Mechelen vs Leuven Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 May 2023

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 98-89

30-20 25-21 16-24 27-24

Position#3

Record1-1

FormWLWWL

Points / game68.5

Allowed / game74.0

Mechelen 🏆

Leuven Bears

Position#5

Record1-1

FormWWWLW

Points / game74.0

Allowed / game68.5

Pro Basketball LeaguePro Basketball League - Quarter-finals· Stedelijke Sporthal Winketkaai

Other2023

Meetings · Mechelen v Leuven Bears

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mechelen winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Leuven Bears winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mechelen

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMechelen

Date

Competition

Zwolle

#12

101-62

101

+39

no box

H25/03

BNXT League

Leiden

77-75

no box

A29/03

BNXT League

LWD Basket

#15

96-90

no box

A02/04

BNXT League

Den Bosch

70-53

+17

no box

H08/04

BNXT League

Zwolle

#12

81-84

-3

no box

A14/04

BNXT League

Donar Groningen

74-72

no box

H19/04

BNXT League

Donar Groningen

48-73

-25

no box

A22/04

BNXT League

LWD Basket

#15

76-61

+15

no box

H28/04

BNXT League

Leuven Bears

75-62

+13

72avg 57

H03/05

Pro Basketball League

Leuven Bears

62-86

-24

41avg 57

A05/05

Pro Basketball League

32-12

22-13

21-14

26-23

16-13

18-22

19-17

24-23

20-20

27-16

25-26

24-28

19-16

18-13

17-15

16-9

21-20

25-17

12-24

23-23

17-15

18-22

25-17

14-18

19-19

11-18

13-13

5-23

15-19

22-18

22-13

17-11

24-22

18-13

19-17

14-10

18-24

9-29

24-13

11-20

147.8Avg total

76.0Scored

71.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	68.5	74.0	142.5	-5.5	50%
Season at home (1)	75.0	62.0	137.0	+13.0	100%
Season away (1)	62.0	86.0	148.0	-24.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	76.0	71.8	147.8	+4.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	67.0	70.8	137.8	-3.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	69.3	75.1	144.4	-5.9	43%
vs Similar (13)	79.8	78.6	158.5	+1.2	69%
vs Weaker (10)	85.3	76.5	161.8	+8.8	70%

This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Leuven Bears Belgium

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBears

Date

Competition

Feyenoord

#17

69-62

no box

H25/03

BNXT League

Amsterdam

#20

82-57

+25

no box

A29/03

BNXT League

QSTA Utd

#14

92-62

+30

no box

A02/04

BNXT League

BAL Weert

#18

83-65

+18

no box

H08/04

BNXT League

Feyenoord

#17

88-76

+12

no box

A14/04

BNXT League

Amsterdam

#20

104-58

104

+46

no box

H19/04

BNXT League

BAL Weert

#18

74-71 OT

no box

A22/04

BNXT League

Den Helder

#19

85-56

+29

no box

H28/04

BNXT League

Mechelen

62-75

-13

50avg 64

A03/05

Pro Basketball League

Mechelen

86-62

+24

78avg 64

H05/05

Pro Basketball League

22-18

12-12

13-13

22-19

15-15

31-11

17-13

19-18

27-17

33-12

18-19

14-14

25-15

22-14

16-28

20-8

24-24

20-18

17-12

27-22

25-18

27-11

29-17

23-12

19-18

11-17

17-11

13-14

18-14

21-8

25-16

21-18

22-24

13-18

17-19

10-14

24-18

29-9

13-24

20-11

146.9Avg total

82.5Scored

64.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	74.0	68.5	142.5	+5.5	50%
Season at home (1)	86.0	62.0	148.0	+24.0	100%
Season away (1)	62.0	75.0	137.0	-13.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	82.5	64.4	146.9	+18.1	90%
Last 5 (5)	82.2	64.4	146.6	+17.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	69.5	83.0	152.5	-13.5	25%
vs Similar (7)	75.4	77.3	152.7	-1.9	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	82.5	67.3	149.8	+15.2	83%

This opponent (Mechelen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

MechelenLeuven Bears

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	18.2	38.6	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	18.7	39.8	+2.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	17.7	37.4	+1.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	18.0	38.1	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.8	38.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	19.6	18.3	37.9	+1.3	57%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.8	18.2	38.0	+1.7	46%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.7	18.2	39.9	+3.5	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.0	19.3	39.3	+0.7	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	17.4	36.6	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	21.1	41.8	-0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	18.1	40.2	+4.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.4	40.0	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.2	20.5	36.8	-4.2	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.1	19.4	39.6	+0.7	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	20.7	19.0	39.7	+1.7	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.2	40.1	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	18.8	39.6	+2.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	21.6	40.7	-2.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	18.1	36.9	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	20.0	35.6	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	16.3	21.7	38.0	-5.4	43%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.9	21.2	41.1	-1.2	31%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.5	17.9	40.4	+4.6	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.5	16.6	37.0	+3.9	66%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	14.6	37.2	+7.9	86%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	18.3	36.9	+0.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	13.0	34.9	+8.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	12.6	32.8	+7.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.8	20.0	37.8	-2.2	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.6	19.3	38.9	+0.3	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	21.4	14.7	36.2	+6.7	72%	-

MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zwolle

#12

54-25

+29

H25/03

BNXT League

Leiden

34-35

-1

A29/03

BNXT League

LWD Basket

#15

47-36

+11

A02/04

BNXT League

Den Bosch

37-29

H08/04

BNXT League

Zwolle

#12

46-37

A14/04

BNXT League

Donar Groningen

35-37

-2

H19/04

BNXT League

Donar Groningen

30-37

-7

A22/04

BNXT League

LWD Basket

#15

37-37

H28/04

BNXT League

Leuven Bears

42-35

H03/05

Pro Basketball League

Leuven Bears

27-53

-26

A05/05

Pro Basketball League

75.0Avg total

38.9Scored

36.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	38.4	78.7	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.9	37.5	79.4	+4.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.7	39.3	78.1	-0.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	36.1	75.0	+2.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.2	39.8	74.0	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	35.9	40.0	75.9	-4.1	57%	-
vs Similar (13)	39.8	39.3	79.1	+0.5	46%	-
vs Weaker (10)	44.2	36.1	80.3	+8.1	80%	-

This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Feyenoord

#17

34-30

H25/03

BNXT League

Amsterdam

#20

46-26

+20

A29/03

BNXT League

QSTA Utd

#14

60-29

+31

A02/04

BNXT League

BAL Weert

#18

47-29

+18

H08/04

BNXT League

Feyenoord

#17

44-42

A14/04

BNXT League

Amsterdam

#20

52-29

+23

H19/04

BNXT League

BAL Weert

#18

30-35

-5

A22/04

BNXT League

Den Helder

#19

39-22

+17

H28/04

BNXT League

Mechelen

35-42

-7

A03/05

Pro Basketball League

Mechelen

53-27

+26

H05/05

Pro Basketball League

75.1Avg total

44.0Scored

31.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.4	35.9	76.3	+4.6	69%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.8	32.0	73.8	+9.8	93%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.2	39.5	78.7	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.0	31.1	75.1	+12.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	31.0	72.8	+10.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	34.0	40.5	74.5	-6.5	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	39.7	38.7	78.4	+1.0	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	42.2	33.7	75.9	+8.4	78%	-

This opponent (Mechelen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.3	38.6	+0.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	19.0	40.3	+2.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	19.6	36.9	-2.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	16.9	36.6	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	14.6	35.2	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	17.4	19.6	37.0	-2.1	43%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.5	19.3	38.8	+0.2	54%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.4	19.1	39.5	+1.3	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.1	16.6	35.6	+2.5	59%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	17.7	37.4	+1.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	15.5	34.0	+3.1	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	17.2	35.4	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	17.4	37.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.5	17.5	35.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.1	17.7	34.9	-0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	20.2	15.9	36.1	+4.3	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.1	38.1	-0.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	17.5	37.0	+2.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	20.7	39.2	-2.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	18.8	36.2	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	12.2	16.4	28.6	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	16.0	15.6	31.6	+0.4	71%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.3	19.3	38.6	+0.0	69%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.7	21.3	42.0	-0.6	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.3	18.1	36.4	+0.2	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	16.4	35.8	+3.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.2	19.7	36.9	-2.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	15.0	33.9	+3.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	13.8	31.2	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.2	21.2	36.5	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.1	18.9	36.0	-1.7	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	19.4	17.1	36.5	+2.3	61%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	38.4	76.7	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.8	36.5	77.3	+4.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.8	40.3	76.1	-4.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	35.7	72.8	+1.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.8	31.0	63.8	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	33.4	35.1	68.6	-1.7	43%	-
vs Similar (13)	38.8	38.6	77.4	+0.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (10)	41.1	40.4	81.5	+0.7	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.3	34.7	72.0	+2.7	59%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.1	34.1	73.1	+5.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.7	35.2	70.9	+0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	32.2	69.3	+4.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	31.2	68.8	+6.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	32.8	38.8	71.5	-6.0	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	34.3	36.6	70.9	-2.3	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	39.6	33.0	72.6	+6.6	72%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 67.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀27%

🏀26%

🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 27% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 26% of the points

League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game

47%

34%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.5	16.0	47.8%	51.4%	32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	19.5	6.0	30.8%	36.8%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	24.5	17.5	71.4%	70.3%	17.5

They take 53.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 74.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀58%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 58% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game

47%

34%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.5	21.5	51.8%	51.4%	43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.5	7.0	29.8%	36.8%	21.0
🏀 Free throws	13.5	10.0	74.1%	70.3%	10.0

They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 07 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Mechelen

LWWLWLWWWW

Leuven Bears

WLWWWWWWWW

League position

-9.4

Net rating

+9.4

98.0

Offensive rating

107.5

Defensive rating

98.0

47.2%

Effective FG%

49.2%

Opp. effective FG%

47.2%

17.6%

Turnover %

15.1%

21.7%

Off. rebound %

33.8%

0.46

Free-throw rate

0.21

30.8%

3-point %

29.8%

63.6%

Assist %

43.9%

70%

Form (last 10/10)

90%

Profile

■ Mechelen ■ Leuven Bears

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Mechelen wins

Leuven Bears wins

Date	Game	Score
05/05/23	Leuven Bears v Mechelen	86-62
03/05/23	Mechelen v Leuven Bears	75-62
04/02/23	Leuven Bears v Mechelen	72-68
21/01/23	Mechelen v Leuven Bears	91-75
18/05/22	Mechelen v Leuven Bears	77-69
16/05/22	Leuven Bears v Mechelen	95-86 OT
14/05/22	Mechelen v Leuven Bears	78-75
12/05/22	Leuven Bears v Mechelen	40-86
10/05/22	Mechelen v Leuven Bears	63-72
29/01/22	Mechelen v Leuven Bears	74-65

Mechelenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/05/23	A	Leuven Bears	62-86
03/05/23	H	Leuven Bears	75-62
28/04/23	H	LWD Basket	76-61
22/04/23	A	Donar Groningen	48-73
19/04/23	H	Donar Groningen	74-72
14/04/23	A	Zwolle	81-84
08/04/23	H	Den Bosch	70-53
02/04/23	A	LWD Basket	96-90
29/03/23	A	Leiden	77-75
25/03/23	H	Zwolle	101-62

Leuven Bearslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/05/23	H	Mechelen	86-62
03/05/23	A	Mechelen	62-75
28/04/23	H	Den Helder	85-56
22/04/23	A	BAL Weert	74-71 OT
19/04/23	H	Amsterdam	104-58
14/04/23	A	Feyenoord	88-76
08/04/23	H	BAL Weert	83-65
02/04/23	A	QSTA Utd	92-62
29/03/23	A	Amsterdam	82-57
25/03/23	H	Feyenoord	69-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mechelen

Pro Basketball League 2023

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WL	50%
Home	W	100%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	50%	100%	0%
Points / game	68.5	75.0	62.0
Allowed / game	74.0	62.0	86.0
Point differential	-5.5	+13.0	-24.0
Avg total	142.5	137.0	148.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	100%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Leuven Bears

Pro Basketball League 2023

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LW	50%
Home	W	100%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	50%	100%	0%
Points / game	74.0	86.0	62.0
Allowed / game	68.5	62.0	75.0
Point differential	+5.5	+24.0	-13.0
Avg total	142.5	148.0	137.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	100%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Limburg	2	2	0	100%	82.0	74.0	+8.0
2	Leuven Bears	2	1	1	50%	74.0	68.5	+5.5
3	Mechelen	2	1	1	50%	68.5	74.0	-5.5
4	Spirou Charleroi	2	0	2	0%	74.0	82.0	-8.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Mechelen	30	25	16	27	98
Leuven Bears	20	21	24	24	89

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Mechelen vs Leuven Bears Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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