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Okapi Aalst vs Leuven Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 75-82
20-23 8-15 23-16 24-28
Position#7
Record1-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game98.0
Allowed / game82.0
Okapi Aalst
Belgium
vs
Leuven Bears 🏆
Belgium
Position#2
Record1-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game104.0
Allowed / game93.0
BelgiumBelgian CupBelgian Cup - Quarter-finals· Okapi Forum
Other2025
Meetings · Okapi Aalst v Leuven Bears
10 Apr 2027
OKAP v LEUV
upcoming
13 Mar 2026
OKAP95
LEUV76
03 Jan 2026
OKAP75
LEUV82
14 Sep 2024
OKAP51
LEUV64
17 Feb 2024
OKAP76
LEUV86
12 May 2023
OKAP81
LEUV75
22 Oct 2022
OKAP83
LEUV74
21 May 2022
OKAP71
LEUV73
23 Oct 2021
OKAP68
LEUV57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Okapi Aalst winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leuven Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Okapi AalstBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#14
L
81-95
81
95
-14
65avg 81
H25/10
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
W
108-83
108
83
+25
109avg 81
H01/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
103-106 OT
103
106
-3
88avg 81
A07/11
BNXT League
Namur
#12
W
98-82
98
82
+16
no box
A14/11
Belgian Cup
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
108-89
108
89
+19
107avg 81
H22/11
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
93-76
93
76
+17
96avg 81
H06/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
76-98
76
98
-22
63avg 81
A14/12
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
108-73
108
73
+35
112avg 81
H20/12
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
97-99 OT
97
99
-2
87avg 81
A23/12
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
107-98
107
98
+9
107avg 81
H26/12
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-34
27-17
18-18
18-26
23-23
31-21
28-26
26-13
25-26
21-20
22-16
21-27
33-30
25-14
21-21
19-17
30-19
27-25
24-22
27-23
23-23
30-10
17-22
23-21
19-32
20-24
16-25
21-17
20-16
27-22
30-23
31-12
30-18
16-26
21-25
17-15
26-26
32-31
26-24
23-17
187.8Avg total
97.9Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)98.082.0180.0+16.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)98.082.0180.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)97.989.9187.8+8.060%
Last 5 (5)96.288.8185.0+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.987.1162.0-12.212%
vs Similar ◀ (8)84.588.0172.5-3.525%
vs Weaker (13)91.984.9176.8+7.069%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#14
W
87-83 OT
87
83
+4
76avg 74
A02/11
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
83-88
83
88
-5
69avg 74
H08/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
L
76-82
76
82
-6
72avg 74
A11/11
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
81-57
81
57
+24
76avg 74
A15/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#11
W
104-93 OT
104
93
+11
no box
H19/11
Belgian Cup
Den Helder
#12
W
84-71
84
71
+13
83avg 74
H06/12
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
76-80
76
80
-4
66avg 74
H13/12
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
L
72-90
72
90
-18
57avg 74
A20/12
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
93-64
93
64
+29
91avg 74
H23/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
93-63
93
63
+30
96avg 74
A26/12
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
22-27
23-20
12-12
21-20
17-24
23-18
22-26
19-12
22-26
18-22
17-22
15-11
20-16
16-15
30-15
14-18
21-17
30-15
17-32
20-24
10-17
30-14
24-16
16-20
20-22
19-21
21-17
18-23
22-14
19-19
13-34
27-16
21-19
26-16
19-13
16-22
30-10
26-10
21-21
162.0Avg total
84.9Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)104.093.0197.0+11.0100%
Season at home (1)104.093.0197.0+11.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.977.1162.0+7.860%
Last 5 (5)83.673.6157.2+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)66.579.8146.3-13.317%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.379.1161.4+3.254%
vs Weaker (10)87.469.5156.9+17.990%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -1.2-1.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -1.2-1.2
Okapi AalstLeuven Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#14
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H25/10
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H01/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A07/11
BNXT League
Namur
#12
W
58-44
58
44
+14
A14/11
Belgian Cup
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H22/11
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H06/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A14/12
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H20/12
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A23/12
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H26/12
BNXT League
96.0Avg total
50.3Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.343.586.8-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.743.891.5+3.846%-
Last 30 away (17)39.943.383.2-3.441%-
Last 10 (10)50.345.796.0+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)48.645.694.2+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.142.479.5-5.212%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.448.289.6-6.925%-
vs Weaker (13)47.141.388.4+5.869%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#14
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A02/11
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H08/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A11/11
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A15/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#11
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H19/11
Belgian Cup
Den Helder
#12
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H06/12
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H13/12
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A20/12
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H23/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A26/12
BNXT League
76.3Avg total
38.9Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.877.6+2.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.939.280.1+1.643%-
Last 30 away (16)38.936.575.4+2.456%-
Last 10 (10)38.937.476.3+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.037.477.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.840.274.0-6.317%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.840.380.1-0.546%-
vs Weaker (10)44.033.377.3+10.780%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 98.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.1 points a game
44%
31%
26%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.723.0
59.4%
55.9%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.7
39.6%
31.2%32.1
🏀 Free throws24.219.9
82.2%
75.4%19.9
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.1 points a game
44%
31%
26%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.122.0
54.9%
55.9%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.57.5
34.9%
31.2%22.5
🏀 Free throws24.617.2
69.9%
75.4%17.2
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Okapi Aalst
WLWLWWWLWL
Leuven Bears
WWLLWWWLLW
#7
League position
#2
+9.9
Net rating
+9.4
123.2
Offensive rating
107.4
113.2
Defensive rating
98.0
59.4%
Effective FG%
54.0%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
15.0%
Turnover %
19.2%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.40
39.6%
3-point %
34.9%
54.9%
Assist %
50.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence123.2 · 107.4Defence113.2 · 98.0Shooting59.4% · 54.0%3-point %39.6% · 34.9%Ball care15.0% · 19.2%Off. rebounds26.1% · 27.7%Free throws0.37 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Okapi Aalst   ■ Leuven Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Okapi Aalst wins
8
Leuven Bears wins
DateGameScore
26/04/25Leuven Bears v Okapi Aalst90-75
14/09/24Okapi Aalst v Leuven Bears51-64
27/03/24Leuven Bears v Okapi Aalst71-63
17/02/24Okapi Aalst v Leuven Bears76-86
14/11/23Leuven Bears v Okapi Aalst84-60
15/05/23Leuven Bears v Okapi Aalst101-65
12/05/23Okapi Aalst v Leuven Bears81-75
07/01/23Leuven Bears v Okapi Aalst88-69
22/10/22Okapi Aalst v Leuven Bears83-74
25/05/22Leuven Bears v Okapi Aalst74-66
Okapi Aalstlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/25HLimburg107-98
23/12/25AOostende97-99 OT
20/12/25HBAL Weert108-73
14/12/25ADen Bosch76-98
06/12/25HMechelen93-76
22/11/25HSpirou Charleroi108-89
14/11/25ANamur98-82
07/11/25AAntwerp Giants103-106 OT
01/11/25HLeiden108-83
25/10/25HZwolle81-95
Leuven Bearslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/25ABelfius Mons93-63
23/12/25HRotterdam93-64
20/12/25ALeiden72-90
13/12/25HOostende76-80
06/12/25HDen Helder84-71
19/11/25HBelfius Mons104-93 OT
15/11/25AMechelen81-57
11/11/25ADonar Groningen76-82
08/11/25HBrussels Basketball83-88
02/11/25AZwolle87-83 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Okapi Aalst
Belgian Cup 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game98.0-98.0
Allowed / game82.0-82.0
Point differential+16.0-+16.0
Avg total180.0-180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Leuven Bears
Belgian Cup 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game104.0104.0-
Allowed / game93.093.0-
Point differential+11.0+11.0-
Avg total197.0197.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %100%100%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants110100%120.072.0+48.0
2 Limburg110100%103.071.0+32.0
3 Kortrijk110100%94.063.0+31.0
4 Mechelen110100%92.067.0+25.0
5 Okapi Aalst110100%98.082.0+16.0
6 Leuven Bears110100%104.093.0+11.0
7 Spirou Charleroi110100%106.096.0+10.0
8 Oostende110100%87.085.0+2.0
9 Basics Melsele1010%85.087.0-2.0
10 Lier1010%96.0106.0-10.0
11 Belfius Mons1010%93.0104.0-11.0
12 Namur1010%82.098.0-16.0
13 Antwerp Giants 21010%67.092.0-25.0
14 Waregem1010%63.094.0-31.0
15 Spirou Charleroi 21010%71.0103.0-32.0
16 Lier B1010%72.0120.0-48.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Okapi Aalst208232475
Leuven Bears2315162882
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