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Poznan vs Krosno Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 71-80
23-22 19-19 13-21 16-18
Position#12
Record14-13
FormLWLWL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game81.4
vs
Krosno 🏆
Poland
Position#1
Record21-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game79.1
Poland1 LigaRound 28· Cityzen hall
Other2024-25
Meetings · Poznan v Krosno
09 Jan 2027
POZN v KROS
upcoming
02 Mar 2025
POZN71
KROS80
07 Oct 2023
POZN78
KROS68
14 Dec 2022
POZN62
KROS68
08 Mar 2020
POZN65
KROS74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Poznan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Krosno winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PoznanPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoznan
Date
Competition
Inowroclaw
#9
W
80-63
80
63
+17
70avg 78
H04/01
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
55-64
55
64
-9
42avg 78
A10/01
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
L
86-88 OT
86
88
-2
72avg 78
H15/01
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
91-64
91
64
+27
83avg 78
A19/01
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
L
73-85
73
85
-12
no box
H25/01
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
L
96-100
96
100
-4
87avg 78
A01/02
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
W
93-86
93
86
+7
93avg 78
A05/02
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
L
67-90
67
90
-23
59avg 78
A08/02
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
87-70
87
70
+17
78avg 78
H15/02
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
L
87-93
87
93
-6
80avg 78
A26/02
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
13-13
24-16
21-18
14-15
10-20
16-21
15-8
18-25
26-19
19-20
17-16
19-13
20-17
27-16
25-18
16-18
18-19
21-24
18-24
25-24
12-27
26-23
33-26
18-20
31-19
21-22
23-25
21-21
15-24
9-27
22-18
20-24
24-12
22-21
21-13
21-26
24-19
20-27
22-21
161.8Avg total
81.5Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)84.381.4165.7+3.052%
Season at home (13)87.378.3165.6+9.069%
Season away (14)81.684.2165.8-2.636%
Last 10 (10)81.580.3161.8+1.240%
Last 5 (5)86.087.8173.8-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)81.484.0165.4-2.640%
vs Similar (18)83.380.7164.1+2.650%
vs Weaker (7)92.480.0172.4+12.471%
This opponent (Krosno) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KrosnoPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKrosno
Date
Competition
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
W
94-76
94
76
+18
101avg 79
H05/01
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
W
86-78
86
78
+8
83avg 79
A11/01
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
92-67
92
67
+25
90avg 79
H15/01
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
W
73-70
73
70
+3
66avg 79
A22/01
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
L
95-109
95
109
-14
95avg 79
H26/01
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
73-85
73
85
-12
72avg 79
A31/01
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
W
81-79
81
79
+2
78avg 79
H05/02
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
89-65
89
65
+24
90avg 79
A09/02
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
W
102-80
102
80
+22
112avg 79
H16/02
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
W
77-52
77
52
+25
81avg 79
H26/02
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-19
23-20
21-17
20-20
26-13
13-25
25-18
22-22
24-17
20-12
20-11
28-27
21-16
18-18
13-19
21-17
23-21
22-34
23-30
27-24
19-22
18-29
17-15
19-19
13-27
26-13
15-17
27-22
29-15
16-15
27-23
17-12
30-21
21-17
31-23
20-19
18-16
23-12
25-10
11-14
162.3Avg total
86.2Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)85.779.1164.8+6.578%
Season at home (14)89.780.5170.2+9.279%
Season away (13)81.377.7159.0+3.677%
Last 10 (10)86.276.1162.3+10.180%
Last 5 (5)84.472.2156.6+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)82.580.3162.8+2.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)84.979.2164.1+5.875%
This opponent (Poznan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +1.6+1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +1.6+1.6
PoznanKrosno
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PoznanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Inowroclaw
#9
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H04/01
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A10/01
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H15/01
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A19/01
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H25/01
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A01/02
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A05/02
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A08/02
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H15/02
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A26/02
1 Liga
77.8Avg total
38.7Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.840.583.2+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.639.283.8+5.460%-
Last 30 away (15)40.941.782.7-0.840%-
Last 10 (10)38.739.177.8-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)42.243.285.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)41.042.083.0-1.040%-
vs Similar (18)42.639.682.1+3.050%-
vs Weaker (7)44.641.786.3+2.957%-
This opponent (Krosno) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KrosnoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H05/01
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A11/01
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H15/01
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A22/01
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
L
45-55
45
55
-10
H26/01
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A31/01
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H05/02
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A09/02
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H16/02
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H26/02
1 Liga
81.5Avg total
43.3Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.539.180.6+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.540.783.2+1.753%-
Last 30 away (15)40.537.578.1+3.053%-
Last 10 (10)43.338.281.5+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)42.637.480.0+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)40.541.582.0-1.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)41.838.580.3+3.258%-
This opponent (Poznan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Poznantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poznan: 71.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.016.6
47.4%
51.0%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.67.2
35.0%
32.5%21.6
🏀 Free throws21.117.1
81.0%
70.2%17.1
They take 55.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Krosnotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Krosno: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.720.1
54.8%
51.0%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.49.2
39.3%
32.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws25.617.6
68.8%
70.2%17.6
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Poznan
LWLWLLWLLW
Krosno
WWWWLLWWWW
#12
League position
#1
-2.0
Net rating
+14.1
109.6
Offensive rating
114.6
111.5
Defensive rating
100.6
49.3%
Effective FG%
56.4%
56.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
17.5%
Turnover %
17.9%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.43
35.0%
3-point %
39.3%
55.9%
Assist %
78.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence109.6 · 114.6Defence111.5 · 100.6Shooting49.3% · 56.4%3-point %35.0% · 39.3%Ball care17.5% · 17.9%Off. rebounds33.1% · 29.5%Free throws0.38 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Poznan   ■ Krosno
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Poznan wins
6
Krosno wins
DateGameScore
16/11/24Krosno v Poznan98-81
17/01/24Krosno v Poznan80-69
07/10/23Poznan v Krosno78-68
26/03/23Krosno v Poznan87-62
14/12/22Poznan v Krosno62-68
08/03/20Poznan v Krosno65-74
30/11/19Krosno v Poznan80-71
Poznanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/25ATrefl Sopot II87-93
15/02/25HPolonia Warszawa87-70
08/02/25AGKS Tychy67-90
05/02/25ABydgoszcz93-86
01/02/25AR. Rzeszow96-100
25/01/25HStarogard Gdanski73-85
19/01/25ASlask Wroclaw II91-64
15/01/25HMKKS Koszalin86-88 OT
10/01/25AKotwica Kolobrzeg55-64
04/01/25HInowroclaw80-63
Krosnolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/25HLancut77-52
16/02/25HTrefl Sopot II102-80
09/02/25APolonia Warszawa89-65
05/02/25HGKS Tychy81-79
31/01/25ABydgoszcz73-85
26/01/25HR. Rzeszow95-109
22/01/25AStarogard Gdanski73-70
15/01/25HSlask Wroclaw II92-67
11/01/25AMKKS Koszalin86-78
05/01/25HKotwica Kolobrzeg94-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Poznan
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL52%
HomeWWLLW69%
AwayWLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %52%69%36%
Points / game84.387.381.6
Allowed / game81.478.384.2
Point differential+3.0+9.0-2.6
Avg total165.7165.6165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%46%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Krosno
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW78%
HomeWLWWW79%
AwayWWWLW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %78%79%77%
Points / game85.789.781.3
Allowed / game79.180.577.7
Point differential+6.5+9.2+3.6
Avg total164.8170.2159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)75% (4)80% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Krosno2721678%85.779.1+6.5
2 Bydgoszcz2719870%83.977.8+6.1
3 Kotwica Kolobrzeg28171161%81.676.0+5.6
4 Inowroclaw28171161%80.380.4-0.1
5 WKK Wroclaw27161159%82.980.5+2.4
6 Pelplin27151256%82.883.2-0.4
7 Poznan27141352%84.381.4+3.0
8 GKS Tychy27141352%81.679.3+2.2
9 Lancut27141352%84.282.9+1.3
10 LKS Lodz27141352%85.784.7+1.1
11 Polonia Warszawa27121544%82.282.1+0.1
12 MKKS Koszalin27121544%80.784.6-3.8
13 Starogard Gdanski28121643%82.280.9+1.3
14 R. Rzeszow28121643%79.485.4-6.1
15 Slask Wroclaw II28111739%76.380.8-4.5
16 Poli. Opolska27101737%80.183.5-3.4
17 Trefl Sopot II2781930%83.888.1-4.3
18 HydroTruck Radom2882029%75.982.7-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Poznan2319131671
Krosno2219211880
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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