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Okapi Aalst vs Leuven Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 76-86
14-19 20-22 20-24 22-21
Position#16
Record3-16
FormWLWWL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game83.4
vs
Position#11
Record4-15
FormLWLLL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game79.6
EuropeBNXT League· Okapi Forum (Aalst)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Okapi Aalst v Leuven Bears
10 Apr 2027
OKAP v LEUV
upcoming
13 Mar 2026
OKAP95
LEUV76
03 Jan 2026
OKAP75
LEUV82
14 Sep 2024
OKAP51
LEUV64
17 Feb 2024
OKAP76
LEUV86
12 May 2023
OKAP81
LEUV75
22 Oct 2022
OKAP83
LEUV74
21 May 2022
OKAP71
LEUV73
23 Oct 2021
OKAP68
LEUV57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Okapi Aalst winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leuven Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
72-91
72
91
-19
63avg 67
H25/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
75-102
75
102
-27
62avg 67
A02/12
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
72-74
72
74
-2
63avg 67
H16/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
74-75
74
75
-1
61avg 67
H26/12
BNXT League
Liege
#6
L
62-81
62
81
-19
48avg 67
A05/01
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
82-80
82
80
+2
64avg 67
H12/01
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
68-77
68
77
-9
64avg 67
A26/01
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
W
83-76
83
76
+7
81avg 67
A04/02
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
86-63
86
63
+23
71avg 67
H10/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
68-75
68
75
-7
68avg 67
A14/02
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
16-18
23-24
19-22
32-24
9-26
18-25
16-27
21-25
13-13
20-25
18-11
16-15
26-14
10-18
22-28
16-24
23-11
13-21
10-25
15-24
15-23
32-17
20-16
24-17
17-13
10-29
17-18
21-20
24-21
21-11
17-24
23-19
23-13
24-15
16-16
24-17
16-18
12-17
16-23
153.6Avg total
74.2Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)75.883.4159.2-7.616%
Season at home (9)78.981.2160.1-2.322%
Season away (10)73.085.3158.3-12.310%
Last 10 (10)74.279.4153.6-5.230%
Last 5 (5)77.474.2151.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)73.483.2156.7-9.817%
vs Similar ◀ (11)76.983.0159.9-6.127%
vs Weaker (7)92.977.1170.0+15.786%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#8
L
69-72
69
72
-3
52avg 64
A16/12
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
67-94
67
94
-27
61avg 64
H22/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
L
68-90
68
90
-22
57avg 64
H06/01
BNXT League
Liege
#6
L
75-77
75
77
-2
65avg 64
A10/01
BNXT League
Limburg
#1
L
64-77
64
77
-13
53avg 64
A19/01
Belgian Cup
Limburg
#1
L
47-71
47
71
-24
32avg 64
H21/01
Belgian Cup
Belfius Mons
#10
W
85-69
85
69
+16
92avg 64
H25/01
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
78-82
78
82
-4
75avg 64
A02/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
56-85
56
85
-29
43avg 64
H10/02
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
73-87
73
87
-14
66avg 64
H14/02
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
13-24
22-20
11-11
21-28
17-22
12-28
17-16
21-25
17-24
13-16
17-25
14-13
19-23
26-18
16-23
11-23
23-23
17-12
13-19
12-13
15-24
9-18
11-16
17-15
22-17
24-27
22-10
13-28
19-15
21-22
25-17
22-22
2-17
13-26
19-20
24-17
17-20
25-23
7-27
148.6Avg total
68.2Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)73.579.6153.2-6.121%
Season at home (10)73.879.1152.9-5.330%
Season away (9)73.280.2153.4-7.011%
Last 10 (10)68.280.4148.6-12.210%
Last 5 (5)67.878.8146.6-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)68.280.8149.0-12.620%
vs Similar ◀ (14)77.275.6152.9+1.636%
vs Weaker (6)79.875.2155.0+4.750%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -2.6-2.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -2.6-2.6
Okapi AalstLeuven Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H25/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A02/12
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H16/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H26/12
BNXT League
Liege
#6
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A05/01
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H12/01
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A26/01
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A04/02
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H10/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A14/02
BNXT League
77.0Avg total
38.8Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.640.582.1+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.339.182.4+4.347%-
Last 30 away (15)39.941.981.8-2.153%-
Last 10 (10)38.838.277.0+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)40.437.077.4+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.241.078.2-3.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)43.141.884.9+1.355%-
vs Weaker (7)46.937.684.4+9.371%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#8
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A16/12
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H22/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H06/01
BNXT League
Liege
#6
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A10/01
BNXT League
Limburg
#1
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A19/01
Belgian Cup
Limburg
#1
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H21/01
Belgian Cup
Belfius Mons
#10
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H25/01
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A02/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H10/02
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H14/02
BNXT League
75.2Avg total
34.2Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.538.475.9-0.952%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.937.777.6+2.269%-
Last 30 away (13)34.539.273.8-4.731%-
Last 10 (10)34.241.075.2-6.820%-
Last 5 (5)32.637.670.2-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.540.074.5-5.540%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.038.177.1+0.950%-
vs Weaker (5)39.435.875.2+3.680%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.919.3
49.6%
52.2%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.46.0
29.4%
33.1%18.0
🏀 Free throws22.316.6
74.4%
71.4%16.6
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 67.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.016.8
48.0%
52.2%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.35.8
28.6%
33.1%17.4
🏀 Free throws23.516.6
70.6%
71.4%16.6
They take 55.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Okapi Aalst
LWWLWLLLLL
Leuven Bears
LLLWLLLLLL
#16
League position
#11
-7.1
Net rating
-17.1
99.5
Offensive rating
93.3
106.5
Defensive rating
110.4
47.7%
Effective FG%
46.1%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
20.1%
Turnover %
21.8%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.42
29.4%
3-point %
28.6%
48.6%
Assist %
62.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence99.5 · 93.3Defence106.5 · 110.4Shooting47.7% · 46.1%3-point %29.4% · 28.6%Ball care20.1% · 21.8%Off. rebounds28.0% · 25.1%Free throws0.38 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ Okapi Aalst   ■ Leuven Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Okapi Aalst wins
6
Leuven Bears wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/24ASpirou Charleroi68-75
10/02/24HKortrijk86-63
04/02/24ACircus Brussels83-76
26/01/24ALimburg68-77
12/01/24HMechelen82-80
05/01/24ALiege62-81
26/12/23HBelfius Mons74-75
16/12/23HOostende72-74
02/12/23AAntwerp Giants75-102
25/11/23HAntwerp Giants72-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/24HLimburg73-87
10/02/24HOostende56-85
02/02/24ASpirou Charleroi78-82
25/01/24HBelfius Mons85-69
21/01/24HLimburg47-71
19/01/24ALimburg64-77
10/01/24ALiege75-77
06/01/24HKortrijk68-90
22/12/23HAntwerp Giants67-94
16/12/23AMechelen69-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL16%
HomeLLLWW22%
AwayLLLWL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %16%22%10%
Points / game75.878.973.0
Allowed / game83.481.285.3
Point differential-7.6-2.3-12.3
Avg total159.2160.1158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)20% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL21%
HomeLLWLL30%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %21%30%11%
Points / game73.573.873.2
Allowed / game79.679.180.2
Point differential-6.1-5.3-7.0
Avg total153.2152.9153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%30%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)-0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Den Bosch1615194%82.767.8+14.9
2 Oostende1917289%79.570.7+8.8
3 Antwerp Giants1915479%82.272.3+9.9
4 Leiden1612475%78.470.7+7.8
5 Limburg1914574%78.171.1+7.1
6 Zwolle1611569%77.267.6+9.6
7 Liege1911858%78.378.6-0.3
8 Spirou Charleroi2011955%73.775.2-1.5
9 Donar Groningen168850%70.867.9+2.9
10 BAL Weert168850%70.771.8-1.1
11 Circus Brussels1991047%77.676.8+0.8
12 Mechelen1981142%75.476.6-1.3
13 Kortrijk1981142%78.280.5-2.4
14 Feyenoord1661038%72.780.3-7.6
15 Belfius Mons1951426%73.881.3-7.4
16 LWD Basket1641225%75.682.2-6.6
17 QSTA Utd1641225%74.181.3-7.2
18 Den Helder1641225%65.978.7-12.8
19 Leuven Bears1941521%73.579.6-6.1
20 Okapi Aalst1931616%75.883.4-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Okapi Aalst1420202276
Leuven Bears1922242186
← all games of the day
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