On 7 November 2026 the 1 Liga showdown pits Leszno against Poznan, with Leszno the clear favourite as the Pythia model rates them 75% to win, driven by their perfect 7-0 season record, 90.9 points per game and 73.4 allowed per game, placing them first in the league, while Poznan sits fourth with a 5-2 record, 91.3 points per game and 85.3 allowed per game. Leszno have not lost any of their seven games, winning all four at home with an average of 88.5 points and 70.2 allowed, and they have won their last five games, including a 90-76 victory over Bytom on 31 October and a 94-85 win away at Starogard Gdański on 17 October; Poznan's last five include wins over Inowroclaw, Kotwica Kolobrzeg and Lancut, but they have lost two road games in the same span. Historically Poznan leads the all-time head-to-head 7-3, with the most recent meeting on 21 January 2026 where Poznan beat Leszno 83-72. The Pythia model projects a 88-80 score, 168 total points, with a 45% chance Leszno covers the -9.0 line and a 50% chance of the over on 167.5, and a 4% overtime probability. The next game will see Leszno try to extend their unbeaten run against a Poznan side that has already beaten them twice this season.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 90.9 | 73.4 | 164.3 | +17.4 | 100% |
| Season at home (4) | 88.5 | 70.2 | 158.8 | +18.2 | 100% |
| Season away (3) | 94.0 | 77.7 | 171.7 | +16.3 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 88.0 | 77.7 | 165.7 | +10.3 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 93.0 | 73.8 | 166.8 | +19.2 | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (10) | 82.4 | 87.2 | 169.6 | -4.8 | 40% |
| vs Similar (12) | 78.7 | 80.1 | 158.8 | -1.4 | 42% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (8) | 87.9 | 72.5 | 160.4 | +15.4 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 91.3 | 85.3 | 176.6 | +6.0 | 71% |
| Season at home (4) | 90.8 | 82.2 | 173.0 | +8.5 | 75% |
| Season away (3) | 92.0 | 89.3 | 181.3 | +2.7 | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 86.7 | 85.0 | 171.7 | +1.7 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 87.2 | 84.8 | 172.0 | +2.4 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (7) | 79.1 | 87.4 | 166.6 | -8.3 | 14% |
| vs Similar (19) | 82.6 | 83.9 | 166.5 | -1.4 | 47% |
| vs Weaker (4) | 91.8 | 82.2 | 174.0 | +9.5 | 75% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 82.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.5 | 40.9 | 82.4 | +0.7 | 57% | 50% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 41.1 | 37.8 | 78.9 | +3.3 | 60% | 47% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 42.0 | 43.9 | 85.9 | -1.9 | 53% | 53% |
| Last 10 (10) | 44.3 | 40.9 | 85.2 | +3.4 | 80% | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 45.4 | 38.4 | 83.8 | +7.0 | 100% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (10) | 40.3 | 43.5 | 83.8 | -3.2 | 50% | 50% |
| vs Similar (12) | 40.2 | 41.2 | 81.3 | -1.0 | 33% | 33% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (8) | 45.1 | 37.1 | 82.2 | +8.0 | 100% | 75% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 82.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.5 | 40.3 | 81.8 | +1.2 | 57% | 47% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 41.9 | 39.9 | 81.8 | +1.9 | 67% | 33% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 41.1 | 40.7 | 81.8 | +0.5 | 47% | 60% |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.4 | 41.1 | 84.5 | +2.3 | 70% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 41.2 | 39.0 | 80.2 | +2.2 | 60% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (7) | 42.1 | 39.3 | 81.4 | +2.9 | 57% | 43% |
| vs Similar (19) | 41.2 | 41.1 | 82.3 | +0.1 | 53% | 53% |
| vs Weaker (4) | 41.8 | 38.2 | 80.0 | +3.5 | 75% | 25% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leszno under 94.5 | 74.8% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +6.6pp | Lost |
| Leszno under 93.5 | 71.5% | 1.35 | 1.35 | - | - | - | - | +6.3pp | Lost |
| Poznan +13.5 | 70.2% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +4.0pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 95.7% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.9pp | - |
| Poznan +14.5 | 73.1% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| Poznan over 74.5 | 70.5% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +2.6pp | Won |
| Poznan under 85.5 | 70.1% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +2.0pp | Lost |
| Leszno (regulation) | 72.5% | 1.24 | 1.24 | 1.24 | - | - | - | +0.7pp | Won |
| Leszno win | 74.9% | 1.22 | 1.29 | 1.24 | 1.23 | 1.22 | 1.21 | -2.5pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 39.3 | 21.9 | 53.9% | 43.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 25.1 | 9.2 | 33.5% | 27.6 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 22.7 | 16.6 | 70.8% | 16.6 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 41.8 | 22.1 | 53.9% | 44.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 24.8 | 9.2 | 33.5% | 27.6 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 23.2 | 14.6 | 70.8% | 14.6 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 21/01/26 | Poznan v Leszno | 83-72 |
| 01/10/25 | Leszno v Poznan | 64-90 |
| 22/01/20 | Leszno v Poznan | 68-88 |
| 16/10/19 | Poznan v Leszno | 104-101 |
| 31/03/19 | Leszno v Poznan | 86-96 |
| 22/12/18 | Poznan v Leszno | 78-65 |
| 31/01/18 | Leszno v Poznan | 82-63 |
| 18/10/17 | Poznan v Leszno | 71-68 |
| 25/03/17 | Poznan v Leszno | 67-68 |
| 10/12/16 | Leszno v Poznan | 82-69 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | A | Bytom | 90-76 |
| 25/10/26 | H | GKS Tychy | 84-59 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Starogard Gdanski | 94-85 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Polonia Warszawa | 99-77 |
| 03/10/26 | A | R. Rzeszow | 98-72 |
| 30/09/26 | H | Pelplin | 91-74 |
| 26/09/26 | H | WKK Wroclaw | 80-71 |
| 15/04/26 | A | LKS Lodz | 79-93 |
| 11/04/26 | H | Kotwica Kolobrzeg | 90-88 |
| 04/04/26 | A | Spojnia Stargard | 75-82 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | H | Inowroclaw | 83-75 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Kotwica Kolobrzeg | 90-84 OT |
| 18/10/26 | H | Lancut | 90-80 |
| 11/10/26 | A | LKS Lodz | 79-86 |
| 04/10/26 | H | Spojnia Stargard | 94-99 |
| 26/09/26 | A | Krosno | 107-98 |
| 19/09/26 | H | Poli. Opolska | 96-75 |
| 15/04/26 | H | Miners Katowice | 74-79 |
| 12/04/26 | A | R. Rzeszow | 75-77 |
| 08/04/26 | H | Pelplin | 79-97 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWW | 100% |
| Home | WWWW | 100% |
| Away | WWW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Points / game | 90.9 | 88.5 | 94.0 |
| Allowed / game | 73.4 | 70.2 | 77.7 |
| Point differential | +17.4 | +18.2 | +16.3 |
| Avg total | 164.3 | 158.8 | 171.7 |
| Over 168.75 | 43% | 25% | 67% |
| Win by 10+ | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWWW | 71% |
| Home | WLWW | 75% |
| Away | WLW | 67% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| Win % | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Points / game | 91.3 | 90.8 | 92.0 |
| Allowed / game | 85.3 | 82.2 | 89.3 |
| Point differential | +6.0 | +8.5 | +2.7 |
| Avg total | 176.6 | 173.0 | 181.3 |
| Over 168.75 | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Win by 10+ | 29% | 50% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 14% | 0% | 33% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 90.9 | 73.4 | +17.4 | |
| 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 91.4 | 86.8 | +4.6 | |
| 3 | LKS Lodz | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 88.0 | 78.3 | +9.7 |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 91.3 | 85.3 | +6.0 | |
| 5 | Polonia Warszawa | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 90.6 | 91.3 | -0.7 |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 83.1 | 81.3 | +1.9 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 79.7 | 78.7 | +1.0 | |
| 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 90.9 | 91.7 | -0.9 | |
| 9 | Lancut | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 87.0 | 84.4 | +2.6 |
| 10 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 90.5 | 89.6 | +0.9 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 77.4 | 80.8 | -3.4 | |
| 12 | Bytom | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 81.4 | 86.1 | -4.7 |
| 13 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 84.4 | 88.1 | -3.8 | |
| 14 | R. Rzeszow | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 78.2 | 87.9 | -9.6 |
| 15 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 84.4 | 91.7 | -7.3 | |
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 81.6 | 94.1 | -12.6 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 24 | 31 | 16 | 100 | |
| 27 | 24 | 22 | 16 | 89 |
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