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Leszno vs Spojnia Stargard Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 88-87
15-15 26-21 27-23 20-28
Position#12
Record4-8
FormLWWLL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game82.2
Leszno 🏆
Poland
vs
Position#4
Record8-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game79.7
Poland1 LigaRound 14· Hala Sportowa Trapez
Other2025-26
Meetings · Leszno v Spojnia Stargard
28 Nov 2026
LESZ v SPOJ
upcoming
13 Dec 2025
LESZ88
SPOJ87
21 Dec 2017
LESZ76
SPOJ67
24 Feb 2017
LESZ65
SPOJ68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leszno winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Spojnia Stargard winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LesznoPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeszno
Date
Competition
Poznan
#15
L
64-90
64
90
-26
53avg 68
H01/10
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
L
68-83
68
83
-15
56avg 68
A04/10
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
L
51-76
51
76
-25
34avg 68
H10/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
94-101
94
101
-7
88avg 68
A18/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
W
88-67
88
67
+21
85avg 68
H26/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
L
64-87
64
87
-23
49avg 68
A02/11
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
95-86
95
86
+9
92avg 68
H09/11
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
83-57
83
57
+26
76avg 68
H15/11
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#14
L
91-101
91
101
-10
78avg 68
A22/11
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
L
64-74
64
74
-10
51avg 68
H30/11
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
18-14
14-25
15-26
15-21
26-24
9-9
18-29
12-24
16-15
7-23
16-14
23-26
28-30
26-22
17-23
22-18
20-15
25-11
21-23
16-20
10-25
19-23
19-19
19-23
27-22
27-23
22-18
29-9
11-21
20-16
23-11
28-24
21-31
21-21
21-25
17-21
17-14
16-19
14-20
158.4Avg total
76.2Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.682.2158.8-5.633%
Season at home (7)73.076.1149.1-3.143%
Season away (5)81.690.6172.2-9.020%
Last 10 (10)76.282.2158.4-6.030%
Last 5 (5)79.481.0160.4-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)82.182.1164.2+0.042%
vs Similar (16)77.283.8160.9-6.631%
vs Weaker (2)92.089.0181.0+3.050%
This opponent (Spojnia Stargard) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Spojnia StargardPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStargard
Date
Competition
LKS Lodz
#2
W
83-81
83
81
+2
76avg 71
A05/10
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
81-73
81
73
+8
74avg 71
H10/10
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
79-92
79
92
-13
68avg 71
A18/10
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
93-73
93
73
+20
96avg 71
H26/10
1 Liga
Poznan
#15
L
73-79
73
79
-6
67avg 71
A02/11
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
L
83-88
83
88
-5
73avg 71
H10/11
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
W
78-70
78
70
+8
66avg 71
A16/11
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
W
92-83
92
83
+9
91avg 71
H24/11
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
W
79-65
79
65
+14
73avg 71
A29/11
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
W
96-81
96
81
+15
94avg 71
H06/12
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
21-23
18-24
20-15
21-18
19-12
17-24
24-19
29-18
18-23
19-24
13-27
26-15
23-15
20-19
24-24
18-33
21-7
16-16
18-23
24-15
24-28
15-18
20-27
16-17
18-23
16-15
28-15
18-22
26-19
22-19
26-23
24-21
19-23
23-11
13-10
31-20
18-24
18-16
29-21
162.2Avg total
83.7Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)84.079.7163.7+4.367%
Season at home (6)85.777.0162.7+8.783%
Season away (6)82.382.3164.7+0.050%
Last 10 (10)83.778.5162.2+5.270%
Last 5 (5)85.677.4163.0+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.183.2157.3-9.118%
vs Similar (15)80.681.9162.5-1.340%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)81.273.8155.0+7.575%
This opponent (Leszno) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +1.1+1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +1.1+1.1
LesznoSpojnia Stargard
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LesznoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poznan
#15
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H01/10
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A04/10
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H10/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A18/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H26/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A02/11
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H09/11
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H15/11
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#14
L
49-55
49
55
-6
A22/11
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H30/11
1 Liga
81.4Avg total
39.2Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.740.981.6-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.439.578.9-0.157%-
Last 30 away (16)41.842.183.9-0.238%-
Last 10 (10)39.242.281.4-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)39.042.081.0-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)42.341.884.2+0.558%-
vs Similar (16)39.141.680.6-2.531%-
vs Weaker (2)44.029.573.5+14.5100%-
This opponent (Spojnia Stargard) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Spojnia StargardLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LKS Lodz
#2
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A05/10
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H10/10
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A18/10
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H26/10
1 Liga
Poznan
#15
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A02/11
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H10/11
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A16/11
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H24/11
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A29/11
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H06/12
1 Liga
83.3Avg total
43.8Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.440.181.5+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.439.380.7+2.160%-
Last 30 away (15)41.440.982.3+0.553%-
Last 10 (10)43.839.583.3+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)43.642.486.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)42.041.783.7+0.355%-
vs Similar (15)41.240.381.5+0.960%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)40.535.075.5+5.550%-
This opponent (Leszno) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lesznotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leszno: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.3
51.2%
52.0%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.37.3
27.8%
31.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws23.415.3
65.4%
70.0%15.3
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Spojnia Stargardtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spojnia Stargard: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.6
52.1%
52.0%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.79.9
33.3%
31.9%29.7
🏀 Free throws20.313.8
68.0%
70.0%13.8
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leszno
LLWWLWLLLL
Spojnia Stargard
WWWWLLWLWW
#12
League position
#4
-7.0
Net rating
+6.4
98.2
Offensive rating
105.4
105.2
Defensive rating
99.0
47.3%
Effective FG%
51.2%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
44.5%
17.6%
Turnover %
17.9%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.30
27.8%
3-point %
33.3%
57.5%
Assist %
62.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.2 · 105.4Defence105.2 · 99.0Shooting47.3% · 51.2%3-point %27.8% · 33.3%Ball care17.6% · 17.9%Off. rebounds28.7% · 29.6%Free throws0.37 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Leszno   ■ Spojnia Stargard
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Leszno wins
2
Spojnia Stargard wins
Lesznolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/25HWKK Wroclaw64-74
22/11/25AInowroclaw91-101
15/11/25HPolonia Warszawa83-57
09/11/25HPelplin95-86
02/11/25ALancut64-87
26/10/25HGKS Tychy88-67
18/10/25AStarogard Gdanski94-101
10/10/25HMiners Katowice51-76
04/10/25AR. Rzeszow68-83
01/10/25HPoznan64-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25HLancut96-81
29/11/25AGKS Tychy79-65
24/11/25HStarogard Gdanski92-83
16/11/25AMiners Katowice78-70
10/11/25HR. Rzeszow83-88
02/11/25APoznan73-79
26/10/25HZubry Bialystok93-73
18/10/25ABydgoszcz79-92
10/10/25HPoli. Opolska81-73
05/10/25ALKS Lodz83-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leszno
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL33%
HomeLWWWL43%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %33%43%20%
Points / game76.673.081.6
Allowed / game82.276.190.6
Point differential-5.6-3.1-9.0
Avg total158.8149.1172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%29%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Spojnia Stargard
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %67%83%50%
Points / game84.085.782.3
Allowed / game79.777.082.3
Point differential+4.3+8.7+0.0
Avg total163.7162.7164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bydgoszcz1311285%89.176.0+13.1
2 LKS Lodz1210283%86.176.2+9.9
3 Starogard Gdanski129375%85.580.5+5.0
4 Spojnia Stargard128467%84.079.7+4.3
5 Pelplin138562%87.282.5+4.7
6 GKS Tychy138562%85.282.8+2.3
7 Lancut138562%85.585.1+0.5
8 Polonia Warszawa138562%83.084.4-1.4
9 R. Rzeszow126650%78.279.4-1.2
10 Poznan125742%80.779.2+1.5
11 WKK Wroclaw135838%78.781.5-2.8
12 Inowroclaw135838%80.286.8-6.6
13 Kotwica Kolobrzeg124833%78.880.5-1.8
14 Leszno124833%76.682.2-5.6
15 Poli. Opolska134931%81.784.0-2.3
16 Miners Katowice123925%79.485.2-5.8
17 Zubry Bialystok120120%73.888.3-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leszno1526272088
Spojnia Stargard1521232887
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