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Leuven Bears vs Circus Brussels Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 86-72
23-15 23-16 18-21 22-20
Position#7
Record11-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game73.7
vs
Position#5
Record12-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game75.7
EuropeBNXT League· Sportoase
Other2024-25
Meetings · Leuven Bears v Circus Brussels
01 Feb 2025
LEUV86
CIRC72
08 Mar 2024
LEUV80
CIRC75
30 Sep 2023
LEUV72
CIRC80
02 Nov 2022
LEUV69
CIRC53
12 Nov 2021
LEUV77
CIRC62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leuven Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Circus Brussels winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
73-69
73
69
+4
67avg 73
H01/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
60-70
60
70
-10
52avg 73
H07/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
93-85
93
85
+8
99avg 73
A15/12
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
90-85
90
85
+5
81avg 73
H20/12
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
74-57
74
57
+17
69avg 73
H26/12
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
86-82
86
82
+4
no box
A03/01
Belgian Cup
Mechelen
#8
W
78-73
78
73
+5
no box
H05/01
Belgian Cup
Den Helder
#16
W
91-65
91
65
+26
88avg 73
A11/01
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
104-77
104
77
+27
113avg 73
H18/01
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
76-82
76
82
-6
65avg 73
A26/01
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-24
20-20
17-7
22-18
21-15
12-21
12-19
15-15
26-23
26-18
14-17
27-27
13-18
20-18
25-24
32-25
21-10
16-15
21-15
16-17
19-24
17-15
30-18
20-25
17-17
28-15
11-26
22-15
19-14
19-12
20-21
33-18
25-23
26-22
25-19
28-13
18-23
16-18
19-21
23-20
157.0Avg total
82.5Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)80.273.7153.8+6.558%
Season at home (9)82.170.2152.3+11.978%
Season away (10)78.476.8155.2+1.640%
Last 10 (10)82.574.5157.0+8.080%
Last 5 (5)87.075.8162.8+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.084.7154.7-14.70%
vs Similar ◀ (8)75.877.8153.5-2.038%
vs Weaker (18)82.570.3152.8+12.278%
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrussels
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
76-89
76
89
-13
69avg 73
A11/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
74-73
74
73
+1
68avg 73
H17/11
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
89-95
89
95
-6
90avg 73
A29/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
73-71
73
71
+2
59avg 73
A08/12
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
79-61
79
61
+18
78avg 73
H15/12
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
71-66
71
66
+5
67avg 73
A21/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
59-71
59
71
-12
50avg 73
H26/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
74-63
74
63
+11
60avg 73
A11/01
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
L
90-98
90
98
-8
74avg 73
H17/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
W
83-74
83
74
+9
78avg 73
A25/01
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
19-24
21-20
21-24
18-17
16-21
25-19
15-16
17-33
23-23
30-17
19-22
14-21
19-14
23-16
17-20
19-10
24-20
20-10
16-21
17-18
21-20
21-13
12-15
25-22
6-13
18-20
10-16
24-21
8-16
21-14
21-12
21-28
24-25
18-20
27-25
22-24
23-9
21-26
17-15
152.9Avg total
76.8Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)76.875.7152.5+1.163%
Season at home (9)73.174.3147.4-1.256%
Season away (10)80.177.0157.1+3.170%
Last 10 (10)76.876.1152.9+0.760%
Last 5 (5)75.474.4149.8+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.080.5156.5-4.550%
vs Similar ◀ (11)77.579.5156.9-2.055%
vs Weaker (17)79.273.5152.7+5.871%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: -1.1-1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: -1.1-1.1
Leuven BearsCircus Brussels
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H01/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H07/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A15/12
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H20/12
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H26/12
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A03/01
Belgian Cup
Mechelen
#8
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H05/01
Belgian Cup
Den Helder
#16
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A11/01
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H18/01
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A26/01
BNXT League
75.8Avg total
39.3Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.738.478.0+1.348%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.135.977.0+5.262%-
Last 30 away (16)38.540.478.9-1.938%-
Last 10 (10)39.336.575.8+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)40.836.677.4+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.048.785.7-11.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.042.080.0-4.025%-
vs Weaker (18)40.835.175.9+5.867%-
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A11/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H17/11
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A29/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A08/12
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H15/12
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A21/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H26/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A11/01
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H17/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A25/01
BNXT League
77.5Avg total
37.5Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.439.278.6+0.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.738.177.8+1.747%-
Last 30 away (15)39.040.479.4-1.427%-
Last 10 (10)37.540.077.5-2.520%-
Last 5 (5)38.239.277.4-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.042.573.5-11.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.941.880.7-2.936%-
vs Weaker (17)40.637.277.8+3.541%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.520.5
54.7%
52.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.78.4
37.0%
34.1%25.2
🏀 Free throws23.714.8
62.4%
71.9%14.8
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Circus Brusselstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Circus Brussels: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.121.3
54.5%
52.6%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.56.5
31.7%
34.1%19.5
🏀 Free throws19.113.5
70.7%
71.9%13.5
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leuven Bears
LWWWWWWWLW
Circus Brussels
WLWLWWWLWL
#7
League position
#5
+6.6
Net rating
+0.1
108.4
Offensive rating
103.7
101.8
Defensive rating
103.5
55.0%
Effective FG%
52.1%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
19.9%
Turnover %
18.2%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.0%
3-point %
31.7%
63.3%
Assist %
57.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.4 · 103.7Defence101.8 · 103.5Shooting55.0% · 52.1%3-point %37.0% · 31.7%Ball care19.9% · 18.2%Off. rebounds31.7% · 24.5%Free throws0.39 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Leuven Bears   ■ Circus Brussels
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Leuven Bears wins
4
Circus Brussels wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25ADonar Groningen76-82
18/01/25HZwolle104-77
11/01/25ADen Helder91-65
05/01/25HMechelen78-73
03/01/25AMechelen86-82
26/12/24HBAL Weert74-57
20/12/24HQSTA Utd90-85
15/12/24AFeyenoord93-85
07/12/24HBelfius Mons60-70
01/12/24HSpirou Charleroi73-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25ALWD Basket83-74
17/01/25HOkapi Aalst90-98
11/01/25AFeyenoord74-63
26/12/24HSpirou Charleroi59-71
21/12/24ALeiden71-66
15/12/24HBAL Weert79-61
08/12/24ADonar Groningen73-71
29/11/24ALimburg89-95
17/11/24HDen Bosch74-73
11/11/24AAntwerp Giants76-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL58%
HomeWLWWW78%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %58%78%40%
Points / game80.282.178.4
Allowed / game73.770.276.8
Point differential+6.5+11.9+1.6
Avg total153.8152.3155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%56%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Circus Brussels
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW63%
HomeLWWLL56%
AwayLWWWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %63%56%70%
Points / game76.873.180.1
Allowed / game75.774.377.0
Point differential+1.1-1.2+3.1
Avg total152.5147.4157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%22%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)100% (3)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende1917289%91.377.0+14.3
2 Kortrijk1915479%97.279.0+18.2
3 Mechelen1914574%79.974.4+5.5
4 Limburg1913668%80.374.3+6.0
5 Circus Brussels1912763%76.875.7+1.1
6 Leuven Bears1911858%80.273.7+6.5
7 Okapi Aalst1911858%82.577.7+4.8
8 LWD Basket1911858%81.880.7+1.1
9 Antwerp Giants1810856%78.978.3+0.6
10 Spirou Charleroi1910953%79.474.5+4.8
11 Belfius Mons20101050%80.279.2+1.0
12 Den Bosch20101050%81.280.5+0.8
13 Leiden1991047%76.880.1-3.3
14 Zwolle1971237%81.786.9-5.2
15 Donar Groningen1861233%76.984.6-7.7
16 Den Helder2161529%70.383.7-13.4
17 Feyenoord1951426%80.489.7-9.3
18 BAL Weert1821611%68.883.1-14.2
19 QSTA Utd1921711%76.888.2-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leuven Bears2323182286
Circus Brussels1516212072
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