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LWD Basket vs Leuven Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 97-81
31-29 26-15 17-22 23-15
Position#10
Record6-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Position#7
Record5-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game71.3
EuropeBNXT League· Sportcentrum Kalverdijkje
Other2024-25
Meetings · LWD Basket v Leuven Bears
29 Mar 2026
LWD 84
LEUV82
16 Nov 2024
LWD 97
LEUV81
30 Mar 2024
LWD 71
LEUV85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LWD Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leuven Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LWD BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#4
L
80-88
80
88
-8
73avg 72
H10/05
DBL
Donar Groningen
#14
L
64-73
64
73
-9
57avg 72
H14/09
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
99-97 OT
99
97
+2
93avg 72
A28/09
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
86-92
86
92
-6
80avg 72
H05/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
48-85
48
85
-37
42avg 72
A12/10
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
100-76
100
76
+24
98avg 72
H18/10
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
91-70
91
70
+21
90avg 72
A20/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
W
89-85
89
85
+4
86avg 72
H27/10
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
W
82-66
82
66
+16
86avg 72
A03/11
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
79-73
79
73
+6
70avg 72
H09/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
16-14
18-25
24-22
26-12
7-19
13-17
18-25
22-28
22-19
16-18
22-17
19-18
18-28
22-18
27-28
11-23
11-20
9-18
17-24
28-15
19-25
24-19
29-17
21-29
22-13
24-21
24-7
26-28
22-24
29-20
12-13
26-9
20-23
14-24
22-10
16-27
25-19
20-11
18-16
162.3Avg total
81.8Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.079.7161.7+2.367%
Season at home (5)83.679.8163.4+3.860%
Season away (4)80.079.5159.5+0.575%
Last 10 (10)81.880.5162.3+1.360%
Last 5 (5)88.274.0162.2+14.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)79.687.0166.7-7.436%
vs Similar (3)83.080.0163.0+3.067%
vs Weaker (5)80.874.2155.0+6.680%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Leiden
#12
L
77-78
77
78
-1
73avg 68
A28/09
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
83-78
83
78
+5
77avg 68
A02/10
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
W
85-48
85
48
+37
81avg 68
H12/10
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
L
76-78
76
78
-2
65avg 68
A18/10
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
85-68
85
68
+17
77avg 68
H20/10
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
91-67
91
67
+24
87avg 68
H24/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
67-72
67
72
-5
52avg 68
A02/11
BNXT League
Falco Gent
#14
W
96-63
96
63
+33
no box
A06/11
Belgian Cup
Oostende
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
68avg 68
H09/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
76-82
76
82
-6
67avg 68
A13/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-13
16-29
18-16
24-20
23-21
23-19
21-19
16-19
23-11
20-11
18-9
24-17
27-23
12-19
17-15
20-21
18-7
30-24
14-18
23-19
23-13
18-21
21-22
29-11
19-15
13-21
20-24
15-12
–
–
–
–
21-23
18-28
17-25
21-15
19-26
24-23
15-12
18-21
153.8Avg total
81.3Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.171.3149.4+6.850%
Season at home (4)84.568.5153.0+16.075%
Season away (6)73.873.2147.0+0.733%
Last 10 (10)81.372.5153.8+8.850%
Last 5 (5)81.475.0156.4+6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)67.885.2153.0-17.40%
vs Similar (12)77.876.5154.2+1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)82.866.2149.0+16.792%
This opponent (LWD Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +3.9+3.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +3.9+3.9
LWD BasketLeuven Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LWD BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H10/05
DBL
Donar Groningen
#14
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H14/09
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A28/09
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H05/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
22-43
22
43
-21
A12/10
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H18/10
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A20/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H27/10
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A03/11
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H09/11
BNXT League
81.9Avg total
39.9Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.243.984.1-3.737%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.943.084.9-1.144%-
Last 30 away (14)38.244.983.1-6.729%-
Last 10 (10)39.942.081.9-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)45.042.487.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)39.946.286.1-6.323%-
vs Similar (3)39.341.080.3-1.767%-
vs Weaker (5)41.835.677.4+6.280%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leiden
#12
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A28/09
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A02/10
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
W
43-22
43
22
+21
H12/10
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A18/10
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H20/10
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H24/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A02/11
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H09/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A13/11
BNXT League
79.2Avg total
40.7Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.637.777.2+1.962%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.135.476.4+5.779%-
Last 30 away (15)38.139.978.0-1.747%-
Last 10 (9)40.738.679.2+2.144%-
Last 5 (5)40.640.280.8+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.244.479.6-9.220%-
vs Similar (12)38.539.377.8-0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.433.275.7+9.292%-
This opponent (LWD Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
LWD Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LWD Basket: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.719.8
55.5%
52.6%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.1
35.0%
34.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.614.3
69.4%
71.9%14.3
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.4
50.8%
52.6%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.3
33.9%
34.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.013.4
67.0%
71.9%13.4
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
LWD Basket
WWWWWLLWLL
Leuven Bears
LLWLWWLWWL
#10
League position
#7
+2.0
Net rating
+9.2
108.3
Offensive rating
106.9
106.3
Defensive rating
97.8
54.2%
Effective FG%
50.8%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
20.4%
Turnover %
18.6%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
34.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.0%
3-point %
33.9%
64.4%
Assist %
58.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 106.9Defence106.3 · 97.8Shooting54.2% · 50.8%3-point %35.0% · 33.9%Ball care20.4% · 18.6%Off. rebounds31.6% · 34.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ LWD Basket   ■ Leuven Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
LWD Basket wins
3
Leuven Bears wins
DateGameScore
12/10/24Leuven Bears v LWD Basket85-48
26/04/24Leuven Bears v LWD Basket81-60
30/03/24LWD Basket v Leuven Bears71-85
LWD Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/24HBAL Weert79-73
03/11/24ACircus Brussels82-66
27/10/24HMechelen89-85
20/10/24AZwolle91-70
18/10/24HQSTA Utd100-76
12/10/24ALeuven Bears48-85
05/10/24HOostende86-92
28/09/24ADen Bosch99-97 OT
14/09/24HDonar Groningen64-73
10/05/24HZwolle80-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/24ADen Bosch76-82
09/11/24HOostende77-91
06/11/24AFalco Gent96-63
02/11/24AMechelen67-72
24/10/24HDen Helder91-67
20/10/24HLimburg85-68
18/10/24ACircus Brussels76-78
12/10/24HLWD Basket85-48
02/10/24AAntwerp Giants83-78
28/09/24ALeiden77-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LWD Basket
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW67%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%60%75%
Points / game82.083.680.0
Allowed / game79.779.879.5
Point differential+2.3+3.8+0.5
Avg total161.7163.4159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%20%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %11%0%25%
Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %50%75%33%
Points / game78.184.573.8
Allowed / game71.368.573.2
Point differential+6.8+16.0+0.7
Avg total149.4153.0147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%75%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)-25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kortrijk108280%94.580.0+14.5
2 Oostende108280%89.676.5+13.1
3 Limburg97278%81.069.9+11.1
4 LWD Basket96367%82.079.7+2.3
5 Circus Brussels106460%76.776.7+0.0
6 Okapi Aalst95456%80.275.4+4.8
7 Mechelen95456%78.977.9+1.0
8 Zwolle95456%83.887.0-3.2
9 Leuven Bears105550%78.171.3+6.8
10 Antwerp Giants84450%78.675.0+3.6
11 Belfius Mons105550%80.080.0+0.0
12 Leiden105550%76.682.7-6.1
13 Spirou Charleroi94544%79.074.3+4.7
14 Donar Groningen83538%74.682.0-7.4
15 Den Helder103730%70.282.8-12.6
16 Feyenoord82625%77.685.5-7.9
17 Den Bosch82625%77.887.2-9.5
18 QSTA Utd92722%80.288.0-7.8
19 BAL Weert92722%75.787.2-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
LWD Basket3126172397
Leuven Bears2915221581
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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