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Leszno vs Pelplin Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 91-74
28-21 23-19 19-15 21-19
Position#1
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game71.0
Leszno 🏆
Poland
vs
Pelplin
Poland
Position#8
Record1-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game76.0
Poland1 LigaRound 1· Hala Sportowa Trapez
Other2026-27
Meetings · Leszno v Pelplin
30 Sep 2026
LESZ91
PELP74
09 Nov 2025
LESZ95
PELP86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leszno winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pelplin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LesznoPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeszno
Date
Competition
Lancut
#5
L
89-92
89
92
-3
82avg 71
H21/02
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
75-82
75
82
-7
68avg 71
A01/03
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
76-68
76
68
+8
70avg 71
A07/03
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#14
W
72-66
72
66
+6
71avg 71
H13/03
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
L
69-81
69
81
-12
58avg 71
A22/03
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
L
75-89
75
89
-14
61avg 71
H26/03
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
75-82
75
82
-7
66avg 71
A04/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
90-88
90
88
+2
84avg 71
H11/04
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
79-93
79
93
-14
70avg 71
A15/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
80-71
80
71
+9
73avg 71
H26/09
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
16-32
32-18
18-21
23-17
19-20
16-21
17-24
18-21
19-12
23-15
16-20
23-18
13-10
18-22
18-16
23-22
16-21
13-19
17-19
22-24
19-20
20-19
14-26
23-18
20-20
13-24
19-20
21-27
20-17
23-22
26-22
15-25
16-33
21-19
27-16
17-22
33-15
17-14
13-20
159.2Avg total
78.0Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)80.071.0151.0+9.0100%
Season at home (1)80.071.0151.0+9.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.081.2159.2-3.240%
Last 5 (5)79.884.6164.4-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)84.786.6171.3-1.946%
vs Similar (15)75.180.5155.6-5.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)73.568.5142.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Pelplin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PelplinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPelplin
Date
Competition
Inowroclaw
#14
L
70-79
70
79
-9
60avg 76
H28/03
1 Liga
Poznan
#15
W
97-79
97
79
+18
92avg 76
A08/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
W
90-79
90
79
+11
88avg 76
H11/04
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
L
78-101
78
101
-23
65avg 76
A15/04
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
80-96
80
96
-16
72avg 76
A18/04
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
87-84
87
84
+3
81avg 76
A19/04
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
68-92
68
92
-24
61avg 76
H25/04
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
83-76
83
76
+7
75avg 76
H26/04
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
78-93
78
93
-15
68avg 76
A29/04
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#16
W
89-76
89
76
+13
92avg 76
H27/09
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-13
9-20
18-24
18-22
17-30
29-19
30-11
21-19
27-10
21-21
26-25
16-23
16-28
21-25
20-27
21-21
25-30
21-16
21-29
13-21
17-18
14-23
29-26
27-17
16-24
14-16
23-32
15-20
16-21
16-19
21-25
30-11
15-22
21-31
25-23
17-17
30-14
18-25
22-17
19-20
167.5Avg total
82.0Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)89.076.0165.0+13.0100%
Season at home (1)89.076.0165.0+13.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.085.5167.5-3.550%
Last 5 (5)81.084.2165.2-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)76.794.7171.3-18.00%
vs Similar (18)83.483.4166.8+0.156%
vs Weaker (9)89.381.3170.7+8.078%
This opponent (Leszno) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +0.6+0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +0.6+0.6
LesznoPelplin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LesznoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lancut
#5
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H21/02
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A01/03
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A07/03
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#14
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H13/03
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A22/03
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H26/03
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A04/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H11/04
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
31-58
31
58
-27
A15/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H26/09
1 Liga
81.4Avg total
39.9Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.141.982.0-1.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.338.377.7+1.053%-
Last 30 away (15)40.845.586.3-4.733%-
Last 10 (10)39.941.581.4-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)41.244.285.4-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)41.743.885.5-2.154%-
vs Similar (15)38.541.580.0-3.127%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)41.532.574.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Pelplin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PelplinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Inowroclaw
#14
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H28/03
1 Liga
Poznan
#15
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A08/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H11/04
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A15/04
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A18/04
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A19/04
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H25/04
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H26/04
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A29/04
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#16
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H27/09
1 Liga
81.3Avg total
38.8Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.941.884.7+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.138.180.3+4.073%-
Last 30 away (15)43.645.589.1-1.933%-
Last 10 (10)38.842.581.3-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)35.442.678.0-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)45.045.390.3-0.333%-
vs Similar (18)41.742.484.2-0.750%-
vs Weaker (9)44.439.383.8+5.167%-
This opponent (Leszno) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lesznotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leszno: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.420.1
51.0%
53.9%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.2
30.1%
33.5%21.6
🏀 Free throws24.916.2
65.1%
70.8%16.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pelplintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pelplin: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.523.9
53.7%
53.9%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.46.0
28.0%
33.5%18.0
🏀 Free throws27.116.2
59.8%
70.8%16.2
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leszno
WLWLLLWWLL
Pelplin
WLWLWLLWWL
#1
League position
#8
-3.5
Net rating
-3.6
90.0
Offensive rating
90.6
93.5
Defensive rating
94.2
48.8%
Effective FG%
49.9%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
14.4%
Turnover %
16.3%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.41
30.1%
3-point %
28.0%
62.6%
Assist %
65.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence90.0 · 90.6Defence93.5 · 94.2Shooting48.8% · 49.9%3-point %30.1% · 28.0%Ball care14.4% · 16.3%Free throws0.39 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Leszno   ■ Pelplin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Leszno wins
1
Pelplin wins
DateGameScore
01/03/26Pelplin v Leszno82-75
09/11/25Leszno v Pelplin95-86
29/12/15Pelplin v Leszno64-72
Lesznolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/26HWKK Wroclaw80-71
15/04/26ALKS Lodz79-93
11/04/26HKotwica Kolobrzeg90-88
04/04/26ASpojnia Stargard75-82
26/03/26HPoli. Opolska75-89
22/03/26AWKK Wroclaw69-81
13/03/26HInowroclaw72-66
07/03/26APolonia Warszawa76-68
01/03/26APelplin75-82
21/02/26HLancut89-92
Pelplinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/26HPoli. Opolska89-76
29/04/26ASpojnia Stargard78-93
26/04/26HSpojnia Stargard83-76
25/04/26HSpojnia Stargard68-92
19/04/26ASpojnia Stargard87-84
18/04/26ASpojnia Stargard80-96
15/04/26AR. Rzeszow78-101
11/04/26HWKK Wroclaw90-79
08/04/26APoznan97-79
28/03/26HInowroclaw70-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leszno
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game80.080.0-
Allowed / game71.071.0-
Point differential+9.0+9.0-
Avg total151.0151.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Pelplin
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game89.089.0-
Allowed / game76.076.0-
Point differential+13.0+13.0-
Avg total165.0165.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LKS Lodz110100%87.052.0+35.0
2 Poznan220100%101.586.5+15.0
3 Inowroclaw220100%77.564.0+13.5
4 Pelplin110100%89.076.0+13.0
5 Leszno110100%80.071.0+9.0
6 Spojnia Stargard220100%85.580.0+5.5
7 Polonia Warszawa220100%97.595.5+2.0
8 Kotwica Kolobrzeg21150%96.090.0+6.0
9 Lancut21150%91.585.5+6.0
10 Bytom21150%85.086.5-1.5
11 Krosno2020%91.599.0-7.5
12 WKK Wroclaw2020%68.580.0-11.5
13 R. Rzeszow2020%71.084.5-13.5
14 Starogard Gdanski1010%76.090.0-14.0
15 Poli. Opolska2020%75.592.5-17.0
16 GKS Tychy2020%66.585.0-18.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leszno2823192191
Pelplin2119151974
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