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Mechelen vs Leuven Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 57-81
11-15 16-20 15-16 15-30
Position#8
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game71.8
vs
Position#13
Record2-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game87.9
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 8· Stedelijke Sporthal Winketkaai
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mechelen v Leuven Bears
13 Mar 2027
MECH v LEUV
upcoming
15 Nov 2025
MECH57
LEUV81
03 Jan 2025
MECH82
LEUV86
02 Nov 2024
MECH72
LEUV67
10 Apr 2024
MECH90
LEUV76
16 Dec 2023
MECH72
LEUV69
07 May 2023
MECH98
LEUV89
03 May 2023
MECH75
LEUV62
21 Jan 2023
MECH91
LEUV75
18 May 2022
MECH77
LEUV69
14 May 2022
MECH78
LEUV75
10 May 2022
MECH63
LEUV72
29 Jan 2022
MECH74
LEUV65
05 Feb 2021
MECH70
LEUV79
06 Dec 2019
MECH63
LEUV73
13 Apr 2019
MECH77
LEUV68
12 Jan 2019
MECH75
LEUV92
26 Sep 2018
MECH74
LEUV90
17 Mar 2018
MECH88
LEUV85
03 Dec 2017
MECH90
LEUV86
22 Apr 2017
MECH78
LEUV67
26 Dec 2016
MECH100
LEUV67
08 Apr 2016
MECH84
LEUV63
03 Dec 2015
MECH85
LEUV80
06 Mar 2015
MECH79
LEUV73
08 Oct 2014
MECH80
LEUV86
30 Mar 2014
MECH86
LEUV94
05 Oct 2013
MECH79
LEUV88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mechelen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leuven Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
Oostende
#1
L
76-100
76
100
-24
68avg 73
A07/06
Pro Basketball League
KK Bosna
#4
L
57-82
57
82
-25
50avg 73
A24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
KK Bosna
#4
L
82-82
82
82
+0
78avg 73
H01/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Antwerp Giants
#1
W
74-61
74
61
+13
63avg 73
H04/10
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
70-66
70
66
+4
70avg 73
H11/10
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
92-74
92
74
+18
75avg 73
A17/10
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
77-71
77
71
+6
68avg 73
A25/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
118-83
118
83
+35
120avg 73
H01/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
93-76
93
76
+17
84avg 73
A08/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants 2
#13
W
92-67
92
67
+25
no box
A12/11
Belgian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
24-31
19-18
14-26
19-26
13-18
12-15
13-23
25-17
17-21
17-27
23-17
25-17
16-16
14-23
19-5
22-22
12-15
21-13
15-16
21-24
18-28
26-9
27-13
19-16
17-19
22-17
19-19
26-27
35-20
27-13
30-23
26-19
21-18
22-15
24-24
28-22
26-12
24-17
14-16
159.3Avg total
83.1Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.371.8159.2+15.5100%
Season at home (3)87.370.0157.3+17.3100%
Season away (3)87.373.7161.0+13.7100%
Last 10 (10)83.176.2159.3+6.970%
Last 5 (5)94.474.2168.6+20.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)76.683.1159.6-6.550%
vs Similar ◀ (3)87.779.3167.0+8.367%
vs Weaker (12)84.772.6157.2+12.183%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#4
W
90-83
90
83
+7
86avg 73
H15/05
Pro Basketball League
Kortrijk
#4
L
79-87
79
87
-8
68avg 73
A17/05
Pro Basketball League
Kortrijk
#4
L
69-71
69
71
-2
57avg 73
A26/09
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
91-95 OT
91
95
-4
74avg 73
H04/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
52-104
52
104
-52
40avg 73
H11/10
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
75-84
75
84
-9
59avg 73
A17/10
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
100-96 OT
100
96
+4
93avg 73
H25/10
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
87-83 OT
87
83
+4
76avg 73
A02/11
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
83-88
83
88
-5
69avg 73
H08/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
L
76-82
76
82
-6
72avg 73
A11/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
27-24
29-24
14-15
20-23
13-24
17-27
29-13
13-19
18-14
19-10
19-28
22-27
23-19
14-16
23-20
16-24
13-27
12-25
11-28
25-11
13-24
17-31
20-18
11-17
31-28
21-15
20-23
18-16
22-27
23-20
12-12
21-20
17-24
23-18
22-26
19-12
22-26
18-22
17-22
167.5Avg total
80.2Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.187.9167.0-8.825%
Season at home (4)81.595.8177.2-14.225%
Season away (4)76.880.0156.8-3.225%
Last 10 (10)80.287.3167.5-7.130%
Last 5 (5)84.286.6170.8-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)66.280.8147.0-14.717%
vs Similar ◀ (15)82.581.5164.0+0.940%
vs Weaker (9)84.372.6156.9+11.878%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.8-1.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.8-1.8
MechelenLeuven Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#1
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A07/06
Pro Basketball League
KK Bosna
#4
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
KK Bosna
#4
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H01/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Antwerp Giants
#1
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H04/10
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H11/10
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A17/10
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A25/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
61-47
61
47
+14
H01/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A08/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants 2
#13
W
54-34
54
34
+20
A12/11
Belgian Cup
84.2Avg total
42.9Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.641.483.0+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.841.884.6+0.941%-
Last 30 away (13)40.040.980.9-0.946%-
Last 10 (10)42.941.384.2+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)47.441.088.4+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.744.683.3-5.921%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)43.744.788.3-1.033%-
vs Weaker (12)43.337.680.9+5.867%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#4
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H15/05
Pro Basketball League
Kortrijk
#4
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A17/05
Pro Basketball League
Kortrijk
#4
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A26/09
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H04/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
29-51
29
51
-22
H11/10
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A17/10
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H25/10
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A02/11
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H08/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A11/11
BNXT League
81.0Avg total
38.4Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.439.679.0-0.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.241.482.6-0.143%-
Last 30 away (16)37.838.175.8-0.338%-
Last 10 (10)38.442.681.0-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)39.841.080.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.240.373.5-7.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.842.582.3-2.733%-
vs Weaker (9)42.834.277.0+8.667%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.421.1
51.0%
54.3%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.07.1
35.5%
34.6%21.3
🏀 Free throws21.216.4
77.4%
72.4%16.4
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.621.1
53.3%
54.3%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.86.8
29.8%
34.6%20.4
🏀 Free throws25.717.0
66.1%
72.4%17.0
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mechelen
WWWWWWWLLL
Leuven Bears
LLWWLLLLLW
#8
League position
#13
+2.8
Net rating
-9.0
107.6
Offensive rating
103.7
104.7
Defensive rating
112.7
51.7%
Effective FG%
50.2%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
16.6%
Turnover %
19.5%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.41
35.5%
3-point %
29.8%
52.1%
Assist %
49.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 103.7Defence104.7 · 112.7Shooting51.7% · 50.2%3-point %35.5% · 29.8%Ball care16.6% · 19.5%Off. rebounds25.5% · 32.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Mechelen   ■ Leuven Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Mechelen wins
3
Leuven Bears wins
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/25AAntwerp Giants 292-67
08/11/25ABelfius Mons93-76
01/11/25HSpirou Charleroi118-83
25/10/25ABAL Weert77-71
17/10/25ARotterdam92-74
11/10/25HZwolle70-66
04/10/25HAntwerp Giants74-61
01/10/25HKK Bosna82-82
24/09/25AKK Bosna57-82
07/06/25AOostende76-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/25ADonar Groningen76-82
08/11/25HBrussels Basketball83-88
02/11/25AZwolle87-83 OT
25/10/25HLWD Basket100-96 OT
17/10/25ALimburg75-84
11/10/25HAntwerp Giants52-104
04/10/25HSpirou Charleroi91-95 OT
26/09/25AKortrijk69-71
17/05/25AKortrijk79-87
15/05/25HKortrijk90-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mechelen
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.387.387.3
Allowed / game71.870.073.7
Point differential+15.5+17.3+13.7
Avg total159.2157.3161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL25%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game79.181.576.8
Allowed / game87.995.880.0
Point differential-8.8-14.2-3.2
Avg total167.0177.2156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %38%50%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mechelen660100%87.371.8+15.5
2 Leiden87188%94.477.4+17.0
3 Oostende87188%91.481.1+10.2
4 Antwerp Giants76186%98.673.6+25.0
5 Donar Groningen96367%81.978.6+3.3
6 Den Bosch64267%85.882.8+3.0
7 Okapi Aalst85362%92.888.1+4.6
8 Brussels Basketball85362%87.584.0+3.5
9 Belfius Mons74357%88.091.0-3.0
10 Limburg84450%86.578.9+7.6
11 Kortrijk84450%87.082.4+4.6
12 Spirou Charleroi84450%81.588.4-6.9
13 Zwolle72529%77.781.4-3.7
14 Leuven Bears82625%79.187.9-8.8
15 Den Helder71614%79.689.7-10.1
16 LWD Basket81712%86.899.9-13.1
17 Rotterdam7070%72.995.1-22.3
18 BAL Weert8080%64.989.0-24.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mechelen1116151557
Leuven Bears1520163081
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