 Pantterit W2161529%63.570.6-7.1
15 Korihait W2161529%63.473.9-10.5
16 Kataja W211205%50.569.6-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
LePy W1820232182
HBA W712151549
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