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Leuven Bears vs Den Helder Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 98-79
24-23 26-12 28-20 20-24
Position#11
Record6-15
FormLLLWW
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game79.2
vs
Position#20
Record5-13
FormLLWWL
Points / game66.5
Allowed / game78.8
EuropeBNXT League· Sportoase
Other2023-24
Meetings · Leuven Bears v Den Helder
06 Dec 2025
LEUV84
DEN 71
24 Oct 2024
LEUV91
DEN 67
16 Mar 2024
LEUV98
DEN 79
28 Apr 2023
LEUV85
DEN 56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leuven Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Den Helder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#14
L
68-90
68
90
-22
57avg 65
H06/01
BNXT League
Liege
#6
L
75-77
75
77
-2
65avg 65
A10/01
BNXT League
Limburg
#1
L
64-77
64
77
-13
53avg 65
A19/01
Belgian Cup
Limburg
#1
L
47-71
47
71
-24
32avg 65
H21/01
Belgian Cup
Belfius Mons
#10
W
85-69
85
69
+16
92avg 65
H25/01
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
78-82
78
82
-4
75avg 65
A02/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
56-85
56
85
-29
43avg 65
H10/02
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
73-87
73
87
-14
66avg 65
H14/02
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
86-76
86
76
+10
77avg 65
A17/02
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
W
80-75
80
75
+5
77avg 65
H08/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
17-24
13-16
17-25
14-13
19-23
26-18
16-23
11-23
23-23
17-12
13-19
12-13
15-24
9-18
11-16
17-15
22-17
24-27
22-10
13-28
19-15
21-22
25-17
22-22
2-17
13-26
19-20
24-17
17-20
25-23
7-27
19-14
22-20
24-20
21-22
23-18
18-19
24-21
15-17
150.1Avg total
71.2Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)74.479.2153.7-4.829%
Season at home (11)74.478.7153.1-4.436%
Season away (10)74.579.8154.3-5.320%
Last 10 (10)71.278.9150.1-7.730%
Last 5 (5)74.681.0155.6-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)66.982.0148.9-15.111%
vs Similar (15)76.476.3152.7+0.140%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)79.875.2155.0+4.750%
This opponent (Den Helder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Den HelderLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHelder
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#1
L
71-88
71
88
-17
no box
A06/12
DBL Cup
Donar Groningen
#13
L
51-75
51
75
-24
41avg 59
A09/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
66-61
66
61
+5
58avg 59
H23/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
L
66-81
66
81
-15
65avg 59
A06/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
L
64-75
64
75
-11
54avg 59
H13/01
BNXT League
Zwolle
#12
L
64-80
64
80
-16
54avg 59
H03/02
BNXT League
Leiden
#5
L
60-86
60
86
-26
44avg 59
A10/02
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
77-74
77
74
+3
78avg 59
H17/02
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
82-73
82
73
+9
79avg 59
H02/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
L
61-87
61
87
-26
51avg 59
A08/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
15-19
12-20
25-24
10-18
14-14
11-22
16-21
20-19
13-9
14-20
19-13
11-23
17-22
17-19
21-17
18-23
12-21
15-17
19-14
16-20
19-18
16-23
13-19
15-23
22-20
17-20
6-23
19-18
24-15
18-22
16-19
23-26
16-19
19-14
24-14
18-19
21-18
7-29
15-21
144.2Avg total
66.2Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)66.578.8145.3-12.328%
Season at home (9)66.977.1144.0-10.233%
Season away (9)66.180.6146.7-14.422%
Last 10 (10)66.278.0144.2-11.830%
Last 5 (5)68.880.0148.8-11.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)71.083.3154.3-12.328%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -1.1-1.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -1.1-1.1
Leuven BearsDen Helder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#14
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H06/01
BNXT League
Liege
#6
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A10/01
BNXT League
Limburg
#1
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A19/01
Belgian Cup
Limburg
#1
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H21/01
Belgian Cup
Belfius Mons
#10
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H25/01
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A02/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H10/02
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H14/02
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A17/02
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H08/03
BNXT League
74.0Avg total
35.0Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.038.375.3-1.352%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.937.876.7+1.167%-
Last 30 away (14)35.038.973.9-3.936%-
Last 10 (10)35.039.074.0-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)35.838.073.8-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.840.474.2-6.733%-
vs Similar (15)38.237.976.1+0.353%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)39.435.875.2+3.680%-
This opponent (Den Helder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Den HelderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A06/12
DBL Cup
Donar Groningen
#13
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A09/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H23/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A06/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H13/01
BNXT League
Zwolle
#12
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H03/02
BNXT League
Leiden
#5
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A10/02
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H17/02
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H02/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A08/03
BNXT League
73.1Avg total
34.2Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.840.376.1-4.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.139.176.1-2.033%-
Last 30 away (15)34.641.576.1-6.933%-
Last 10 (10)34.238.973.1-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.277.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)35.940.176.0-4.234%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 70.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.6
52.0%
52.2%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.95.8
29.1%
33.1%17.4
🏀 Free throws22.316.0
71.7%
71.4%16.0
They take 55.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Den Heldertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Den Helder: 65.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.818.3
49.7%
52.2%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.76.6
30.4%
33.1%19.8
🏀 Free throws14.08.9
63.6%
71.4%8.9
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leuven Bears
WWLLLWLLLL
Den Helder
LWWLLLLWLL
#11
League position
#20
-10.6
Net rating
-15.4
96.9
Offensive rating
88.2
107.5
Defensive rating
103.6
49.0%
Effective FG%
48.2%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
22.7%
Turnover %
24.4%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
24.6%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.24
29.1%
3-point %
30.4%
60.7%
Assist %
61.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence96.9 · 88.2Defence107.5 · 103.6Shooting49.0% · 48.2%3-point %29.1% · 30.4%Ball care22.7% · 24.4%Off. rebounds27.3% · 24.6%Free throws0.40 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Leuven Bears   ■ Den Helder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Leuven Bears wins
0
Den Helder wins
DateGameScore
28/04/23Leuven Bears v Den Helder85-56
19/03/23Den Helder v Leuven Bears77-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/24HCircus Brussels80-75
17/02/24AOkapi Aalst86-76
14/02/24HLimburg73-87
10/02/24HOostende56-85
02/02/24ASpirou Charleroi78-82
25/01/24HBelfius Mons85-69
21/01/24HLimburg47-71
19/01/24ALimburg64-77
10/01/24ALiege75-77
06/01/24HKortrijk68-90
Den Helderlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/24AKortrijk61-87
02/03/24HKortrijk82-73
17/02/24HQSTA Utd77-74
10/02/24ALeiden60-86
03/02/24HZwolle64-80
13/01/24HLWD Basket64-75
06/01/24ADen Bosch66-81
23/12/23HFeyenoord66-61
09/12/23ADonar Groningen51-75
06/12/23ADen Bosch71-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW29%
HomeLWLLW36%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %29%36%20%
Points / game74.474.474.5
Allowed / game79.278.779.8
Point differential-4.8-4.4-5.3
Avg total153.7153.1154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%27%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)100% (1)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Den Helder
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL28%
HomeWLLWW33%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %28%33%22%
Points / game66.566.966.1
Allowed / game78.877.180.6
Point differential-12.3-10.2-14.4
Avg total145.3144.0146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende2220291%80.971.0+10.0
2 Den Bosch1916384%81.269.8+11.3
3 Leiden1713476%77.969.2+8.8
4 Antwerp Giants2216673%81.872.3+9.5
5 Limburg2216673%77.371.1+6.2
6 Zwolle1912763%75.969.0+6.9
7 Liege2213959%79.078.1+0.9
8 Spirou Charleroi22121055%72.974.6-1.8
9 Donar Groningen179853%71.468.3+3.1
10 Circus Brussels21101148%78.076.9+1.0
11 BAL Weert1881044%70.373.3-3.1
12 Kortrijk23101343%78.380.0-1.7
13 Mechelen2191243%75.076.1-1.0
14 Feyenoord1861233%72.280.6-8.4
15 Leuven Bears2161529%74.479.2-4.8
16 Belfius Mons2161529%75.582.1-6.6
17 Den Helder1851328%66.578.8-12.3
18 LWD Basket1741324%76.683.6-7.0
19 QSTA Utd1741324%73.280.6-7.5
20 Okapi Aalst2141719%75.982.6-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leuven Bears2426282098
Den Helder2312202479
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