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Leuven Bears vs QSTA Utd Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 90-85
13-18 20-18 25-24 32-25
Position#7
Record7-7
FormLLWLW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game73.9
vs
Position#19
Record2-12
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game88.1
EuropeBNXT League· Sportoase
Other2024-25
Meetings · Leuven Bears v QSTA Utd
20 Dec 2024
LEUV90
QSTA85
06 Apr 2024
LEUV79
QSTA76
04 Mar 2023
LEUV98
QSTA71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leuven Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
QSTA Utd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Limburg
#4
W
85-68
85
68
+17
77avg 69
H20/10
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
91-67
91
67
+24
87avg 69
H24/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
67-72
67
72
-5
52avg 69
A02/11
BNXT League
Falco Gent
#14
W
96-63
96
63
+33
no box
A06/11
Belgian Cup
Oostende
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
68avg 69
H09/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
76-82
76
82
-6
67avg 69
A13/11
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
81-97
81
97
-16
70avg 69
A16/11
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
73-69
73
69
+4
67avg 69
H01/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
60-70
60
70
-10
52avg 69
H07/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
93-85
93
85
+8
99avg 69
A15/12
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-7
30-24
14-18
23-19
23-13
18-21
21-22
29-11
19-15
13-21
20-24
15-12
–
–
–
–
21-23
18-28
17-25
21-15
19-26
24-23
15-12
18-21
29-31
15-26
22-17
15-23
14-24
20-20
17-7
22-18
21-15
12-21
12-19
15-15
26-23
26-18
14-17
27-27
156.3Avg total
79.9Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.773.9151.6+3.950%
Season at home (6)78.568.8147.3+9.767%
Season away (8)77.177.6154.8-0.538%
Last 10 (10)79.976.4156.3+3.550%
Last 5 (5)76.680.6157.2-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.084.7154.7-14.70%
vs Similar (11)76.676.0152.6+0.655%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)81.969.7151.6+12.180%
This opponent (QSTA Utd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QSTA UtdLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUtd
Date
Competition
Leiden
#12
L
71-76
71
76
-5
61avg 63
H20/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
111-113 OT
111
113
-2
102avg 63
H27/10
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
101-80
101
80
+21
102avg 63
A02/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
72-76
72
76
-4
59avg 63
A13/11
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
70-82
70
82
-12
58avg 63
H17/11
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
L
75-83
75
83
-8
63avg 63
A28/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
68-84
68
84
-16
53avg 63
H01/12
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
L
74-80
74
80
-6
63avg 63
H08/12
BNXT League
Leiden 2
#15
W
96-59
96
59
+37
no box
A11/12
DBL Cup
Limburg
#4
L
82-112
82
112
-30
68avg 63
A13/12
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
15-21
19-18
23-16
23-27
30-25
25-24
22-24
19-21
29-20
27-11
26-28
17-22
20-19
17-16
18-19
24-14
10-27
28-19
8-22
20-15
19-26
18-24
18-18
15-23
18-19
21-20
14-22
21-27
13-9
18-18
22-26
–
–
–
–
22-35
16-27
18-25
26-25
166.5Avg total
82.0Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.988.1166.0-10.114%
Season at home (7)76.089.1165.1-13.10%
Season away (7)79.987.0166.9-7.129%
Last 10 (10)82.084.5166.5-2.520%
Last 5 (5)79.083.6162.6-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)71.485.4156.8-14.012%
vs Similar (2)89.078.0167.0+11.0100%
vs Weaker (1)74.077.0151.0-3.00%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -2.6-2.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -2.6-2.6
Leuven BearsQSTA Utd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limburg
#4
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H20/10
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H24/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A02/11
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H09/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A13/11
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A16/11
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H01/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H07/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A15/12
BNXT League
82.8Avg total
40.7Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.538.679.1+1.959%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.435.977.3+5.569%-
Last 30 away (16)39.840.880.6-1.150%-
Last 10 (9)40.742.182.8-1.433%-
Last 5 (5)41.245.486.6-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.048.785.7-11.70%-
vs Similar (11)38.640.178.7-1.545%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.535.578.1+7.080%-
This opponent (QSTA Utd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QSTA UtdLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leiden
#12
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H20/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H27/10
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A02/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A13/11
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H17/11
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A28/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H01/12
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H08/12
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
38-62
38
62
-24
A13/12
BNXT League
82.6Avg total
38.3Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.344.181.4-6.821%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.043.780.7-6.721%-
Last 30 away (15)37.544.582.0-6.920%-
Last 10 (9)38.344.282.6-5.922%-
Last 5 (5)35.644.480.0-8.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)36.744.581.2-7.815%-
vs Similar (2)47.039.086.0+8.0100%-
vs Weaker (1)33.043.076.0-10.00%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.1
50.0%
52.6%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.2
36.7%
34.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.513.1
63.9%
71.9%13.1
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
QSTA Utdtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

QSTA Utd: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.918.7
49.3%
52.6%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.610.0
36.2%
34.1%30.0
🏀 Free throws17.011.6
68.2%
71.9%11.6
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leuven Bears
WLWLLLWLWW
QSTA Utd
LWLLLLLWLL
#7
League position
#19
+0.0
Net rating
-12.5
104.8
Offensive rating
106.1
104.8
Defensive rating
118.6
52.0%
Effective FG%
51.5%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
20.5%
Turnover %
16.9%
34.0%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.7%
3-point %
36.2%
64.5%
Assist %
52.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence104.8 · 106.1Defence104.8 · 118.6Shooting52.0% · 51.5%3-point %36.7% · 36.2%Ball care20.5% · 16.9%Off. rebounds34.0% · 29.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Leuven Bears   ■ QSTA Utd
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Leuven Bears wins
0
QSTA Utd wins
DateGameScore
01/05/24QSTA Utd v Leuven Bears60-81
06/04/24Leuven Bears v QSTA Utd79-76 OT
02/04/23QSTA Utd v Leuven Bears62-92
04/03/23Leuven Bears v QSTA Utd98-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24AFeyenoord93-85
07/12/24HBelfius Mons60-70
01/12/24HSpirou Charleroi73-69
16/11/24ALWD Basket81-97
13/11/24ADen Bosch76-82
09/11/24HOostende77-91
06/11/24AFalco Gent96-63
02/11/24AMechelen67-72
24/10/24HDen Helder91-67
20/10/24HLimburg85-68
QSTA Utdlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/24ALimburg82-112
11/12/24ALeiden 296-59
08/12/24HOkapi Aalst74-80
01/12/24HDen Bosch68-84
28/11/24AZwolle75-83
17/11/24HMechelen70-82
13/11/24ADonar Groningen72-76
02/11/24ABAL Weert101-80
27/10/24HBelfius Mons111-113 OT
20/10/24HLeiden71-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayLLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %50%67%38%
Points / game77.778.577.1
Allowed / game73.968.877.6
Point differential+3.9+9.7-0.5
Avg total151.6147.3154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
QSTA Utd
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %14%0%29%
Points / game77.976.079.9
Allowed / game88.189.187.0
Point differential-10.1-13.1-7.1
Avg total166.0165.1166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende1412286%89.777.1+12.6
2 Kortrijk1411379%97.280.4+16.9
3 Limburg1410471%82.974.6+8.3
4 Mechelen149564%79.974.9+5.1
5 LWD Basket149564%83.380.6+2.6
6 Circus Brussels149564%77.376.2+1.1
7 Antwerp Giants138562%79.677.5+2.1
8 Spirou Charleroi158753%81.175.2+5.9
9 Leuven Bears147750%77.773.9+3.9
10 Belfius Mons147750%79.178.8+0.4
11 Leiden157847%77.882.1-4.3
12 Den Bosch136746%81.284.3-3.2
13 Okapi Aalst146843%79.778.6+1.1
14 Zwolle146843%82.786.8-4.1
15 Feyenoord135838%81.488.5-7.1
16 Den Helder1551033%71.782.2-10.5
17 Donar Groningen123925%73.980.8-6.8
18 QSTA Utd1421214%77.988.1-10.1
19 BAL Weert1421214%71.486.1-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leuven Bears1320253290
QSTA Utd1818242585
← all games of the day
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