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Leuven Bears vs Circus Brussels Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 08 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 80-75
23-18 18-19 24-21 15-17
Position#11
Record5-15
FormWLLLW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Position#9
Record10-10
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game76.8
EuropeBNXT League· Sportoase
Other2023-24
Meetings · Leuven Bears v Circus Brussels
01 Feb 2025
LEUV86
CIRC72
08 Mar 2024
LEUV80
CIRC75
30 Sep 2023
LEUV72
CIRC80
02 Nov 2022
LEUV69
CIRC53
12 Nov 2021
LEUV77
CIRC62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leuven Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Circus Brussels winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
67-94
67
94
-27
61avg 64
H22/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
L
68-90
68
90
-22
57avg 64
H06/01
BNXT League
Liege
#6
L
75-77
75
77
-2
65avg 64
A10/01
BNXT League
Limburg
#1
L
64-77
64
77
-13
53avg 64
A19/01
Belgian Cup
Limburg
#1
L
47-71
47
71
-24
32avg 64
H21/01
Belgian Cup
Belfius Mons
#10
W
85-69
85
69
+16
92avg 64
H25/01
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
78-82
78
82
-4
75avg 64
A02/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
56-85
56
85
-29
43avg 64
H10/02
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
73-87
73
87
-14
66avg 64
H14/02
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
86-76
86
76
+10
77avg 64
A17/02
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
17-22
12-28
17-16
21-25
17-24
13-16
17-25
14-13
19-23
26-18
16-23
11-23
23-23
17-12
13-19
12-13
15-24
9-18
11-16
17-15
22-17
24-27
22-10
13-28
19-15
21-22
25-17
22-22
2-17
13-26
19-20
24-17
17-20
25-23
7-27
19-14
22-20
24-20
21-22
150.7Avg total
69.9Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)74.279.5153.6-5.325%
Season at home (10)73.879.1152.9-5.330%
Season away (10)74.579.8154.3-5.320%
Last 10 (10)69.980.8150.7-10.920%
Last 5 (5)75.679.8155.4-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)68.280.8149.0-12.620%
vs Similar ◀ (14)76.176.4152.6-0.336%
vs Weaker (6)79.875.2155.0+4.750%
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrussels
Date
Competition
Spirou Charleroi
#3
L
43-47
43
47
-4
no box
A10/12
Belgian Cup
Kortrijk
#14
W
74-72
74
72
+2
63avg 72
A15/12
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
64-76
64
76
-12
55avg 72
H22/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
63-71
63
71
-8
54avg 72
H26/12
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
88-90
88
90
-2
82avg 72
A06/01
BNXT League
Liege
#6
W
94-86
94
86
+8
97avg 72
H12/01
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
79-58
79
58
+21
71avg 72
A27/01
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
L
76-83
76
83
-7
71avg 72
H04/02
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
67-80
67
80
-13
63avg 72
A09/02
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
W
88-76
88
76
+12
82avg 72
A17/02
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
5-11
16-10
10-15
12-11
19-21
20-17
21-13
14-21
16-15
19-17
20-26
9-18
18-19
14-10
18-20
13-22
27-30
25-18
13-21
23-21
23-26
26-20
18-27
27-13
21-16
27-10
19-12
12-20
20-21
21-24
11-21
24-17
23-22
13-14
14-25
17-19
26-22
25-10
20-19
17-25
147.5Avg total
73.6Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.176.8154.8+1.350%
Season at home (10)76.379.6155.9-3.340%
Season away (10)79.973.9153.8+6.060%
Last 10 (10)73.673.9147.5-0.340%
Last 5 (5)80.876.6157.4+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.575.7149.3-2.236%
vs Similar ◀ (16)78.175.4153.5+2.656%
vs Weaker (3)80.377.0157.3+3.333%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -1.9-1.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -1.9-1.9
Leuven BearsCircus Brussels
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H22/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H06/01
BNXT League
Liege
#6
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A10/01
BNXT League
Limburg
#1
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A19/01
Belgian Cup
Limburg
#1
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H21/01
Belgian Cup
Belfius Mons
#10
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H25/01
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A02/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H10/02
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H14/02
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A17/02
BNXT League
75.0Avg total
34.7Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.038.375.3-1.252%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.937.776.7+1.267%-
Last 30 away (14)35.038.973.9-3.936%-
Last 10 (10)34.740.375.0-5.630%-
Last 5 (5)35.437.072.4-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.540.074.5-5.540%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.037.975.9+0.150%-
vs Weaker (5)39.435.875.2+3.680%-
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spirou Charleroi
#3
D
21-21
21
21
+0
A10/12
Belgian Cup
Kortrijk
#14
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A15/12
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H22/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H26/12
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A06/01
BNXT League
Liege
#6
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H12/01
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A27/01
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H04/02
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A09/02
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
W
51-32
51
32
+19
A17/02
BNXT League
75.7Avg total
40.4Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.536.976.4+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.635.974.5+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)40.437.978.3+2.560%-
Last 10 (10)40.435.375.7+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)45.037.082.0+8.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.734.674.4+5.173%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)39.838.077.8+1.856%-
vs Weaker (3)37.339.777.0-2.333%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 69.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.617.4
50.3%
52.2%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.46.0
29.4%
33.1%18.0
🏀 Free throws23.416.5
70.5%
71.4%16.5
They take 55.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Circus Brusselstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Circus Brussels: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.318.4
55.3%
52.2%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.6
36.0%
33.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws17.713.5
76.3%
71.4%13.5
They take 57.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leuven Bears
WLLLWLLLLL
Circus Brussels
WLLWWLLLWL
#11
League position
#9
-15.2
Net rating
-2.1
95.1
Offensive rating
106.0
110.3
Defensive rating
108.1
48.0%
Effective FG%
54.7%
56.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
22.7%
Turnover %
21.4%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.31
29.4%
3-point %
36.0%
61.5%
Assist %
52.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence95.1 · 106.0Defence110.3 · 108.1Shooting48.0% · 54.7%3-point %29.4% · 36.0%Ball care22.7% · 21.4%Off. rebounds26.1% · 28.7%Free throws0.43 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Leuven Bears   ■ Circus Brussels
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Leuven Bears wins
3
Circus Brussels wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24AOkapi Aalst86-76
14/02/24HLimburg73-87
10/02/24HOostende56-85
02/02/24ASpirou Charleroi78-82
25/01/24HBelfius Mons85-69
21/01/24HLimburg47-71
19/01/24ALimburg64-77
10/01/24ALiege75-77
06/01/24HKortrijk68-90
22/12/23HAntwerp Giants67-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24ABelfius Mons88-76
09/02/24ALimburg67-80
04/02/24HOkapi Aalst76-83
27/01/24AMechelen79-58
12/01/24HLiege94-86
06/01/24AAntwerp Giants88-90
26/12/23HSpirou Charleroi63-71
22/12/23HOostende64-76
15/12/23AKortrijk74-72
10/12/23ASpirou Charleroi43-47

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW25%
HomeLLWLL30%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %25%30%20%
Points / game74.273.874.5
Allowed / game79.579.179.8
Point differential-5.3-5.3-5.3
Avg total153.6152.9154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%30%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)-0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Circus Brussels
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeLLLWL40%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %50%40%60%
Points / game78.176.379.9
Allowed / game76.879.673.9
Point differential+1.4-3.3+6.0
Avg total154.8155.9153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%20%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende2220291%80.971.0+10.0
2 Den Bosch1816289%81.969.1+12.8
3 Leiden1713476%77.969.2+8.8
4 Antwerp Giants2216673%81.872.3+9.5
5 Limburg2115671%77.471.6+5.8
6 Zwolle1812667%76.267.8+8.4
7 Liege2112957%78.478.5-0.0
8 Donar Groningen179853%71.468.3+3.1
9 Spirou Charleroi21111052%72.375.0-2.6
10 Circus Brussels20101050%78.176.8+1.4
11 BAL Weert178947%70.973.2-2.4
12 Mechelen2191243%75.076.1-1.0
13 Kortrijk2181338%77.481.2-3.8
14 Feyenoord1761135%72.280.1-7.9
15 Den Helder1751229%66.878.4-11.5
16 Belfius Mons2161529%75.582.1-6.6
17 Leuven Bears2051525%74.279.5-5.3
18 LWD Basket1741324%76.683.6-7.0
19 QSTA Utd1741324%73.280.6-7.5
20 Okapi Aalst2141719%75.982.6-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leuven Bears2318241580
Circus Brussels1819211775
← all games of the day
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