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Mechelen vs Leuven Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 72-67
15-19 21-13 24-20 12-15
Position#3
Record3-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game80.9
vs
Position#7
Record5-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game66.9
EuropeBNXT League· Stedelijke Sporthal Winketkaai
Other2024-25
Meetings · Mechelen v Leuven Bears
13 Mar 2027
MECH v LEUV
upcoming
15 Nov 2025
MECH57
LEUV81
03 Jan 2025
MECH82
LEUV86
02 Nov 2024
MECH72
LEUV67
10 Apr 2024
MECH90
LEUV76
16 Dec 2023
MECH72
LEUV69
07 May 2023
MECH98
LEUV89
03 May 2023
MECH75
LEUV62
21 Jan 2023
MECH91
LEUV75
18 May 2022
MECH77
LEUV69
14 May 2022
MECH78
LEUV75
10 May 2022
MECH63
LEUV72
29 Jan 2022
MECH74
LEUV65
05 Feb 2021
MECH70
LEUV79
06 Dec 2019
MECH63
LEUV73
13 Apr 2019
MECH77
LEUV68
12 Jan 2019
MECH75
LEUV92
26 Sep 2018
MECH74
LEUV90
17 Mar 2018
MECH88
LEUV85
03 Dec 2017
MECH90
LEUV86
22 Apr 2017
MECH78
LEUV67
26 Dec 2016
MECH100
LEUV67
08 Apr 2016
MECH84
LEUV63
03 Dec 2015
MECH85
LEUV80
06 Mar 2015
MECH79
LEUV73
08 Oct 2014
MECH80
LEUV86
30 Mar 2014
MECH86
LEUV94
05 Oct 2013
MECH79
LEUV88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mechelen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leuven Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
Limburg
#4
L
84-90
84
90
-6
84avg 73
A08/05
Pro Basketball League
Limburg
#4
W
75-70
75
70
+5
69avg 73
H10/05
Pro Basketball League
Limburg
#4
L
69-81
69
81
-12
60avg 73
A12/05
Pro Basketball League
Limburg
#4
L
65-74
65
74
-9
60avg 73
A20/09
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
79-75
79
75
+4
68avg 73
A28/09
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
92-69
92
69
+23
97avg 73
H05/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
85-108
85
108
-23
76avg 73
A11/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
76-79
76
79
-3
57avg 73
H18/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
77-72
77
72
+5
70avg 73
H20/10
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
85-89
85
89
-4
81avg 73
A27/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-20
19-25
16-17
20-28
22-16
21-12
7-20
25-22
22-17
14-21
18-25
15-18
20-20
10-19
20-23
15-12
22-16
19-19
12-26
26-14
28-18
17-16
23-22
24-13
21-22
24-29
17-31
23-26
24-19
21-20
14-17
17-23
16-16
25-18
13-16
23-22
28-26
24-22
20-29
13-12
159.4Avg total
78.7Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.980.9160.7-1.043%
Season at home (3)81.773.3155.0+8.367%
Season away (4)78.586.5165.0-8.025%
Last 10 (10)78.780.7159.4-2.040%
Last 5 (5)83.083.4166.4-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.086.7162.7-10.717%
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.679.2155.8-2.650%
vs Weaker (12)84.074.1158.1+9.967%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#10
L
70-85
70
85
-15
66avg 68
A03/05
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
64-83
64
83
-19
52avg 68
A08/05
Pro Basketball League
Oostende
#1
L
69-80
69
80
-11
58avg 68
H10/05
Pro Basketball League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
64-51
64
51
+13
50avg 68
A14/09
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
L
77-78
77
78
-1
73avg 68
A28/09
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
83-78
83
78
+5
77avg 68
A02/10
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
W
85-48
85
48
+37
81avg 68
H12/10
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
L
76-78
76
78
-2
65avg 68
A18/10
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
85-68
85
68
+17
77avg 68
H20/10
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
91-67
91
67
+24
87avg 68
H24/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
16-24
15-21
24-17
15-26
20-26
15-18
14-13
20-25
17-18
21-20
11-17
15-16
16-12
15-8
18-15
19-13
16-29
18-16
24-20
23-21
23-19
21-19
16-19
23-11
20-11
18-9
24-17
27-23
12-19
17-15
20-21
18-7
30-24
14-18
23-19
23-13
18-21
21-22
29-11
148.0Avg total
76.4Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.166.9147.0+13.371%
Season at home (3)87.061.0148.0+26.0100%
Season away (4)75.071.2146.2+3.850%
Last 10 (10)76.471.6148.0+4.850%
Last 5 (5)84.067.8151.8+16.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)62.280.5142.7-18.30%
vs Similar ◀ (12)77.877.6155.3+0.250%
vs Weaker (12)82.866.2149.0+16.792%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -6.6-6.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +3.4+3.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -6.6-6.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +3.4+3.4
MechelenLeuven Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limburg
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A08/05
Pro Basketball League
Limburg
#4
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H10/05
Pro Basketball League
Limburg
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A12/05
Pro Basketball League
Limburg
#4
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A20/09
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A28/09
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H05/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A11/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H18/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H20/10
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A27/10
BNXT League
81.7Avg total
42.6Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.038.879.8+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.536.878.2+4.769%-
Last 30 away (17)40.640.481.1+0.247%-
Last 10 (10)42.639.181.7+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)45.641.286.8+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.843.781.5-5.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.338.277.6+1.158%-
vs Weaker (12)44.237.081.2+7.275%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#10
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A03/05
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A08/05
Pro Basketball League
Oostende
#1
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H10/05
Pro Basketball League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A14/09
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A28/09
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A02/10
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
W
43-22
43
22
+21
H12/10
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A18/10
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H20/10
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H24/10
BNXT League
76.7Avg total
38.6Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.837.576.3+1.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.135.375.4+4.773%-
Last 30 away (15)37.639.777.3-2.147%-
Last 10 (10)38.638.176.7+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)43.433.877.2+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.042.375.3-9.317%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.239.377.5-1.250%-
vs Weaker (12)42.433.275.7+9.292%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.619.1
55.2%
52.6%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.97.4
35.4%
34.1%22.2
🏀 Free throws23.517.3
73.6%
71.9%17.3
They take 55.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.719.6
49.4%
52.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.9
34.6%
34.1%23.7
🏀 Free throws17.412.5
71.8%
71.9%12.5
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mechelen
LWLLWWLLWL
Leuven Bears
WWLWWLWLLL
#3
League position
#7
-3.7
Net rating
+5.9
106.8
Offensive rating
105.8
110.5
Defensive rating
99.9
54.4%
Effective FG%
50.3%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
20.3%
Turnover %
18.0%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.4%
3-point %
34.6%
59.2%
Assist %
59.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 105.8Defence110.5 · 99.9Shooting54.4% · 50.3%3-point %35.4% · 34.6%Ball care20.3% · 18.0%Off. rebounds26.9% · 32.1%Free throws0.42 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Mechelen   ■ Leuven Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Mechelen wins
3
Leuven Bears wins
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/24ALWD Basket85-89
20/10/24HSpirou Charleroi77-72
18/10/24HAntwerp Giants76-79
11/10/24AKortrijk85-108
05/10/24HZwolle92-69
28/09/24AOostende79-75
20/09/24ALimburg65-74
12/05/24ALimburg69-81
10/05/24HLimburg75-70
08/05/24ALimburg84-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/24HDen Helder91-67
20/10/24HLimburg85-68
18/10/24ACircus Brussels76-78
12/10/24HLWD Basket85-48
02/10/24AAntwerp Giants83-78
28/09/24ALeiden77-78
14/09/24AOkapi Aalst64-51
10/05/24HOostende69-80
08/05/24AOostende64-83
03/05/24ABelfius Mons70-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mechelen
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL43%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game79.981.778.5
Allowed / game80.973.386.5
Point differential-1.0+8.3-8.0
Avg total160.7155.0165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game80.187.075.0
Allowed / game66.961.071.2
Point differential+13.3+26.0+3.8
Avg total147.0148.0146.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%100%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kortrijk86275%93.280.5+12.8
2 Oostende86275%87.175.9+11.2
3 Circus Brussels86275%78.174.5+3.6
4 Leuven Bears75271%80.166.9+13.3
5 Limburg75271%78.970.7+8.1
6 Zwolle75271%85.784.3+1.4
7 Belfius Mons85362%81.278.8+2.5
8 Spirou Charleroi74357%78.169.4+8.7
9 LWD Basket74357%82.482.6-0.1
10 Leiden95456%76.979.9-3.0
11 Antwerp Giants73443%77.174.9+2.3
12 Okapi Aalst73443%77.977.6+0.3
13 Mechelen73443%79.980.9-1.0
14 Den Helder93633%70.981.3-10.4
15 Donar Groningen72529%74.483.4-9.0
16 QSTA Utd82625%81.289.5-8.2
17 BAL Weert82625%76.088.2-12.2
18 Den Bosch61517%79.888.3-8.5
19 Feyenoord71614%74.184.6-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mechelen1521241272
Leuven Bears1913201567
← all games of the day
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