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Poznan vs Pelplin Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 79-97
30-17 19-29 11-30 19-21
Position#15
Record11-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Pelplin 🏆
Poland
Position#7
Record17-12
FormWLLWL
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game83.1
Poland1 LigaRound 31· Cityzen hall
Other2025-26
Meetings · Poznan v Pelplin
27 Dec 2026
POZN v PELP
upcoming
08 Apr 2026
POZN79
PELP97
15 Mar 2025
POZN75
PELP88
23 Sep 2023
POZN78
PELP96
19 Mar 2023
POZN61
PELP71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Poznan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pelplin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PoznanPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoznan
Date
Competition
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
76-75
76
75
+1
61avg 69
A24/01
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#14
W
81-75
81
75
+6
65avg 69
H31/01
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
L
76-82
76
82
-6
57avg 69
A07/02
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
77-82
77
82
-5
69avg 69
A21/02
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
L
86-102
86
102
-16
69avg 69
H28/02
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
82-96
82
96
-14
68avg 69
A08/03
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
L
83-84
83
84
-1
69avg 69
H15/03
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
67-88
67
88
-21
58avg 69
A21/03
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
84-93
84
93
-9
76avg 69
A25/03
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
L
84-90
84
90
-6
74avg 69
H29/03
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
21-25
21-16
16-20
19-27
19-20
24-14
19-14
20-17
18-30
17-9
21-26
22-21
21-19
17-19
17-23
20-27
19-22
25-24
22-29
20-23
33-17
18-32
11-24
17-19
22-22
21-21
23-22
22-13
20-22
11-21
14-32
16-28
25-14
24-27
19-24
15-16
22-27
19-25
28-22
166.3Avg total
79.6Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)80.382.0162.3-1.838%
Season at home (14)83.381.9165.2+1.450%
Season away (15)77.582.1159.6-4.727%
Last 10 (10)79.686.7166.3-7.120%
Last 5 (5)80.090.2170.2-10.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.986.1166.0-6.225%
vs Similar ◀ (19)80.380.7161.0-0.542%
vs Weaker (3)81.076.0157.0+5.067%
This opponent (Pelplin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PelplinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPelplin
Date
Competition
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
L
72-86
72
86
-14
55avg 77
A24/01
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
L
73-76
73
76
-3
61avg 77
H01/02
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
81-95
81
95
-14
no box
A07/02
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
W
83-69
83
69
+14
74avg 77
H13/02
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
106-83
106
83
+23
81avg 77
A22/02
1 Liga
Leszno
#12
W
82-75
82
75
+7
72avg 77
H01/03
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
81-104
81
104
-23
73avg 77
A07/03
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
80-93
80
93
-13
62avg 77
A15/03
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
91-84
91
84
+7
86avg 77
A21/03
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#14
L
70-79
70
79
-9
60avg 77
H28/03
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
16-18
20-21
16-21
14-21
22-14
15-21
22-20
21-22
29-28
13-22
18-23
23-20
24-23
21-8
15-18
28-24
25-16
27-22
26-21
17-23
20-19
21-16
24-17
22-28
28-25
18-25
13-26
19-23
19-29
25-17
17-24
24-12
21-26
20-21
26-25
25-13
9-20
18-24
18-22
166.3Avg total
81.9Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)85.783.1168.8+2.759%
Season at home (15)84.678.0162.6+6.680%
Season away (14)86.988.5175.4-1.636%
Last 10 (10)81.984.4166.3-2.540%
Last 5 (5)80.887.0167.8-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)81.692.6174.2-11.020%
vs Similar ◀ (15)85.584.1169.5+1.453%
vs Weaker (10)89.179.2168.3+9.980%
This opponent (Poznan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: -2.2-2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: -2.2-2.2
PoznanPelplin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PoznanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Polonia Warszawa
#11
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A24/01
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#14
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H31/01
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A07/02
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A21/02
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H28/02
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A08/03
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H15/03
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A21/03
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A25/03
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H29/03
1 Liga
83.2Avg total
40.9Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.139.679.8+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.940.281.1+0.643%-
Last 30 away (16)39.539.178.6+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)40.942.383.2-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)42.440.282.6+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)43.240.183.4+3.162%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)39.339.779.0-0.542%-
vs Weaker (3)37.337.775.0-0.333%-
This opponent (Pelplin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PelplinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A24/01
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H01/02
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A07/02
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H13/02
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A22/02
1 Liga
Leszno
#12
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H01/03
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A07/03
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A15/03
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A21/03
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#14
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H28/03
1 Liga
85.6Avg total
42.6Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.341.285.6+3.163%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.439.282.6+4.175%-
Last 30 away (14)45.443.588.9+1.950%-
Last 10 (10)42.643.085.6-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.843.684.4-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)44.244.088.2+0.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)44.642.587.1+2.167%-
vs Weaker (10)44.038.082.0+6.070%-
This opponent (Poznan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Poznantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poznan: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.921.0
49.0%
52.0%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.4
32.3%
31.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws17.812.4
69.7%
70.0%12.4
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pelplintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pelplin: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.624.1
49.6%
52.0%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.76.5
27.4%
31.9%19.5
🏀 Free throws25.314.3
56.5%
70.0%14.3
They take 72.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Poznan
LLLLLLLLWW
Pelplin
LWLLWWWLLL
#15
League position
#7
-8.3
Net rating
+1.3
92.6
Offensive rating
86.5
100.9
Defensive rating
85.2
48.8%
Effective FG%
46.8%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
12.5%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.3%
3-point %
27.4%
49.3%
Assist %
64.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence92.6 · 86.5Defence100.9 · 85.2Shooting48.8% · 46.8%3-point %32.3% · 27.4%Ball care12.5% · 14.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Poznan   ■ Pelplin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Poznan wins
6
Pelplin wins
DateGameScore
13/12/25Pelplin v Poznan85-75
15/03/25Poznan v Pelplin75-88
08/12/24Pelplin v Poznan94-96
07/01/24Pelplin v Poznan82-78
23/09/23Poznan v Pelplin78-96
19/03/23Poznan v Pelplin61-71
09/12/22Pelplin v Poznan76-69
Poznanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/26HZubry Bialystok84-90
25/03/26AStarogard Gdanski84-93
21/03/26ABydgoszcz67-88
15/03/26HPoli. Opolska83-84
08/03/26ALKS Lodz82-96
28/02/26HKotwica Kolobrzeg86-102
21/02/26ASpojnia Stargard77-82
07/02/26AWKK Wroclaw76-82
31/01/26HInowroclaw81-75
24/01/26APolonia Warszawa76-75
Pelplinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26HInowroclaw70-79
21/03/26AZubry Bialystok91-84
15/03/26APolonia Warszawa80-93
07/03/26ABydgoszcz81-104
01/03/26HLeszno82-75
22/02/26APoli. Opolska106-83
13/02/26HLancut83-69
07/02/26ALKS Lodz81-95
01/02/26HGKS Tychy73-76
24/01/26AKotwica Kolobrzeg72-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Poznan
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL38%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %38%50%27%
Points / game80.383.377.5
Allowed / game82.081.982.1
Point differential-1.8+1.4-4.7
Avg total162.3165.2159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%21%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Pelplin
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL59%
HomeWLWWL80%
AwayLWLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %59%80%36%
Points / game85.784.686.9
Allowed / game83.178.088.5
Point differential+2.7+6.6-1.6
Avg total168.8162.6175.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%47%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bydgoszcz3025583%88.577.5+11.0
2 Lancut2920969%86.185.9+0.2
3 Spojnia Stargard30201067%83.180.0+3.1
4 LKS Lodz29191066%86.079.3+6.7
5 Starogard Gdanski29191066%83.979.9+4.0
6 GKS Tychy29181162%82.981.2+1.7
7 Pelplin29171259%85.783.1+2.7
8 Kotwica Kolobrzeg29141548%80.978.2+2.8
9 Polonia Warszawa30141647%80.782.6-1.9
10 WKK Wroclaw31141745%80.781.6-0.8
11 Poli. Opolska29121741%81.883.6-1.8
12 R. Rzeszow30121840%81.283.0-1.9
13 Leszno30121840%78.282.4-4.2
14 Inowroclaw31121939%79.582.7-3.2
15 Poznan29111838%80.382.0-1.8
16 Miners Katowice3072323%80.286.1-5.9
17 Zubry Bialystok3062420%77.687.5-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Poznan3019111979
Pelplin1729302197
← all games of the day
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