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LePy W vs Tapiolan Honka II W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 51-67
14-16 16-21 6-14 15-16
Position#6
Record14-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game65.6
Allowed / game57.5
vs
Position#2
Record18-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game66.9
FinlandI Divisioona WomenI Divisioona Women - Semi-finals· Leppavaara Sports hall
Women2024-25
Meetings · LePy W v Tapiolan Honka II W
04 Apr 2025
LEPY51
TAPI67
23 Mar 2025
LEPY59
TAPI54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LePy W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tapiolan Honka II W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LePy WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lappeenranta W
#11
W
56-55
56
55
+1
38avg 57
H02/02
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
W
54-46
54
46
+8
43avg 57
H13/02
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#15
W
86-34
86
34
+52
79avg 57
A26/02
I Divisioona Women
Oulun NMKY W
#14
W
101-40
101
40
+61
92avg 57
H02/03
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#1
L
67-71
67
71
-4
54avg 57
A07/03
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
59-62
59
62
-3
51avg 57
H16/03
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#2
W
59-54
59
54
+5
54avg 57
H23/03
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#3
L
61-67
61
67
-6
58avg 57
A26/03
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#3
W
59-49
59
49
+10
54avg 57
H29/03
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#3
W
60-48
60
48
+12
59avg 57
A01/04
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-17
18-11
15-16
14-11
11-6
13-11
15-17
15-12
17-9
24-8
21-5
24-12
21-8
15-12
26-14
39-6
18-10
22-21
13-16
14-24
22-22
15-9
14-15
8-16
17-13
5-17
19-9
18-15
11-19
17-9
13-23
20-16
18-13
14-9
19-11
8-16
12-12
15-11
19-11
14-14
118.8Avg total
66.2Scored
52.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)65.657.5123.1+8.061%
Season at home (11)66.657.1123.7+9.573%
Season away (12)64.657.9122.5+6.750%
Last 10 (10)66.252.6118.8+13.670%
Last 5 (5)59.656.0115.6+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)58.359.2117.6-0.950%
vs Similar (6)60.856.8117.7+4.050%
vs Weaker (12)74.153.8127.9+20.275%
This opponent (Tapiolan Honka II W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tapiolan Honka II WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Jyvaskyla BA W
#9
W
99-65
99
65
+34
99avg 71
H02/02
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
W
82-70
82
70
+12
75avg 71
A09/02
I Divisioona Women
Oulun NMKY W
#14
W
90-76
90
76
+14
81avg 71
H16/02
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
W
72-67
72
67
+5
64avg 71
A23/02
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#15
W
114-40
114
40
+74
117avg 71
H02/03
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#1
L
76-81
76
81
-5
62avg 71
H16/03
I Divisioona Women
LePy W
#6
L
54-59
54
59
-5
44avg 71
A23/03
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#8
W
77-68
77
68
+9
66avg 71
H27/03
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#8
L
77-83
77
83
-6
61avg 71
A30/03
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#8
W
89-72
89
72
+17
85avg 71
H01/04
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
18-15
26-12
32-19
19-22
13-20
25-15
25-13
16-16
21-20
35-15
18-25
18-22
16-23
18-13
20-9
30-4
26-17
28-15
30-4
18-22
11-20
17-16
30-23
13-17
17-5
9-19
15-18
11-18
16-23
28-6
22-21
19-23
15-23
22-20
21-17
27-19
19-15
14-14
29-24
151.1Avg total
83.0Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)81.166.9148.0+14.278%
Season at home (12)84.265.5149.7+18.792%
Season away (11)77.768.5146.2+9.364%
Last 10 (10)83.068.1151.1+14.970%
Last 5 (5)74.672.6147.2+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)77.093.5170.5-16.50%
vs Similar (7)74.476.1150.6-1.743%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)83.062.8145.9+20.290%
This opponent (LePy W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +7.7+7.7Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +6.9+6.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +7.7+7.7Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +6.9+6.9
LePy WTapiolan Honka II W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LePy WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lappeenranta W
#11
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H02/02
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
W
24-17
24
17
+7
H13/02
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#15
W
41-17
41
17
+24
A26/02
I Divisioona Women
Oulun NMKY W
#14
W
36-20
36
20
+16
H02/03
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#1
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A07/03
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H16/03
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#2
L
22-30
22
30
-8
H23/03
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#3
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A26/03
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#3
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H29/03
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#3
W
27-23
27
23
+4
A01/04
I Divisioona Women
56.1Avg total
31.4Scored
24.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.528.160.7+4.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.026.958.9+5.162%-
Last 30 away (14)33.129.562.6+3.643%-
Last 10 (10)31.424.756.1+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)29.226.856.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)29.628.257.8+1.350%-
vs Similar (6)30.328.258.5+2.233%-
vs Weaker (12)36.628.064.6+8.667%-
This opponent (Tapiolan Honka II W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tapiolan Honka II WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jyvaskyla BA W
#9
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H02/02
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A09/02
I Divisioona Women
Oulun NMKY W
#14
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H16/02
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A23/02
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#15
W
56-21
56
21
+35
H02/03
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#1
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H16/03
I Divisioona Women
LePy W
#6
W
30-22
30
22
+8
A23/03
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#8
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H27/03
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#8
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A30/03
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#8
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H01/04
I Divisioona Women
72.9Avg total
36.6Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.634.974.5+4.773%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.631.871.4+7.988%-
Last 30 away (14)39.638.678.1+1.057%-
Last 10 (10)36.636.372.9+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)33.237.070.2-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.537.573.0-2.050%-
vs Similar (7)34.141.375.4-7.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)41.832.674.4+9.286%-
This opponent (LePy W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
LePy Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LePy W: 65.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.115.1
37.7%
42.5%30.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.78.0
26.9%
25.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.911.2
62.6%
65.4%11.2
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tapiolan Honka II Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tapiolan Honka II W: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.023.8
46.7%
42.5%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.4
32.7%
25.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws13.99.4
67.6%
65.4%9.4
They take 76.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
LePy W
WWLWLLWWWW
Tapiolan Honka II W
WLWLLWWWWW
#6
League position
#2
+16.9
Net rating
+17.7
81.8
Offensive rating
95.1
64.9
Defensive rating
77.4
38.8%
Effective FG%
47.5%
33.9%
Opp. effective FG%
38.3%
29.8%
Turnover %
24.5%
45.0%
Off. rebound %
37.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.18
26.9%
3-point %
32.7%
76.2%
Assist %
66.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence81.8 · 95.1Defence64.9 · 77.4Shooting38.8% · 47.5%3-point %26.9% · 32.7%Ball care29.8% · 24.5%Off. rebounds45.0% · 37.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ LePy W   ■ Tapiolan Honka II W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
LePy W wins
1
Tapiolan Honka II W wins
LePy Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/25AEspoo Team II W60-48
29/03/25HEspoo Team II W59-49
26/03/25AEspoo Team II W61-67
23/03/25HTapiolan Honka II W59-54
16/03/25HPyrinto II W59-62
07/03/25ATorpan Pojat Helsinki II W67-71
02/03/25HOulun NMKY W101-40
26/02/25AHyPo W86-34
13/02/25HLahti Basketball W54-46
02/02/25HLappeenranta W56-55
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/25HTurun NMKY W89-72
30/03/25ATurun NMKY W77-83
27/03/25HTurun NMKY W77-68
23/03/25ALePy W54-59
16/03/25HTorpan Pojat Helsinki II W76-81
02/03/25HHyPo W114-40
23/02/25APyrinto II W72-67
16/02/25HOulun NMKY W90-76
09/02/25ALahti Basketball W82-70
02/02/25HJyvaskyla BA W99-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LePy W
I Divisioona Women 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW61%
HomeWWLWW73%
AwayWWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %61%73%50%
Points / game65.666.664.6
Allowed / game57.557.157.9
Point differential+8.0+9.5+6.7
Avg total123.1123.7122.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%36%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)75% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tapiolan Honka II W
I Divisioona Women 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW78%
HomeWWLWW92%
AwayLWWLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %78%92%64%
Points / game81.184.277.7
Allowed / game66.965.568.5
Point differential+14.2+18.7+9.3
Avg total148.0149.7146.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%58%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W2319483%78.063.6+14.4
2 Tapiolan Honka II W2318578%81.166.9+14.2
3 Espoo Team II W2416867%75.962.7+13.2
4 Puhuttaret W2416867%70.564.0+6.5
5 Pyrinto II W2415962%69.563.8+5.7
6 LePy W2314961%65.657.5+8.0
7 Lahti Basketball W2011955%72.861.1+11.7
8 Turun NMKY W24121250%77.772.8+5.0
9 Jyvaskyla BA W24121250%67.669.9-2.3
10 Pantterit W21101148%63.964.7-0.9
11 Lappeenranta W2181338%62.365.8-3.5
12 PeKa II W2171433%67.672.5-4.9
13 Feeniks Basket W2361726%61.676.3-14.8
14 Oulun NMKY W2051525%69.483.8-14.4
15 HyPo W220220%52.090.1-38.1
16 Kataja W1010%18.0105.0-87.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
LePy W141661551
Tapiolan Honka II W1621141667
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