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LePy W vs Korihait W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 81-51
25-10 13-16 18-10 25-15
Position#11
Record9-13
FormLLWLW
Points / game57.9
Allowed / game63.0
LePy W 🏆
Finland
vs
Korihait W
Finland
Position#15
Record6-16
FormLLWLL
Points / game63.4
Allowed / game74.0
FinlandI Divisioona WomenI Divisioona Women - Semi-finals· Leppavaara Sports hall
Women2023-24
Meetings · LePy W v Korihait W
27 Mar 2024
LEPY87
KORI49
21 Mar 2024
LEPY81
KORI51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LePy W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Korihait W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LePy WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Pantterit W
#14
L
71-73
71
73
-2
72avg 47
H14/01
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#12
W
63-53
63
53
+10
60avg 47
A21/01
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
L
57-70
57
70
-13
52avg 47
H28/01
I Divisioona Women
Kataja W
#16
W
64-62
64
62
+2
53avg 47
A04/02
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#10
L
47-63
47
63
-16
28avg 47
H11/02
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
54-69
54
69
-15
45avg 47
A18/02
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#6
L
33-42
33
42
-9
16avg 47
H25/02
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
W
45-38
45
38
+7
35avg 47
H03/03
I Divisioona Women
BC Nokia W
#1
L
62-85
62
85
-23
46avg 47
A10/03
I Divisioona Women
HBA W
#9
W
82-49
82
49
+33
77avg 47
H17/03
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-24
25-15
24-10
13-24
20-17
17-15
16-10
10-11
12-13
15-27
17-10
13-20
19-17
19-20
16-10
10-15
6-20
14-11
16-15
11-17
12-21
17-20
14-17
11-11
7-18
11-2
11-9
4-13
12-14
9-6
7-12
17-6
20-23
13-20
18-15
11-27
18-7
20-12
23-15
21-15
118.2Avg total
57.8Scored
60.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)57.963.0120.8-5.141%
Season at home (11)55.461.4116.7-6.036%
Season away (11)60.464.5124.9-4.245%
Last 10 (10)57.860.4118.2-2.640%
Last 5 (5)55.256.6111.8-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)54.766.6121.2-11.933%
vs Similar (10)57.359.7117.0-2.430%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)69.363.0132.3+6.3100%
This opponent (Korihait W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Korihait WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lappeenranta W
#6
L
56-64
56
64
-8
48avg 51
H21/01
I Divisioona Women
HBA W
#9
L
54-96
54
96
-42
42avg 51
A28/01
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
L
68-73
68
73
-5
59avg 51
A04/02
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
L
66-93
66
93
-27
54avg 51
H11/02
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#8
L
53-93
53
93
-40
40avg 51
A18/02
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
L
66-99
66
99
-33
53avg 51
A24/02
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#4
L
53-67
53
67
-14
41avg 51
H25/02
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#12
W
62-59
62
59
+3
51avg 51
H03/03
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#13
L
60-74
60
74
-14
47avg 51
A10/03
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
L
63-77
63
77
-14
55avg 51
H17/03
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-15
12-18
19-15
16-16
13-22
12-24
5-29
24-21
22-18
13-14
19-14
14-27
17-29
22-14
12-24
15-26
8-28
17-24
18-27
10-14
18-35
15-23
19-19
14-22
12-11
19-19
7-18
15-19
13-18
16-22
15-8
18-11
19-20
14-22
17-18
10-14
22-23
14-27
17-15
10-12
139.6Avg total
60.1Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)63.474.0137.4-10.727%
Season at home (11)64.370.5134.7-6.227%
Season away (11)62.577.6140.1-15.227%
Last 10 (10)60.179.5139.6-19.410%
Last 5 (5)60.875.2136.0-14.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)63.075.0138.0-11.924%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)70.055.0125.0+15.0100%
This opponent (LePy W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -6.6-6.6Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -3.6-3.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -6.6-6.6Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -3.6-3.6
LePy WKorihait W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LePy WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pantterit W
#14
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H14/01
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#12
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A21/01
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H28/01
I Divisioona Women
Kataja W
#16
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A04/02
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#10
L
20-31
20
31
-11
H11/02
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A18/02
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#6
L
18-20
18
20
-2
H25/02
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
W
21-20
21
20
+1
H03/03
I Divisioona Women
BC Nokia W
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A10/03
I Divisioona Women
HBA W
#9
W
38-19
38
19
+19
H17/03
I Divisioona Women
61.7Avg total
29.5Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)30.034.264.2-4.332%-
Last 30 at home (11)28.131.960.0-3.836%-
Last 30 away (11)31.836.568.4-4.727%-
Last 10 (10)29.532.261.7-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)27.828.656.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)28.437.465.9-9.022%-
vs Similar (10)28.930.459.3-1.530%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)38.037.375.3+0.767%-
This opponent (Korihait W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Korihait WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lappeenranta W
#6
L
21-33
21
33
-12
H21/01
I Divisioona Women
HBA W
#9
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A28/01
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A04/02
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H11/02
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#8
L
25-52
25
52
-27
A18/02
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
L
33-58
33
58
-25
A24/02
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#4
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H25/02
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#12
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H03/03
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#13
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A10/03
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H17/03
I Divisioona Women
73.3Avg total
30.7Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)33.039.272.1-6.227%-
Last 30 at home (11)33.437.671.0-4.327%-
Last 30 away (11)32.540.773.3-8.227%-
Last 10 (10)30.742.673.3-11.920%-
Last 5 (5)32.444.076.4-11.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)32.539.872.3-7.324%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)42.026.068.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (LePy W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
LePy Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LePy W: 59.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.5 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.114.9
38.1%
40.2%29.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.35.7
23.5%
24.5%17.1
🏀 Free throws18.712.2
65.2%
63.2%12.2
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Korihait Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Korihait W: 59.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.5 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.613.7
40.8%
40.2%27.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.16.8
22.6%
24.5%20.4
🏀 Free throws16.611.3
68.1%
63.2%11.3
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
LePy W
WLWLLLWLWL
Korihait W
LLWLLLLLLL
#11
League position
#15
-0.9
Net rating
-25.1
75.0
Offensive rating
73.2
75.9
Defensive rating
98.4
37.0%
Effective FG%
37.5%
39.8%
Opp. effective FG%
42.1%
31.2%
Turnover %
26.6%
37.5%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.26
23.5%
3-point %
22.6%
72.3%
Assist %
62.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence75.0 · 73.2Defence75.9 · 98.4Shooting37.0% · 37.5%3-point %23.5% · 22.6%Ball care31.2% · 26.6%Off. rebounds37.5% · 26.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ LePy W   ■ Korihait W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
LePy W wins
0
Korihait W wins
DateGameScore
07/01/24Korihait W v LePy W72-83
LePy Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/24HHBA W82-49
10/03/24ABC Nokia W62-85
03/03/24HLahti Basketball W45-38
25/02/24HLappeenranta W33-42
18/02/24APyrinto II W54-69
11/02/24HJyvaskyla BA W47-63
04/02/24AKataja W64-62
28/01/24HTorpan Pojat Helsinki II W57-70
21/01/24AEspoo Team II W63-53
14/01/24HPantterit W71-73
Korihait Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/24HPuhuttaret W63-77
10/03/24AHyPo W60-74
03/03/24HEspoo Team II W62-59
25/02/24HTurun NMKY W53-67
24/02/24APuhuttaret W66-99
18/02/24ATapiolan Honka II W53-93
11/02/24HPantterit W66-93
04/02/24ATorpan Pojat Helsinki II W68-73
28/01/24AHBA W54-96
21/01/24HLappeenranta W56-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LePy W
I Divisioona Women 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW41%
HomeLLLWW36%
AwayWWWLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %41%36%45%
Points / game57.955.460.4
Allowed / game63.061.464.5
Point differential-5.1-6.0-4.2
Avg total120.8116.7124.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%9%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Korihait W
I Divisioona Women 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL27%
HomeLLLWL27%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %27%27%27%
Points / game63.464.362.5
Allowed / game74.070.577.6
Point differential-10.7-6.2-15.2
Avg total137.4134.7140.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%18%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Nokia W2321291%78.960.3+18.6
2 Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W2316770%71.364.0+7.2
3 Puhuttaret W2315865%71.866.1+5.7
4 Pyrinto II W2314961%68.063.3+4.7
5 Turun NMKY W2314961%62.162.7-0.6
6 Lahti Basketball W23131057%63.159.2+3.9
7 Lappeenranta W23131057%58.656.3+2.3
8 Tapiolan Honka II W23121152%72.666.9+5.7
9 HBA W22111150%69.368.5+0.8
10 Jyvaskyla BA W22101245%64.668.3-3.6
11 Espoo Team II W2291341%66.167.6-1.5
12 HyPo W2291341%63.066.6-3.6
13 LePy W2291341%57.963.0-5.1
14 Pantterit W2371630%62.669.2-6.7
15 Korihait W2261627%63.474.0-10.7
16 Kataja W232219%50.368.4-18.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
LePy W2513182581
Korihait W1016101551
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